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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Rio Ave 3–2 Nacional

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 2.20 fair 2.71
Draw 3.20 fair 4.06
Away 3.20 fair 2.60
Under 2.5 1.70 fair 2.27
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 1.78

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Rio Ave Nacional
11 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 5
1.66 Expected goals (xG) 1.21
8 Corners 8
7 Fouls 17
2 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (67 league matches this season so far).
Result Nacional to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.69
Expected goals 1.45 – 1.48
Home / Draw / Away
Rio AveDrawNacional
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.5% 1–2 8.5% 2–1 8.3%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Rio Ave before this match, all matches
0.57points / match
0.71scored / match
2.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 5:15
Nacional before this match, all matches
0.57points / match
1.00scored / match
2.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 7:15
Rio Ave all matches all matches Nacional

Per match

0.71 Goals scored 1.00
2.14 Goals conceded 2.14
2.86 Total goals 3.14
0.56 xG created 1.16
1.90 xG allowed 1.87
7.14 Shots 10.71
2.57 Shots on target 2.86
16.86 Shots faced 15.14
3.14 Corners 3.86
5.86 Corners against 4.29
9.14 Fouls 10.29
1.43 Yellow cards 1.29
0.29 1st-half goals scored 0.43
1.14 1st-half goals conceded 1.57

How often Full Time

14% Wins 14%
14% Draws 14%
71% Losses 71%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 86%
43% Over 2.5 goals 57%
43% Over 3.5 goals 57%
14% Over 4.5 goals 14%
14% Over 5.5 goals 0%
14% Both teams scored 43%
14% Clean sheets 14%
71% Failed to score 43%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 0%
29% Draws 43%
57% Losses 57%
86% Over 0.5 goals 86%
29% Over 1.5 goals 57%
14% Over 2.5 goals 43%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Rio Ave all matches
Nacional all matches
Rio Ave before this match, at home
0.33points / match
1.00scored / match
3.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:9
Nacional before this match, away
0.33points / match
0.67scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 2:5
Rio Ave at home away Nacional

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 0.67
3.00 Goals conceded 1.67
4.00 Total goals 2.33
0.76 xG created 0.58
1.84 xG allowed 2.53
10.00 Shots 6.67
2.33 Shots on target 2.00
16.00 Shots faced 20.33
4.00 Corners 2.33
4.67 Corners against 6.67
8.00 Fouls 9.67
1.00 Yellow cards 1.33
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.67
2.00 1st-half goals conceded 1.33

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
33% Draws 33%
67% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 67%
67% Over 2.5 goals 33%
67% Over 3.5 goals 33%
33% Over 4.5 goals 0%
33% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 33%
0% Clean sheets 0%
67% Failed to score 67%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
33% Draws 33%
67% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 33%
33% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Rio Ave at home
Nacional away

Last 10 matches before this match

Rio Ave all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.09.26 Alverca – Rio Ave 1–0 (1–0) 1.863.504.00 2.00 1.80
14.09.26 Rio Ave – Estrela 3–3 (1–1) 2.753.252.45 2.05 1.75
06.09.26 Santa Clara – Rio Ave 4–0 (1–0) 1.763.404.75 2.20 1.65
28.08.26 Rio Ave – Sp Lisbon 0–4 (0–4) 8.505.501.27 1.60 2.30
22.08.26 Estoril – Rio Ave 0–2 (0–1) 1.863.504.00 1.80 2.00
15.08.26 Rio Ave – Porto 0–2 (0–1) 7.504.501.39 1.83 2.03
09.08.26 Gil Vicente – Rio Ave 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.503.80 1.98 1.88
16.05.26 Casa Pia – Rio Ave 1–1 (1–0) 1.623.755.00 1.83 2.03
11.05.26 Rio Ave – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (1–2) 10.005.501.24 1.40 2.88
03.05.26 Rio Ave – Gil Vicente 0–0 (0–0) 3.803.501.91 1.95 1.90

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.09.26 Nacional – Famalicao 0–4 (0–3) 3.603.402.01 2.10 1.70
12.09.26 Nacional – Alverca 1–3 (0–3) 2.573.402.65 2.05 1.75
05.09.26 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–0 (1–0) 1.176.5013.00 1.44 2.70
30.08.26 Nacional – Estrela 2–3 (1–1) 2.303.303.10 2.00 1.85
23.08.26 Guimaraes – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.663.605.00 1.95 1.90
16.08.26 Nacional – Estoril 2–0 (0–0) 2.653.302.55 1.93 1.93
10.08.26 Santa Clara – Nacional 2–2 (2–2) 1.863.254.20 2.15 1.67
16.05.26 Nacional – Guimaraes 2–0 (0–0) 1.963.503.50 1.75 2.05
11.05.26 Santa Clara – Nacional 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 2.05 1.75
02.05.26 Nacional – AVS 1–2 (1–1) 1.424.337.00 1.65 2.20

Rio Ave at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.26 Rio Ave – Estrela 3–3 (1–1) 2.753.252.45 2.05 1.75
28.08.26 Rio Ave – Sp Lisbon 0–4 (0–4) 8.505.501.27 1.60 2.30
15.08.26 Rio Ave – Porto 0–2 (0–1) 7.504.501.39 1.83 2.03
11.05.26 Rio Ave – Sp Lisbon 1–4 (1–2) 10.005.501.24 1.40 2.88
03.05.26 Rio Ave – Gil Vicente 0–0 (0–0) 3.803.501.91 1.95 1.90
17.04.26 Rio Ave – AVS 2–2 (1–1) 1.683.704.75 1.98 1.88
04.04.26 Rio Ave – Alverca 1–2 (0–2) 2.453.302.75 2.00 1.80
15.03.26 Rio Ave – Estrela 2–1 (1–0) 2.253.253.10 2.05 1.75
01.03.26 Rio Ave – Famalicao 0–0 (0–0) 4.103.401.81 1.93 1.93
16.02.26 Rio Ave – Moreirense 1–2 (1–1) 2.823.202.45 2.20 1.65

Nacional away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.26 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–0 (1–0) 1.176.5013.00 1.44 2.70
23.08.26 Guimaraes – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 1.663.605.00 1.95 1.90
10.08.26 Santa Clara – Nacional 2–2 (2–2) 1.863.254.20 2.15 1.67
11.05.26 Santa Clara – Nacional 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 2.05 1.75
25.04.26 Tondela – Nacional 0–2 (0–2) 2.753.402.40 1.95 1.90
12.04.26 Benfica – Nacional 2–0 (2–0) 1.118.0015.00 1.36 3.10
21.03.26 Famalicao – Nacional 1–0 (0–0) 1.663.605.00 1.85 2.00
07.03.26 Moreirense – Nacional 1–1 (1–0) 2.303.253.00 2.15 1.67
21.02.26 Arouca – Nacional 3–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.00 1.95 1.90
01.02.26 Sp Lisbon – Nacional 2–1 (0–0) 1.108.0019.00 1.36 3.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Rio Ave winsDrawsNacional wins
4matches
3.75goals / match
75%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.26P1 Nacional – Rio Ave 4–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 1.95 1.85
17.08.25P1 Rio Ave – Nacional 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.203.20 2.05 1.75
10.05.25P1 Nacional – Rio Ave 3–3 (0–3) 1.953.503.75 1.93 1.93
29.12.24P1 Rio Ave – Nacional 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.103.50 2.08 1.73

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 8 8 0 0 20 4 +16 24 WWWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 8 5 3 0 20 9 +11 18 WWWDDW
3 Santa Clara 8 5 3 0 12 4 +8 18 WDWWDW
4 Benfica 7 5 1 1 22 7 +15 16 WWWWWL
5 Academico Viseu 8 4 2 2 11 10 +1 14 DLWWWW
6 Arouca 7 3 2 2 10 7 +3 11 WLWDLD
7 Gil Vicente 7 3 2 2 6 5 +1 11 WDLLDW
8 Sp Braga 7 3 2 2 8 8 0 11 WWLWDL
9 Estrela 7 2 4 1 14 14 0 10 DWDWDL
10 Alverca 7 2 2 3 9 11 -2 8 DLDLWW
11 Maritimo 8 2 2 4 9 14 -5 8 DLLLDL
12 Moreirense 8 2 2 4 8 15 -7 8 WLLWDL
13 Famalicao 7 1 4 2 9 7 +2 7 LLDDDW
14 Guimaraes 7 1 2 4 5 8 -3 5 LWLDLD
15 Nacional 7 1 1 5 7 15 -8 4 WLLLLL
16 Rio Ave 7 1 1 5 5 15 -10 4 LWLLDL
17 Casa Pia 8 1 1 6 3 17 -14 4 LLDLWL
18 Estoril 8 0 2 6 4 12 -8 2 LLDLLL
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Champions League – 3rd qualifying round
  • Europa League – 2nd qualifying round
  • Conference League – 2nd qualifying round
  • Relegation play-off
  • Relegation to Liga Portugal 2

Taça de Portugal winners also qualify for Europe, so European places can move down the table.

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 4 4 0 0 9 2 +7 12 WWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 4 3 1 0 10 5 +5 10 WWWD
3 Santa Clara 4 2 2 0 7 2 +5 8 DWWD
4 Benfica 3 2 1 0 7 4 +3 7 DWW
5 Gil Vicente 4 2 1 1 4 2 +2 7 WWLD
6 Arouca 3 2 0 1 7 3 +4 6 WWL
7 Sp Braga 3 2 0 1 3 3 0 6 WWL
8 Academico Viseu 4 2 0 2 4 6 -2 6 LLWW
9 Alverca 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5 DDLW
10 Guimaraes 4 1 2 1 2 2 0 5 LWDD
11 Estrela 4 1 2 1 6 7 -1 5 DDWL
12 Moreirense 4 1 1 2 5 8 -3 4 DLWL
13 Maritimo 4 1 1 2 4 7 -3 4 WDLL
14 Nacional 4 1 0 3 5 10 -5 3 WLLL
15 Famalicao 3 0 2 1 2 3 -1 2 LDD
16 Estoril 4 0 2 2 2 5 -3 2 DLDL
17 Rio Ave 3 0 1 2 3 9 -6 1 LLD
18 Casa Pia 4 0 0 4 1 13 -12 0 LLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 4 4 0 0 11 2 +9 12 WWWW
2 Santa Clara 4 3 1 0 5 2 +3 10 WDWW
3 Benfica 4 3 0 1 15 3 +12 9 WWWL
4 Sp Lisbon 4 2 2 0 10 4 +6 8 DWDW
5 Academico Viseu 4 2 2 0 7 4 +3 8 DDWW
6 Famalicao 4 1 2 1 7 4 +3 5 DLDW
7 Estrela 3 1 2 0 8 7 +1 5 DWD
8 Sp Braga 4 1 2 1 5 5 0 5 DWLD
9 Arouca 4 1 2 1 3 4 -1 5 WLDD
10 Gil Vicente 3 1 1 1 2 3 -1 4 DLW
11 Maritimo 4 1 1 2 5 7 -2 4 WLLD
12 Casa Pia 4 1 1 2 2 4 -2 4 LLDW
13 Moreirense 4 1 1 2 3 7 -4 4 LWLD
14 Alverca 3 1 0 2 4 6 -2 3 LLW
15 Rio Ave 4 1 0 3 2 6 -4 3 LWLL
16 Nacional 3 0 1 2 2 5 -3 1 DLL
17 Guimaraes 3 0 0 3 3 6 -3 0 LLL
18 Estoril 4 0 0 4 2 7 -5 0 LLLL

Rio Ave   Nacional

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Benfica 7 0 7 3.1 1.0 5 1 1 22 7 16 OOOOOO
2 2 Sp Lisbon 8 2 6 2.5 1.1 5 3 0 20 9 18 OOUUOO
3 9 Estrela 7 1 6 2.0 2.0 2 4 1 14 14 10 OOOOOU
4 11 Maritimo 8 2 6 1.1 1.8 2 2 4 9 14 8 OOOOUO
5 1 Porto 8 3 5 2.5 0.5 8 0 0 20 4 24 UOOOOO
6 5 Academico Viseu 8 3 5 1.4 1.2 4 2 2 11 10 14 OOUOUO
7 12 Moreirense 8 3 5 1.0 1.9 2 2 4 8 15 8 UOOOUU
8 6 Arouca 7 3 4 1.4 1.0 3 2 2 10 7 11 OUOUOO
9 8 Sp Braga 7 3 4 1.1 1.1 3 2 2 8 8 11 UOOUUO
10 10 Alverca 7 3 4 1.3 1.6 2 2 3 9 11 8 OOUOOU
11 15 Nacional 7 3 4 1.0 2.1 1 1 5 7 15 4 UUOUOO
12 3 Santa Clara 8 5 3 1.5 0.5 5 3 0 12 4 18 UUOOUU
13 13 Famalicao 7 4 3 1.3 1.0 1 4 2 9 7 7 OUUOUO
14 16 Rio Ave 7 4 3 0.7 2.1 1 1 5 5 15 4 UUOOOU
15 17 Casa Pia 8 5 3 0.4 2.1 1 1 6 3 17 4 UUUOOU
16 18 Estoril 8 5 3 0.5 1.5 0 2 6 4 12 2 UOUUOO
17 14 Guimaraes 7 5 2 0.7 1.1 1 2 4 5 8 5 OUUUOU
18 7 Gil Vicente 7 6 1 0.9 0.7 3 2 2 6 5 11 UUUOUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 4 1 3 2.5 1.2 3 1 0 10 5 10 OOUO
2 4 Benfica 3 0 3 2.3 1.3 2 1 0 7 4 7 OOO
3 5 Academico Viseu 4 1 3 1.0 1.5 2 0 2 4 6 6 UOOO
4 6 Arouca 3 0 3 2.3 1.0 2 0 1 7 3 6 OOO
5 9 Estrela 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 1 2 1 6 7 5 OOOU
6 11 Maritimo 4 1 3 1.0 1.8 1 1 2 4 7 4 UOOO
7 12 Moreirense 4 1 3 1.2 2.0 1 1 2 5 8 4 OOOU
8 15 Nacional 4 1 3 1.2 2.5 1 0 3 5 10 3 UOOO
9 1 Porto 4 2 2 2.2 0.5 4 0 0 9 2 12 UUOO
10 3 Santa Clara 4 2 2 1.8 0.5 2 2 0 7 2 8 OUOU
11 10 Alverca 4 2 2 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5 OUOU
12 16 Rio Ave 3 1 2 1.0 3.0 0 1 2 3 9 1 UOO
13 17 Casa Pia 4 2 2 0.2 3.2 0 0 4 1 13 0 OUOU
14 8 Sp Braga 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 2 0 1 3 3 6 UUO
15 13 Famalicao 3 2 1 0.7 1.0 0 2 1 2 3 2 OUU
16 18 Estoril 4 3 1 0.5 1.2 0 2 2 2 5 2 UUUO
17 7 Gil Vicente 4 4 0 1.0 0.5 2 1 1 4 2 7 UUUU
18 14 Guimaraes 4 4 0 0.5 0.5 1 2 1 2 2 5 UUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 4 Benfica 4 0 4 3.8 0.8 3 0 1 15 3 9 OOOO
2 1 Porto 4 1 3 2.8 0.5 4 0 0 11 2 12 UOOO
3 2 Sp Lisbon 4 1 3 2.5 1.0 2 2 0 10 4 8 OOUO
4 8 Sp Braga 4 1 3 1.2 1.2 1 2 1 5 5 5 OOOU
5 9 Estrela 3 0 3 2.7 2.3 1 2 0 8 7 5 OOO
6 11 Maritimo 4 1 3 1.2 1.8 1 1 2 5 7 4 OOOU
7 5 Academico Viseu 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 2 2 0 7 4 8 OOUU
8 10 Alverca 3 1 2 1.3 2.0 1 0 2 4 6 3 UOO
9 12 Moreirense 4 2 2 0.8 1.8 1 1 2 3 7 4 OUOU
10 13 Famalicao 4 2 2 1.8 1.0 1 2 1 7 4 5 UUOO
11 14 Guimaraes 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 0 0 3 3 6 0 OUO
12 18 Estoril 4 2 2 0.5 1.8 0 0 4 2 7 0 UOUO
13 3 Santa Clara 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 3 1 0 5 2 10 UUOU
14 6 Arouca 4 3 1 0.8 1.0 1 2 1 3 4 5 UUUO
15 7 Gil Vicente 3 2 1 0.7 1.0 1 1 1 2 3 4 UOU
16 15 Nacional 3 2 1 0.7 1.7 0 1 2 2 5 1 OUU
17 16 Rio Ave 4 3 1 0.5 1.5 1 0 3 2 6 3 UUOU
18 17 Casa Pia 4 3 1 0.5 1.0 1 1 2 2 4 4 UUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47