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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: A Backhouse

Norwich 4–1 Watford

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.15 fair 2.46
Draw 3.50 fair 3.88
Away 3.20 fair 2.98
Under 2.5 1.93 fair 2.02
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.93 fair 1.98

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Norwich Watford
19 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 5
6 Fouls 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (61 league matches this season so far).
Result Norwich to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.83
Expected goals 1.42 – 1.27
Home / Draw / Away
NorwichDrawWatford
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2% 1–0 9.6% 2–1 8.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Norwich before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.80scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 4:6
Watford before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.80scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:5
Norwich all matches all matches Watford

Per match

0.80 Goals scored 1.80
1.20 Goals conceded 1.00
2.00 Total goals 2.80
10.60 Shots 14.20
3.00 Shots on target 4.60
10.80 Shots faced 13.20
4.00 Corners 4.40
5.00 Corners against 5.80
12.80 Fouls 11.60
3.20 Yellow cards 2.40
0.20 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

20% Wins 60%
40% Draws 20%
40% Losses 20%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 80%
20% Over 2.5 goals 60%
20% Over 3.5 goals 20%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 60%
20% Clean sheets 20%
40% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 20%
40% Draws 40%
60% Losses 40%
80% Over 0.5 goals 80%
20% Over 1.5 goals 20%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Norwich all matches
Watford all matches
Norwich before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 3:3
Watford before this match, away
1.50points / match
1.50scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 3:3
Norwich at home away Watford

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.50
1.50 Goals conceded 1.50
3.00 Total goals 3.00
10.50 Shots 8.50
4.50 Shots on target 3.00
9.50 Shots faced 17.00
3.50 Corners 5.00
5.00 Corners against 6.50
13.00 Fouls 13.50
3.50 Yellow cards 3.00
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

0% Wins 50%
100% Draws 0%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
50% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 50%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 50%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 50%
50% Draws 0%
50% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 0%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Norwich at home
Watford away

Last 10 matches before this match

Norwich all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.24 Swansea – Norwich 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.00 1.88 1.98
31.08.24 Coventry – Norwich 0–1 (0–0) 1.833.754.00 1.67 2.15
24.08.24 Norwich – Sheffield United 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.402.50 1.73 2.10
17.08.24 Norwich – Blackburn 2–2 (0–1) 2.003.403.70 1.80 2.00
10.08.24 Oxford – Norwich 2–0 (1–0) 3.003.602.20 1.88 1.98
04.05.24 Birmingham – Norwich 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.752.80 1.73 2.10
27.04.24 Norwich – Swansea 2–2 (2–1) 1.674.005.00 1.67 2.20
20.04.24 Norwich – Bristol City 1–1 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.90 1.95
13.04.24 Preston – Norwich 0–1 (0–0) 3.103.202.45 1.93 1.93
09.04.24 Sheffield Weds – Norwich 2–2 (0–2) 3.303.302.25 1.93 1.93

Watford all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.24 Watford – Coventry 1–1 (0–1) 2.603.402.70 1.83 2.03
01.09.24 Sheffield United – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.753.754.33 1.83 2.03
24.08.24 Watford – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 1.853.504.10 1.88 1.98
17.08.24 Watford – Stoke 3–0 (0–0) 2.633.252.70 2.05 1.80
10.08.24 Millwall – Watford 2–3 (0–1) 2.303.253.25 2.25 1.62
04.05.24 Middlesbrough – Watford 3–1 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.62 2.30
27.04.24 Watford – Sunderland 1–0 (0–0) 2.383.203.25 2.10 1.73
20.04.24 Watford – Hull 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.502.38 1.83 2.03
13.04.24 Southampton – Watford 3–2 (2–1) 1.445.006.50 1.53 2.50
10.04.24 Ipswich – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.62 2.30

Norwich at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.08.24 Norwich – Sheffield United 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.402.50 1.73 2.10
17.08.24 Norwich – Blackburn 2–2 (0–1) 2.003.403.70 1.80 2.00
27.04.24 Norwich – Swansea 2–2 (2–1) 1.674.005.00 1.67 2.20
20.04.24 Norwich – Bristol City 1–1 (0–0) 1.674.005.00 1.90 1.95
06.04.24 Norwich – Ipswich 1–0 (1–0) 2.633.752.45 1.62 2.30
29.03.24 Norwich – Plymouth 2–1 (0–1) 1.504.506.00 1.57 2.35
09.03.24 Norwich – Rotherham 5–0 (4–0) 1.295.5010.00 1.67 2.15
02.03.24 Norwich – Sunderland 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.604.00 1.83 2.03
17.02.24 Norwich – Cardiff 4–1 (2–1) 1.803.604.50 1.88 1.98
13.02.24 Norwich – Watford 4–2 (2–1) 2.103.403.40 1.93 1.93

Watford away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.09.24 Sheffield United – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 1.753.754.33 1.83 2.03
10.08.24 Millwall – Watford 2–3 (0–1) 2.303.253.25 2.25 1.62
04.05.24 Middlesbrough – Watford 3–1 (1–0) 1.704.004.75 1.62 2.30
13.04.24 Southampton – Watford 3–2 (2–1) 1.445.006.50 1.53 2.50
10.04.24 Ipswich – Watford 0–0 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.62 2.30
01.04.24 West Brom – Watford 2–2 (0–0) 1.853.504.33 2.08 1.73
16.03.24 Birmingham – Watford 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.253.00 1.93 1.93
02.03.24 Millwall – Watford 1–0 (1–0) 2.383.303.00 2.10 1.70
17.02.24 Rotherham – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 4.333.501.85 2.05 1.75
13.02.24 Norwich – Watford 4–2 (2–1) 2.103.403.40 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Norwich winsDrawsWatford wins
6matches
3.67goals / match
83%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.02.24E1 Norwich – Watford 4–2 (2–1) 2.103.403.40 1.93 1.93
28.11.23E1 Watford – Norwich 3–2 (2–2) 2.153.503.30 1.88 1.98
02.01.23E1 Norwich – Watford 0–1 (0–0) 1.913.603.80 1.98 1.88
15.10.22E1 Watford – Norwich 2–1 (2–1) 2.753.302.55 2.00 1.85
21.01.22E0 Watford – Norwich 0–3 (0–0) 2.003.503.75 1.94 1.96
18.09.21E0 Norwich – Watford 1–3 (1–1) 2.153.303.50 2.10 1.72

England Championship table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 5 4 1 0 9 2 +7 13
2 Sunderland 5 4 0 1 12 4 +8 12
3 Blackburn 5 3 2 0 12 6 +6 11
4 Sheffield United 5 3 2 0 8 3 +5 11
5 Burnley 5 3 1 1 11 3 +8 10
6 Watford 5 3 1 1 9 5 +4 10
7 Oxford 5 3 0 2 9 6 +3 9
8 Derby 5 3 0 2 8 6 +2 9
9 Leeds 5 2 2 1 7 4 +3 8
10 Middlesbrough 5 2 2 1 6 4 +2 8
11 Swansea 5 2 1 2 5 3 +2 7
12 QPR 5 1 3 1 7 8 -1 6
13 Hull 6 1 3 2 5 7 -2 6
14 Stoke 6 2 0 4 4 9 -5 6
15 Coventry 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5
16 Norwich 5 1 2 2 4 6 -2 5
17 Plymouth 5 1 2 2 5 9 -4 5
18 Bristol City 5 1 2 2 6 11 -5 5
19 Millwall 5 1 1 3 8 8 0 4
20 Luton 5 1 1 3 3 7 -4 4
21 Sheffield Weds 5 1 1 3 5 10 -5 4
22 Preston 5 1 1 3 3 9 -6 4
23 Portsmouth 5 0 3 2 6 11 -5 3
24 Cardiff 5 0 1 4 1 11 -10 1
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackburn 3 3 0 0 9 3 +6 9
2 Oxford 3 3 0 0 6 1 +5 9
3 Derby 3 3 0 0 5 0 +5 9
4 Watford 3 2 1 0 6 2 +4 7
5 Swansea 3 2 1 0 5 1 +4 7
6 Sunderland 2 2 0 0 5 0 +5 6
7 Middlesbrough 3 1 2 0 4 3 +1 5
8 Burnley 2 1 1 0 6 1 +5 4
9 Sheffield Weds 3 1 1 1 5 3 +2 4
10 Bristol City 2 1 1 0 5 4 +1 4
11 Leeds 3 1 1 1 5 4 +1 4
12 Sheffield United 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4
13 West Brom 2 1 1 0 1 0 +1 4
14 Plymouth 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
15 Millwall 3 1 0 2 5 4 +1 3
16 Coventry 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
17 Preston 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 3
18 Stoke 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 3
19 Norwich 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
20 Hull 3 0 2 1 1 3 -2 2
21 QPR 2 0 1 1 2 4 -2 1
22 Portsmouth 3 0 1 2 1 6 -5 1
23 Luton 2 0 0 2 2 6 -4 0
24 Cardiff 2 0 0 2 0 4 -4 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 West Brom 3 3 0 0 8 2 +6 9
2 Sheffield United 3 2 1 0 5 1 +4 7
3 Sunderland 3 2 0 1 7 4 +3 6
4 Burnley 3 2 0 1 5 2 +3 6
5 QPR 3 1 2 0 5 4 +1 5
6 Leeds 2 1 1 0 2 0 +2 4
7 Hull 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
8 Luton 3 1 1 1 1 1 0 4
9 Middlesbrough 2 1 0 1 2 1 +1 3
10 Watford 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
11 Norwich 3 1 0 2 1 3 -2 3
12 Stoke 3 1 0 2 1 4 -3 3
13 Portsmouth 2 0 2 0 5 5 0 2
14 Blackburn 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
15 Coventry 3 0 2 1 2 3 -1 2
16 Millwall 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
17 Plymouth 2 0 1 1 1 5 -4 1
18 Preston 3 0 1 2 2 7 -5 1
19 Bristol City 3 0 1 2 1 7 -6 1
20 Cardiff 3 0 1 2 1 7 -6 1
21 Oxford 2 0 0 2 3 5 -2 0
22 Swansea 2 0 0 2 0 2 -2 0
23 Derby 2 0 0 2 3 6 -3 0
24 Sheffield Weds 2 0 0 2 0 7 -7 0

Norwich   Watford

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Blackburn 5 1 4 2.4 1.2 3 2 0 12 6 11
2 23 Portsmouth 5 1 4 1.2 2.2 0 3 2 6 11 3
3 1 West Brom 5 2 3 1.8 0.4 4 1 0 9 2 13
4 2 Sunderland 5 2 3 2.4 0.8 4 0 1 12 4 12
5 6 Watford 5 2 3 1.8 1.0 3 1 1 9 5 10
6 7 Oxford 5 2 3 1.8 1.2 3 0 2 9 6 9
7 8 Derby 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 3 0 2 8 6 9
8 12 QPR 5 2 3 1.4 1.6 1 3 1 7 8 6
9 14 Stoke 6 3 3 0.7 1.5 2 0 4 4 9 6
10 18 Bristol City 5 2 3 1.2 2.2 1 2 2 6 11 5
11 19 Millwall 5 2 3 1.6 1.6 1 1 3 8 8 4
12 21 Sheffield Weds 5 2 3 1.0 2.0 1 1 3 5 10 4
13 5 Burnley 5 3 2 2.2 0.6 3 1 1 11 3 10
14 17 Plymouth 5 3 2 1.0 1.8 1 2 2 5 9 5
15 20 Luton 5 3 2 0.6 1.4 1 1 3 3 7 4
16 22 Preston 5 3 2 0.6 1.8 1 1 3 3 9 4
17 4 Sheffield United 5 4 1 1.6 0.6 3 2 0 8 3 11
18 9 Leeds 5 4 1 1.4 0.8 2 2 1 7 4 8
19 10 Middlesbrough 5 4 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 1 6 4 8
20 11 Swansea 5 4 1 1.0 0.6 2 1 2 5 3 7
21 13 Hull 6 5 1 0.8 1.2 1 3 2 5 7 6
22 15 Coventry 5 4 1 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5
23 16 Norwich 5 4 1 0.8 1.2 1 2 2 4 6 5
24 24 Cardiff 5 4 1 0.2 2.2 0 1 4 1 11 1
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Blackburn 3 0 3 3.0 1.0 3 0 0 9 3 9
2 6 Watford 3 1 2 2.0 0.7 2 1 0 6 2 7
3 14 Stoke 3 1 2 1.0 1.7 1 0 2 3 5 3
4 19 Millwall 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 0 2 5 4 3
5 20 Luton 2 0 2 1.0 3.0 0 0 2 2 6 0
6 23 Portsmouth 3 1 2 0.3 2.0 0 1 2 1 6 1
7 2 Sunderland 2 1 1 2.5 0.0 2 0 0 5 0 6
8 4 Sheffield United 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4
9 5 Burnley 2 1 1 3.0 0.5 1 1 0 6 1 4
10 7 Oxford 3 2 1 2.0 0.3 3 0 0 6 1 9
11 8 Derby 3 2 1 1.7 0.0 3 0 0 5 0 9
12 9 Leeds 3 2 1 1.7 1.3 1 1 1 5 4 4
13 10 Middlesbrough 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 2 0 4 3 5
14 11 Swansea 3 2 1 1.7 0.3 2 1 0 5 1 7
15 12 QPR 2 1 1 1.0 2.0 0 1 1 2 4 1
16 15 Coventry 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
17 16 Norwich 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
18 17 Plymouth 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
19 18 Bristol City 2 1 1 2.5 2.0 1 1 0 5 4 4
20 21 Sheffield Weds 3 2 1 1.7 1.0 1 1 1 5 3 4
21 1 West Brom 2 2 0 0.5 0.0 1 1 0 1 0 4
22 13 Hull 3 3 0 0.3 1.0 0 2 1 1 3 2
23 22 Preston 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 1 0 1 1 2 3
24 24 Cardiff 2 2 0 0.0 2.0 0 0 2 0 4 0
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 West Brom 3 0 3 2.7 0.7 3 0 0 8 2 9
2 2 Sunderland 3 1 2 2.3 1.3 2 0 1 7 4 6
3 7 Oxford 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 0 0 2 3 5 0
4 8 Derby 2 0 2 1.5 3.0 0 0 2 3 6 0
5 12 QPR 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 2 0 5 4 5
6 18 Bristol City 3 1 2 0.3 2.3 0 1 2 1 7 1
7 21 Sheffield Weds 2 0 2 0.0 3.5 0 0 2 0 7 0
8 22 Preston 3 1 2 0.7 2.3 0 1 2 2 7 1
9 23 Portsmouth 2 0 2 2.5 2.5 0 2 0 5 5 2
10 3 Blackburn 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
11 5 Burnley 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 0 1 5 2 6
12 6 Watford 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 1 0 1 3 3 3
13 13 Hull 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
14 14 Stoke 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 1 0 2 1 4 3
15 17 Plymouth 2 1 1 0.5 2.5 0 1 1 1 5 1
16 19 Millwall 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
17 24 Cardiff 3 2 1 0.3 2.3 0 1 2 1 7 1
18 4 Sheffield United 3 3 0 1.7 0.3 2 1 0 5 1 7
19 9 Leeds 2 2 0 1.0 0.0 1 1 0 2 0 4
20 10 Middlesbrough 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 0 1 2 1 3
21 11 Swansea 2 2 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 2 0 2 0
22 15 Coventry 3 3 0 0.7 1.0 0 2 1 2 3 2
23 16 Norwich 3 3 0 0.3 1.0 1 0 2 1 3 3
24 20 Luton 3 3 0 0.3 0.3 1 1 1 1 1 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44