Derby 1–2 Millwall – England Championship, 23 Feb 2022

Match facts

Derby Millwall

14 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 4

9 Corners 1

11 Fouls 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (385 league matches this season so far).

Result Derby to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score No fair 1.79

Expected goals 1.28 – 0.95

Home / Draw / Away

44% 28% 28%

DerbyDrawMillwall

Under / Over 2.5 goals

62% 39%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

56% 44%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

11% 0

24% 1

27% 2

20% 3

11% 4

8% 5+

Most likely scores

1–0 13.8% 1–1 13.1% 0–0 10.8%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches

1.31points / match

1.03scored / match

1.09conceded / match

10 12 10

WonDrawnLost 32 played · 33:35

Millwall before this match, all matches

1.39points / match

1.06scored / match

1.06conceded / match

11 10 10

WonDrawnLost 31 played · 33:33

Derby all matches all matches Millwall

Per match

1.03 Goals scored 1.06

1.09 Goals conceded 1.06

2.13 Total goals 2.13

9.75 Shots 11.68

3.13 Shots on target 3.74

12.34 Shots faced 12.45

4.25 Corners 4.87

4.69 Corners against 4.97

10.00 Fouls 11.16

2.06 Yellow cards 1.94

0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.39

0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.42

How often Full Time

31% Wins 35%

38% Draws 32%

31% Losses 32%

84% Over 0.5 goals 94%

63% Over 1.5 goals 71%

41% Over 2.5 goals 35%

19% Over 3.5 goals 10%

6% Over 4.5 goals 3%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

53% Both teams scored 58%

34% Clean sheets 26%

28% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 13%

53% Draws 71%

25% Losses 16%

56% Over 0.5 goals 48%

25% Over 1.5 goals 29%

6% Over 2.5 goals 3%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches

1

W

2

1

W

2

D

2

W

1

2

L

2

D

2

L

3

1

W

1

4

L

1

W

Millwall all matches

1

2

L

1

W

2

3

L

1

L

1

L

2

W

D

3

L

2

1

W

2

W

Derby before this match, at home

1.88points / match

1.38scored / match

0.88conceded / match

8 6 2

WonDrawnLost 16 played · 22:14

Millwall before this match, away

0.93points / match

0.87scored / match

1.33conceded / match

3 5 7

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 13:20

Derby at home away Millwall

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 0.87

0.88 Goals conceded 1.33

2.25 Total goals 2.20

10.63 Shots 10.67

3.56 Shots on target 3.33

11.81 Shots faced 13.60

4.06 Corners 3.93

4.56 Corners against 5.80

10.38 Fouls 12.67

2.19 Yellow cards 2.13

0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.53

0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.40

How often Full Time

50% Wins 20%

38% Draws 33%

13% Losses 47%

88% Over 0.5 goals 93%

63% Over 1.5 goals 67%

44% Over 2.5 goals 40%

25% Over 3.5 goals 13%

6% Over 4.5 goals 7%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

56% Both teams scored 60%

44% Clean sheets 20%

13% Failed to score 27%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 20%

44% Draws 73%

19% Losses 7%

63% Over 0.5 goals 53%

31% Over 1.5 goals 33%

6% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home

2

D

1

2

L

3

2

W

1

2

L

1

W

1

W

2

W

2

D

3

1

W

1

W

Millwall away

1

W

2

1

W

1

L

1

D

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

W

2

3

L

1

L

3

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
19.02.22	Derby – Peterboro	1–0 (0–0)	1.83	3.60	4.33	2.10	1.72
12.02.22	Middlesbrough – Derby	4–1 (3–1)	1.61	3.80	5.75	2.10	1.72
08.02.22	Derby – Hull	3–1 (2–0)	2.20	3.10	3.60	2.37	1.57
02.02.22	Huddersfield – Derby	2–0 (0–0)	2.05	3.30	3.80	2.30	1.61
30.01.22	Derby – Birmingham	2–2 (0–1)	2.30	3.10	3.40	2.50	1.53
22.01.22	Nott'm Forest – Derby	2–1 (0–0)	1.95	3.20	4.50	2.37	1.57
15.01.22	Derby – Sheffield United	2–0 (0–0)	3.50	3.20	2.20	2.30	1.61
03.01.22	Reading – Derby	2–2 (1–0)	2.20	3.40	3.25	2.30	1.61
30.12.21	Stoke – Derby	1–2 (0–1)	1.66	3.75	5.50	2.20	1.66
27.12.21	Derby – West Brom	1–0 (0–0)	5.00	3.50	1.80	2.20	1.66

Millwall all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.02.22	Millwall – QPR	2–0 (0–0)	2.50	3.10	3.10	2.20	1.66
12.02.22	Millwall – Cardiff	2–1 (0–0)	2.37	3.30	3.10	2.30	1.61
08.02.22	Fulham – Millwall	3–0 (1–0)	1.36	4.75	9.50	1.83	2.02
01.02.22	Millwall – Preston	0–0 (0–0)	2.50	3.10	3.00	2.50	1.53
29.01.22	Millwall – West Brom	2–0 (0–0)	3.50	3.10	2.25	2.30	1.61
22.01.22	Blackpool – Millwall	1–0 (0–0)	2.37	3.25	3.10	2.20	1.66
15.01.22	Millwall – Nott'm Forest	0–1 (0–0)	2.37	3.20	3.20	2.30	1.61
02.01.22	Bristol City – Millwall	3–2 (1–2)	2.90	3.20	2.45	2.30	1.61
29.12.21	Coventry – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	3.80	2.20	1.66
11.12.21	Peterboro – Millwall	2–1 (0–1)	3.30	3.20	2.30	2.20	1.66

Derby at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
19.02.22	Derby – Peterboro	1–0 (0–0)	1.83	3.60	4.33	2.10	1.72
08.02.22	Derby – Hull	3–1 (2–0)	2.20	3.10	3.60	2.37	1.57
30.01.22	Derby – Birmingham	2–2 (0–1)	2.30	3.10	3.40	2.50	1.53
15.01.22	Derby – Sheffield United	2–0 (0–0)	3.50	3.20	2.20	2.30	1.61
27.12.21	Derby – West Brom	1–0 (0–0)	5.00	3.50	1.80	2.20	1.66
11.12.21	Derby – Blackpool	1–0 (0–0)	2.40	3.00	3.30	2.30	1.61
29.11.21	Derby – QPR	1–2 (1–0)	3.00	3.40	2.40	2.00	1.80
21.11.21	Derby – Bournemouth	3–2 (1–2)	4.50	3.50	1.80	2.30	1.61
30.10.21	Derby – Blackburn	1–2 (0–2)	2.80	3.25	2.55	2.30	1.61
19.10.21	Derby – Luton	2–2 (1–0)	3.30	3.20	2.30	2.50	1.53

Millwall away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
08.02.22	Fulham – Millwall	3–0 (1–0)	1.36	4.75	9.50	1.83	2.02
22.01.22	Blackpool – Millwall	1–0 (0–0)	2.37	3.25	3.10	2.20	1.66
02.01.22	Bristol City – Millwall	3–2 (1–2)	2.90	3.20	2.45	2.30	1.61
29.12.21	Coventry – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	3.80	2.20	1.66
11.12.21	Peterboro – Millwall	2–1 (0–1)	3.30	3.20	2.30	2.20	1.66
27.11.21	Hull – Millwall	2–1 (1–1)	2.62	3.20	2.75	2.37	1.57
20.11.21	Middlesbrough – Millwall	1–1 (1–1)	2.05	3.25	3.80	2.30	1.61
30.10.21	Huddersfield – Millwall	1–0 (0–0)	2.50	3.20	2.90	2.37	1.57
19.10.21	Sheffield United – Millwall	1–2 (1–1)	1.80	3.50	4.75	2.10	1.72
02.10.21	Barnsley – Millwall	0–1 (0–0)	3.00	3.10	2.50	2.50	1.53

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Derby winsDrawsMillwall wins

1matches

2.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
06.11.21E1	Millwall – Derby	1–1 (1–1)	1.83	3.40	4.75	2.37	1.57

England Championship table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Fulham	31	19	7	5	79	28	+51	64
2	Bournemouth	30	17	7	6	49	26	+23	58
3	Blackburn	32	15	9	8	45	33	+12	54
4	QPR	32	15	8	9	47	37	+10	53
5	Huddersfield	33	14	11	8	42	35	+7	53
6	Middlesbrough	32	15	7	10	41	32	+9	52
7	Sheffield United	31	14	8	9	43	33	+10	50
8	Coventry	32	14	8	10	42	37	+5	50
9	Nott'm Forest	32	13	9	10	43	33	+10	48
10	Luton	31	13	9	9	43	36	+7	48
11	West Brom	33	12	10	11	35	30	+5	46
12	Preston	34	11	13	10	37	38	-1	46
13	Stoke	31	12	8	11	40	34	+6	44
14	Millwall	31	11	10	10	33	33	0	43
15	Derby	32	10	12	10	33	35	-2	42
16	Blackpool	32	11	9	12	35	38	-3	42
17	Bristol City	34	11	7	16	45	61	-16	40
18	Swansea	31	10	8	13	32	43	-11	38
19	Birmingham	34	9	10	15	40	53	-13	37
20	Cardiff	32	10	6	16	39	51	-12	36
21	Reading	33	10	5	18	41	63	-22	35
22	Hull	34	9	7	18	27	39	-12	34
23	Peterboro	31	5	6	20	23	61	-38	21
24	Barnsley	32	4	8	20	21	46	-25	20

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	17	11	2	4	27	15	+12	35
2	Fulham	17	10	4	3	41	15	+26	34
3	Blackburn	16	10	3	3	31	19	+12	33
4	West Brom	15	8	6	1	21	8	+13	30
5	Coventry	16	9	3	4	24	14	+10	30
6	QPR	17	8	6	3	24	14	+10	30
7	Derby	16	8	6	2	22	14	+8	30
8	Luton	16	8	5	3	26	17	+9	29
9	Millwall	16	8	5	3	20	13	+7	29
10	Huddersfield	16	8	5	3	22	16	+6	29
11	Bournemouth	14	8	3	3	29	15	+14	27
12	Bristol City	18	7	5	6	23	23	0	26
13	Blackpool	17	8	2	7	17	18	-1	26
14	Stoke	16	7	4	5	24	18	+6	25
15	Swansea	15	7	4	4	19	14	+5	25
16	Sheffield United	14	7	3	4	23	11	+12	24
17	Preston	17	5	9	3	22	20	+2	24
18	Nott'm Forest	16	6	4	6	21	20	+1	22
19	Birmingham	16	6	4	6	21	21	0	22
20	Reading	17	5	4	8	25	35	-10	19
21	Hull	17	5	3	9	15	20	-5	18
22	Cardiff	16	5	2	9	18	21	-3	17
23	Peterboro	15	4	5	6	15	18	-3	17
24	Barnsley	15	3	4	8	9	17	-8	13

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bournemouth	16	9	4	3	20	11	+9	31
2	Fulham	14	9	3	2	38	13	+25	30
3	Nott'm Forest	16	7	5	4	22	13	+9	26
4	Sheffield United	17	7	5	5	20	22	-2	26
5	Huddersfield	17	6	6	5	20	19	+1	24
6	QPR	15	7	2	6	23	23	0	23
7	Preston	17	6	4	7	15	18	-3	22
8	Blackburn	16	5	6	5	14	14	0	21
9	Coventry	16	5	5	6	18	23	-5	20
10	Stoke	15	5	4	6	16	16	0	19
11	Luton	15	5	4	6	17	19	-2	19
12	Cardiff	16	5	4	7	21	30	-9	19
13	Middlesbrough	15	4	5	6	14	17	-3	17
14	Blackpool	15	3	7	5	18	20	-2	16
15	Hull	17	4	4	9	12	19	-7	16
16	West Brom	18	4	4	10	14	22	-8	16
17	Reading	16	5	1	10	16	28	-12	16
18	Birmingham	18	3	6	9	19	32	-13	15
19	Millwall	15	3	5	7	13	20	-7	14
20	Bristol City	16	4	2	10	22	38	-16	14
21	Swansea	16	3	4	9	13	29	-16	13
22	Derby	16	2	6	8	11	21	-10	12
23	Barnsley	17	1	4	12	12	29	-17	7
24	Peterboro	16	1	1	14	8	43	-35	4

Derby Millwall

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Bristol City	34	11	23	1.3	1.8	11	7	16	45	61	40
2	19	Birmingham	34	14	20	1.2	1.6	9	10	15	40	53	37
3	21	Reading	33	13	20	1.2	1.9	10	5	18	41	63	35
4	1	Fulham	31	13	18	2.5	0.9	19	7	5	79	28	64
5	20	Cardiff	32	14	18	1.2	1.6	10	6	16	39	51	36
6	23	Peterboro	31	13	18	0.7	2.0	5	6	20	23	61	21
7	2	Bournemouth	30	14	16	1.6	0.9	17	7	6	49	26	58
8	4	QPR	32	16	16	1.5	1.2	15	8	9	47	37	53
9	9	Nott'm Forest	32	16	16	1.3	1.0	13	9	10	43	33	48
10	18	Swansea	31	15	16	1.0	1.4	10	8	13	32	43	38
11	8	Coventry	32	17	15	1.3	1.2	14	8	10	42	37	50
12	10	Luton	31	16	15	1.4	1.2	13	9	9	43	36	48
13	12	Preston	34	19	15	1.1	1.1	11	13	10	37	38	46
14	3	Blackburn	32	18	14	1.4	1.0	15	9	8	45	33	54
15	7	Sheffield United	31	17	14	1.4	1.1	14	8	9	43	33	50
16	13	Stoke	31	17	14	1.3	1.1	12	8	11	40	34	44
17	5	Huddersfield	33	20	13	1.3	1.1	14	11	8	42	35	53
18	15	Derby	32	19	13	1.0	1.1	10	12	10	33	35	42
19	16	Blackpool	32	19	13	1.1	1.2	11	9	12	35	38	42
20	6	Middlesbrough	32	20	12	1.3	1.0	15	7	10	41	32	52
21	11	West Brom	33	21	12	1.1	0.9	12	10	11	35	30	46
22	24	Barnsley	32	20	12	0.7	1.4	4	8	20	21	46	20
23	14	Millwall	31	20	11	1.1	1.1	11	10	10	33	33	43
24	22	Hull	34	26	8	0.8	1.1	9	7	18	27	39	34

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	2	Bournemouth	14	2	12	2.1	1.1	8	3	3	29	15	27
2	19	Birmingham	16	5	11	1.3	1.3	6	4	6	21	21	22
3	1	Fulham	17	7	10	2.4	0.9	10	4	3	41	15	34
4	3	Blackburn	16	6	10	1.9	1.2	10	3	3	31	19	33
5	9	Nott'm Forest	16	6	10	1.3	1.2	6	4	6	21	20	22
6	21	Reading	17	7	10	1.5	2.1	5	4	8	25	35	19
7	10	Luton	16	7	9	1.6	1.1	8	5	3	26	17	29
8	17	Bristol City	18	9	9	1.3	1.3	7	5	6	23	23	26
9	8	Coventry	16	8	8	1.5	0.9	9	3	4	24	14	30
10	12	Preston	17	9	8	1.3	1.2	5	9	3	22	20	24
11	13	Stoke	16	8	8	1.5	1.1	7	4	5	24	18	25
12	6	Middlesbrough	17	10	7	1.6	0.9	11	2	4	27	15	35
13	15	Derby	16	9	7	1.4	0.9	8	6	2	22	14	30
14	16	Blackpool	17	10	7	1.0	1.1	8	2	7	17	18	26
15	18	Swansea	15	8	7	1.3	0.9	7	4	4	19	14	25
16	20	Cardiff	16	9	7	1.1	1.3	5	2	9	18	21	17
17	23	Peterboro	15	8	7	1.0	1.2	4	5	6	15	18	17
18	7	Sheffield United	14	8	6	1.6	0.8	7	3	4	23	11	24
19	4	QPR	17	12	5	1.4	0.8	8	6	3	24	14	30
20	5	Huddersfield	16	11	5	1.4	1.0	8	5	3	22	16	29
21	11	West Brom	15	10	5	1.4	0.5	8	6	1	21	8	30
22	14	Millwall	16	11	5	1.2	0.8	8	5	3	20	13	29
23	22	Hull	17	12	5	0.9	1.2	5	3	9	15	20	18
24	24	Barnsley	15	12	3	0.6	1.1	3	4	8	9	17	13

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Bristol City	16	2	14	1.4	2.4	4	2	10	22	38	14
2	4	QPR	15	4	11	1.5	1.5	7	2	6	23	23	23
3	20	Cardiff	16	5	11	1.3	1.9	5	4	7	21	30	19
4	23	Peterboro	16	5	11	0.5	2.7	1	1	14	8	43	4
5	21	Reading	16	6	10	1.0	1.8	5	1	10	16	28	16
6	18	Swansea	16	7	9	0.8	1.8	3	4	9	13	29	13
7	19	Birmingham	18	9	9	1.1	1.8	3	6	9	19	32	15
8	24	Barnsley	17	8	9	0.7	1.7	1	4	12	12	29	7
9	1	Fulham	14	6	8	2.7	0.9	9	3	2	38	13	30
10	5	Huddersfield	17	9	8	1.2	1.1	6	6	5	20	19	24
11	7	Sheffield United	17	9	8	1.2	1.3	7	5	5	20	22	26
12	8	Coventry	16	9	7	1.1	1.4	5	5	6	18	23	20
13	11	West Brom	18	11	7	0.8	1.2	4	4	10	14	22	16
14	12	Preston	17	10	7	0.9	1.1	6	4	7	15	18	22
15	9	Nott'm Forest	16	10	6	1.4	0.8	7	5	4	22	13	26
16	10	Luton	15	9	6	1.1	1.3	5	4	6	17	19	19
17	13	Stoke	15	9	6	1.1	1.1	5	4	6	16	16	19
18	14	Millwall	15	9	6	0.9	1.3	3	5	7	13	20	14
19	15	Derby	16	10	6	0.7	1.3	2	6	8	11	21	12
20	16	Blackpool	15	9	6	1.2	1.3	3	7	5	18	20	16
21	6	Middlesbrough	15	10	5	0.9	1.1	4	5	6	14	17	17
22	2	Bournemouth	16	12	4	1.2	0.7	9	4	3	20	11	31
23	3	Blackburn	16	12	4	0.9	0.9	5	6	5	14	14	21
24	22	Hull	17	14	3	0.7	1.1	4	4	9	12	19	16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.