Derby 1–0 Bolton – England League One, 16 Mar 2024 | BetGPS

Match facts

Derby Bolton

10 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 3

6 Corners 6

9 Fouls 13

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (450 league matches this season so far).

Result Derby to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.76

Expected goals 1.58 – 1.27

Home / Draw / Away

45% 25% 31%

DerbyDrawBolton

Under / Over 2.5 goals

46% 54%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

43% 57%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

17% 1

24% 2

22% 3

16% 4

16% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.6% 1–0 9.2% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches

1.97points / match

1.79scored / match

0.89conceded / match

23 6 9

WonDrawnLost 38 played · 68:34

Bolton before this match, all matches

1.95points / match

1.87scored / match

1.11conceded / match

22 8 8

WonDrawnLost 38 played · 71:42

Derby all matches all matches Bolton

Per match

1.79 Goals scored 1.87

0.89 Goals conceded 1.11

2.68 Total goals 2.97

12.92 Shots 13.55

4.53 Shots on target 4.74

9.37 Shots faced 10.18

6.53 Corners 6.16

4.92 Corners against 4.24

10.66 Fouls 11.24

1.82 Yellow cards 2.00

0.76 1st-half goals scored 0.89

0.32 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

61% Wins 58%

16% Draws 21%

24% Losses 21%

95% Over 0.5 goals 97%

76% Over 1.5 goals 79%

61% Over 2.5 goals 55%

24% Over 3.5 goals 34%

11% Over 4.5 goals 21%

3% Over 5.5 goals 8%

53% Both teams scored 53%

42% Clean sheets 37%

11% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

39% Wins 42%

50% Draws 34%

11% Losses 24%

63% Over 0.5 goals 76%

29% Over 1.5 goals 45%

11% Over 2.5 goals 16%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches

2

1

W

1

W

1

D

3

W

1

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

3

W

3

W

2

1

W

Bolton all matches

1

D

2

1

W

3

D

2

1

W

1

4

L

1

L

2

W

2

D

2

D

5

W

Derby before this match, at home

1.95points / match

1.79scored / match

0.95conceded / match

11 4 4

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 34:18

Bolton before this match, away

1.68points / match

1.53scored / match

1.05conceded / match

9 5 5

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 29:20

Derby at home away Bolton

Per match

1.79 Goals scored 1.53

0.95 Goals conceded 1.05

2.74 Total goals 2.58

13.53 Shots 12.79

4.42 Shots on target 4.53

7.89 Shots faced 9.84

6.42 Corners 5.68

4.16 Corners against 4.00

10.84 Fouls 11.47

1.84 Yellow cards 1.95

0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.68

0.21 1st-half goals conceded 0.32

How often Full Time

58% Wins 47%

21% Draws 26%

21% Losses 26%

95% Over 0.5 goals 95%

84% Over 1.5 goals 74%

63% Over 2.5 goals 42%

21% Over 3.5 goals 26%

11% Over 4.5 goals 16%

0% Over 5.5 goals 5%

63% Both teams scored 47%

37% Clean sheets 37%

5% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

37% Wins 37%

53% Draws 37%

11% Losses 26%

58% Over 0.5 goals 63%

21% Over 1.5 goals 26%

5% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home

1

D

3

1

W

2

3

L

3

2

W

2

1

W

1

D

1

W

1

2

L

3

W

2

1

W

Bolton away

1

W

2

W

1

L

4

1

W

1

D

2

1

W

1

4

L

1

L

2

D

2

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.03.24	Derby – Reading	2–1 (0–0)	1.70	3.60	5.25	1.98	1.88
09.03.24	Bristol Rvs – Derby	0–3 (0–0)	3.60	3.50	2.00	1.95	1.90
02.03.24	Derby – Port Vale	3–0 (2–0)	1.45	4.33	7.50	1.83	2.03
27.02.24	Derby – Charlton	1–2 (1–0)	1.60	3.60	6.50	2.03	1.83
24.02.24	Barnsley – Derby	2–1 (1–1)	2.80	3.40	2.50	1.93	1.93
17.02.24	Derby – Stevenage	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.60	3.75	2.05	1.75
13.02.24	Exeter – Derby	0–3 (0–1)	3.50	3.60	2.05	1.98	1.88
10.02.24	Derby – Shrewsbury	1–1 (0–0)	1.40	4.75	8.00	1.85	2.00
03.02.24	Charlton – Derby	0–1 (0–1)	3.75	3.60	1.95	1.70	2.10
27.01.24	Derby – Cheltenham	2–1 (0–0)	1.40	5.00	7.00	1.70	2.10

Bolton all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.03.24	Bolton – Oxford	5–0 (2–0)	1.73	3.80	4.75	1.88	1.98
09.03.24	Exeter – Bolton	2–2 (0–1)	4.20	4.00	1.80	1.95	1.90
05.03.24	Barnsley – Bolton	2–2 (1–0)	2.38	3.40	3.00	1.90	1.95
02.03.24	Bolton – Cambridge	2–0 (1–0)	1.55	4.00	6.00	1.93	1.93
27.02.24	Wigan – Bolton	1–0 (0–0)	3.20	3.60	2.20	1.95	1.90
24.02.24	Blackpool – Bolton	4–1 (2–1)	2.40	3.50	2.88	1.98	1.88
20.02.24	Cambridge – Bolton	1–2 (1–0)	3.10	3.30	2.38	2.15	1.67
17.02.24	Bolton – Charlton	3–3 (1–2)	1.65	4.00	5.25	1.70	2.10
13.02.24	Bolton – Wycombe	2–1 (1–0)	1.80	3.75	4.50	1.98	1.88
10.02.24	Northampton – Bolton	1–1 (1–0)	4.33	3.75	1.80	1.98	1.88

Derby at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.03.24	Derby – Reading	2–1 (0–0)	1.70	3.60	5.25	1.98	1.88
02.03.24	Derby – Port Vale	3–0 (2–0)	1.45	4.33	7.50	1.83	2.03
27.02.24	Derby – Charlton	1–2 (1–0)	1.60	3.60	6.50	2.03	1.83
17.02.24	Derby – Stevenage	1–0 (0–0)	1.95	3.60	3.75	2.05	1.75
10.02.24	Derby – Shrewsbury	1–1 (0–0)	1.40	4.75	8.00	1.85	2.00
27.01.24	Derby – Cheltenham	2–1 (0–0)	1.40	5.00	7.00	1.70	2.10
15.01.24	Derby – Burton	3–2 (1–0)	1.30	5.00	10.00	1.75	2.05
01.01.24	Derby – Peterboro	2–3 (1–1)	2.05	3.50	3.60	1.80	2.00
21.12.23	Derby – Lincoln	3–1 (1–1)	1.50	4.33	6.00	2.03	1.83
16.12.23	Derby – Wycombe	1–1 (0–0)	1.50	4.20	7.00	1.90	1.95

Bolton away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
09.03.24	Exeter – Bolton	2–2 (0–1)	4.20	4.00	1.80	1.95	1.90
05.03.24	Barnsley – Bolton	2–2 (1–0)	2.38	3.40	3.00	1.90	1.95
27.02.24	Wigan – Bolton	1–0 (0–0)	3.20	3.60	2.20	1.95	1.90
24.02.24	Blackpool – Bolton	4–1 (2–1)	2.40	3.50	2.88	1.98	1.88
20.02.24	Cambridge – Bolton	1–2 (1–0)	3.10	3.30	2.38	2.15	1.67
10.02.24	Northampton – Bolton	1–1 (1–0)	4.33	3.75	1.80	1.98	1.88
27.01.24	Carlisle – Bolton	1–4 (0–2)	4.20	3.80	1.80	1.98	1.88
20.01.24	Leyton Orient – Bolton	1–0 (0–0)	3.50	3.40	2.15	2.08	1.73
29.12.23	Fleetwood Town – Bolton	0–2 (0–0)	4.20	4.00	1.75	1.73	2.08
26.12.23	Lincoln – Bolton	0–1 (0–0)	3.30	3.40	2.20	2.05	1.75

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 1 1

Derby winsDrawsBolton wins

3matches

2.00goals / match

67%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.09.23E2	Bolton – Derby	2–1 (1–1)	2.20	3.40	3.30	2.00	1.85
21.01.23E2	Derby – Bolton	2–1 (1–0)	1.95	3.60	3.80	2.05	1.75
27.12.22E2	Bolton – Derby	0–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.40	2.90	2.02	1.83

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Portsmouth	38	23	11	4	62	32	+30	80
2	Derby	38	23	6	9	68	34	+34	75
3	Bolton	38	22	8	8	71	42	+29	74
4	Peterboro	37	21	8	8	74	45	+29	71
5	Barnsley	37	20	10	7	70	48	+22	70
6	Stevenage	37	17	10	10	49	37	+12	61
7	Blackpool	38	17	9	12	57	41	+16	60
8	Oxford	38	17	9	12	60	52	+8	60
9	Lincoln	38	15	13	10	51	33	+18	58
10	Wigan	38	16	7	15	52	48	+4	55
11	Leyton Orient	38	15	10	13	43	44	-1	55
12	Bristol Rvs	37	14	8	15	48	52	-4	50
13	Northampton	38	14	8	16	50	58	-8	50
14	Wycombe	37	12	11	14	48	49	-1	47
15	Reading	38	12	9	17	51	57	-6	45
16	Charlton	38	10	14	14	56	57	-1	44
17	Exeter	38	12	8	18	32	52	-20	44
18	Shrewsbury	38	12	5	21	28	55	-27	41
19	Burton	37	10	9	18	31	49	-18	39
20	Cambridge	37	10	9	18	32	51	-19	39
21	Cheltenham	36	9	7	20	30	50	-20	34
22	Fleetwood Town	38	7	12	19	40	60	-20	33
23	Port Vale	36	8	9	19	35	59	-24	33
24	Carlisle	37	5	8	24	33	66	-33	23

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Portsmouth	19	13	4	2	34	20	+14	43
2	Bolton	19	13	3	3	42	22	+20	42
3	Blackpool	19	11	5	3	38	17	+21	38
4	Peterboro	18	11	4	3	44	20	+24	37
5	Derby	19	11	4	4	34	18	+16	37
6	Wigan	19	11	2	6	26	17	+9	35
7	Oxford	19	9	6	4	34	22	+12	33
8	Lincoln	19	8	7	4	29	13	+16	31
9	Reading	19	9	4	6	30	21	+9	31
10	Stevenage	18	8	7	3	22	14	+8	31
11	Barnsley	19	9	4	6	35	28	+7	31
12	Northampton	19	8	5	6	25	21	+4	29
13	Leyton Orient	19	8	4	7	20	25	-5	28
14	Wycombe	19	7	6	6	27	25	+2	27
15	Charlton	19	7	5	7	32	27	+5	26
16	Bristol Rvs	18	7	5	6	26	23	+3	26
17	Cambridge	19	7	5	7	17	20	-3	26
18	Shrewsbury	19	7	2	10	16	25	-9	23
19	Burton	18	6	4	8	17	21	-4	22
20	Exeter	19	5	7	7	13	19	-6	22
21	Cheltenham	18	6	4	8	19	26	-7	22
22	Port Vale	18	5	3	10	22	26	-4	18
23	Fleetwood Town	19	4	4	11	19	30	-11	16
24	Carlisle	19	3	5	11	17	33	-16	14

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barnsley	18	11	6	1	35	20	+15	39
2	Derby	19	12	2	5	34	16	+18	38
3	Portsmouth	19	10	7	2	28	12	+16	37
4	Peterboro	19	10	4	5	30	25	+5	34
5	Bolton	19	9	5	5	29	20	+9	32
6	Stevenage	19	9	3	7	27	23	+4	30
7	Leyton Orient	19	7	6	6	23	19	+4	27
8	Lincoln	19	7	6	6	22	20	+2	27
9	Oxford	19	8	3	8	26	30	-4	27
10	Bristol Rvs	19	7	3	9	22	29	-7	24
11	Blackpool	19	6	4	9	19	24	-5	22
12	Exeter	19	7	1	11	19	33	-14	22
13	Northampton	19	6	3	10	25	37	-12	21
14	Wycombe	18	5	5	8	21	24	-3	20
15	Wigan	19	5	5	9	26	31	-5	20
16	Charlton	19	3	9	7	24	30	-6	18
17	Shrewsbury	19	5	3	11	12	30	-18	18
18	Fleetwood Town	19	3	8	8	21	30	-9	17
19	Burton	19	4	5	10	14	28	-14	17
20	Port Vale	18	3	6	9	13	33	-20	15
21	Reading	19	3	5	11	21	36	-15	14
22	Cambridge	18	3	4	11	15	31	-16	13
23	Cheltenham	18	3	3	12	11	24	-13	12
24	Carlisle	18	2	3	13	16	33	-17	9

Derby Bolton

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Oxford	38	12	26	1.6	1.4	17	9	12	60	52	60
2	4	Peterboro	37	12	25	2.0	1.2	21	8	8	74	45	71
3	5	Barnsley	37	13	24	1.9	1.3	20	10	7	70	48	70
4	2	Derby	38	15	23	1.8	0.9	23	6	9	68	34	75
5	13	Northampton	38	16	22	1.3	1.5	14	8	16	50	58	50
6	16	Charlton	38	16	22	1.5	1.5	10	14	14	56	57	44
7	1	Portsmouth	38	17	21	1.6	0.8	23	11	4	62	32	80
8	3	Bolton	38	17	21	1.9	1.1	22	8	8	71	42	74
9	12	Bristol Rvs	37	16	21	1.3	1.4	14	8	15	48	52	50
10	15	Reading	38	18	20	1.3	1.5	12	9	17	51	57	45
11	22	Fleetwood Town	38	18	20	1.1	1.6	7	12	19	40	60	33
12	7	Blackpool	38	19	19	1.5	1.1	17	9	12	57	41	60
13	6	Stevenage	37	19	18	1.3	1.0	17	10	10	49	37	61
14	14	Wycombe	37	19	18	1.3	1.3	12	11	14	48	49	47
15	23	Port Vale	36	18	18	1.0	1.6	8	9	19	35	59	33
16	10	Wigan	38	21	17	1.4	1.3	16	7	15	52	48	55
17	24	Carlisle	37	20	17	0.9	1.8	5	8	24	33	66	23
18	11	Leyton Orient	38	22	16	1.1	1.2	15	10	13	43	44	55
19	17	Exeter	38	22	16	0.8	1.4	12	8	18	32	52	44
20	20	Cambridge	37	21	16	0.9	1.4	10	9	18	32	51	39
21	18	Shrewsbury	38	23	15	0.7	1.4	12	5	21	28	55	41
22	19	Burton	37	22	15	0.8	1.3	10	9	18	31	49	39
23	9	Lincoln	38	24	14	1.3	0.9	15	13	10	51	33	58
24	21	Cheltenham	36	22	14	0.8	1.4	9	7	20	30	50	34

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Peterboro	18	4	14	2.4	1.1	11	4	3	44	20	37
2	5	Barnsley	19	5	14	1.8	1.5	9	4	6	35	28	31
3	8	Oxford	19	5	14	1.8	1.2	9	6	4	34	22	33
4	3	Bolton	19	6	13	2.2	1.2	13	3	3	42	22	42
5	16	Charlton	19	6	13	1.7	1.4	7	5	7	32	27	26
6	1	Portsmouth	19	7	12	1.8	1.1	13	4	2	34	20	43
7	2	Derby	19	7	12	1.8	0.9	11	4	4	34	18	37
8	7	Blackpool	19	8	11	2.0	0.9	11	5	3	38	17	38
9	12	Bristol Rvs	18	7	11	1.4	1.3	7	5	6	26	23	26
10	13	Northampton	19	10	9	1.3	1.1	8	5	6	25	21	29
11	22	Fleetwood Town	19	10	9	1.0	1.6	4	4	11	19	30	16
12	23	Port Vale	18	9	9	1.2	1.4	5	3	10	22	26	18
13	9	Lincoln	19	11	8	1.5	0.7	8	7	4	29	13	31
14	10	Wigan	19	11	8	1.4	0.9	11	2	6	26	17	35
15	11	Leyton Orient	19	11	8	1.1	1.3	8	4	7	20	25	28
16	14	Wycombe	19	11	8	1.4	1.3	7	6	6	27	25	27
17	15	Reading	19	11	8	1.6	1.1	9	4	6	30	21	31
18	18	Shrewsbury	19	11	8	0.8	1.3	7	2	10	16	25	23
19	21	Cheltenham	18	10	8	1.1	1.4	6	4	8	19	26	22
20	24	Carlisle	19	11	8	0.9	1.7	3	5	11	17	33	14
21	6	Stevenage	18	12	6	1.2	0.8	8	7	3	22	14	31
22	17	Exeter	19	13	6	0.7	1.0	5	7	7	13	19	22
23	19	Burton	18	12	6	0.9	1.2	6	4	8	17	21	22
24	20	Cambridge	19	13	6	0.9	1.1	7	5	7	17	20	26

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	Northampton	19	6	13	1.3	1.9	6	3	10	25	37	21
2	6	Stevenage	19	7	12	1.4	1.2	9	3	7	27	23	30
3	8	Oxford	19	7	12	1.4	1.6	8	3	8	26	30	27
4	15	Reading	19	7	12	1.1	1.9	3	5	11	21	36	14
5	2	Derby	19	8	11	1.8	0.8	12	2	5	34	16	38
6	4	Peterboro	19	8	11	1.6	1.3	10	4	5	30	25	34
7	22	Fleetwood Town	19	8	11	1.1	1.6	3	8	8	21	30	17
8	5	Barnsley	18	8	10	1.9	1.1	11	6	1	35	20	39
9	12	Bristol Rvs	19	9	10	1.2	1.5	7	3	9	22	29	24
10	14	Wycombe	18	8	10	1.2	1.3	5	5	8	21	24	20
11	17	Exeter	19	9	10	1.0	1.7	7	1	11	19	33	22
12	20	Cambridge	18	8	10	0.8	1.7	3	4	11	15	31	13
13	1	Portsmouth	19	10	9	1.5	0.6	10	7	2	28	12	37
14	10	Wigan	19	10	9	1.4	1.6	5	5	9	26	31	20
15	16	Charlton	19	10	9	1.3	1.6	3	9	7	24	30	18
16	19	Burton	19	10	9	0.7	1.5	4	5	10	14	28	17
17	23	Port Vale	18	9	9	0.7	1.8	3	6	9	13	33	15
18	24	Carlisle	18	9	9	0.9	1.8	2	3	13	16	33	9
19	3	Bolton	19	11	8	1.5	1.1	9	5	5	29	20	32
20	7	Blackpool	19	11	8	1.0	1.3	6	4	9	19	24	22
21	11	Leyton Orient	19	11	8	1.2	1.0	7	6	6	23	19	27
22	18	Shrewsbury	19	12	7	0.6	1.6	5	3	11	12	30	18
23	9	Lincoln	19	13	6	1.2	1.1	7	6	6	22	20	27
24	21	Cheltenham	18	12	6	0.6	1.3	3	3	12	11	24	12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.