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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Sp Braga 1–0 Nacional

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.57 fair 1.79
Draw 3.80 fair 4.24
Away 6.00 fair 4.83
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.08 fair 2.03
Over 2.5 1.73 fair 1.97

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sp Braga Nacional
20 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 3
7 Corners 6
14 Fouls 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (198 league matches this season so far).
Result Sp Braga to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.96
Expected goals 1.74 – 0.96
Home / Draw / Away
Sp BragaDrawNacional
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 11.6% 1–1 11.2% 2–0 10.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Sp Braga before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.73scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 38:20
Nacional before this match, all matches
1.05points / match
0.95scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 21:30
Sp Braga all matches all matches Nacional

Per match

1.73 Goals scored 0.95
0.91 Goals conceded 1.36
2.64 Total goals 2.32
13.45 Shots 12.73
4.82 Shots on target 3.91
10.09 Shots faced 14.45
6.32 Corners 4.14
3.68 Corners against 6.55
13.82 Fouls 13.73
1.91 Yellow cards 2.45
0.68 1st-half goals scored 0.64
0.18 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

59% Wins 27%
23% Draws 23%
18% Losses 50%
91% Over 0.5 goals 91%
77% Over 1.5 goals 73%
55% Over 2.5 goals 36%
23% Over 3.5 goals 18%
9% Over 4.5 goals 5%
9% Over 5.5 goals 5%
45% Both teams scored 36%
50% Clean sheets 32%
14% Failed to score 41%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 23%
41% Draws 45%
14% Losses 32%
64% Over 0.5 goals 68%
23% Over 1.5 goals 36%
0% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sp Braga all matches
Nacional all matches
Sp Braga before this match, at home
1.64points / match
2.09scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 23:15
Nacional before this match, away
0.55points / match
0.64scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 7:14
Sp Braga at home away Nacional

Per match

2.09 Goals scored 0.64
1.36 Goals conceded 1.27
3.45 Total goals 1.91
14.36 Shots 11.91
5.64 Shots on target 3.18
9.27 Shots faced 15.82
7.00 Corners 3.82
3.09 Corners against 7.55
14.45 Fouls 14.27
1.73 Yellow cards 2.45
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.27
0.18 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

45% Wins 9%
27% Draws 27%
27% Losses 64%
100% Over 0.5 goals 91%
100% Over 1.5 goals 64%
64% Over 2.5 goals 27%
45% Over 3.5 goals 9%
18% Over 4.5 goals 0%
18% Over 5.5 goals 0%
55% Both teams scored 36%
36% Clean sheets 18%
9% Failed to score 55%

How often Half Time

64% Wins 9%
27% Draws 45%
9% Losses 45%
82% Over 0.5 goals 73%
36% Over 1.5 goals 18%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sp Braga at home
Nacional away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sp Braga all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.02.25 Guimaraes – Sp Braga 0–0 (0–0) 2.553.252.75 2.05 1.80
09.02.25 Sp Braga – Gil Vicente 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.205.50 1.88 1.98
03.02.25 Moreirense – Sp Braga 1–2 (1–0) 4.203.501.90 2.05 1.75
26.01.25 Sp Braga – Boavista 3–0 (2–0) 1.226.5011.00 1.53 2.40
19.01.25 Estrela – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–0) 5.003.801.67 1.85 2.00
04.01.25 Benfica – Sp Braga 1–2 (0–2) 1.424.507.00 1.57 2.35
29.12.24 Sp Braga – Casa Pia 1–2 (1–1) 1.424.507.50 1.83 2.03
22.12.24 Santa Clara – Sp Braga 0–2 (0–0) 3.103.202.30 2.25 1.62
16.12.24 Sp Braga – Famalicao 3–3 (0–1) 1.484.206.50 1.88 1.98
06.12.24 Sp Braga – Estoril 2–2 (1–0) 1.227.0010.00 1.65 2.20

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.02.25 Nacional – Estoril 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.203.30 2.15 1.67
09.02.25 Farense – Nacional 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.203.10 2.20 1.65
01.02.25 Nacional – Arouca 1–2 (1–2) 2.503.202.88 2.15 1.67
25.01.25 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–0 (1–0) 1.149.5012.00 1.37 2.87
19.01.25 Nacional – AVS 3–1 (3–1) 2.053.203.75 2.25 1.62
12.01.25 Nacional – Porto 2–0 (2–0) 8.504.751.36 1.73 2.08
29.12.24 Rio Ave – Nacional 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.103.50 2.08 1.73
23.12.24 Guimaraes – Nacional 2–2 (1–1) 1.533.906.25 1.98 1.88
19.12.24 Nacional – Benfica 0–2 (0–0) 8.507.001.25 1.40 2.88
14.12.24 Nacional – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 2.803.102.60 2.25 1.62

Sp Braga at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.02.25 Sp Braga – Gil Vicente 2–0 (1–0) 1.554.205.50 1.88 1.98
26.01.25 Sp Braga – Boavista 3–0 (2–0) 1.226.5011.00 1.53 2.40
29.12.24 Sp Braga – Casa Pia 1–2 (1–1) 1.424.507.50 1.83 2.03
16.12.24 Sp Braga – Famalicao 3–3 (0–1) 1.484.206.50 1.88 1.98
06.12.24 Sp Braga – Estoril 2–2 (1–0) 1.227.0010.00 1.65 2.20
10.11.24 Sp Braga – Sp Lisbon 2–4 (2–0) 5.254.201.57 1.57 2.35
27.10.24 Sp Braga – Farense 2–0 (1–0) 1.336.007.00 1.54 2.35
29.09.24 Sp Braga – Rio Ave 4–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.00 1.70 2.10
15.09.24 Sp Braga – Guimaraes 0–2 (0–0) 2.003.603.50 2.08 1.73
25.08.24 Sp Braga – Moreirense 3–1 (1–0) 1.574.335.25 1.85 2.00

Nacional away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.02.25 Farense – Nacional 0–2 (0–0) 2.303.203.10 2.20 1.65
25.01.25 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–0 (1–0) 1.149.5012.00 1.37 2.87
29.12.24 Rio Ave – Nacional 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.103.50 2.08 1.73
23.12.24 Guimaraes – Nacional 2–2 (1–1) 1.533.906.25 1.98 1.88
07.12.24 Gil Vicente – Nacional 2–1 (1–0) 2.003.303.80 2.08 1.73
10.11.24 Estrela – Nacional 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.20 2.10 1.70
25.10.24 Casa Pia – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 2.25 1.62
29.09.24 Famalicao – Nacional 0–0 (0–0) 1.603.755.75 2.00 1.85
15.09.24 Estoril – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 2.08 1.73
25.08.24 Arouca – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sp Braga winsDrawsNacional wins
1matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.09.24P1 Nacional – Sp Braga 0–3 (0–0) 5.253.801.65 1.62 2.25

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 22 16 4 2 59 18 +41 52 DWWWDD
2 Benfica 22 16 2 4 50 18 +32 50 LWLWWW
3 Porto 22 14 4 4 46 18 +28 46 LLDDDW
4 Sp Braga 22 13 5 4 38 20 +18 44 WWWWWD
5 Santa Clara 22 12 2 8 25 23 +2 38 DLDWWL
6 Casa Pia 22 9 6 7 29 28 +1 33 DWWLWL
7 Guimaraes 22 7 10 5 30 25 +5 31 DDLWDD
8 Estoril 22 8 7 7 28 34 -6 31 WWWWWD
9 Famalicao 22 6 10 6 24 24 0 28 DLDWDW
10 Moreirense 22 7 5 10 28 33 -5 26 DDLLLW
11 Rio Ave 22 6 8 8 24 36 -12 26 DLWDDD
12 Arouca 22 6 6 10 21 34 -13 24 WDWWDD
13 Nacional 22 6 5 11 21 30 -9 23 WWLLWD
14 Gil Vicente 22 5 7 10 23 34 -11 22 DWLLLL
15 Estrela 22 5 5 12 19 34 -15 20 LLDLLW
16 AVS 22 3 10 9 17 32 -15 19 DLWLLD
17 Farense 22 3 6 13 13 31 -18 15 DDLLLL
18 Boavista 22 2 6 14 14 37 -23 12 LLLLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Benfica 11 10 0 1 34 7 +27 30 WWWLWW
2 Porto 11 9 2 0 27 4 +23 29 WWWWDD
3 Sp Lisbon 11 9 1 1 26 8 +18 28 LWWWWD
4 Santa Clara 12 7 1 4 12 11 +1 22 WLDLWL
5 Guimaraes 11 5 5 1 20 14 +6 20 WDDDWD
6 Casa Pia 11 5 4 2 15 10 +5 19 DDWDWW
7 Moreirense 11 5 4 2 15 13 +2 19 WLDDLW
8 Sp Braga 11 5 3 3 23 15 +8 18 LDDLWW
9 Rio Ave 11 4 6 1 17 16 +1 18 WDWLDD
10 Estoril 11 5 3 3 13 14 -1 18 DWLDWW
11 Nacional 11 5 2 4 14 16 -2 17 WLWWLD
12 Gil Vicente 11 4 4 3 16 12 +4 16 WDDWLL
13 Estrela 11 4 2 5 15 18 -3 14 WWWLLL
14 AVS 11 3 4 4 9 14 -5 13 LLDDWL
15 Famalicao 11 2 6 3 7 9 -2 12 DDLLDD
16 Arouca 10 3 3 4 7 11 -4 12 LLWDWD
17 Farense 11 2 1 8 7 18 -11 7 WLDLLL
18 Boavista 11 0 3 8 4 18 -14 3 DDLLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Braga 11 8 2 1 15 5 +10 26 WWWWWD
2 Sp Lisbon 11 7 3 1 33 10 +23 24 WLDDWD
3 Benfica 11 6 2 3 16 11 +5 20 DWLLWW
4 Porto 11 5 2 4 19 14 +5 17 DWLLDW
5 Famalicao 11 4 4 3 17 15 +2 16 LDDLWW
6 Santa Clara 10 5 1 4 13 12 +1 16 LWLWDW
7 Casa Pia 11 4 2 5 14 18 -4 14 LWWWLL
8 Estoril 11 3 4 4 15 20 -5 13 DLWWWD
9 Arouca 12 3 3 6 14 23 -9 12 LLWDWD
10 Guimaraes 11 2 5 4 10 11 -1 11 LLDDLD
11 Boavista 11 2 3 6 10 19 -9 9 WDLLLL
12 Farense 11 1 5 5 6 13 -7 8 DDWDDL
13 Rio Ave 11 2 2 7 7 20 -13 8 WLLDWD
14 Moreirense 11 2 1 8 13 20 -7 7 LLLDLL
15 Nacional 11 1 3 7 7 14 -7 6 LLDLLW
16 AVS 11 0 6 5 8 18 -10 6 DDDLLD
17 Estrela 11 1 3 7 4 16 -12 6 LLDDLW
18 Gil Vicente 11 1 3 7 7 22 -15 6 LLWDLL

Sp Braga   Nacional

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 22 7 15 2.7 0.8 16 4 2 59 18 52 OOUOUO
2 8 Estoril 22 8 14 1.3 1.5 8 7 7 28 34 31 OOUOOO
3 2 Benfica 22 9 13 2.3 0.8 16 2 4 50 18 50 OOOOOU
4 10 Moreirense 22 9 13 1.3 1.5 7 5 10 28 33 26 UUUOOO
5 3 Porto 22 10 12 2.1 0.8 14 4 4 46 18 46 UOUOUU
6 4 Sp Braga 22 10 12 1.7 0.9 13 5 4 38 20 44 OUOOUU
7 11 Rio Ave 22 11 11 1.1 1.6 6 8 8 24 36 26 UOOOUU
8 12 Arouca 22 11 11 1.0 1.5 6 6 10 21 34 24 OOUOUO
9 14 Gil Vicente 22 11 11 1.0 1.5 5 7 10 23 34 22 UOUOUU
10 7 Guimaraes 22 12 10 1.4 1.1 7 10 5 30 25 31 OOUUUU
11 18 Boavista 22 12 10 0.6 1.7 2 6 14 14 37 12 OOOUOU
12 6 Casa Pia 22 13 9 1.3 1.3 9 6 7 29 28 33 UOOOUO
13 9 Famalicao 22 13 9 1.1 1.1 6 10 6 24 24 28 UOUUUU
14 15 Estrela 22 13 9 0.9 1.5 5 5 12 19 34 20 OUUOUU
15 5 Santa Clara 22 14 8 1.1 1.0 12 2 8 25 23 38 UOUOOU
16 13 Nacional 22 14 8 1.0 1.4 6 5 11 21 30 23 UOUOUO
17 17 Farense 22 14 8 0.6 1.4 3 6 13 13 31 15 UUOOUU
18 16 AVS 22 15 7 0.8 1.5 3 10 9 17 32 19 UOUUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 11 2 9 3.1 0.6 10 0 1 34 7 30 OUOOOO
2 4 Sp Braga 11 4 7 2.1 1.4 5 3 3 23 15 18 OOOOOU
3 7 Guimaraes 11 4 7 1.8 1.3 5 5 1 20 14 20 OOOOUU
4 11 Rio Ave 11 4 7 1.5 1.5 4 6 1 17 16 18 OOOOOU
5 15 Estrela 11 4 7 1.4 1.6 4 2 5 15 18 14 UOUOUO
6 1 Sp Lisbon 11 5 6 2.4 0.7 9 1 1 26 8 28 UOUUOO
7 3 Porto 11 5 6 2.5 0.4 9 2 0 27 4 29 OUUOUU
8 8 Estoril 11 5 6 1.2 1.3 5 3 3 13 14 18 UOUOUO
9 10 Moreirense 11 5 6 1.4 1.2 5 4 2 15 13 19 OOUUOO
10 14 Gil Vicente 11 5 6 1.5 1.1 4 4 3 16 12 16 OUUOOU
11 13 Nacional 11 6 5 1.3 1.5 5 2 4 14 16 17 UUUOOO
12 17 Farense 11 6 5 0.6 1.6 2 1 8 7 18 7 UUOOUU
13 5 Santa Clara 12 8 4 1.0 0.9 7 1 4 12 11 22 UUUOOU
14 6 Casa Pia 11 8 3 1.4 0.9 5 4 2 15 10 19 UUOUOU
15 9 Famalicao 11 8 3 0.6 0.8 2 6 3 7 9 12 UUOOUU
16 16 AVS 11 8 3 0.8 1.3 3 4 4 9 14 13 OUUUUO
17 18 Boavista 11 8 3 0.4 1.6 0 3 8 4 18 3 UUOOUU
18 12 Arouca 10 8 2 0.7 1.1 3 3 4 7 11 12 OUUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 11 2 9 3.0 0.9 7 3 1 33 10 24 OOUOOU
2 12 Arouca 12 3 9 1.2 1.9 3 3 6 14 23 12 OOOOOO
3 8 Estoril 11 3 8 1.4 1.8 3 4 4 15 20 13 OOOOOO
4 10 Moreirense 11 4 7 1.2 1.8 2 1 8 13 20 7 UOUOUO
5 18 Boavista 11 4 7 0.9 1.7 2 3 6 10 19 9 OUOOOO
6 3 Porto 11 5 6 1.7 1.3 5 2 4 19 14 17 UOUOOU
7 6 Casa Pia 11 5 6 1.3 1.6 4 2 5 14 18 14 UUOOOO
8 9 Famalicao 11 5 6 1.5 1.4 4 4 3 17 15 16 OOUOUU
9 4 Sp Braga 11 6 5 1.4 0.5 8 2 1 15 5 26 UUOUOU
10 14 Gil Vicente 11 6 5 0.6 2.0 1 3 7 7 22 6 OOUUUU
11 2 Benfica 11 7 4 1.5 1.0 6 2 3 16 11 20 UUUOOU
12 5 Santa Clara 10 6 4 1.3 1.2 5 1 4 13 12 16 UUUOUO
13 11 Rio Ave 11 7 4 0.6 1.8 2 2 7 7 20 8 UUUUOU
14 16 AVS 11 7 4 0.7 1.6 0 6 5 8 18 6 UUUOUU
15 7 Guimaraes 11 8 3 0.9 1.0 2 5 4 10 11 11 UUOOUU
16 13 Nacional 11 8 3 0.6 1.3 1 3 7 7 14 6 UOOOUU
17 17 Farense 11 8 3 0.5 1.2 1 5 5 6 13 8 UUOUUO
18 15 Estrela 11 9 2 0.4 1.5 1 3 7 4 16 6 UUUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10