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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: G Eltringham

Derby 3–1 Hull

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2021/2022

Home ✓ 2.20 fair 2.30
Draw 3.10 fair 3.38
Away 3.60 fair 3.72
Under 2.5 1.57 fair 1.53
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.37 fair 2.90

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Hull
11 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 2
2 Corners 10
9 Fouls 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (342 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.69
Expected goals 1.20 – 0.88
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawHull
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 15% 1–1 13.2% 0–0 12.5%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.24points / match
0.97scored / match
1.03conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 28:30
Hull before this match, all matches
1.10points / match
0.86scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 29 played · 25:32
Derby all matches all matches Hull

Per match

0.97 Goals scored 0.86
1.03 Goals conceded 1.10
2.00 Total goals 1.97
9.31 Shots 10.90
3.07 Shots on target 3.03
12.66 Shots faced 13.00
4.10 Corners 5.14
4.59 Corners against 4.41
9.97 Fouls 10.48
1.97 Yellow cards 1.59
0.38 1st-half goals scored 0.38
0.41 1st-half goals conceded 0.52

How often Full Time

28% Wins 31%
41% Draws 17%
31% Losses 52%
83% Over 0.5 goals 93%
62% Over 1.5 goals 66%
38% Over 2.5 goals 24%
14% Over 3.5 goals 10%
3% Over 4.5 goals 3%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
52% Both teams scored 28%
34% Clean sheets 31%
31% Failed to score 48%

How often Half Time

21% Wins 24%
55% Draws 38%
24% Losses 38%
55% Over 0.5 goals 72%
21% Over 1.5 goals 17%
3% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Hull all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.71points / match
1.29scored / match
0.93conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 18:13
Hull before this match, away
1.00points / match
0.71scored / match
1.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 10:15
Derby at home away Hull

Per match

1.29 Goals scored 0.71
0.93 Goals conceded 1.07
2.21 Total goals 1.79
9.57 Shots 10.79
3.36 Shots on target 2.86
12.50 Shots faced 13.36
3.93 Corners 5.00
4.43 Corners against 4.57
10.50 Fouls 10.71
2.00 Yellow cards 1.93
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.29
0.43 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

43% Wins 29%
43% Draws 14%
14% Losses 57%
86% Over 0.5 goals 93%
64% Over 1.5 goals 57%
43% Over 2.5 goals 14%
21% Over 3.5 goals 7%
7% Over 4.5 goals 7%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 21%
43% Clean sheets 29%
14% Failed to score 57%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 21%
43% Draws 36%
21% Losses 43%
64% Over 0.5 goals 71%
29% Over 1.5 goals 14%
7% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Hull away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.02.22 Huddersfield – Derby 2–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.80 2.30 1.61
30.01.22 Derby – Birmingham 2–2 (0–1) 2.303.103.40 2.50 1.53
22.01.22 Nott'm Forest – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 1.953.204.50 2.37 1.57
15.01.22 Derby – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.30 1.61
03.01.22 Reading – Derby 2–2 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 2.30 1.61
30.12.21 Stoke – Derby 1–2 (0–1) 1.663.755.50 2.20 1.66
27.12.21 Derby – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 5.003.501.80 2.20 1.66
11.12.21 Derby – Blackpool 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.003.30 2.30 1.61
04.12.21 Bristol City – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.202.90 2.20 1.66
29.11.21 Derby – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.402.40 2.00 1.80

Hull all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.02.22 Hull – Preston 0–1 (0–0) 2.603.202.80 2.30 1.61
29.01.22 Hull – Swansea 2–0 (2–0) 2.873.102.62 2.20 1.66
22.01.22 Bournemouth – Hull 0–1 (0–0) 1.574.006.00 1.98 1.88
19.01.22 Hull – Blackburn 2–0 (1–0) 3.003.402.37 2.10 1.72
16.01.22 Hull – Stoke 0–2 (0–1) 2.803.402.50 2.20 1.66
01.01.22 Blackpool – Hull 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.503.30 2.10 1.72
18.12.21 Nott'm Forest – Hull 2–1 (0–1) 1.903.604.00 2.30 1.61
11.12.21 Hull – Bristol City 2–2 (1–0) 1.903.504.00 2.10 1.72
04.12.21 Reading – Hull 1–1 (1–0) 2.403.303.00 2.10 1.72
27.11.21 Hull – Millwall 2–1 (1–1) 2.623.202.75 2.37 1.57

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.01.22 Derby – Birmingham 2–2 (0–1) 2.303.103.40 2.50 1.53
15.01.22 Derby – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.30 1.61
27.12.21 Derby – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 5.003.501.80 2.20 1.66
11.12.21 Derby – Blackpool 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.003.30 2.30 1.61
29.11.21 Derby – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.402.40 2.00 1.80
21.11.21 Derby – Bournemouth 3–2 (1–2) 4.503.501.80 2.30 1.61
30.10.21 Derby – Blackburn 1–2 (0–2) 2.803.252.55 2.30 1.61
19.10.21 Derby – Luton 2–2 (1–0) 3.303.202.30 2.50 1.53
02.10.21 Derby – Swansea 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.103.10 2.37 1.57
29.09.21 Derby – Reading 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.40 2.20 1.66

Hull away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.01.22 Bournemouth – Hull 0–1 (0–0) 1.574.006.00 1.98 1.88
01.01.22 Blackpool – Hull 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.503.30 2.10 1.72
18.12.21 Nott'm Forest – Hull 2–1 (0–1) 1.903.604.00 2.30 1.61
04.12.21 Reading – Hull 1–1 (1–0) 2.403.303.00 2.10 1.72
24.11.21 Cardiff – Hull 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.403.80 2.00 1.80
06.11.21 Barnsley – Hull 0–2 (0–1) 2.253.203.40 2.30 1.61
03.11.21 West Brom – Hull 1–0 (0–0) 1.404.509.00 1.90 1.90
23.10.21 Luton – Hull 1–0 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 2.10 1.72
16.10.21 Huddersfield – Hull 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.304.00 2.10 1.72
25.09.21 Stoke – Hull 2–0 (1–0) 1.573.806.50 2.20 1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsHull wins
1matches
1.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.08.21E1 Hull – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 1.803.754.50 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 28 17 7 4 74 26 +48 58
2 Blackburn 30 15 8 7 45 31 +14 53
3 Bournemouth 28 15 7 6 44 24 +20 52
4 QPR 28 15 6 7 44 31 +13 51
5 Huddersfield 30 13 9 8 40 34 +6 48
6 West Brom 29 12 9 8 34 24 +10 45
7 Middlesbrough 28 13 6 9 32 26 +6 45
8 Nott'm Forest 29 12 7 10 39 31 +8 43
9 Luton 28 11 9 8 39 32 +7 42
10 Sheffield United 27 12 6 9 37 33 +4 42
11 Preston 30 10 11 9 34 35 -1 41
12 Coventry 27 11 7 9 35 31 +4 40
13 Blackpool 29 11 7 11 32 34 -2 40
14 Stoke 28 11 6 11 33 30 +3 39
15 Millwall 28 9 10 9 29 29 0 37
16 Derby 29 8 12 9 28 30 -2 36
17 Swansea 28 9 8 11 29 35 -6 35
18 Bristol City 30 9 7 14 39 54 -15 34
19 Birmingham 30 8 9 13 33 46 -13 33
20 Hull 29 9 5 15 25 32 -7 32
21 Cardiff 28 8 5 15 31 48 -17 29
22 Reading 28 8 4 16 33 55 -22 28
23 Peterboro 27 5 5 17 23 55 -32 20
24 Barnsley 28 2 8 18 17 43 -26 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackburn 15 10 3 2 31 17 +14 33
2 Fulham 15 9 4 2 37 13 +24 31
3 West Brom 14 8 5 1 21 8 +13 29
4 Middlesbrough 15 9 2 4 21 13 +8 29
5 QPR 15 8 4 3 21 11 +10 28
6 Huddersfield 15 8 4 3 22 16 +6 28
7 Coventry 14 8 2 4 22 13 +9 26
8 Blackpool 16 8 2 6 16 16 0 26
9 Bournemouth 13 7 3 3 26 14 +12 24
10 Derby 14 6 6 2 18 13 +5 24
11 Luton 14 6 5 3 22 16 +6 23
12 Millwall 14 6 5 3 16 12 +4 23
13 Preston 14 5 7 2 20 17 +3 22
14 Swansea 14 6 4 4 16 13 +3 22
15 Stoke 14 6 3 5 19 16 +3 21
16 Nott'm Forest 15 6 3 6 19 18 +1 21
17 Bristol City 15 5 5 5 18 19 -1 20
18 Birmingham 15 5 4 6 18 21 -3 19
19 Hull 15 5 3 7 15 17 -2 18
20 Sheffield United 11 5 2 4 17 11 +6 17
21 Peterboro 13 4 4 5 15 17 -2 16
22 Reading 15 4 4 7 21 31 -10 16
23 Cardiff 13 3 1 9 11 20 -9 10
24 Barnsley 14 2 4 8 8 17 -9 10
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bournemouth 15 8 4 3 18 10 +8 28
2 Fulham 13 8 3 2 37 13 +24 27
3 Sheffield United 16 7 4 5 20 22 -2 25
4 QPR 13 7 2 4 23 20 +3 23
5 Nott'm Forest 14 6 4 4 20 13 +7 22
6 Huddersfield 15 5 5 5 18 18 0 20
7 Blackburn 15 5 5 5 14 14 0 20
8 Luton 14 5 4 5 17 16 +1 19
9 Preston 16 5 4 7 14 18 -4 19
10 Cardiff 15 5 4 6 20 28 -8 19
11 Stoke 14 5 3 6 14 14 0 18
12 Middlesbrough 13 4 4 5 11 13 -2 16
13 West Brom 15 4 4 7 13 16 -3 16
14 Blackpool 13 3 5 5 16 18 -2 14
15 Millwall 14 3 5 6 13 17 -4 14
16 Coventry 13 3 5 5 13 18 -5 14
17 Hull 14 4 2 8 10 15 -5 14
18 Birmingham 15 3 5 7 15 25 -10 14
19 Bristol City 15 4 2 9 21 35 -14 14
20 Swansea 14 3 4 7 13 22 -9 13
21 Derby 15 2 6 7 10 17 -7 12
22 Reading 13 4 0 9 12 24 -12 12
23 Barnsley 14 0 4 10 9 26 -17 4
24 Peterboro 14 1 1 12 8 38 -30 4

Derby   Hull

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Bristol City 30 11 19 1.3 1.8 9 7 14 39 54 34
2 23 Peterboro 27 10 17 0.9 2.0 5 5 17 23 55 20
3 1 Fulham 28 12 16 2.6 0.9 17 7 4 74 26 58
4 19 Birmingham 30 14 16 1.1 1.5 8 9 13 33 46 33
5 21 Cardiff 28 12 16 1.1 1.7 8 5 15 31 48 29
6 22 Reading 28 12 16 1.2 2.0 8 4 16 33 55 28
7 4 QPR 28 13 15 1.6 1.1 15 6 7 44 31 51
8 8 Nott'm Forest 29 14 15 1.3 1.1 12 7 10 39 31 43
9 2 Blackburn 30 16 14 1.5 1.0 15 8 7 45 31 53
10 3 Bournemouth 28 14 14 1.6 0.9 15 7 6 44 24 52
11 11 Preston 30 16 14 1.1 1.2 10 11 9 34 35 41
12 9 Luton 28 15 13 1.4 1.1 11 9 8 39 32 42
13 10 Sheffield United 27 14 13 1.4 1.2 12 6 9 37 33 42
14 12 Coventry 27 14 13 1.3 1.1 11 7 9 35 31 40
15 17 Swansea 28 15 13 1.0 1.2 9 8 11 29 35 35
16 5 Huddersfield 30 18 12 1.3 1.1 13 9 8 40 34 48
17 13 Blackpool 29 17 12 1.1 1.2 11 7 11 32 34 40
18 6 West Brom 29 18 11 1.2 0.8 12 9 8 34 24 45
19 14 Stoke 28 17 11 1.2 1.1 11 6 11 33 30 39
20 16 Derby 29 18 11 1.0 1.0 8 12 9 28 30 36
21 24 Barnsley 28 17 11 0.6 1.5 2 8 18 17 43 14
22 15 Millwall 28 19 9 1.0 1.0 9 10 9 29 29 37
23 7 Middlesbrough 28 20 8 1.1 0.9 13 6 9 32 26 45
24 20 Hull 29 22 7 0.9 1.1 9 5 15 25 32 32
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Bournemouth 13 2 11 2.0 1.1 7 3 3 26 14 24
2 2 Blackburn 15 5 10 2.1 1.1 10 3 2 31 17 33
3 19 Birmingham 15 5 10 1.2 1.4 5 4 6 18 21 19
4 8 Nott'm Forest 15 6 9 1.3 1.2 6 3 6 19 18 21
5 1 Fulham 15 7 8 2.5 0.9 9 4 2 37 13 31
6 9 Luton 14 6 8 1.6 1.1 6 5 3 22 16 23
7 12 Coventry 14 6 8 1.6 0.9 8 2 4 22 13 26
8 22 Reading 15 7 8 1.4 2.1 4 4 7 21 31 16
9 11 Preston 14 7 7 1.4 1.2 5 7 2 20 17 22
10 23 Peterboro 13 6 7 1.2 1.3 4 4 5 15 17 16
11 13 Blackpool 16 10 6 1.0 1.0 8 2 6 16 16 26
12 14 Stoke 14 8 6 1.4 1.1 6 3 5 19 16 21
13 16 Derby 14 8 6 1.3 0.9 6 6 2 18 13 24
14 17 Swansea 14 8 6 1.1 0.9 6 4 4 16 13 22
15 18 Bristol City 15 9 6 1.2 1.3 5 5 5 18 19 20
16 21 Cardiff 13 7 6 0.8 1.5 3 1 9 11 20 10
17 5 Huddersfield 15 10 5 1.5 1.1 8 4 3 22 16 28
18 6 West Brom 14 9 5 1.5 0.6 8 5 1 21 8 29
19 7 Middlesbrough 15 10 5 1.4 0.9 9 2 4 21 13 29
20 10 Sheffield United 11 6 5 1.5 1.0 5 2 4 17 11 17
21 20 Hull 15 10 5 1.0 1.1 5 3 7 15 17 18
22 4 QPR 15 11 4 1.4 0.7 8 4 3 21 11 28
23 15 Millwall 14 10 4 1.1 0.9 6 5 3 16 12 23
24 24 Barnsley 14 11 3 0.6 1.2 2 4 8 8 17 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Bristol City 15 2 13 1.4 2.3 4 2 9 21 35 14
2 4 QPR 13 2 11 1.8 1.5 7 2 4 23 20 23
3 21 Cardiff 15 5 10 1.3 1.9 5 4 6 20 28 19
4 23 Peterboro 14 4 10 0.6 2.7 1 1 12 8 38 4
5 1 Fulham 13 5 8 2.8 1.0 8 3 2 37 13 27
6 10 Sheffield United 16 8 8 1.2 1.4 7 4 5 20 22 25
7 22 Reading 13 5 8 0.9 1.8 4 0 9 12 24 12
8 24 Barnsley 14 6 8 0.6 1.9 0 4 10 9 26 4
9 5 Huddersfield 15 8 7 1.2 1.2 5 5 5 18 18 20
10 11 Preston 16 9 7 0.9 1.1 5 4 7 14 18 19
11 17 Swansea 14 7 7 0.9 1.6 3 4 7 13 22 13
12 6 West Brom 15 9 6 0.9 1.1 4 4 7 13 16 16
13 8 Nott'm Forest 14 8 6 1.4 0.9 6 4 4 20 13 22
14 13 Blackpool 13 7 6 1.2 1.4 3 5 5 16 18 14
15 19 Birmingham 15 9 6 1.0 1.7 3 5 7 15 25 14
16 9 Luton 14 9 5 1.2 1.1 5 4 5 17 16 19
17 12 Coventry 13 8 5 1.0 1.4 3 5 5 13 18 14
18 14 Stoke 14 9 5 1.0 1.0 5 3 6 14 14 18
19 15 Millwall 14 9 5 0.9 1.2 3 5 6 13 17 14
20 16 Derby 15 10 5 0.7 1.1 2 6 7 10 17 12
21 2 Blackburn 15 11 4 0.9 0.9 5 5 5 14 14 20
22 3 Bournemouth 15 12 3 1.2 0.7 8 4 3 18 10 28
23 7 Middlesbrough 13 10 3 0.8 1.0 4 4 5 11 13 16
24 20 Hull 14 12 2 0.7 1.1 4 2 8 10 15 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51