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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Nacional 1–0 Sp Braga

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 6.00 fair 3.01
Draw 3.90 fair 4.08
Away 1.51 fair 2.36
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.90 fair 2.27
Over 2.5 1.90 fair 1.78

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nacional Sp Braga
8 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 2
0.48 Expected goals (xG) 1.67
4 Corners 6
18 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (77 league matches this season so far).
Result Sp Braga to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.70
Expected goals 1.36 – 1.57
Home / Draw / Away
NacionalDrawSp Braga
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4% 1–2 8.9% 0–1 8.4%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Nacional before this match, all matches
0.50points / match
1.13scored / match
2.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:18
Sp Braga before this match, all matches
1.38points / match
1.13scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:10
Nacional all matches all matches Sp Braga

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 1.13
2.25 Goals conceded 1.25
3.38 Total goals 2.38
1.16 xG created 1.29
1.85 xG allowed 0.79
10.88 Shots 13.50
3.13 Shots on target 4.50
14.63 Shots faced 8.88
4.38 Corners 4.13
4.75 Corners against 2.88
11.13 Fouls 13.25
1.13 Yellow cards 2.00
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50
1.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

13% Wins 38%
13% Draws 25%
75% Losses 38%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
88% Over 1.5 goals 63%
63% Over 2.5 goals 63%
63% Over 3.5 goals 25%
25% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 63%
13% Clean sheets 38%
38% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 25%
50% Draws 63%
50% Losses 13%
88% Over 0.5 goals 63%
63% Over 1.5 goals 25%
38% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional all matches
Sp Braga all matches
Nacional before this match, at home
0.75points / match
1.25scored / match
2.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:10
Sp Braga before this match, away
1.25points / match
1.25scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 5:5
Nacional at home away Sp Braga

Per match

1.25 Goals scored 1.25
2.50 Goals conceded 1.25
3.75 Total goals 2.50
1.59 xG created 1.22
1.38 xG allowed 0.72
13.75 Shots 11.50
3.50 Shots on target 3.75
11.25 Shots faced 8.00
5.00 Corners 4.50
2.50 Corners against 4.00
10.75 Fouls 15.50
1.25 Yellow cards 2.50
0.25 1st-half goals scored 0.50
1.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

25% Wins 25%
0% Draws 50%
75% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
100% Over 1.5 goals 75%
75% Over 2.5 goals 75%
75% Over 3.5 goals 25%
25% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 75%
25% Clean sheets 25%
25% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
50% Draws 75%
50% Losses 25%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
75% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nacional at home
Sp Braga away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.10.26 Rio Ave – Nacional 3–2 (1–1) 2.203.203.20 2.10 1.70
19.09.26 Nacional – Famalicao 0–4 (0–3) 3.603.402.01 2.10 1.70
12.09.26 Nacional – Alverca 1–3 (0–3) 2.573.402.65 2.05 1.75
05.09.26 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–0 (1–0) 1.176.5013.00 1.44 2.70
30.08.26 Nacional – Estrela 2–3 (1–1) 2.303.303.10 2.00 1.85
23.08.26 Guimaraes – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.663.605.00 1.95 1.90
16.08.26 Nacional – Estoril 2–0 (0–0) 2.653.302.55 1.93 1.93
10.08.26 Santa Clara – Nacional 2–2 (2–2) 1.863.254.20 2.15 1.67
16.05.26 Nacional – Guimaraes 2–0 (0–0) 1.963.503.50 1.75 2.05
11.05.26 Santa Clara – Nacional 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 2.05 1.75

Sp Braga all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.26 Sp Braga – Gil Vicente 1–2 (1–0) 1.563.705.75 2.05 1.75
09.10.26 Sp Braga – Sp Lisbon 1–3 (1–0) 3.103.202.25 2.08 1.73
20.09.26 Santa Clara – Sp Braga 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.302.05 2.40 1.53
14.09.26 Sp Braga – Estoril 1–0 (0–0) 1.464.106.50 1.70 2.10
10.09.26 Estrela – Sp Braga 2–1 (1–1) 4.753.601.71 2.00 1.80
05.09.26 Alverca – Sp Braga 1–2 (1–0) 4.753.501.71 2.08 1.73
31.08.26 Sp Braga – Guimaraes 1–0 (0–0) 1.683.605.00 1.98 1.88
09.08.26 Moreirense – Sp Braga 2–2 (1–1) 5.003.601.66 2.00 1.85
16.05.26 Sp Braga – Estrela 2–2 (1–1) 1.574.005.00 1.75 2.05
11.05.26 Benfica – Sp Braga 2–2 (0–0) 1.394.337.00 1.65 2.20

Nacional at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.09.26 Nacional – Famalicao 0–4 (0–3) 3.603.402.01 2.10 1.70
12.09.26 Nacional – Alverca 1–3 (0–3) 2.573.402.65 2.05 1.75
30.08.26 Nacional – Estrela 2–3 (1–1) 2.303.303.10 2.00 1.85
16.08.26 Nacional – Estoril 2–0 (0–0) 2.653.302.55 1.93 1.93
16.05.26 Nacional – Guimaraes 2–0 (0–0) 1.963.503.50 1.75 2.05
02.05.26 Nacional – AVS 1–2 (1–1) 1.424.337.00 1.65 2.20
18.04.26 Nacional – Alverca 1–0 (0–0) 2.153.403.20 1.85 1.95
04.04.26 Nacional – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.303.50 1.90 1.90
15.03.26 Nacional – Estoril 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.502.70 1.67 2.15
28.02.26 Nacional – Sp Braga 1–2 (0–1) 5.504.201.51 1.75 2.05

Sp Braga away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.26 Santa Clara – Sp Braga 0–0 (0–0) 3.503.302.05 2.40 1.53
10.09.26 Estrela – Sp Braga 2–1 (1–1) 4.753.601.71 2.00 1.80
05.09.26 Alverca – Sp Braga 1–2 (1–0) 4.753.501.71 2.08 1.73
09.08.26 Moreirense – Sp Braga 2–2 (1–1) 5.003.601.66 2.00 1.85
11.05.26 Benfica – Sp Braga 2–2 (0–0) 1.394.337.00 1.65 2.20
26.04.26 Santa Clara – Sp Braga 2–1 (0–1) 3.253.252.15 2.25 1.62
23.04.26 Casa Pia – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–1) 5.504.201.53 1.95 1.85
04.04.26 Moreirense – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–1) 6.253.901.51 1.95 1.85
28.02.26 Nacional – Sp Braga 1–2 (0–1) 5.504.201.51 1.75 2.05
14.02.26 Gil Vicente – Sp Braga 2–1 (0–1) 3.603.252.05 2.20 1.65

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nacional winsDrawsSp Braga wins
4matches
2.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.02.26P1 Nacional – Sp Braga 1–2 (0–1) 5.504.201.51 1.75 2.05
28.09.25P1 Sp Braga – Nacional 0–1 (0–1) 1.394.337.50 1.83 2.03
21.02.25P1 Sp Braga – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.573.806.00 1.73 2.08
20.09.24P1 Nacional – Sp Braga 0–3 (0–0) 5.253.801.65 1.62 2.25

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 9 9 0 0 21 4 +17 27 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 8 6 1 1 24 7 +17 19 WWWWLW
3 Sp Lisbon 8 5 3 0 20 9 +11 18 WWWDDW
4 Santa Clara 8 5 3 0 12 4 +8 18 WDWWDW
5 Arouca 9 5 2 2 12 7 +5 17 WDLDWW
6 Academico Viseu 8 4 2 2 11 10 +1 14 DLWWWW
7 Gil Vicente 9 4 2 3 8 7 +1 14 LLDWWL
8 Alverca 9 3 2 4 13 13 0 11 DLWWWL
9 Sp Braga 8 3 2 3 9 10 -1 11 WLWDLL
10 Moreirense 9 3 2 4 11 16 -5 11 LLWDLW
11 Estrela 9 2 4 3 14 17 -3 10 DWDLLL
12 Guimaraes 9 2 2 5 10 10 0 8 LDLDLW
13 Maritimo 9 2 2 5 9 19 -10 8 LLLDLL
14 Famalicao 8 1 4 3 10 11 -1 7 LDDDWL
15 Rio Ave 8 2 1 5 8 17 -9 7 WLLDLW
16 Casa Pia 9 2 1 6 5 17 -12 7 LDLWLW
17 Nacional 8 1 1 6 9 18 -9 4 LLLLLL
18 Estoril 9 0 2 7 5 15 -10 2 LDLLLL
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Champions League – 3rd qualifying round
  • Europa League – 2nd qualifying round
  • Conference League – 2nd qualifying round
  • Relegation play-off
  • Relegation to Liga Portugal 2

Taça de Portugal winners also qualify for Europe, so European places can move down the table.

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 4 4 0 0 9 2 +7 12 WWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 4 3 1 0 10 5 +5 10 WWWD
3 Benfica 4 3 1 0 9 4 +5 10 DWWW
4 Arouca 4 3 0 1 8 3 +5 9 WWLW
5 Guimaraes 5 2 2 1 7 2 +5 8 LWDDW
6 Santa Clara 4 2 2 0 7 2 +5 8 DWWD
7 Gil Vicente 5 2 1 2 4 3 +1 7 WWLDL
8 Sp Braga 4 2 0 2 4 5 -1 6 WWLL
9 Academico Viseu 4 2 0 2 4 6 -2 6 LLWW
10 Alverca 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5 DDLWL
11 Estrela 5 1 2 2 6 9 -3 5 DDWLL
12 Moreirense 4 1 1 2 5 8 -3 4 DLWL
13 Maritimo 4 1 1 2 4 7 -3 4 WDLL
14 Rio Ave 4 1 1 2 6 11 -5 4 LLDW
15 Nacional 4 1 0 3 5 10 -5 3 WLLL
16 Famalicao 4 0 2 2 3 7 -4 2 LDDL
17 Estoril 5 0 2 3 3 8 -5 2 DLDLL
18 Casa Pia 4 0 0 4 1 13 -12 0 LLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 5 5 0 0 12 2 +10 15 WWWWW
2 Santa Clara 4 3 1 0 5 2 +3 10 WDWW
3 Benfica 4 3 0 1 15 3 +12 9 WWWL
4 Sp Lisbon 4 2 2 0 10 4 +6 8 DWDW
5 Academico Viseu 4 2 2 0 7 4 +3 8 DDWW
6 Arouca 5 2 2 1 4 4 0 8 WLDDW
7 Casa Pia 5 2 1 2 4 4 0 7 LLDWW
8 Gil Vicente 4 2 1 1 4 4 0 7 DLWW
9 Moreirense 5 2 1 2 6 8 -2 7 LWLDW
10 Alverca 4 2 0 2 8 7 +1 6 LLWW
11 Famalicao 4 1 2 1 7 4 +3 5 DLDW
12 Estrela 4 1 2 1 8 8 0 5 DWDL
13 Sp Braga 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5 DWLD
14 Maritimo 5 1 1 3 5 12 -7 4 WLLDL
15 Rio Ave 4 1 0 3 2 6 -4 3 LWLL
16 Nacional 4 0 1 3 4 8 -4 1 DLLL
17 Guimaraes 4 0 0 4 3 8 -5 0 LLLL
18 Estoril 4 0 0 4 2 7 -5 0 LLLL

Nacional   Sp Braga

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 8 1 7 3.0 0.9 6 1 1 24 7 19 OOOOOU
2 13 Maritimo 9 2 7 1.0 2.1 2 2 5 9 19 8 OOOUOO
3 3 Sp Lisbon 8 2 6 2.5 1.1 5 3 0 20 9 18 OOUUOO
4 10 Moreirense 9 3 6 1.2 1.8 3 2 4 11 16 11 OOOUUO
5 11 Estrela 9 3 6 1.6 1.9 2 4 3 14 17 10 OOOUUU
6 1 Porto 9 4 5 2.3 0.4 9 0 0 21 4 27 OOOOOU
7 6 Academico Viseu 8 3 5 1.4 1.2 4 2 2 11 10 14 OOUOUO
8 8 Alverca 9 4 5 1.4 1.4 3 2 4 13 13 11 UOOUOU
9 9 Sp Braga 8 3 5 1.1 1.2 3 2 3 9 10 11 OOUUOO
10 17 Nacional 8 3 5 1.1 2.2 1 1 6 9 18 4 UOUOOO
11 5 Arouca 9 5 4 1.3 0.8 5 2 2 12 7 17 OUOOUU
12 14 Famalicao 8 4 4 1.2 1.4 1 4 3 10 11 7 UUOUOO
13 15 Rio Ave 8 4 4 1.0 2.1 2 1 5 8 17 7 UOOOUO
14 18 Estoril 9 5 4 0.6 1.7 0 2 7 5 15 2 OUUOOO
15 4 Santa Clara 8 5 3 1.5 0.5 5 3 0 12 4 18 UUOOUU
16 12 Guimaraes 9 6 3 1.1 1.1 2 2 5 10 10 8 UUOUUO
17 16 Casa Pia 9 6 3 0.6 1.9 2 1 6 5 17 7 UUOOUU
18 7 Gil Vicente 9 7 2 0.9 0.8 4 2 3 8 7 14 UOUUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 4 1 3 2.2 1.0 3 1 0 9 4 10 OOOU
2 3 Sp Lisbon 4 1 3 2.5 1.2 3 1 0 10 5 10 OOUO
3 5 Arouca 4 1 3 2.0 0.8 3 0 1 8 3 9 OOOU
4 6 Academico Viseu 4 1 3 1.0 1.5 2 0 2 4 6 6 UOOO
5 10 Moreirense 4 1 3 1.2 2.0 1 1 2 5 8 4 OOOU
6 11 Estrela 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 1 2 2 6 9 5 OOOUU
7 13 Maritimo 4 1 3 1.0 1.8 1 1 2 4 7 4 UOOO
8 15 Rio Ave 4 1 3 1.5 2.8 1 1 2 6 11 4 UOOO
9 17 Nacional 4 1 3 1.2 2.5 1 0 3 5 10 3 UOOO
10 1 Porto 4 2 2 2.2 0.5 4 0 0 9 2 12 UUOO
11 4 Santa Clara 4 2 2 1.8 0.5 2 2 0 7 2 8 OUOU
12 8 Alverca 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5 OUOUU
13 9 Sp Braga 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 2 0 2 4 5 6 UUOO
14 14 Famalicao 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 0 2 2 3 7 2 OUUO
15 16 Casa Pia 4 2 2 0.2 3.2 0 0 4 1 13 0 OUOU
16 18 Estoril 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 0 2 3 3 8 2 UUUOO
17 12 Guimaraes 5 4 1 1.4 0.4 2 2 1 7 2 8 UUUUO
18 7 Gil Vicente 5 5 0 0.8 0.6 2 1 2 4 3 7 UUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 4 0 4 3.8 0.8 3 0 1 15 3 9 OOOO
2 13 Maritimo 5 1 4 1.0 2.4 1 1 3 5 12 4 OOOUO
3 1 Porto 5 2 3 2.4 0.4 5 0 0 12 2 15 UOOOU
4 3 Sp Lisbon 4 1 3 2.5 1.0 2 2 0 10 4 8 OOUO
5 8 Alverca 4 1 3 2.0 1.8 2 0 2 8 7 6 UOOO
6 9 Sp Braga 4 1 3 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5 OOOU
7 10 Moreirense 5 2 3 1.2 1.6 2 1 2 6 8 7 OUOUO
8 11 Estrela 4 1 3 2.0 2.0 1 2 1 8 8 5 OOOU
9 6 Academico Viseu 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 2 2 0 7 4 8 OOUU
10 7 Gil Vicente 4 2 2 1.0 1.0 2 1 1 4 4 7 UOUO
11 12 Guimaraes 4 2 2 0.8 2.0 0 0 4 3 8 0 OUOU
12 14 Famalicao 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 1 2 1 7 4 5 UUOO
13 17 Nacional 4 2 2 1.0 2.0 0 1 3 4 8 1 OUUO
14 18 Estoril 4 2 2 0.5 1.8 0 0 4 2 7 0 UOUO
15 4 Santa Clara 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 3 1 0 5 2 10 UUOU
16 5 Arouca 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 2 2 1 4 4 8 UUUOU
17 15 Rio Ave 4 3 1 0.5 1.5 1 0 3 2 6 3 UUOU
18 16 Casa Pia 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 2 1 2 4 4 7 UUUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:11