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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estoril 1–0 Porto

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 9.00 fair 3.28
Draw 5.00 fair 4.21
Away 1.36 fair 2.19
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.35 fair 2.40
Over 2.5 1.57 fair 1.71

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estoril Porto
5 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 2
1 Corners 10
21 Fouls 14
5 Yellow cards 8
1 Red cards 3

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (239 league matches this season so far).
Result Porto to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.66
Expected goals 1.34 – 1.69
Home / Draw / Away
EstorilDrawPorto
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.9% 1–2 9.2% 0–1 8.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Estoril before this match, all matches
0.96points / match
1.62scored / match
1.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 42:49
Porto before this match, all matches
2.23points / match
1.92scored / match
0.69conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 26 played · 50:18
Estoril all matches all matches Porto

Per match

1.62 Goals scored 1.92
1.88 Goals conceded 0.69
3.50 Total goals 2.62
11.77 Shots 15.27
4.73 Shots on target 5.65
13.19 Shots faced 7.77
5.46 Corners 7.69
5.12 Corners against 3.81
13.38 Fouls 14.00
2.54 Yellow cards 2.81
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.77
0.92 1st-half goals conceded 0.31

How often Full Time

27% Wins 69%
15% Draws 15%
58% Losses 15%
100% Over 0.5 goals 96%
81% Over 1.5 goals 77%
69% Over 2.5 goals 50%
54% Over 3.5 goals 23%
19% Over 4.5 goals 15%
15% Over 5.5 goals 0%
65% Both teams scored 46%
27% Clean sheets 42%
8% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

15% Wins 42%
46% Draws 46%
38% Losses 12%
65% Over 0.5 goals 69%
58% Over 1.5 goals 35%
19% Over 2.5 goals 4%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril all matches
Porto all matches
Estoril before this match, at home
1.46points / match
1.77scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 23:16
Porto before this match, away
2.00points / match
1.69scored / match
0.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 22:12
Estoril at home away Porto

Per match

1.77 Goals scored 1.69
1.23 Goals conceded 0.92
3.00 Total goals 2.62
12.08 Shots 12.54
5.08 Shots on target 4.77
12.38 Shots faced 9.08
5.62 Corners 6.31
4.62 Corners against 4.54
14.62 Fouls 14.54
2.46 Yellow cards 3.38
0.54 1st-half goals scored 0.85
0.69 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

46% Wins 62%
8% Draws 15%
46% Losses 23%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
77% Over 1.5 goals 85%
69% Over 2.5 goals 54%
54% Over 3.5 goals 15%
0% Over 4.5 goals 8%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
46% Both teams scored 54%
46% Clean sheets 31%
8% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 38%
46% Draws 46%
31% Losses 15%
54% Over 0.5 goals 69%
46% Over 1.5 goals 46%
23% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estoril at home
Porto away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estoril all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.24 Estoril – Portimonense 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.805.75 1.73 2.08
10.03.24 Benfica – Estoril 3–1 (2–1) 1.177.5015.00 1.36 3.10
02.03.24 Estoril – Guimaraes 1–3 (0–3) 3.503.502.10 1.88 1.98
25.02.24 Vizela – Estoril 3–3 (2–0) 2.503.252.88 1.95 1.90
18.02.24 Estoril – Gil Vicente 1–3 (0–0) 2.103.503.50 1.93 1.93
10.02.24 Boavista – Estoril 2–1 (2–0) 2.383.253.10 2.00 1.85
04.02.24 Estoril – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.60 1.98 1.88
31.01.24 Rio Ave – Estoril 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.603.10 1.95 1.90
20.01.24 Estoril – Arouca 1–2 (1–2) 2.403.402.88 1.98 1.88
13.01.24 Estoril – Moreirense 1–3 (0–2) 2.403.252.90 1.98 1.88

Porto all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.24 Porto – Vizela 4–1 (0–1) 1.147.5019.00 1.48 2.60
08.03.24 Portimonense – Porto 0–3 (0–1) 9.506.501.25 1.53 2.40
03.03.24 Porto – Benfica 5–0 (2–0) 2.383.502.80 1.83 2.03
25.02.24 Gil Vicente – Porto 1–1 (0–0) 7.504.751.40 1.70 2.10
17.02.24 Porto – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 1.226.5013.00 1.53 2.40
12.02.24 Arouca – Porto 3–2 (2–1) 7.504.001.50 1.80 2.00
03.02.24 Porto – Rio Ave 0–0 (0–0) 1.226.5011.00 1.60 2.30
28.01.24 Farense – Porto 1–3 (0–2) 8.004.751.40 1.73 2.08
20.01.24 Porto – Moreirense 5–0 (1–0) 1.306.009.00 1.73 2.08
14.01.24 Porto – Sp Braga 2–0 (1–0) 1.733.754.50 1.67 2.15

Estoril at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.24 Estoril – Portimonense 1–0 (0–0) 1.623.805.75 1.73 2.08
02.03.24 Estoril – Guimaraes 1–3 (0–3) 3.503.502.10 1.88 1.98
18.02.24 Estoril – Gil Vicente 1–3 (0–0) 2.103.503.50 1.93 1.93
04.02.24 Estoril – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.60 1.98 1.88
20.01.24 Estoril – Arouca 1–2 (1–2) 2.403.402.88 1.98 1.88
13.01.24 Estoril – Moreirense 1–3 (0–2) 2.403.252.90 1.98 1.88
30.12.23 Estoril – Farense 4–0 (2–0) 1.953.803.50 1.73 2.08
10.12.23 Estoril – Chaves 4–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.75 1.83 2.03
10.11.23 Estoril – Casa Pia 4–0 (2–0) 2.453.252.88 2.10 1.70
07.10.23 Estoril – Benfica 0–1 (0–0) 8.505.251.25 1.44 2.70

Porto away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.03.24 Portimonense – Porto 0–3 (0–1) 9.506.501.25 1.53 2.40
25.02.24 Gil Vicente – Porto 1–1 (0–0) 7.504.751.40 1.70 2.10
12.02.24 Arouca – Porto 3–2 (2–1) 7.504.001.50 1.80 2.00
28.01.24 Farense – Porto 1–3 (0–2) 8.004.751.40 1.73 2.08
05.01.24 Boavista – Porto 1–1 (1–1) 6.505.251.40 1.73 2.08
18.12.23 Sp Lisbon – Porto 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.303.30 2.03 1.83
02.12.23 Famalicao – Porto 0–3 (0–2) 5.003.801.57 1.93 1.93
11.11.23 Guimaraes – Porto 1–2 (1–1) 5.003.751.70 1.85 2.00
29.10.23 Vizela – Porto 0–2 (0–2) 6.004.501.45 1.73 2.08
29.09.23 Benfica – Porto 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.753.80 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Estoril winsDrawsPorto wins
5matches
3.00goals / match
40%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.11.23P1 Porto – Estoril 0–1 (0–0) 1.187.5012.00 1.40 2.88
10.03.23P1 Porto – Estoril 3–2 (2–1) 1.186.5013.00 1.57 2.35
17.09.22P1 Estoril – Porto 1–1 (1–0) 9.505.001.30 1.70 2.10
14.05.22P1 Porto – Estoril 2–0 (0–0) 1.188.0011.00 1.44 2.70
08.01.22P1 Estoril – Porto 2–3 (2–0) 26.008.501.09 1.50 2.50

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 26 22 2 2 77 26 +51 68 WDWWWW
2 Benfica 27 21 4 2 61 21 +40 67 WWLWWW
3 Porto 26 18 4 4 50 18 +32 58 LWDWWW
4 Sp Braga 26 16 5 5 55 34 +21 53 LWWWDW
5 Guimaraes 27 16 5 6 42 27 +15 53 DLWWWW
6 Moreirense 27 12 6 9 28 28 0 42 LWDLWL
7 Arouca 27 11 4 12 45 38 +7 37 LWWLLW
8 Famalicao 26 7 10 9 26 31 -5 31 WLDLDW
9 Boavista 27 7 8 12 33 51 -18 29 LLDWLD
10 Gil Vicente 27 7 7 13 36 41 -5 28 WDDDLL
11 Farense 27 7 6 14 35 40 -5 27 LLLLDL
12 Casa Pia 26 7 6 13 23 39 -16 27 LWWDLL
13 Rio Ave 27 4 14 9 26 35 -9 26 LDDDDD
14 Estrela 27 6 8 13 27 41 -14 26 LDLWDL
15 Estoril 26 7 4 15 42 49 -7 25 LLDLLW
16 Portimonense 26 6 5 15 24 53 -29 23 LDLDLL
17 Vizela 26 4 9 13 26 52 -26 21 WLDDWL
18 Chaves 27 4 7 16 25 57 -32 19 WDLDLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 13 13 0 0 46 10 +36 39 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 14 12 2 0 37 6 +31 38 WWWWWW
3 Porto 13 10 2 1 28 6 +22 32 WWDWWW
4 Guimaraes 14 10 1 3 27 14 +13 31 WWDLWW
5 Sp Braga 13 8 3 2 27 12 +15 27 DDWWWW
6 Gil Vicente 14 5 6 3 24 16 +8 21 DWLDDL
7 Moreirense 13 6 3 4 15 14 +1 21 LWWLDW
8 Arouca 14 6 2 6 23 22 +1 20 LWWWLW
9 Estoril 13 6 1 6 23 16 +7 19 LLWLLW
10 Rio Ave 13 4 6 3 18 17 +1 18 DWDWDD
11 Famalicao 12 4 5 3 13 14 -1 17 DDLWDD
12 Estrela 14 5 2 7 19 22 -3 17 DLWDWL
13 Boavista 14 4 5 5 17 26 -9 17 DLWLWD
14 Farense 13 4 4 5 17 15 +2 16 DWLDLD
15 Portimonense 13 3 4 6 11 20 -9 13 WLLDDL
16 Chaves 13 3 3 7 17 28 -11 12 LDDWLL
17 Casa Pia 13 2 4 7 6 14 -8 10 LLDWDL
18 Vizela 13 2 4 7 15 26 -11 10 DLLLDW
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 13 9 2 2 31 16 +15 29 WWWDWW
2 Benfica 13 9 2 2 24 15 +9 29 WWWDLW
3 Porto 13 8 2 3 22 12 +10 26 LDWLDW
4 Sp Braga 13 8 2 3 28 22 +6 26 WLWLWD
5 Guimaraes 13 6 4 3 15 13 +2 22 DLWDWW
6 Moreirense 14 6 3 5 13 14 -1 21 WLLWLL
7 Arouca 13 5 2 6 22 16 +6 17 LWWLWL
8 Casa Pia 13 5 2 6 17 25 -8 17 WWLLWL
9 Famalicao 14 3 5 6 13 17 -4 14 WLDLLW
10 Boavista 13 3 3 7 16 25 -9 12 WLDLDL
11 Farense 14 3 2 9 18 25 -7 11 WDLLLL
12 Vizela 13 2 5 6 11 26 -15 11 DLWLDL
13 Portimonense 13 3 1 9 13 33 -20 10 LLWLLL
14 Estrela 13 1 6 6 8 19 -11 9 DLLLLD
15 Rio Ave 14 0 8 6 8 18 -10 8 DDLDDD
16 Gil Vicente 13 2 1 10 12 25 -13 7 LWLWDL
17 Chaves 14 1 4 9 8 29 -21 7 DDLDDL
18 Estoril 13 1 3 9 19 33 -14 6 DLDLDL

Estoril   Porto

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 26 6 20 3.0 1.0 22 2 2 77 26 68 UOOOOO
2 4 Sp Braga 26 8 18 2.1 1.3 16 5 5 55 34 53 OOOOUO
3 15 Estoril 26 8 18 1.6 1.9 7 4 15 42 49 25 OOOOOU
4 7 Arouca 27 10 17 1.7 1.4 11 4 12 45 38 37 UOOOUO
5 2 Benfica 27 11 16 2.3 0.8 21 4 2 61 21 67 OOOOUU
6 18 Chaves 27 11 16 0.9 2.1 4 7 16 25 57 19 OUOUOU
7 9 Boavista 27 12 15 1.2 1.9 7 8 12 33 51 29 OOUUOU
8 11 Farense 27 12 15 1.3 1.5 7 6 14 35 40 27 OUOOUO
9 5 Guimaraes 27 13 14 1.6 1.0 16 5 6 42 27 53 UUOUOU
10 10 Gil Vicente 27 13 14 1.3 1.5 7 7 13 36 41 28 OUUUOO
11 16 Portimonense 26 12 14 0.9 2.0 6 5 15 24 53 23 OUOUOU
12 17 Vizela 26 12 14 1.0 2.0 4 9 13 26 52 21 UOOUOO
13 3 Porto 26 13 13 1.9 0.7 18 4 4 50 18 58 OUUOOO
14 14 Estrela 27 15 12 1.0 1.5 6 8 13 27 41 26 UUOOUO
15 8 Famalicao 26 15 11 1.0 1.2 7 10 9 26 31 31 OOUUUO
16 12 Casa Pia 26 16 10 0.9 1.5 7 6 13 23 39 27 UUUUOU
17 6 Moreirense 27 18 9 1.0 1.0 12 6 9 28 28 42 UUUUUU
18 13 Rio Ave 27 19 8 1.0 1.3 4 14 9 26 35 26 OOUUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 13 3 10 3.5 0.8 13 0 0 46 10 39 UOOOOO
2 18 Chaves 13 3 10 1.3 2.2 3 3 7 17 28 12 OUUOOO
3 5 Guimaraes 14 5 9 1.9 1.0 10 1 3 27 14 31 OOOUUU
4 7 Arouca 14 5 9 1.6 1.6 6 2 6 23 22 20 OOOOOO
5 15 Estoril 13 4 9 1.8 1.2 6 1 6 23 16 19 OOUOOU
6 2 Benfica 14 6 8 2.6 0.4 12 2 0 37 6 38 UOOOOU
7 4 Sp Braga 13 5 8 2.1 0.9 8 3 2 27 12 27 UUUOOO
8 9 Boavista 14 6 8 1.2 1.9 4 5 5 17 26 17 UOOOUU
9 14 Estrela 14 6 8 1.4 1.6 5 2 7 19 22 17 UOOUOO
10 17 Vizela 13 5 8 1.2 2.0 2 4 7 15 26 10 UOOUOO
11 3 Porto 13 7 6 2.2 0.5 10 2 1 28 6 32 UOUUOO
12 8 Famalicao 12 6 6 1.1 1.2 4 5 3 13 14 17 UOOOUU
13 11 Farense 13 7 6 1.3 1.2 4 4 5 17 15 16 UUOUUU
14 16 Portimonense 13 7 6 0.8 1.5 3 4 6 11 20 13 UUOUUO
15 10 Gil Vicente 14 9 5 1.7 1.1 5 6 3 24 16 21 UUUUUO
16 6 Moreirense 13 9 4 1.2 1.1 6 3 4 15 14 21 OUUUUU
17 13 Rio Ave 13 9 4 1.4 1.3 4 6 3 18 17 18 UUUUOU
18 12 Casa Pia 13 10 3 0.5 1.1 2 4 7 6 14 10 UOUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 13 3 10 2.4 1.2 9 2 2 31 16 29 OOUOOO
2 4 Sp Braga 13 3 10 2.2 1.7 8 2 3 28 22 26 OUOOOU
3 10 Gil Vicente 13 4 9 0.9 1.9 2 1 10 12 25 7 UUOOUO
4 11 Farense 14 5 9 1.3 1.8 3 2 9 18 25 11 OUOOOO
5 15 Estoril 13 4 9 1.5 2.5 1 3 9 19 33 6 UOUOOO
6 2 Benfica 13 5 8 1.8 1.2 9 2 2 24 15 29 UOOOOU
7 7 Arouca 13 5 8 1.7 1.2 5 2 6 22 16 17 OOOUOU
8 16 Portimonense 13 5 8 1.0 2.5 3 1 9 13 33 10 OUOOOU
9 3 Porto 13 6 7 1.7 0.9 8 2 3 22 12 26 UUOOUO
10 9 Boavista 13 6 7 1.2 1.9 3 3 7 16 25 12 OUUOUO
11 12 Casa Pia 13 6 7 1.3 1.9 5 2 6 17 25 17 OOOUUO
12 17 Vizela 13 7 6 0.8 2.0 2 5 6 11 26 11 UOUOUO
13 18 Chaves 14 8 6 0.6 2.1 1 4 9 8 29 7 OUUUUU
14 5 Guimaraes 13 8 5 1.2 1.0 6 4 3 15 13 22 UUUUOO
15 6 Moreirense 14 9 5 0.9 1.0 6 3 5 13 14 21 OOUUUU
16 8 Famalicao 14 9 5 0.9 1.2 3 5 6 13 17 14 UUUOUO
17 13 Rio Ave 14 10 4 0.6 1.3 0 8 6 8 18 8 UUOUUU
18 14 Estrela 13 9 4 0.6 1.5 1 6 6 8 19 9 UOUUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47