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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: A Kitchen

Barnsley 2–1 Derby

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 2.80 fair 2.69
Draw 3.40 fair 4.01
Away 2.50 fair 2.63
Under 2.5 1.93 fair 2.21
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.93 fair 1.83

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Barnsley Derby
7 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 5
3 Corners 10
11 Fouls 6
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (394 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.72
Expected goals 1.42 – 1.44
Home / Draw / Away
BarnsleyDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–2 8.4% 2–1 8.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Barnsley before this match, all matches
1.88points / match
1.81scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 58:36
Derby before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.76scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 33 played · 58:29
Barnsley all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.81 Goals scored 1.76
1.13 Goals conceded 0.88
2.94 Total goals 2.64
13.88 Shots 12.55
4.63 Shots on target 4.36
13.19 Shots faced 9.94
5.16 Corners 6.55
5.22 Corners against 5.06
10.06 Fouls 10.73
2.16 Yellow cards 1.85
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.76
0.59 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

53% Wins 61%
28% Draws 18%
19% Losses 21%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
88% Over 1.5 goals 73%
59% Over 2.5 goals 55%
31% Over 3.5 goals 27%
9% Over 4.5 goals 12%
3% Over 5.5 goals 3%
66% Both teams scored 52%
28% Clean sheets 42%
6% Failed to score 12%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 39%
22% Draws 48%
34% Losses 12%
88% Over 0.5 goals 64%
34% Over 1.5 goals 27%
13% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Barnsley all matches
Derby all matches
Barnsley before this match, at home
1.69points / match
1.88scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 30:20
Derby before this match, away
2.06points / match
1.76scored / match
0.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 30:14
Barnsley at home away Derby

Per match

1.88 Goals scored 1.76
1.25 Goals conceded 0.82
3.13 Total goals 2.59
14.25 Shots 12.18
5.00 Shots on target 4.59
11.75 Shots faced 11.35
5.56 Corners 6.59
4.38 Corners against 5.82
8.94 Fouls 10.82
1.81 Yellow cards 1.82
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.94
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.41

How often Full Time

50% Wins 65%
19% Draws 12%
31% Losses 24%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
88% Over 1.5 goals 65%
69% Over 2.5 goals 53%
31% Over 3.5 goals 29%
13% Over 4.5 goals 12%
6% Over 5.5 goals 6%
69% Both teams scored 41%
25% Clean sheets 47%
6% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 47%
19% Draws 41%
44% Losses 12%
88% Over 0.5 goals 71%
38% Over 1.5 goals 35%
13% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Barnsley at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Barnsley all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.02.24 Fleetwood Town – Barnsley 1–2 (1–1) 3.603.602.00 1.73 2.08
13.02.24 Shrewsbury – Barnsley 1–1 (1–0) 3.603.502.00 2.05 1.75
10.02.24 Barnsley – Leyton Orient 2–1 (0–1) 2.103.403.60 1.90 1.95
03.02.24 Bolton – Barnsley 1–1 (0–1) 1.853.604.20 1.83 2.03
27.01.24 Barnsley – Exeter 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.505.00 1.70 2.10
23.01.24 Oxford – Barnsley 0–1 (0–1) 2.153.603.20 1.73 2.08
16.01.24 Barnsley – Carlisle 2–1 (0–1) 1.504.506.50 1.62 2.25
13.01.24 Barnsley – Bristol Rvs 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.504.20 1.75 2.05
01.01.24 Barnsley – Wigan 1–1 (1–0) 1.573.806.00 1.73 2.08
29.12.23 Peterboro – Barnsley 2–2 (1–2) 1.624.205.00 1.57 2.35

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.02.24 Derby – Stevenage 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.75 2.05 1.75
13.02.24 Exeter – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 3.503.602.05 1.98 1.88
10.02.24 Derby – Shrewsbury 1–1 (0–0) 1.404.758.00 1.85 2.00
03.02.24 Charlton – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 3.753.601.95 1.70 2.10
27.01.24 Derby – Cheltenham 2–1 (0–0) 1.405.007.00 1.70 2.10
23.01.24 Reading – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 4.003.801.85 1.73 2.08
20.01.24 Lincoln – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 4.753.751.75 2.08 1.73
15.01.24 Derby – Burton 3–2 (1–0) 1.305.0010.00 1.75 2.05
06.01.24 Fleetwood Town – Derby 1–3 (0–2) 5.504.001.60 1.80 2.00
01.01.24 Derby – Peterboro 2–3 (1–1) 2.053.503.60 1.80 2.00

Barnsley at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.02.24 Barnsley – Leyton Orient 2–1 (0–1) 2.103.403.60 1.90 1.95
27.01.24 Barnsley – Exeter 1–2 (0–2) 1.574.505.00 1.70 2.10
16.01.24 Barnsley – Carlisle 2–1 (0–1) 1.504.506.50 1.62 2.25
13.01.24 Barnsley – Bristol Rvs 2–1 (1–0) 1.913.504.20 1.75 2.05
01.01.24 Barnsley – Wigan 1–1 (1–0) 1.573.806.00 1.73 2.08
23.12.23 Barnsley – Stevenage 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.403.30 2.05 1.75
16.12.23 Barnsley – Charlton 1–1 (1–0) 1.913.604.00 1.67 2.15
28.11.23 Barnsley – Wycombe 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.604.00 1.73 2.08
28.10.23 Barnsley – Fleetwood Town 2–2 (1–2) 1.804.004.20 1.83 2.03
24.10.23 Barnsley – Shrewsbury 3–0 (2–0) 1.623.755.75 1.95 1.90

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.02.24 Exeter – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 3.503.602.05 1.98 1.88
03.02.24 Charlton – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 3.753.601.95 1.70 2.10
23.01.24 Reading – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 4.003.801.85 1.73 2.08
20.01.24 Lincoln – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 4.753.751.75 2.08 1.73
06.01.24 Fleetwood Town – Derby 1–3 (0–2) 5.504.001.60 1.80 2.00
29.12.23 Oxford – Derby 2–3 (2–1) 3.253.402.20 2.05 1.80
26.12.23 Wigan – Derby 0–1 (0–1) 4.753.751.75 1.93 1.93
09.12.23 Leyton Orient – Derby 0–3 (0–1) 3.603.502.05 2.10 1.70
28.11.23 Port Vale – Derby 0–1 (0–0) 3.753.601.95 2.00 1.85
28.10.23 Stevenage – Derby 3–1 (2–1) 2.503.302.80 2.08 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Barnsley winsDrawsDerby wins
5matches
3.20goals / match
80%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.11.23E2 Derby – Barnsley 3–0 (1–0) 1.803.604.50 1.80 2.05
25.02.23E2 Barnsley – Derby 4–1 (3–1) 3.003.302.40 2.08 1.73
13.08.22E2 Derby – Barnsley 2–1 (2–0) 1.853.504.50 2.15 1.66
05.03.22E1 Derby – Barnsley 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.103.75 2.37 1.57
03.11.21E1 Barnsley – Derby 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.203.50 2.30 1.61

England League One table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 34 21 9 4 58 30 +28 72
2 Derby 33 20 6 7 58 29 +29 66
3 Bolton 32 20 6 6 59 33 +26 66
4 Barnsley 32 17 9 6 58 36 +22 60
5 Peterboro 33 17 8 8 61 41 +20 59
6 Oxford 34 16 9 9 56 42 +14 57
7 Stevenage 32 15 8 9 46 34 +12 53
8 Blackpool 33 14 8 11 50 39 +11 50
9 Wigan 34 14 7 13 48 43 +5 49
10 Leyton Orient 33 13 9 11 40 41 -1 48
11 Lincoln 33 11 12 10 35 32 +3 45
12 Northampton 33 13 6 14 45 50 -5 45
13 Bristol Rvs 33 12 7 14 45 48 -3 43
14 Reading 34 11 9 14 44 49 -5 42
15 Exeter 34 11 6 17 25 47 -22 39
16 Wycombe 32 9 11 12 41 43 -2 38
17 Cambridge 33 10 8 15 31 41 -10 38
18 Burton 32 10 8 14 29 41 -12 38
19 Shrewsbury 33 10 5 18 23 44 -21 35
20 Charlton 33 7 12 14 47 52 -5 33
21 Cheltenham 32 9 6 17 28 43 -15 33
22 Port Vale 31 8 7 16 32 50 -18 31
23 Fleetwood Town 33 6 8 19 33 55 -22 26
24 Carlisle 32 4 8 20 26 55 -29 20
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Portsmouth 17 11 4 2 30 18 +12 37
2 Bolton 17 11 3 3 35 22 +13 36
3 Blackpool 17 10 4 3 34 16 +18 34
4 Derby 16 9 4 3 28 15 +13 31
5 Reading 17 9 4 4 27 16 +11 31
6 Oxford 17 8 6 3 31 19 +12 30
7 Wigan 17 9 2 6 24 17 +7 29
8 Peterboro 15 8 4 3 34 17 +17 28
9 Northampton 17 8 4 5 24 19 +5 28
10 Barnsley 16 8 3 5 30 20 +10 27
11 Cambridge 18 7 4 7 16 19 -3 25
12 Lincoln 16 6 6 4 20 13 +7 24
13 Stevenage 15 6 6 3 20 14 +6 24
14 Leyton Orient 16 7 3 6 19 24 -5 24
15 Bristol Rvs 16 6 5 5 24 19 +5 23
16 Shrewsbury 17 7 2 8 16 20 -4 23
17 Charlton 17 6 4 7 29 25 +4 22
18 Burton 15 6 4 5 16 15 +1 22
19 Wycombe 16 5 6 5 22 21 +1 21
20 Cheltenham 16 6 3 7 18 23 -5 21
21 Exeter 17 5 5 7 10 16 -6 20
22 Port Vale 15 5 2 8 19 20 -1 17
23 Carlisle 17 3 5 9 14 27 -13 14
24 Fleetwood Town 17 3 3 11 15 28 -13 12
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Derby 17 11 2 4 30 14 +16 35
2 Portsmouth 17 10 5 2 28 12 +16 35
3 Barnsley 16 9 6 1 28 16 +12 33
4 Peterboro 18 9 4 5 27 24 +3 31
5 Bolton 15 9 3 3 24 11 +13 30
6 Stevenage 17 9 2 6 26 20 +6 29
7 Oxford 17 8 3 6 25 23 +2 27
8 Leyton Orient 17 6 6 5 21 17 +4 24
9 Lincoln 17 5 6 6 15 19 -4 21
10 Wigan 17 5 5 7 24 26 -2 20
11 Bristol Rvs 17 6 2 9 21 29 -8 20
12 Exeter 17 6 1 10 15 31 -16 19
13 Wycombe 16 4 5 7 19 22 -3 17
14 Northampton 16 5 2 9 21 31 -10 17
15 Blackpool 16 4 4 8 16 23 -7 16
16 Burton 17 4 4 9 13 26 -13 16
17 Fleetwood Town 16 3 5 8 18 27 -9 14
18 Port Vale 16 3 5 8 13 30 -17 14
19 Cambridge 15 3 4 8 15 22 -7 13
20 Cheltenham 16 3 3 10 10 20 -10 12
21 Shrewsbury 16 3 3 10 7 24 -17 12
22 Charlton 16 1 8 7 18 27 -9 11
23 Reading 17 2 5 10 17 33 -16 11
24 Carlisle 15 1 3 11 12 28 -16 6

Barnsley   Derby

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Oxford 34 12 22 1.6 1.2 16 9 9 56 42 57
2 5 Peterboro 33 12 21 1.8 1.2 17 8 8 61 41 59
3 12 Northampton 33 12 21 1.4 1.5 13 6 14 45 50 45
4 1 Portsmouth 34 15 19 1.7 0.9 21 9 4 58 30 72
5 4 Barnsley 32 13 19 1.8 1.1 17 9 6 58 36 60
6 13 Bristol Rvs 33 14 19 1.4 1.5 12 7 14 45 48 43
7 20 Charlton 33 14 19 1.4 1.6 7 12 14 47 52 33
8 2 Derby 33 15 18 1.8 0.9 20 6 7 58 29 66
9 8 Blackpool 33 15 18 1.5 1.2 14 8 11 50 39 50
10 23 Fleetwood Town 33 15 18 1.0 1.7 6 8 19 33 55 26
11 3 Bolton 32 15 17 1.8 1.0 20 6 6 59 33 66
12 7 Stevenage 32 15 17 1.4 1.1 15 8 9 46 34 53
13 9 Wigan 34 18 16 1.4 1.3 14 7 13 48 43 49
14 14 Reading 34 18 16 1.3 1.4 11 9 14 44 49 42
15 16 Wycombe 32 16 16 1.3 1.3 9 11 12 41 43 38
16 10 Leyton Orient 33 18 15 1.2 1.2 13 9 11 40 41 48
17 17 Cambridge 33 18 15 0.9 1.2 10 8 15 31 41 38
18 22 Port Vale 31 16 15 1.0 1.6 8 7 16 32 50 31
19 15 Exeter 34 21 13 0.7 1.4 11 6 17 25 47 39
20 18 Burton 32 19 13 0.9 1.3 10 8 14 29 41 38
21 24 Carlisle 32 19 13 0.8 1.7 4 8 20 26 55 20
22 21 Cheltenham 32 20 12 0.9 1.3 9 6 17 28 43 33
23 11 Lincoln 33 22 11 1.1 1.0 11 12 10 35 32 45
24 19 Shrewsbury 33 22 11 0.7 1.3 10 5 18 23 44 35
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Bolton 17 5 12 2.1 1.3 11 3 3 35 22 36
2 6 Oxford 17 5 12 1.8 1.1 8 6 3 31 19 30
3 20 Charlton 17 5 12 1.7 1.5 6 4 7 29 25 22
4 4 Barnsley 16 5 11 1.9 1.2 8 3 5 30 20 27
5 5 Peterboro 15 4 11 2.3 1.1 8 4 3 34 17 28
6 1 Portsmouth 17 7 10 1.8 1.1 11 4 2 30 18 37
7 8 Blackpool 17 7 10 2.0 0.9 10 4 3 34 16 34
8 2 Derby 16 7 9 1.8 0.9 9 4 3 28 15 31
9 12 Northampton 17 8 9 1.4 1.1 8 4 5 24 19 28
10 13 Bristol Rvs 16 7 9 1.5 1.2 6 5 5 24 19 23
11 9 Wigan 17 9 8 1.4 1.0 9 2 6 24 17 29
12 10 Leyton Orient 16 8 8 1.2 1.5 7 3 6 19 24 24
13 23 Fleetwood Town 17 9 8 0.9 1.6 3 3 11 15 28 12
14 16 Wycombe 16 9 7 1.4 1.3 5 6 5 22 21 21
15 19 Shrewsbury 17 10 7 0.9 1.2 7 2 8 16 20 23
16 21 Cheltenham 16 9 7 1.1 1.4 6 3 7 18 23 21
17 22 Port Vale 15 8 7 1.3 1.3 5 2 8 19 20 17
18 7 Stevenage 15 9 6 1.3 0.9 6 6 3 20 14 24
19 11 Lincoln 16 10 6 1.2 0.8 6 6 4 20 13 24
20 14 Reading 17 11 6 1.6 0.9 9 4 4 27 16 31
21 17 Cambridge 18 12 6 0.9 1.1 7 4 7 16 19 25
22 24 Carlisle 17 11 6 0.8 1.6 3 5 9 14 27 14
23 15 Exeter 17 12 5 0.6 0.9 5 5 7 10 16 20
24 18 Burton 15 10 5 1.1 1.0 6 4 5 16 15 22
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 12 Northampton 16 4 12 1.3 1.9 5 2 9 21 31 17
2 7 Stevenage 17 6 11 1.5 1.2 9 2 6 26 20 29
3 5 Peterboro 18 8 10 1.5 1.3 9 4 5 27 24 31
4 6 Oxford 17 7 10 1.5 1.4 8 3 6 25 23 27
5 13 Bristol Rvs 17 7 10 1.2 1.7 6 2 9 21 29 20
6 14 Reading 17 7 10 1.0 1.9 2 5 10 17 33 11
7 23 Fleetwood Town 16 6 10 1.1 1.7 3 5 8 18 27 14
8 1 Portsmouth 17 8 9 1.6 0.7 10 5 2 28 12 35
9 2 Derby 17 8 9 1.8 0.8 11 2 4 30 14 35
10 16 Wycombe 16 7 9 1.2 1.4 4 5 7 19 22 17
11 17 Cambridge 15 6 9 1.0 1.5 3 4 8 15 22 13
12 4 Barnsley 16 8 8 1.8 1.0 9 6 1 28 16 33
13 8 Blackpool 16 8 8 1.0 1.4 4 4 8 16 23 16
14 9 Wigan 17 9 8 1.4 1.5 5 5 7 24 26 20
15 15 Exeter 17 9 8 0.9 1.8 6 1 10 15 31 19
16 18 Burton 17 9 8 0.8 1.5 4 4 9 13 26 16
17 22 Port Vale 16 8 8 0.8 1.9 3 5 8 13 30 14
18 10 Leyton Orient 17 10 7 1.2 1.0 6 6 5 21 17 24
19 20 Charlton 16 9 7 1.1 1.7 1 8 7 18 27 11
20 24 Carlisle 15 8 7 0.8 1.9 1 3 11 12 28 6
21 3 Bolton 15 10 5 1.6 0.7 9 3 3 24 11 30
22 11 Lincoln 17 12 5 0.9 1.1 5 6 6 15 19 21
23 21 Cheltenham 16 11 5 0.6 1.2 3 3 10 10 20 12
24 19 Shrewsbury 16 12 4 0.4 1.5 3 3 10 7 24 12

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51