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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estoril 3–3 Moreirense

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 2.05 fair 2.38
Draw ✓ 3.40 fair 4.08
Away 3.50 fair 2.98
Under 2.5 1.70 fair 2.28
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.10 fair 1.78

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estoril Moreirense
9 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 5
1 Corners 5
16 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (112 league matches this season so far).
Result Estoril to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.70
Expected goals 1.56 – 1.37
Home / Draw / Away
EstorilDrawMoreirense
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4% 2–1 8.9% 1–0 8.3%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Estoril before this match, all matches
1.08points / match
1.58scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 19:18
Moreirense before this match, all matches
1.58points / match
1.50scored / match
1.42conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 18:17
Estoril all matches all matches Moreirense

Per match

1.58 Goals scored 1.50
1.50 Goals conceded 1.42
3.08 Total goals 2.92
13.42 Shots 9.42
4.08 Shots on target 3.25
11.33 Shots faced 14.50
4.33 Corners 3.75
4.50 Corners against 4.67
12.75 Fouls 14.92
3.00 Yellow cards 3.00
0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.58
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

25% Wins 50%
33% Draws 8%
42% Losses 42%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 92%
50% Over 2.5 goals 67%
50% Over 3.5 goals 25%
17% Over 4.5 goals 8%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
58% Both teams scored 58%
8% Clean sheets 25%
33% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 17%
25% Draws 67%
42% Losses 17%
92% Over 0.5 goals 67%
42% Over 1.5 goals 42%
17% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril all matches
Moreirense all matches
Estoril before this match, at home
1.33points / match
1.50scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 9:8
Moreirense before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.00scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 6:10
Estoril at home away Moreirense

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.00
1.33 Goals conceded 1.67
2.83 Total goals 2.67
12.83 Shots 7.83
4.17 Shots on target 2.17
10.83 Shots faced 14.67
4.83 Corners 2.67
5.33 Corners against 4.17
12.50 Fouls 15.00
3.50 Yellow cards 2.50
0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

33% Wins 33%
33% Draws 0%
33% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 83%
33% Over 2.5 goals 50%
33% Over 3.5 goals 17%
17% Over 4.5 goals 17%
17% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 33%
0% Clean sheets 33%
33% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
33% Draws 50%
33% Losses 17%
83% Over 0.5 goals 67%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
17% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril at home
Moreirense away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estoril all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.11.25 Porto – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 1.225.5012.00 1.57 2.35
07.11.25 Estoril – Arouca 4–3 (2–2) 1.913.603.70 1.95 1.90
01.11.25 Rio Ave – Estoril 0–4 (0–2) 2.353.202.95 2.00 1.85
26.10.25 Estoril – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.253.30 2.05 1.75
03.10.25 Casa Pia – Estoril 2–2 (2–1) 2.503.302.65 2.05 1.80
27.09.25 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–1 (0–1) 9.505.501.25 1.53 2.40
21.09.25 Gil Vicente – Estoril 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.203.30 2.30 1.60
13.09.25 Estoril – AVS 3–1 (2–0) 1.813.704.00 2.15 1.67
06.09.25 Estoril – Santa Clara 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.002.70 2.40 1.53
31.08.25 Tondela – Estoril 2–2 (0–1) 2.803.102.45 2.25 1.62

Moreirense all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.11.25 Moreirense – Famalicao 2–2 (0–1) 3.403.252.10 2.10 1.70
09.11.25 Sp Braga – Moreirense 2–1 (1–0) 1.374.757.00 1.75 2.05
02.11.25 Arouca – Moreirense 0–2 (0–2) 2.573.202.65 2.10 1.70
27.10.25 Moreirense – Porto 1–2 (1–1) 9.505.501.27 1.83 2.03
04.10.25 Nacional – Moreirense 3–2 (1–1) 2.323.103.10 2.35 1.57
27.09.25 Moreirense – Casa Pia 2–1 (1–1) 2.053.303.60 2.50 1.50
22.09.25 Sp Lisbon – Moreirense 3–0 (0–0) 1.177.0012.00 1.57 2.35
13.09.25 Moreirense – Rio Ave 3–1 (0–0) 2.503.003.00 2.25 1.62
29.08.25 Gil Vicente – Moreirense 2–0 (0–0) 2.552.823.10 3.10 1.36
23.08.25 Moreirense – Guimaraes 2–0 (0–0) 3.303.252.20 2.25 1.62

Estoril at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.11.25 Estoril – Arouca 4–3 (2–2) 1.913.603.70 1.95 1.90
26.10.25 Estoril – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.153.253.30 2.05 1.75
27.09.25 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–1 (0–1) 9.505.501.25 1.53 2.40
13.09.25 Estoril – AVS 3–1 (2–0) 1.813.704.00 2.15 1.67
06.09.25 Estoril – Santa Clara 0–1 (0–0) 2.703.002.70 2.40 1.53
11.08.25 Estoril – Estrela 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.504.20 2.05 1.75
17.05.25 Estoril – Estrela 4–0 (4–0) 2.503.302.75 2.03 1.83
03.05.25 Estoril – Benfica 1–2 (0–2) 11.008.001.18 1.37 2.87
19.04.25 Estoril – Sp Braga 0–2 (0–2) 3.803.401.95 2.03 1.83
30.03.25 Estoril – Porto 1–2 (1–1) 6.254.101.53 2.00 1.85

Moreirense away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.25 Sp Braga – Moreirense 2–1 (1–0) 1.374.757.00 1.75 2.05
02.11.25 Arouca – Moreirense 0–2 (0–2) 2.573.202.65 2.10 1.70
04.10.25 Nacional – Moreirense 3–2 (1–1) 2.323.103.10 2.35 1.57
22.09.25 Sp Lisbon – Moreirense 3–0 (0–0) 1.177.0012.00 1.57 2.35
29.08.25 Gil Vicente – Moreirense 2–0 (0–0) 2.552.823.10 3.10 1.36
17.08.25 Santa Clara – Moreirense 0–1 (0–1) 1.903.204.50 2.60 1.48
17.05.25 AVS – Moreirense 0–3 (0–2) 2.003.303.80 2.15 1.67
02.05.25 Porto – Moreirense 3–1 (1–1) 1.335.258.00 1.70 2.10
18.04.25 Sp Lisbon – Moreirense 3–1 (2–0) 1.226.0013.00 1.65 2.20
06.04.25 Gil Vicente – Moreirense 0–1 (0–0) 2.503.102.90 2.50 1.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Estoril winsDrawsMoreirense wins
6matches
2.83goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.05.25P1 Moreirense – Estoril 2–2 (1–0) 2.353.402.90 2.08 1.73
28.12.24P1 Estoril – Moreirense 2–2 (2–1) 3.253.002.40 2.50 1.50
18.05.24P1 Moreirense – Estoril 2–1 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 1.98 1.88
13.01.24P1 Estoril – Moreirense 1–3 (0–2) 2.403.252.90 1.98 1.88
07.05.22P1 Estoril – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 2.553.302.75 2.05 1.75
28.12.21P1 Moreirense – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 3.003.102.50 2.25 1.61

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 12 11 1 0 25 3 +22 34 WDWWWW
2 Sp Lisbon 13 10 2 1 32 7 +25 32 DWWWWD
3 Benfica 13 8 5 0 26 8 +18 29 DWWDWD
4 Gil Vicente 12 7 2 3 16 6 +10 23 LWWWDL
5 Sp Braga 13 6 4 3 25 12 +13 22 DWLWWW
6 Famalicao 13 5 5 3 14 9 +5 20 DWWLDL
7 Moreirense 12 6 1 5 18 17 +1 19 WLLWLD
8 Guimaraes 12 5 2 5 14 17 -3 17 LWLLWW
9 Rio Ave 13 3 7 3 17 21 -4 16 WWLDDW
10 Santa Clara 13 4 3 6 11 14 -3 15 LWLLDW
11 Alverca 12 4 2 6 14 19 -5 14 WWLLDW
12 Estoril 12 3 4 5 19 18 +1 13 LDDWWL
13 Nacional 12 3 3 6 12 17 -5 12 WWDLDL
14 Estrela 12 2 5 5 13 18 -5 11 WLLWDL
15 Tondela 12 2 3 7 7 20 -13 9 WLLDLW
16 Casa Pia 13 2 3 8 13 27 -14 9 DLLDLL
17 Arouca 12 2 3 7 13 34 -21 9 LDLLLL
18 AVS 13 0 3 10 9 31 -22 3 LLDDLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 6 5 1 0 11 1 +10 16 WWWDWW
2 Sp Lisbon 6 4 1 1 17 3 +14 13 WLWDWW
3 Benfica 7 3 4 0 15 6 +9 13 DDWWDD
4 Moreirense 6 4 1 1 12 7 +5 13 WWWWLD
5 Gil Vicente 6 4 0 2 7 3 +4 12 LWWWWL
6 Guimaraes 6 3 2 1 11 8 +3 11 WDDWLW
7 Sp Braga 6 3 1 2 11 5 +6 10 WDLLWW
8 Santa Clara 7 3 1 3 7 6 +1 10 DWLWLW
9 Famalicao 7 2 2 3 7 5 +2 8 DLDWLL
10 Estoril 6 2 2 2 9 8 +1 8 DLWLDW
11 Alverca 6 2 1 3 5 10 -5 7 LLWWLD
12 Rio Ave 6 1 3 2 7 11 -4 6 DDLWLD
13 Estrela 6 1 2 3 7 8 -1 5 LDLWLD
14 Arouca 7 1 2 4 7 17 -10 5 DLLDLL
15 Nacional 6 1 0 5 6 13 -7 3 LLLWLL
16 Tondela 5 0 2 3 2 7 -5 2 LDDLL
17 Casa Pia 6 0 2 4 6 14 -8 2 LLDDLL
18 AVS 7 0 2 5 5 14 -9 2 LLLDDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 7 6 1 0 15 4 +11 19 WWWWWD
2 Porto 6 6 0 0 14 2 +12 18 WWWWWW
3 Benfica 6 5 1 0 11 2 +9 16 WWWDWW
4 Sp Braga 7 3 3 1 14 7 +7 12 DDDLWW
5 Famalicao 6 3 3 0 7 4 +3 12 WWDDWD
6 Gil Vicente 6 3 2 1 9 3 +6 11 WDWLWD
7 Rio Ave 7 2 4 1 10 10 0 10 LDDWDW
8 Nacional 6 2 3 1 6 4 +2 9 DWLWDD
9 Alverca 6 2 1 3 9 9 0 7 LDLWLW
10 Casa Pia 7 2 1 4 7 13 -6 7 LWLLDL
11 Tondela 7 2 1 4 5 13 -8 7 LLWLDW
12 Estrela 6 1 3 2 6 10 -4 6 DDDLWL
13 Moreirense 6 2 0 4 6 10 -4 6 WLLLWL
14 Guimaraes 6 2 0 4 3 9 -6 6 LLWLLW
15 Estoril 6 1 2 3 10 10 0 5 LDLDWL
16 Santa Clara 6 1 2 3 4 8 -4 5 LWDLLD
17 Arouca 5 1 1 3 6 17 -11 4 LDWLL
18 AVS 6 0 1 5 4 17 -13 1 LDLLLL

Estoril   Moreirense

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Sp Braga 13 4 9 1.9 0.9 6 4 3 25 12 22 UOOOOO
2 18 AVS 13 4 9 0.7 2.4 0 3 10 9 31 3 OUOUOO
3 2 Sp Lisbon 13 5 8 2.5 0.5 10 2 1 32 7 32 UOUOOU
4 3 Benfica 13 5 8 2.0 0.6 8 5 0 26 8 29 UOOOOU
5 7 Moreirense 12 4 8 1.5 1.4 6 1 5 18 17 19 OOOUOO
6 9 Rio Ave 13 5 8 1.3 1.6 3 7 3 17 21 16 OOOUUO
7 17 Arouca 12 4 8 1.1 2.8 2 3 7 13 34 9 OUOUOO
8 1 Porto 12 5 7 2.1 0.2 11 1 0 25 3 34 OUOOUU
9 11 Alverca 12 5 7 1.2 1.6 4 2 6 14 19 14 UOOUUU
10 15 Tondela 12 5 7 0.6 1.7 2 3 7 7 20 9 OOOOUU
11 12 Estoril 12 6 6 1.6 1.5 3 4 5 19 18 13 UOUOOU
12 16 Casa Pia 13 7 6 1.0 2.1 2 3 8 13 27 9 OOOOUU
13 8 Guimaraes 12 7 5 1.2 1.4 5 2 5 14 17 17 UOUOUO
14 10 Santa Clara 13 8 5 0.8 1.1 4 3 6 11 14 15 OUUOUU
15 14 Estrela 12 7 5 1.1 1.5 2 5 5 13 18 11 OUOOUO
16 6 Famalicao 13 9 4 1.1 0.7 5 5 3 14 9 20 UUUUOO
17 13 Nacional 12 8 4 1.0 1.4 3 3 6 12 17 12 UOUUUO
18 4 Gil Vicente 12 10 2 1.3 0.5 7 2 3 16 6 23 OUOUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 7 Moreirense 6 1 5 2.0 1.2 4 1 1 12 7 13 OUOOOO
2 2 Sp Lisbon 6 2 4 2.8 0.5 4 1 1 17 3 13 OOOUUO
3 3 Benfica 7 3 4 2.1 0.9 3 4 0 15 6 13 UUOOOU
4 5 Sp Braga 6 2 4 1.8 0.8 3 1 2 11 5 10 OOUUOO
5 8 Guimaraes 6 2 4 1.8 1.3 3 2 1 11 8 11 OUUOOO
6 9 Rio Ave 6 2 4 1.2 1.8 1 3 2 7 11 6 UOOOOU
7 13 Nacional 6 2 4 1.0 2.2 1 0 5 6 13 3 UOOOUO
8 17 Arouca 7 3 4 1.0 2.4 1 2 4 7 17 5 OUOUUO
9 18 AVS 7 3 4 0.7 2.0 0 2 5 5 14 2 UOOOUO
10 1 Porto 6 3 3 1.8 0.2 5 1 0 11 1 16 OOUUOU
11 6 Famalicao 7 4 3 1.0 0.7 2 2 3 7 5 8 UOUUUO
12 10 Santa Clara 7 4 3 1.0 0.9 3 1 3 7 6 10 UOOUOU
13 11 Alverca 6 3 3 0.8 1.7 2 1 3 5 10 7 OOUUOU
14 14 Estrela 6 3 3 1.2 1.3 1 2 3 7 8 5 UOUOOU
15 12 Estoril 6 4 2 1.5 1.3 2 2 2 9 8 8 UUOUUO
16 15 Tondela 5 3 2 0.4 1.4 0 2 3 2 7 2 UOUOU
17 16 Casa Pia 6 4 2 1.0 2.3 0 2 4 6 14 2 UUUOOU
18 4 Gil Vicente 6 6 0 1.2 0.5 4 0 2 7 3 12 UUUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 5 Sp Braga 7 2 5 2.0 1.0 3 3 1 14 7 12 OUUOOO
2 15 Tondela 7 2 5 0.7 1.9 2 1 4 5 13 7 OUOOOU
3 18 AVS 6 1 5 0.7 2.8 0 1 5 4 17 1 OOOOUO
4 1 Porto 6 2 4 2.3 0.3 6 0 0 14 2 18 UOOOOU
5 2 Sp Lisbon 7 3 4 2.1 0.6 6 1 0 15 4 19 OOUOOU
6 3 Benfica 6 2 4 1.8 0.3 5 1 0 11 2 16 UOOUOO
7 9 Rio Ave 7 3 4 1.4 1.4 2 4 1 10 10 10 OUUOUO
8 11 Alverca 6 2 4 1.5 1.5 2 1 3 9 9 7 OOOOUU
9 12 Estoril 6 2 4 1.7 1.7 1 2 3 10 10 5 OOUOOU
10 16 Casa Pia 7 3 4 1.0 1.9 2 1 4 7 13 7 OUOOOU
11 17 Arouca 5 1 4 1.2 3.4 1 1 3 6 17 4 OUOOO
12 7 Moreirense 6 3 3 1.0 1.7 2 0 4 6 10 6 UUOOUO
13 4 Gil Vicente 6 4 2 1.5 0.5 3 2 1 9 3 11 UUUOOU
14 10 Santa Clara 6 4 2 0.7 1.3 1 2 3 4 8 5 OUUOUU
15 14 Estrela 6 4 2 1.0 1.7 1 3 2 6 10 6 UUUUOO
16 6 Famalicao 6 5 1 1.2 0.7 3 3 0 7 4 12 UUUUUO
17 8 Guimaraes 6 5 1 0.5 1.5 2 0 4 3 9 6 OUUUUU
18 13 Nacional 6 6 0 1.0 0.7 2 3 1 6 4 9 UUUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10