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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Sp Braga 0–1 Nacional

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.39 fair 2.09
Draw 4.33 fair 3.97
Away ✓ 7.50 fair 3.71
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.03 fair 2.00
Over 2.5 1.83 fair 2.00

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sp Braga Nacional
9 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 5
6 Corners 3
4 Fouls 7
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (60 league matches this season so far).
Result Sp Braga to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.89
Expected goals 1.56 – 1.11
Home / Draw / Away
Sp BragaDrawNacional
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12% 1–0 10.8% 2–1 9.4%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Sp Braga before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
1.83scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 11:6
Nacional before this match, all matches
0.67points / match
0.83scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 5:10
Sp Braga all matches all matches Nacional

Per match

1.83 Goals scored 0.83
1.00 Goals conceded 1.67
2.83 Total goals 2.50
14.83 Shots 10.00
6.33 Shots on target 3.33
8.50 Shots faced 14.83
6.33 Corners 5.67
3.00 Corners against 6.17
9.83 Fouls 17.17
1.83 Yellow cards 3.17
1.33 1st-half goals scored 0.50
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

33% Wins 17%
50% Draws 17%
17% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
83% Over 1.5 goals 83%
67% Over 2.5 goals 33%
33% Over 3.5 goals 17%
0% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 50%
33% Clean sheets 17%
17% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
17% Draws 17%
50% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 83%
83% Over 1.5 goals 33%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sp Braga all matches
Nacional all matches
Sp Braga before this match, at home
1.33points / match
1.67scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 5:3
Nacional before this match, away
1.33points / match
1.00scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:2
Sp Braga at home away Nacional

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded 0.67
2.67 Total goals 1.67
13.33 Shots 9.00
6.00 Shots on target 3.00
7.67 Shots faced 13.33
7.00 Corners 4.67
4.33 Corners against 4.33
8.67 Fouls 18.00
1.67 Yellow cards 3.67
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.67
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

33% Wins 33%
33% Draws 33%
33% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 67%
67% Over 2.5 goals 0%
33% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 33%
33% Clean sheets 33%
33% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
0% Draws 0%
67% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 33%
33% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sp Braga at home
Nacional away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sp Braga all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.25 Guimaraes – Sp Braga 1–1 (1–1) 2.853.302.35 2.05 1.80
14.09.25 Sp Braga – Gil Vicente 0–1 (0–1) 1.464.336.25 1.95 1.90
31.08.25 Rio Ave – Sp Braga 2–2 (2–1) 4.753.601.68 1.85 2.00
24.08.25 Sp Braga – AVS 2–2 (1–2) 1.335.008.50 1.75 2.05
17.08.25 Alverca – Sp Braga 0–3 (0–3) 5.253.901.62 2.03 1.83
10.08.25 Sp Braga – Tondela 3–0 (2–0) 1.404.508.00 1.75 2.05
17.05.25 Sp Braga – Benfica 1–1 (1–0) 5.004.101.62 1.65 2.20
10.05.25 Casa Pia – Sp Braga 2–1 (1–1) 5.753.801.57 2.05 1.75
03.05.25 Sp Braga – Santa Clara 1–1 (0–1) 1.733.405.25 2.40 1.50
25.04.25 Famalicao – Sp Braga 1–1 (1–0) 3.253.302.20 2.15 1.67

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.25 Nacional – Arouca 1–2 (0–0) 2.453.102.85 2.08 1.73
13.09.25 Porto – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.156.5017.00 1.57 2.35
30.08.25 Casa Pia – Nacional 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.203.40 2.25 1.62
23.08.25 Nacional – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (1–0) 9.006.001.27 1.50 2.50
17.08.25 Rio Ave – Nacional 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.203.20 2.05 1.75
09.08.25 Nacional – Gil Vicente 0–2 (0–2) 2.503.102.90 2.10 1.70
17.05.25 Porto – Nacional 3–0 (1–0) 1.305.259.50 1.57 2.35
10.05.25 Nacional – Rio Ave 3–3 (0–3) 1.953.503.75 1.93 1.93
03.05.25 Nacional – Guimaraes 1–2 (0–1) 4.203.501.85 1.98 1.88
27.04.25 Moreirense – Nacional 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.103.60 2.20 1.65

Sp Braga at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.25 Sp Braga – Gil Vicente 0–1 (0–1) 1.464.336.25 1.95 1.90
24.08.25 Sp Braga – AVS 2–2 (1–2) 1.335.008.50 1.75 2.05
10.08.25 Sp Braga – Tondela 3–0 (2–0) 1.404.508.00 1.75 2.05
17.05.25 Sp Braga – Benfica 1–1 (1–0) 5.004.101.62 1.65 2.20
03.05.25 Sp Braga – Santa Clara 1–1 (0–1) 1.733.405.25 2.40 1.50
13.04.25 Sp Braga – AVS 4–1 (3–1) 1.384.508.50 1.75 2.05
29.03.25 Sp Braga – Arouca 2–1 (2–0) 1.703.754.75 1.90 1.95
08.03.25 Sp Braga – Porto 1–0 (1–0) 3.303.252.20 2.00 1.85
21.02.25 Sp Braga – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.573.806.00 1.73 2.08
09.02.25 Sp Braga – Gil Vicente 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.205.50 1.88 1.98

Nacional away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.25 Porto – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.156.5017.00 1.57 2.35
30.08.25 Casa Pia – Nacional 0–2 (0–2) 2.153.203.40 2.25 1.62
17.08.25 Rio Ave – Nacional 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.203.20 2.05 1.75
17.05.25 Porto – Nacional 3–0 (1–0) 1.305.259.50 1.57 2.35
27.04.25 Moreirense – Nacional 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.103.60 2.20 1.65
12.04.25 Boavista – Nacional 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.102.63 2.15 1.67
30.03.25 Santa Clara – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.903.204.33 2.50 1.50
08.03.25 Benfica – Nacional 3–0 (2–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.44 2.60
21.02.25 Sp Braga – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.573.806.00 1.73 2.08
09.02.25 Farense – Nacional 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.203.10 2.20 1.65

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sp Braga winsDrawsNacional wins
2matches
2.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.02.25P1 Sp Braga – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.573.806.00 1.73 2.08
20.09.24P1 Nacional – Sp Braga 0–3 (0–0) 5.253.801.65 1.62 2.25

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 7 6 0 1 19 4 +15 18 WWLWWW
2 Porto 6 6 0 0 15 1 +14 18 WWWWWW
3 Benfica 7 5 2 0 13 4 +9 17 WWDWDW
4 Moreirense 7 5 0 2 10 8 +2 15 WWLWLW
5 Gil Vicente 7 4 1 2 8 4 +4 13 LDWWWL
6 Famalicao 6 3 2 1 7 3 +4 11 WWDWLD
7 Sp Braga 6 2 3 1 11 6 +5 9 WWDDLD
8 Santa Clara 7 2 2 3 5 8 -3 8 LDWDWL
9 Guimaraes 7 2 2 3 7 11 -4 8 WLDWDL
10 Arouca 6 2 2 2 9 14 -5 8 WLDDLW
11 Estrela 7 1 4 2 6 6 0 7 LDDLDW
12 Alverca 7 2 1 4 8 11 -3 7 LDLWLW
13 Casa Pia 7 2 1 4 6 11 -5 7 WLLWDL
14 Estoril 7 1 2 4 8 11 -3 5 LDLWLL
15 Tondela 7 1 2 4 4 11 -7 5 LLDLDW
16 Rio Ave 6 0 4 2 8 13 -5 4 DDDLLD
17 Nacional 6 1 1 4 5 10 -5 4 LDLWLL
18 AVS 7 0 1 6 4 17 -13 1 LDLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Moreirense 4 4 0 0 9 3 +6 12 WWWW
2 Porto 3 3 0 0 8 0 +8 9 WWW
3 Benfica 4 2 2 0 7 3 +4 8 WDDW
4 Sp Lisbon 3 2 0 1 10 2 +8 6 WLW
5 Gil Vicente 3 2 0 1 4 2 +2 6 LWW
6 Alverca 4 2 0 2 4 5 -1 6 LLWW
7 Guimaraes 3 1 2 0 5 4 +1 5 WDD
8 Sp Braga 3 1 1 1 5 3 +2 4 WDL
9 Famalicao 3 1 1 1 4 2 +2 4 WDL
10 Arouca 3 1 1 1 6 6 0 4 WDL
11 Estrela 4 1 1 2 5 5 0 4 LDLW
12 Estoril 4 1 1 2 4 4 0 4 DLWL
13 Santa Clara 4 1 1 2 3 4 -1 4 LDWL
14 Tondela 3 0 2 1 2 3 -1 2 LDD
15 Rio Ave 3 0 2 1 3 6 -3 2 DDL
16 Casa Pia 3 0 1 2 1 5 -4 1 LLD
17 Nacional 3 0 0 3 2 8 -6 0 LLL
18 AVS 3 0 0 3 0 6 -6 0 LLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 4 4 0 0 9 2 +7 12 WWWW
2 Porto 3 3 0 0 7 1 +6 9 WWW
3 Benfica 3 3 0 0 6 1 +5 9 WWW
4 Gil Vicente 4 2 1 1 4 2 +2 7 WDWL
5 Famalicao 3 2 1 0 3 1 +2 7 WWD
6 Casa Pia 4 2 0 2 5 6 -1 6 WLWL
7 Sp Braga 3 1 2 0 6 3 +3 5 WDD
8 Nacional 3 1 1 1 3 2 +1 4 DWL
9 Santa Clara 3 1 1 1 2 4 -2 4 LWD
10 Arouca 3 1 1 1 3 8 -5 4 LDW
11 Estrela 3 0 3 0 1 1 0 3 DDD
12 Moreirense 3 1 0 2 1 5 -4 3 WLL
13 Guimaraes 4 1 0 3 2 7 -5 3 LLWL
14 Tondela 4 1 0 3 2 8 -6 3 LLLW
15 Rio Ave 3 0 2 1 5 7 -2 2 DLD
16 Alverca 3 0 1 2 4 6 -2 1 LDL
17 Estoril 3 0 1 2 4 7 -3 1 LDL
18 AVS 4 0 1 3 4 11 -7 1 LDLL

Sp Braga   Nacional

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 7 2 5 2.7 0.6 6 0 1 19 4 18 OOOOOU
2 12 Alverca 7 2 5 1.1 1.6 2 1 4 8 11 7 OOOUOU
3 18 AVS 7 2 5 0.6 2.4 0 1 6 4 17 1 UOUOOO
4 2 Porto 6 2 4 2.5 0.2 6 0 0 15 1 18 OUOOUO
5 3 Benfica 7 3 4 1.9 0.6 5 2 0 13 4 17 OOUOUO
6 4 Moreirense 7 3 4 1.4 1.1 5 0 2 10 8 15 UUUOOO
7 7 Sp Braga 6 2 4 1.8 1.0 2 3 1 11 6 9 OOOOUU
8 10 Arouca 6 2 4 1.5 2.3 2 2 2 9 14 8 OOOUUO
9 15 Tondela 7 3 4 0.6 1.6 1 2 4 4 11 5 UOOUUO
10 16 Rio Ave 6 2 4 1.3 2.2 0 4 2 8 13 4 UOOOOU
11 8 Santa Clara 7 4 3 0.7 1.1 2 2 3 5 8 8 UUUUOO
12 14 Estoril 7 4 3 1.1 1.6 1 2 4 8 11 5 OOUOUU
13 6 Famalicao 6 4 2 1.2 0.5 3 2 1 7 3 11 OUUUOU
14 9 Guimaraes 7 5 2 1.0 1.6 2 2 3 7 11 8 OUUUUU
15 11 Estrela 7 5 2 0.9 0.9 1 4 2 6 6 7 UOUUUO
16 13 Casa Pia 7 5 2 0.9 1.6 2 1 4 6 11 7 UOUUUO
17 17 Nacional 6 4 2 0.8 1.7 1 1 4 5 10 4 UUOUUO
18 5 Gil Vicente 7 6 1 1.1 0.6 4 1 2 8 4 13 UUUUUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 3 0 3 3.3 0.7 2 0 1 10 2 6 OOO
2 4 Moreirense 4 1 3 2.2 0.8 4 0 0 9 3 12 OUOO
3 2 Porto 3 1 2 2.7 0.0 3 0 0 8 0 9 OOU
4 3 Benfica 4 2 2 1.8 0.8 2 2 0 7 3 8 OUUO
5 6 Famalicao 3 1 2 1.3 0.7 1 1 1 4 2 4 OUO
6 7 Sp Braga 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 1 1 1 5 3 4 OOU
7 8 Santa Clara 4 2 2 0.8 1.0 1 1 2 3 4 4 UUOO
8 10 Arouca 3 1 2 2.0 2.0 1 1 1 6 6 4 OOU
9 11 Estrela 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 1 2 5 5 4 UOUO
10 12 Alverca 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 2 0 2 4 5 6 OOUU
11 16 Rio Ave 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 0 2 1 3 6 2 UOO
12 17 Nacional 3 1 2 0.7 2.7 0 0 3 2 8 0 UOO
13 9 Guimaraes 3 2 1 1.7 1.3 1 2 0 5 4 5 OUU
14 14 Estoril 4 3 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 2 4 4 4 UUOU
15 15 Tondela 3 2 1 0.7 1.0 0 2 1 2 3 2 UOU
16 18 AVS 3 2 1 0.0 2.0 0 0 3 0 6 0 UUO
17 5 Gil Vicente 3 3 0 1.3 0.7 2 0 1 4 2 6 UUU
18 13 Casa Pia 3 3 0 0.3 1.7 0 1 2 1 5 1 UUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 18 AVS 4 0 4 1.0 2.8 0 1 3 4 11 1 OOOO
2 12 Alverca 3 0 3 1.3 2.0 0 1 2 4 6 1 OOO
3 15 Tondela 4 1 3 0.5 2.0 1 0 3 2 8 3 OOUO
4 1 Sp Lisbon 4 2 2 2.2 0.5 4 0 0 9 2 12 UOOU
5 2 Porto 3 1 2 2.3 0.3 3 0 0 7 1 9 UOO
6 3 Benfica 3 1 2 2.0 0.3 3 0 0 6 1 9 UOO
7 7 Sp Braga 3 1 2 2.0 1.0 1 2 0 6 3 5 OOU
8 10 Arouca 3 1 2 1.0 2.7 1 1 1 3 8 4 OUO
9 13 Casa Pia 4 2 2 1.2 1.5 2 0 2 5 6 6 UOUO
10 14 Estoril 3 1 2 1.3 2.3 0 1 2 4 7 1 OOU
11 16 Rio Ave 3 1 2 1.7 2.3 0 2 1 5 7 2 OOU
12 4 Moreirense 3 2 1 0.3 1.7 1 0 2 1 5 3 UUO
13 5 Gil Vicente 4 3 1 1.0 0.5 2 1 1 4 2 7 UUUO
14 8 Santa Clara 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 1 1 1 2 4 4 OUU
15 9 Guimaraes 4 3 1 0.5 1.8 1 0 3 2 7 3 OUUU
16 6 Famalicao 3 3 0 1.0 0.3 2 1 0 3 1 7 UUU
17 11 Estrela 3 3 0 0.3 0.3 0 3 0 1 1 3 UUU
18 17 Nacional 3 3 0 1.0 0.7 1 1 1 3 2 4 UUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10