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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estoril 1–3 Porto

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2025/2026

Home 6.50 fair 3.85
Draw 4.50 fair 4.26
Away ✓ 1.42 fair 1.98
Under 2.5 2.15 fair 2.30
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.77

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estoril Porto
8 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 5
1 Corners 8
13 Fouls 15
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (257 league matches this season so far).
Result Porto to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.73
Expected goals 1.19 – 1.75
Home / Draw / Away
EstorilDrawPorto
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11% 1–2 9.6% 0–1 9.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Estoril before this match, all matches
1.32points / match
1.79scored / match
1.68conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 50:47
Porto before this match, all matches
2.61points / match
2.00scored / match
0.46conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 56:13
Estoril all matches all matches Porto

Per match

1.79 Goals scored 2.00
1.68 Goals conceded 0.46
3.46 Total goals 2.46
12.11 Shots 13.96
4.25 Shots on target 5.29
12.07 Shots faced 9.68
4.57 Corners 5.36
4.71 Corners against 3.04
12.93 Fouls 13.93
2.50 Yellow cards 2.43
0.93 1st-half goals scored 0.86
0.82 1st-half goals conceded 0.11

How often Full Time

36% Wins 82%
25% Draws 14%
39% Losses 4%
96% Over 0.5 goals 96%
79% Over 1.5 goals 71%
68% Over 2.5 goals 57%
57% Over 3.5 goals 21%
29% Over 4.5 goals 0%
14% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 36%
18% Clean sheets 64%
29% Failed to score 4%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 61%
32% Draws 36%
32% Losses 4%
89% Over 0.5 goals 68%
54% Over 1.5 goals 25%
21% Over 2.5 goals 4%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril all matches
Porto all matches
Estoril before this match, at home
1.64points / match
1.93scored / match
1.36conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 27:19
Porto before this match, away
2.64points / match
1.93scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 27:7
Estoril at home away Porto

Per match

1.93 Goals scored 1.93
1.36 Goals conceded 0.50
3.29 Total goals 2.43
12.21 Shots 13.79
4.64 Shots on target 5.43
10.71 Shots faced 11.57
4.79 Corners 5.36
5.07 Corners against 3.36
12.21 Fouls 14.50
2.64 Yellow cards 2.64
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.64
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.21

How often Full Time

43% Wins 86%
36% Draws 7%
21% Losses 7%
93% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 71%
57% Over 2.5 goals 57%
50% Over 3.5 goals 14%
29% Over 4.5 goals 0%
21% Over 5.5 goals 0%
71% Both teams scored 36%
14% Clean sheets 64%
21% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 43%
43% Draws 50%
21% Losses 7%
86% Over 0.5 goals 57%
50% Over 1.5 goals 29%
21% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril at home
Porto away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estoril all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.26 Arouca – Estoril 3–2 (2–2) 2.453.402.65 1.75 2.05
22.03.26 Estoril – Rio Ave 1–2 (1–0) 1.713.754.33 1.67 2.15
15.03.26 Nacional – Estoril 0–1 (0–1) 2.403.502.70 1.67 2.15
07.03.26 Estoril – Casa Pia 0–0 (0–0) 1.663.804.50 1.73 2.08
27.02.26 Sp Lisbon – Estoril 3–0 (2–0) 1.157.5012.00 1.30 3.50
22.02.26 Estoril – Gil Vicente 3–1 (1–1) 2.703.252.50 1.95 1.85
15.02.26 AVS – Estoril 3–0 (0–0) 4.333.751.71 1.70 2.10
07.02.26 Estoril – Tondela 2–2 (2–2) 1.663.904.75 1.80 2.00
31.01.26 Santa Clara – Estoril 2–4 (0–2) 2.203.003.40 2.25 1.62
24.01.26 Estoril – Guimaraes 4–2 (1–2) 2.353.302.85 2.05 1.80

Porto all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.04.26 Porto – Famalicao 2–2 (1–0) 1.354.508.50 1.95 1.85
22.03.26 Sp Braga – Porto 1–2 (0–0) 3.403.102.15 2.25 1.62
15.03.26 Porto – Moreirense 3–0 (2–0) 1.156.5017.00 1.73 2.08
08.03.26 Benfica – Porto 2–2 (0–2) 2.103.253.40 2.15 1.67
27.02.26 Porto – Arouca 3–1 (1–0) 1.196.2511.00 1.75 2.05
22.02.26 Porto – Rio Ave 1–0 (1–0) 1.099.0017.00 1.48 2.60
15.02.26 Nacional – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 9.504.501.30 1.75 2.05
09.02.26 Porto – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–0) 2.253.003.40 2.25 1.62
02.02.26 Casa Pia – Porto 2–1 (2–0) 12.005.001.25 1.80 2.00
26.01.26 Porto – Gil Vicente 3–0 (1–0) 1.354.508.50 2.03 1.83

Estoril at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.03.26 Estoril – Rio Ave 1–2 (1–0) 1.713.754.33 1.67 2.15
07.03.26 Estoril – Casa Pia 0–0 (0–0) 1.663.804.50 1.73 2.08
22.02.26 Estoril – Gil Vicente 3–1 (1–1) 2.703.252.50 1.95 1.85
07.02.26 Estoril – Tondela 2–2 (2–2) 1.663.904.75 1.80 2.00
24.01.26 Estoril – Guimaraes 4–2 (1–2) 2.353.302.85 2.05 1.80
27.12.25 Estoril – Alverca 4–1 (2–0) 2.153.253.25 2.08 1.73
19.12.25 Estoril – Sp Braga 1–0 (1–0) 5.254.001.53 1.83 2.03
07.12.25 Estoril – Moreirense 3–3 (1–1) 2.053.403.50 2.10 1.70
07.11.25 Estoril – Arouca 4–3 (2–2) 1.913.603.70 1.95 1.90
26.10.25 Estoril – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.253.30 2.05 1.75

Porto away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.03.26 Sp Braga – Porto 1–2 (0–0) 3.403.102.15 2.25 1.62
08.03.26 Benfica – Porto 2–2 (0–2) 2.103.253.40 2.15 1.67
15.02.26 Nacional – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 9.504.501.30 1.75 2.05
02.02.26 Casa Pia – Porto 2–1 (2–0) 12.005.001.25 1.80 2.00
18.01.26 Guimaraes – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 7.004.101.45 2.05 1.75
04.01.26 Santa Clara – Porto 0–1 (0–0) 8.004.001.42 2.25 1.62
22.12.25 Alverca – Porto 0–3 (0–1) 9.004.751.33 1.93 1.93
07.12.25 Tondela – Porto 0–2 (0–0) 11.005.751.22 1.73 2.08
09.11.25 Famalicao – Porto 0–1 (0–1) 5.503.901.56 2.00 1.85
27.10.25 Moreirense – Porto 1–2 (1–1) 9.505.501.27 1.83 2.03

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Estoril winsDrawsPorto wins
9matches
2.67goals / match
44%over 2.5
44%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.25P1 Porto – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 1.225.5012.00 1.57 2.35
30.03.25P1 Estoril – Porto 1–2 (1–1) 6.254.101.53 2.00 1.85
03.11.24P1 Porto – Estoril 4–0 (2–0) 1.148.0015.00 1.44 2.70
30.03.24P1 Estoril – Porto 1–0 (0–0) 9.005.001.36 1.57 2.35
03.11.23P1 Porto – Estoril 0–1 (0–0) 1.187.5012.00 1.40 2.88
10.03.23P1 Porto – Estoril 3–2 (2–1) 1.186.5013.00 1.57 2.35
17.09.22P1 Estoril – Porto 1–1 (1–0) 9.505.001.30 1.70 2.10
14.05.22P1 Porto – Estoril 2–0 (0–0) 1.188.0011.00 1.44 2.70
08.01.22P1 Estoril – Porto 2–3 (2–0) 26.008.501.09 1.50 2.50

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 28 23 4 1 56 13 +43 73 WWDWWD
2 Sp Lisbon 28 22 5 1 73 17 +56 71 WWDWWW
3 Benfica 29 20 9 0 61 18 +43 69 WDWWDW
4 Sp Braga 28 15 7 6 55 27 +28 52 WWDLWW
5 Famalicao 29 13 8 8 36 25 +11 47 DWWWDD
6 Gil Vicente 28 12 9 7 42 28 +14 45 LLDDLW
7 Estoril 28 10 7 11 50 47 +3 37 WLDWLL
8 Guimaraes 29 10 6 13 35 43 -8 36 DLLLWD
9 Moreirense 29 10 6 13 32 41 -9 36 DDLLLD
10 Alverca 29 9 8 12 32 47 -15 35 DDDLWW
11 Rio Ave 29 8 9 12 31 48 -17 33 DWWWLW
12 Arouca 29 9 5 15 37 58 -21 32 LLLWWL
13 Santa Clara 29 7 7 15 26 37 -11 28 DWWWLL
14 Estrela 29 6 10 13 33 48 -15 28 DDLWLL
15 Nacional 29 6 7 16 31 41 -10 25 LDLLWL
16 Casa Pia 28 5 10 13 28 52 -24 25 LDDLDL
17 Tondela 27 4 8 15 19 44 -25 20 DWDLDL
18 AVS 29 1 9 19 19 62 -43 12 DDLDLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 14 11 3 0 29 6 +23 36 WDWWWD
2 Benfica 15 10 5 0 35 10 +25 35 WWWDWW
3 Sp Lisbon 13 11 1 1 40 6 +34 34 WWWWWW
4 Sp Braga 14 8 3 3 29 13 +16 27 WWWDLW
5 Famalicao 15 8 3 4 24 10 +14 27 WWWWWD
6 Gil Vicente 14 8 3 3 25 12 +13 27 WWWLDW
7 Guimaraes 15 7 4 4 24 18 +6 25 LWWDLW
8 Estoril 14 6 5 3 27 19 +8 23 WWDWDL
9 Alverca 15 6 4 5 15 21 -6 22 WDDDLW
10 Moreirense 14 6 2 6 16 19 -3 20 WLLDLL
11 Arouca 14 5 3 6 21 27 -6 18 DLWWLW
12 Estrela 15 4 5 6 20 22 -2 17 LWLDWL
13 Santa Clara 15 5 2 8 13 16 -3 17 LLLWWL
14 Nacional 14 4 2 8 19 21 -2 14 WDLLLW
15 Casa Pia 13 2 7 4 17 23 -6 13 DDWWDD
16 Rio Ave 14 3 4 7 14 23 -9 13 LLLDWL
17 Tondela 14 1 6 7 9 17 -8 9 LDDDLD
18 AVS 15 1 5 9 11 25 -14 8 LLWDLD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 15 11 4 0 33 11 +22 37 WDWDWW
2 Porto 14 12 1 1 27 7 +20 37 WWLWDW
3 Benfica 14 10 4 0 26 8 +18 34 WDWWWD
4 Sp Braga 14 7 4 3 26 14 +12 25 DWWLWW
5 Famalicao 14 5 5 4 12 15 -3 20 WLLDWD
6 Rio Ave 15 5 5 5 17 25 -8 20 LLLWWW
7 Gil Vicente 14 4 6 4 17 16 +1 18 DLWLDL
8 Moreirense 15 4 4 7 16 22 -6 16 LLWDLD
9 Estoril 14 4 2 8 23 28 -5 14 WWLLWL
10 Arouca 15 4 2 9 16 31 -15 14 WLLLWL
11 Alverca 14 3 4 7 17 26 -9 13 LLDDDW
12 Casa Pia 15 3 3 9 11 29 -18 12 LDLDLL
13 Santa Clara 14 2 5 7 13 21 -8 11 LLDDWL
14 Nacional 15 2 5 8 12 20 -8 11 LLLDLL
15 Estrela 14 2 5 7 13 26 -13 11 LDLDLL
16 Guimaraes 14 3 2 9 11 25 -14 11 LLLLLD
17 Tondela 13 3 2 8 10 27 -17 11 LLLDWL
18 AVS 14 0 4 10 8 37 -29 4 DLLDDL

Estoril   Porto

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 28 9 19 2.6 0.6 22 5 1 73 17 71 OOOOOU
2 3 Benfica 29 10 19 2.1 0.6 20 9 0 61 18 69 OOOOUU
3 4 Sp Braga 28 9 19 2.0 1.0 15 7 6 55 27 52 OOOOUU
4 7 Estoril 28 9 19 1.8 1.7 10 7 11 50 47 37 OOUUOO
5 12 Arouca 29 10 19 1.3 2.0 9 5 15 37 58 32 OUOUOU
6 11 Rio Ave 29 11 18 1.1 1.7 8 9 12 31 48 33 UUOOOU
7 18 AVS 29 12 17 0.7 2.1 1 9 19 19 62 12 UUUUOU
8 1 Porto 28 12 16 2.0 0.5 23 4 1 56 13 73 UOOOOO
9 10 Alverca 29 13 16 1.1 1.6 9 8 12 32 47 35 UUOOOO
10 9 Moreirense 29 14 15 1.1 1.4 10 6 13 32 41 36 UUOUUU
11 14 Estrela 29 14 15 1.1 1.7 6 10 13 33 48 28 UOOOUU
12 6 Gil Vicente 28 14 14 1.5 1.0 12 9 7 42 28 45 OOOOUO
13 8 Guimaraes 29 15 14 1.2 1.5 10 6 13 35 43 36 UUOOOU
14 16 Casa Pia 28 14 14 1.0 1.9 5 10 13 28 52 25 UUUOUO
15 17 Tondela 27 13 14 0.7 1.6 4 8 15 19 44 20 UUOUUO
16 15 Nacional 29 16 13 1.1 1.4 6 7 16 31 41 25 OUUUUU
17 5 Famalicao 29 18 11 1.2 0.9 13 8 8 36 25 47 UUOUOU
18 13 Santa Clara 29 19 10 0.9 1.3 7 7 15 26 37 28 OUUUOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 13 3 10 3.1 0.5 11 1 1 40 6 34 OOOUOO
2 3 Benfica 15 5 10 2.3 0.7 10 5 0 35 10 35 OOOOOU
3 4 Sp Braga 14 4 10 2.1 0.9 8 3 3 29 13 27 OOOOOU
4 12 Arouca 14 4 10 1.5 1.9 5 3 6 21 27 18 OOOOOO
5 8 Guimaraes 15 6 9 1.6 1.2 7 4 4 24 18 25 UUOUOO
6 11 Rio Ave 14 5 9 1.0 1.6 3 4 7 14 23 13 UOOUOO
7 1 Porto 14 6 8 2.1 0.4 11 3 0 29 6 36 OUUOOO
8 7 Estoril 14 6 8 1.9 1.4 6 5 3 27 19 23 OOOOUO
9 9 Moreirense 14 6 8 1.1 1.4 6 2 6 16 19 20 UOOUUU
10 14 Estrela 15 7 8 1.3 1.5 4 5 6 20 22 17 OUUOOU
11 15 Nacional 14 6 8 1.4 1.5 4 2 8 19 21 14 OUUOUU
12 5 Famalicao 15 8 7 1.6 0.7 8 3 4 24 10 27 OOUUUU
13 6 Gil Vicente 14 7 7 1.8 0.9 8 3 3 25 12 27 OOOOOO
14 10 Alverca 15 8 7 1.0 1.4 6 4 5 15 21 22 OUUUOO
15 18 AVS 15 8 7 0.7 1.7 1 5 9 11 25 8 UOOUUU
16 13 Santa Clara 15 10 5 0.9 1.1 5 2 8 13 16 17 UOOUUU
17 16 Casa Pia 13 8 5 1.3 1.8 2 7 4 17 23 13 UOOOUU
18 17 Tondela 14 9 5 0.6 1.2 1 6 7 9 17 9 UUUOUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 7 Estoril 14 3 11 1.6 2.0 4 2 8 23 28 14 OOOOUO
2 18 AVS 14 4 10 0.6 2.6 0 4 10 8 37 4 OOOUUO
3 2 Sp Lisbon 15 6 9 2.2 0.7 11 4 0 33 11 37 OUOOOU
4 3 Benfica 14 5 9 1.9 0.6 10 4 0 26 8 34 UUOOOU
5 4 Sp Braga 14 5 9 1.9 1.0 7 4 3 26 14 25 OUOOOU
6 10 Alverca 14 5 9 1.2 1.9 3 4 7 17 26 13 OOUUOO
7 11 Rio Ave 15 6 9 1.1 1.7 5 5 5 17 25 20 OOUUOU
8 12 Arouca 15 6 9 1.1 2.1 4 2 9 16 31 14 OOOUUU
9 16 Casa Pia 15 6 9 0.7 1.9 3 3 9 11 29 12 OUUUOO
10 17 Tondela 13 4 9 0.8 2.1 3 2 8 10 27 11 OUOOUO
11 1 Porto 14 6 8 1.9 0.5 12 1 1 27 7 37 UUOUOO
12 6 Gil Vicente 14 7 7 1.2 1.1 4 6 4 17 16 18 OOOOOU
13 9 Moreirense 15 8 7 1.1 1.5 4 4 7 16 22 16 OUOUOU
14 14 Estrela 14 7 7 0.9 1.9 2 5 7 13 26 11 OUOUOU
15 8 Guimaraes 14 9 5 0.8 1.8 3 2 9 11 25 11 OOOUOU
16 13 Santa Clara 14 9 5 0.9 1.5 2 5 7 13 21 11 UUUOUO
17 15 Nacional 15 10 5 0.8 1.3 2 5 8 12 20 11 OOOUUU
18 5 Famalicao 14 10 4 0.9 1.1 5 5 4 12 15 20 UOUUOO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10