Millwall 1–0 Birmingham – England Championship, 9 Mar 2024

Match facts

Millwall Birmingham

12 Shots 16

5 Shots on target 1

4 Corners 4

17 Fouls 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (432 league matches this season so far).

Result Millwall to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.90

Expected goals 1.39 – 1.20

Home / Draw / Away

41% 26% 32%

MillwallDrawBirmingham

Under / Over 2.5 goals

52% 48%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

48% 53%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

12% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.5% 1–0 10.4% 0–1 9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Millwall before this match, all matches

1.11points / match

0.97scored / match

1.33conceded / match

10 10 16

WonDrawnLost 36 played · 35:48

Birmingham before this match, all matches

1.11points / match

1.20scored / match

1.60conceded / match

10 9 16

WonDrawnLost 35 played · 42:56

Millwall all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

0.97 Goals scored 1.20

1.33 Goals conceded 1.60

2.31 Total goals 2.80

10.67 Shots 12.66

3.61 Shots on target 4.14

12.47 Shots faced 14.17

4.19 Corners 4.60

5.39 Corners against 6.43

12.94 Fouls 12.97

2.31 Yellow cards 2.31

0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.54

0.61 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

28% Wins 29%

28% Draws 26%

44% Losses 46%

94% Over 0.5 goals 91%

69% Over 1.5 goals 77%

42% Over 2.5 goals 51%

22% Over 3.5 goals 34%

3% Over 4.5 goals 14%

0% Over 5.5 goals 9%

42% Both teams scored 57%

31% Clean sheets 20%

33% Failed to score 31%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 29%

42% Draws 43%

28% Losses 29%

72% Over 0.5 goals 69%

31% Over 1.5 goals 34%

11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall all matches

1

3

L

2

L

1

D

1

L

1

2

L

4

L

2

L

2

1

W

1

W

1

D

Birmingham all matches

3

L

2

D

2

1

W

1

L

2

L

1

W

2

1

W

1

3

L

3

4

L

1

D

Millwall before this match, at home

1.06points / match

0.83scored / match

1.50conceded / match

5 4 9

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 15:27

Birmingham before this match, away

0.67points / match

0.89scored / match

1.89conceded / match

3 3 12

WonDrawnLost 18 played · 16:34

Millwall at home away Birmingham

Per match

0.83 Goals scored 0.89

1.50 Goals conceded 1.89

2.33 Total goals 2.78

13.39 Shots 12.83

4.39 Shots on target 4.33

10.78 Shots faced 15.83

5.33 Corners 4.11

4.44 Corners against 6.78

13.11 Fouls 12.83

2.22 Yellow cards 2.56

0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.44

0.72 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

28% Wins 17%

22% Draws 17%

50% Losses 67%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

72% Over 1.5 goals 83%

44% Over 2.5 goals 44%

17% Over 3.5 goals 28%

0% Over 4.5 goals 11%

0% Over 5.5 goals 11%

33% Both teams scored 50%

28% Clean sheets 11%

39% Failed to score 39%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 28%

33% Draws 44%

33% Losses 28%

83% Over 0.5 goals 67%

33% Over 1.5 goals 28%

11% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall at home

3

L

1

D

1

D

2

W

1

W

1

3

L

1

D

4

L

2

L

1

W

Birmingham away

2

4

L

2

L

1

W

3

D

3

L

2

1

W

1

L

2

L

1

3

L

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Millwall all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.03.24	Blackburn – Millwall	1–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.30	3.40	2.15	1.67
02.03.24	Millwall – Watford	1–0 (1–0)	2.38	3.30	3.00	2.10	1.70
24.02.24	Southampton – Millwall	1–2 (1–2)	1.36	5.00	8.00	1.62	2.25
17.02.24	Millwall – Sheffield Weds	0–2 (0–2)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.25	1.62
14.02.24	Millwall – Ipswich	0–4 (0–3)	3.50	3.50	2.05	2.05	1.75
11.02.24	Coventry – Millwall	2–1 (0–1)	1.75	3.80	4.75	2.03	1.83
03.02.24	Hull – Millwall	1–0 (1–0)	2.00	3.50	3.75	2.10	1.70
27.01.24	Millwall – Preston	1–1 (1–1)	2.20	3.10	3.60	2.40	1.53
20.01.24	QPR – Millwall	2–0 (1–0)	2.45	3.30	2.90	2.40	1.53
13.01.24	Millwall – Middlesbrough	1–3 (1–1)	2.75	3.40	2.55	2.05	1.75

Birmingham all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.03.24	Hull – Birmingham	1–1 (1–0)	1.73	4.00	4.75	1.67	2.15
02.03.24	Birmingham – Southampton	3–4 (2–1)	4.00	3.80	1.85	1.62	2.25
24.02.24	Ipswich – Birmingham	3–1 (1–1)	1.55	4.33	5.50	1.60	2.30
17.02.24	Birmingham – Sunderland	2–1 (0–1)	2.80	3.30	2.55	2.03	1.83
13.02.24	Birmingham – Blackburn	1–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.60	3.00	1.57	2.35
09.02.24	Sheffield Weds – Birmingham	2–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.30	3.25	2.03	1.83
03.02.24	West Brom – Birmingham	1–0 (0–0)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.95	1.90
20.01.24	Stoke – Birmingham	1–2 (0–1)	1.91	3.60	4.00	2.05	1.80
13.01.24	Birmingham – Swansea	2–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.50	3.10	1.80	2.00
01.01.24	Leeds – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	1.25	6.50	9.50	1.50	2.50

Millwall at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.03.24	Millwall – Watford	1–0 (1–0)	2.38	3.30	3.00	2.10	1.70
17.02.24	Millwall – Sheffield Weds	0–2 (0–2)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.25	1.62
14.02.24	Millwall – Ipswich	0–4 (0–3)	3.50	3.50	2.05	2.05	1.75
27.01.24	Millwall – Preston	1–1 (1–1)	2.20	3.10	3.60	2.40	1.53
13.01.24	Millwall – Middlesbrough	1–3 (1–1)	2.75	3.40	2.55	2.05	1.75
29.12.23	Millwall – Norwich	1–0 (1–0)	2.45	3.50	2.80	2.05	1.75
26.12.23	Millwall – QPR	2–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.25	3.75	2.35	1.57
16.12.23	Millwall – Huddersfield	1–1 (0–0)	1.91	3.60	4.00	2.20	1.65
02.12.23	Millwall – Sunderland	1–1 (1–0)	3.00	3.30	2.38	1.98	1.88
25.11.23	Millwall – Coventry	0–3 (0–1)	2.63	3.25	2.70	2.10	1.70

Birmingham away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.03.24	Hull – Birmingham	1–1 (1–0)	1.73	4.00	4.75	1.67	2.15
24.02.24	Ipswich – Birmingham	3–1 (1–1)	1.55	4.33	5.50	1.60	2.30
09.02.24	Sheffield Weds – Birmingham	2–0 (1–0)	2.25	3.30	3.25	2.03	1.83
03.02.24	West Brom – Birmingham	1–0 (0–0)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.95	1.90
20.01.24	Stoke – Birmingham	1–2 (0–1)	1.91	3.60	4.00	2.05	1.80
01.01.24	Leeds – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	1.25	6.50	9.50	1.50	2.50
23.12.23	Plymouth – Birmingham	3–3 (1–2)	2.15	3.60	3.20	1.67	2.15
13.12.23	Cardiff – Birmingham	0–1 (0–1)	1.85	3.80	4.00	2.08	1.73
08.12.23	Coventry – Birmingham	2–0 (1–0)	1.70	4.00	4.75	1.75	2.05
29.11.23	Blackburn – Birmingham	4–2 (0–0)	1.80	3.60	4.33	1.65	2.20

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1 3 1

Millwall winsDrawsBirmingham wins

5matches

2.20goals / match

40%over 2.5

60%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.09.23E1	Birmingham – Millwall	1–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.20	3.25	2.38	1.57
18.04.23E1	Millwall – Birmingham	0–1 (0–1)	1.70	3.60	5.25	2.30	1.62
02.11.22E1	Birmingham – Millwall	0–0 (0–0)	2.50	3.20	2.90	2.30	1.61
23.04.22E1	Birmingham – Millwall	2–2 (0–0)	3.30	3.30	2.25	2.20	1.66
04.12.21E1	Millwall – Birmingham	3–1 (2–0)	2.15	3.20	3.60	2.37	1.57

England Championship table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	36	26	3	7	72	31	+41	81
2	Leeds	37	24	7	6	68	28	+40	79
3	Ipswich	37	23	9	5	74	49	+25	78
4	Southampton	35	21	7	7	69	45	+24	70
5	West Brom	36	17	9	10	53	35	+18	60
6	Hull	36	16	9	11	51	44	+7	57
7	Norwich	36	16	7	13	61	54	+7	55
8	Coventry	36	14	12	10	57	42	+15	54
9	Preston	35	15	8	12	47	52	-5	53
10	Cardiff	37	16	5	16	43	49	-6	53
11	Sunderland	36	14	5	17	46	41	+5	47
12	Middlesbrough	35	14	5	16	50	52	-2	47
13	Watford	36	11	12	13	51	49	+2	45
14	Bristol City	36	12	8	16	41	43	-2	44
15	Swansea	36	11	10	15	46	57	-11	43
16	Plymouth	36	10	10	16	53	60	-7	40
17	Blackburn	36	11	7	18	50	63	-13	40
18	Millwall	36	10	10	16	35	48	-13	40
19	QPR	36	10	9	17	36	48	-12	39
20	Birmingham	35	10	9	16	42	56	-14	39
21	Huddersfield	36	8	14	14	41	57	-16	38
22	Stoke	36	10	8	18	33	49	-16	38
23	Sheffield Weds	37	11	5	21	30	55	-25	38
24	Rotherham	36	3	10	23	30	72	-42	19

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leeds	18	14	4	0	39	12	+27	46
2	Ipswich	18	13	4	1	47	29	+18	43
3	Leicester	18	13	1	4	35	13	+22	40
4	West Brom	18	12	3	3	29	14	+15	39
5	Norwich	18	12	2	4	32	18	+14	38
6	Southampton	17	11	2	4	41	22	+19	35
7	Coventry	18	8	8	2	29	17	+12	32
8	Preston	18	9	4	5	27	29	-2	31
9	Sunderland	18	10	0	8	29	22	+7	30
10	Cardiff	19	9	3	7	23	22	+1	30
11	Plymouth	18	8	4	6	38	32	+6	28
12	Hull	18	7	6	5	25	18	+7	27
13	Birmingham	17	7	6	4	26	22	+4	27
14	Sheffield Weds	19	7	4	8	20	23	-3	25
15	Bristol City	18	7	3	8	21	20	+1	24
16	Middlesbrough	18	7	3	8	20	21	-1	24
17	Huddersfield	18	5	7	6	22	24	-2	22
18	Blackburn	18	6	4	8	25	29	-4	22
19	Stoke	18	6	4	8	14	21	-7	22
20	Watford	18	5	6	7	28	24	+4	21
21	Swansea	18	5	5	8	20	26	-6	20
22	Millwall	18	5	4	9	15	27	-12	19
23	QPR	18	4	6	8	21	27	-6	18
24	Rotherham	18	3	6	9	17	24	-7	15

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Leicester	18	13	2	3	37	18	+19	41
2	Ipswich	19	10	5	4	27	20	+7	35
3	Southampton	18	10	5	3	28	23	+5	35
4	Leeds	19	10	3	6	29	16	+13	33
5	Hull	18	9	3	6	26	26	0	30
6	Watford	18	6	6	6	23	25	-2	24
7	Middlesbrough	17	7	2	8	30	31	-1	23
8	Swansea	18	6	5	7	26	31	-5	23
9	Cardiff	18	7	2	9	20	27	-7	23
10	Coventry	18	6	4	8	28	25	+3	22
11	Preston	17	6	4	7	20	23	-3	22
12	West Brom	18	5	6	7	24	21	+3	21
13	Millwall	18	5	6	7	20	21	-1	21
14	QPR	18	6	3	9	15	21	-6	21
15	Bristol City	18	5	5	8	20	23	-3	20
16	Blackburn	18	5	3	10	25	34	-9	18
17	Sunderland	18	4	5	9	17	19	-2	17
18	Norwich	18	4	5	9	29	36	-7	17
19	Stoke	18	4	4	10	19	28	-9	16
20	Huddersfield	18	3	7	8	19	33	-14	16
21	Sheffield Weds	18	4	1	13	10	32	-22	13
22	Plymouth	18	2	6	10	15	28	-13	12
23	Birmingham	18	3	3	12	16	34	-18	12
24	Rotherham	18	0	4	14	13	48	-35	4

Millwall Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	Blackburn	36	10	26	1.4	1.8	11	7	18	50	63	40
2	3	Ipswich	37	13	24	2.0	1.3	23	9	5	74	49	78
3	15	Swansea	36	13	23	1.3	1.6	11	10	15	46	57	43
4	16	Plymouth	36	13	23	1.5	1.7	10	10	16	53	60	40
5	4	Southampton	35	13	22	2.0	1.3	21	7	7	69	45	70
6	7	Norwich	36	14	22	1.7	1.5	16	7	13	61	54	55
7	1	Leicester	36	15	21	2.0	0.9	26	3	7	72	31	81
8	9	Preston	35	14	21	1.3	1.5	15	8	12	47	52	53
9	6	Hull	36	16	20	1.4	1.2	16	9	11	51	44	57
10	8	Coventry	36	16	20	1.6	1.2	14	12	10	57	42	54
11	12	Middlesbrough	35	15	20	1.4	1.5	14	5	16	50	52	47
12	2	Leeds	37	18	19	1.8	0.8	24	7	6	68	28	79
13	11	Sunderland	36	17	19	1.3	1.1	14	5	17	46	41	47
14	24	Rotherham	36	17	19	0.8	2.0	3	10	23	30	72	19
15	10	Cardiff	37	19	18	1.2	1.3	16	5	16	43	49	53
16	13	Watford	36	18	18	1.4	1.4	11	12	13	51	49	45
17	20	Birmingham	35	17	18	1.2	1.6	10	9	16	42	56	39
18	19	QPR	36	19	17	1.0	1.3	10	9	17	36	48	39
19	21	Huddersfield	36	19	17	1.1	1.6	8	14	14	41	57	38
20	23	Sheffield Weds	37	20	17	0.8	1.5	11	5	21	30	55	38
21	5	West Brom	36	20	16	1.5	1.0	17	9	10	53	35	60
22	14	Bristol City	36	21	15	1.1	1.2	12	8	16	41	43	44
23	18	Millwall	36	21	15	1.0	1.3	10	10	16	35	48	40
24	22	Stoke	36	22	14	0.9	1.4	10	8	18	33	49	38

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	3	Ipswich	18	3	15	2.6	1.6	13	4	1	47	29	43
2	16	Plymouth	18	4	14	2.1	1.8	8	4	6	38	32	28
3	4	Southampton	17	4	13	2.4	1.3	11	2	4	41	22	35
4	9	Preston	18	5	13	1.5	1.6	9	4	5	27	29	31
5	2	Leeds	18	6	12	2.2	0.7	14	4	0	39	12	46
6	11	Sunderland	18	6	12	1.6	1.2	10	0	8	29	22	30
7	17	Blackburn	18	6	12	1.4	1.6	6	4	8	25	29	22
8	15	Swansea	18	7	11	1.1	1.4	5	5	8	20	26	20
9	1	Leicester	18	8	10	1.9	0.7	13	1	4	35	13	40
10	13	Watford	18	8	10	1.6	1.3	5	6	7	28	24	21
11	19	QPR	18	8	10	1.2	1.5	4	6	8	21	27	18
12	20	Birmingham	17	7	10	1.5	1.3	7	6	4	26	22	27
13	7	Norwich	18	9	9	1.8	1.0	12	2	4	32	18	38
14	21	Huddersfield	18	9	9	1.2	1.3	5	7	6	22	24	22
15	23	Sheffield Weds	19	10	9	1.1	1.2	7	4	8	20	23	25
16	8	Coventry	18	10	8	1.6	0.9	8	8	2	29	17	32
17	10	Cardiff	19	11	8	1.2	1.2	9	3	7	23	22	30
18	18	Millwall	18	10	8	0.8	1.5	5	4	9	15	27	19
19	5	West Brom	18	11	7	1.6	0.8	12	3	3	29	14	39
20	6	Hull	18	11	7	1.4	1.0	7	6	5	25	18	27
21	24	Rotherham	18	11	7	0.9	1.3	3	6	9	17	24	15
22	12	Middlesbrough	18	12	6	1.1	1.2	7	3	8	20	21	24
23	14	Bristol City	18	12	6	1.2	1.1	7	3	8	21	20	24
24	22	Stoke	18	12	6	0.8	1.2	6	4	8	14	21	22

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	12	Middlesbrough	17	3	14	1.8	1.8	7	2	8	30	31	23
2	17	Blackburn	18	4	14	1.4	1.9	5	3	10	25	34	18
3	6	Hull	18	5	13	1.4	1.4	9	3	6	26	26	30
4	7	Norwich	18	5	13	1.6	2.0	4	5	9	29	36	17
5	8	Coventry	18	6	12	1.6	1.4	6	4	8	28	25	22
6	15	Swansea	18	6	12	1.4	1.7	6	5	7	26	31	23
7	24	Rotherham	18	6	12	0.7	2.7	0	4	14	13	48	4
8	1	Leicester	18	7	11	2.1	1.0	13	2	3	37	18	41
9	10	Cardiff	18	8	10	1.1	1.5	7	2	9	20	27	23
10	3	Ipswich	19	10	9	1.4	1.1	10	5	4	27	20	35
11	4	Southampton	18	9	9	1.6	1.3	10	5	3	28	23	35
12	5	West Brom	18	9	9	1.3	1.2	5	6	7	24	21	21
13	14	Bristol City	18	9	9	1.1	1.3	5	5	8	20	23	20
14	16	Plymouth	18	9	9	0.8	1.6	2	6	10	15	28	12
15	9	Preston	17	9	8	1.2	1.4	6	4	7	20	23	22
16	13	Watford	18	10	8	1.3	1.4	6	6	6	23	25	24
17	20	Birmingham	18	10	8	0.9	1.9	3	3	12	16	34	12
18	21	Huddersfield	18	10	8	1.1	1.8	3	7	8	19	33	16
19	22	Stoke	18	10	8	1.1	1.6	4	4	10	19	28	16
20	23	Sheffield Weds	18	10	8	0.6	1.8	4	1	13	10	32	13
21	2	Leeds	19	12	7	1.5	0.8	10	3	6	29	16	33
22	11	Sunderland	18	11	7	0.9	1.1	4	5	9	17	19	17
23	18	Millwall	18	11	7	1.1	1.2	5	6	7	20	21	21
24	19	QPR	18	11	7	0.8	1.2	6	3	9	15	21	21

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.