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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estrela 0–1 Sp Braga

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 5.00 fair 3.25
Draw 3.80 fair 3.99
Away ✓ 1.67 fair 2.26
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.11
Over 2.5 1.85 fair 1.90

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estrela Sp Braga
7 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
1 Corners 8
21 Fouls 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (159 league matches this season so far).
Result Sp Braga to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.24 – 1.54
Home / Draw / Away
EstrelaDrawSp Braga
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.8% 0–1 9.5% 1–2 9.1%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Estrela before this match, all matches
0.94points / match
0.94scored / match
1.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 16:29
Sp Braga before this match, all matches
1.82points / match
1.76scored / match
1.12conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 30:19
Estrela all matches all matches Sp Braga

Per match

0.94 Goals scored 1.76
1.71 Goals conceded 1.12
2.65 Total goals 2.88
10.00 Shots 13.82
2.88 Shots on target 4.82
12.76 Shots faced 10.24
4.59 Corners 6.06
6.18 Corners against 3.94
14.71 Fouls 14.06
2.47 Yellow cards 2.06
0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.71
0.94 1st-half goals conceded 0.18

How often Full Time

24% Wins 53%
24% Draws 24%
53% Losses 24%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
71% Over 1.5 goals 82%
47% Over 2.5 goals 59%
24% Over 3.5 goals 29%
12% Over 4.5 goals 12%
12% Over 5.5 goals 12%
47% Both teams scored 53%
12% Clean sheets 41%
41% Failed to score 12%

How often Half Time

18% Wins 47%
29% Draws 41%
53% Losses 12%
76% Over 0.5 goals 65%
35% Over 1.5 goals 24%
18% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela all matches
Sp Braga all matches
Estrela before this match, at home
1.56points / match
1.44scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 13:14
Sp Braga before this match, away
2.38points / match
1.50scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 12:4
Estrela at home away Sp Braga

Per match

1.44 Goals scored 1.50
1.56 Goals conceded 0.50
3.00 Total goals 2.00
10.67 Shots 13.25
2.89 Shots on target 3.88
13.22 Shots faced 10.88
4.22 Corners 5.13
4.89 Corners against 4.75
14.56 Fouls 13.75
2.56 Yellow cards 2.25
0.56 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.89 1st-half goals conceded 0.13

How often Full Time

44% Wins 75%
22% Draws 13%
33% Losses 13%
100% Over 0.5 goals 88%
78% Over 1.5 goals 63%
67% Over 2.5 goals 50%
33% Over 3.5 goals 0%
11% Over 4.5 goals 0%
11% Over 5.5 goals 0%
56% Both teams scored 38%
22% Clean sheets 63%
22% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 38%
33% Draws 50%
44% Losses 13%
78% Over 0.5 goals 50%
44% Over 1.5 goals 13%
22% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela at home
Sp Braga away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.01.25 Estrela – Estoril 2–4 (0–3) 2.253.103.30 2.25 1.62
28.12.24 AVS – Estrela 1–1 (0–1) 2.453.003.10 2.25 1.62
23.12.24 Estrela – Rio Ave 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.303.00 2.10 1.70
16.12.24 Porto – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 1.147.5019.00 1.48 2.60
09.12.24 Estrela – Arouca 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.202.80 2.15 1.67
29.11.24 Farense – Estrela 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.253.40 2.30 1.60
10.11.24 Estrela – Nacional 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.20 2.10 1.70
01.11.24 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 5–1 (3–1) 1.0811.0019.00 1.30 3.50
27.10.24 Estrela – Guimaraes 2–2 (1–1) 4.753.401.80 2.25 1.62
05.10.24 Gil Vicente – Estrela 3–0 (2–0) 1.853.504.20 2.08 1.73

Sp Braga all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.25 Benfica – Sp Braga 1–2 (0–2) 1.424.507.00 1.57 2.35
29.12.24 Sp Braga – Casa Pia 1–2 (1–1) 1.424.507.50 1.83 2.03
22.12.24 Santa Clara – Sp Braga 0–2 (0–0) 3.103.202.30 2.25 1.62
16.12.24 Sp Braga – Famalicao 3–3 (0–1) 1.484.206.50 1.88 1.98
06.12.24 Sp Braga – Estoril 2–2 (1–0) 1.227.0010.00 1.65 2.20
01.12.24 AVS – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–0) 5.503.901.60 1.85 2.00
10.11.24 Sp Braga – Sp Lisbon 2–4 (2–0) 5.254.201.57 1.57 2.35
03.11.24 Arouca – Sp Braga 1–2 (0–1) 4.333.901.73 1.73 2.08
27.10.24 Sp Braga – Farense 2–0 (1–0) 1.336.007.00 1.54 2.35
06.10.24 Porto – Sp Braga 2–1 (1–0) 1.603.756.00 1.67 2.15

Estrela at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.01.25 Estrela – Estoril 2–4 (0–3) 2.253.103.30 2.25 1.62
23.12.24 Estrela – Rio Ave 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.303.00 2.10 1.70
09.12.24 Estrela – Arouca 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.202.80 2.15 1.67
10.11.24 Estrela – Nacional 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.20 2.10 1.70
27.10.24 Estrela – Guimaraes 2–2 (1–1) 4.753.401.80 2.25 1.62
28.09.24 Estrela – Moreirense 2–1 (2–0) 2.903.202.45 2.30 1.60
16.09.24 Estrela – Boavista 2–2 (1–2) 1.913.304.20 2.35 1.57
31.08.24 Estrela – Casa Pia 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.203.20 2.35 1.57
19.08.24 Estrela – Famalicao 0–3 (0–1) 2.503.202.88 2.15 1.67
18.05.24 Estrela – Gil Vicente 1–0 (1–0) 1.673.904.75 1.70 2.10

Sp Braga away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.25 Benfica – Sp Braga 1–2 (0–2) 1.424.507.00 1.57 2.35
22.12.24 Santa Clara – Sp Braga 0–2 (0–0) 3.103.202.30 2.25 1.62
01.12.24 AVS – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–0) 5.503.901.60 1.85 2.00
03.11.24 Arouca – Sp Braga 1–2 (0–1) 4.333.901.73 1.73 2.08
06.10.24 Porto – Sp Braga 2–1 (1–0) 1.603.756.00 1.67 2.15
20.09.24 Nacional – Sp Braga 0–3 (0–0) 5.253.801.65 1.62 2.25
01.09.24 Gil Vicente – Sp Braga 0–0 (0–0) 4.503.801.73 1.73 2.08
18.08.24 Boavista – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–1) 5.503.901.60 1.73 2.08
11.05.24 Guimaraes – Sp Braga 2–3 (1–1) 3.253.502.10 1.67 2.15
27.04.24 Benfica – Sp Braga 3–1 (0–1) 1.554.335.75 1.50 2.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Estrela winsDrawsSp Braga wins
3matches
3.67goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.08.24P1 Sp Braga – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 1.384.757.50 1.53 2.40
02.03.24P1 Sp Braga – Estrela 3–0 (0–0) 1.365.008.50 1.57 2.35
28.09.23P1 Estrela – Sp Braga 2–4 (0–1) 4.503.801.70 1.70 2.10

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 18 14 2 2 51 14 +37 44 LWDWDW
2 Benfica 18 13 2 3 42 11 +31 41 DWWLLW
3 Porto 17 13 1 3 40 11 +29 40 WDWWWL
4 Sp Braga 17 9 4 4 30 19 +11 31 WDDWLW
5 Santa Clara 18 10 1 7 20 19 +1 31 WLLWDL
6 Guimaraes 18 6 8 4 28 24 +4 26 LDDDDD
7 Casa Pia 17 6 6 5 19 20 -1 24 LDWWWD
8 Moreirense 18 6 5 7 22 25 -3 23 WLLDDD
9 Estoril 18 5 6 7 21 30 -9 21 DLLDWW
10 Famalicao 18 4 8 6 20 24 -4 20 DDLLDL
11 Rio Ave 18 5 5 8 18 31 -13 20 LDLWDL
12 Gil Vicente 17 4 7 6 19 26 -7 19 LWWDDD
13 Nacional 18 5 4 9 16 24 -8 19 WLDLWW
14 Estrela 17 4 4 9 16 29 -13 16 LWLWDL
15 Arouca 18 4 4 10 15 30 -15 16 LWLDWD
16 Farense 18 3 6 9 11 23 -12 15 DLWDDD
17 AVS 18 2 9 7 14 27 -13 15 DDDDDL
18 Boavista 17 2 6 9 11 26 -15 12 DDLDLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Benfica 10 9 0 1 31 5 +26 27 WWWWLW
2 Porto 9 9 0 0 25 2 +23 27 WWWWWW
3 Sp Lisbon 8 7 0 1 19 5 +14 21 WWWLWW
4 Santa Clara 10 6 1 3 10 9 +1 19 WWWLDL
5 Guimaraes 9 4 4 1 18 14 +4 16 DWWDDD
6 Moreirense 9 4 4 1 11 9 +2 16 WWWLDD
7 Rio Ave 9 4 4 1 14 13 +1 16 DDWDWL
8 Nacional 9 5 1 3 11 12 -1 16 WDWLWW
9 Estrela 9 4 2 3 13 14 -1 14 WDWWWL
10 Gil Vicente 8 3 4 1 12 7 +5 13 DWLWDD
11 Casa Pia 9 3 4 2 11 9 +2 13 DWDDWD
12 Sp Braga 9 3 3 3 18 15 +3 12 WWLDDL
13 Estoril 9 3 3 3 10 13 -3 12 LWDWLD
14 Famalicao 9 2 4 3 7 9 -2 10 DLDDLL
15 AVS 9 2 4 3 7 12 -5 10 DLLLDD
16 Arouca 8 2 2 4 5 10 -5 8 LDLLWD
17 Farense 8 2 1 5 6 13 -7 7 LWLWLD
18 Boavista 8 0 3 5 2 12 -10 3 LLLDDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 10 7 2 1 32 9 +23 23 WWLDDW
2 Sp Braga 8 6 1 1 12 4 +8 19 WLWWWW
3 Benfica 8 4 2 2 11 6 +5 14 WWWDWL
4 Porto 8 4 1 3 15 9 +6 13 WWLDWL
5 Santa Clara 8 4 0 4 10 10 0 12 LLLWLW
6 Casa Pia 8 3 2 3 8 11 -3 11 DLDLWW
7 Guimaraes 9 2 4 3 10 10 0 10 DDLLDD
8 Famalicao 9 2 4 3 13 15 -2 10 DWLDDL
9 Boavista 9 2 3 4 9 14 -5 9 LDWDLL
10 Estoril 9 2 3 4 11 17 -6 9 LLDLWW
11 Farense 10 1 5 4 5 10 -5 8 LDDWDD
12 Arouca 10 2 2 6 10 20 -10 8 LDLLWD
13 Moreirense 9 2 1 6 11 16 -5 7 LWLLLD
14 Gil Vicente 9 1 3 5 7 19 -12 6 LLLLWD
15 AVS 9 0 5 4 7 15 -8 5 DDDDDL
16 Rio Ave 9 1 1 7 4 18 -14 4 LLWLLD
17 Nacional 9 0 3 6 5 12 -7 3 DLLLDL
18 Estrela 8 0 2 6 3 15 -12 2 LLLLLD

Estrela   Sp Braga

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 18 5 13 2.8 0.8 14 2 2 51 14 44 OOUUOO
2 9 Estoril 18 7 11 1.2 1.7 5 6 7 21 30 21 OUOOOO
3 2 Benfica 18 8 10 2.3 0.6 13 2 3 42 11 41 UUOUOO
4 3 Porto 17 7 10 2.4 0.6 13 1 3 40 11 40 UUUOOU
5 4 Sp Braga 17 7 10 1.8 1.1 9 4 4 30 19 31 UOOUOO
6 6 Guimaraes 18 8 10 1.6 1.3 6 8 4 28 24 26 UOOOOO
7 8 Moreirense 18 8 10 1.2 1.4 6 5 7 22 25 23 OUOOUU
8 10 Famalicao 18 9 9 1.1 1.3 4 8 6 20 24 20 UOOOUO
9 11 Rio Ave 18 9 9 1.0 1.7 5 5 8 18 31 20 UOUOUO
10 12 Gil Vicente 17 8 9 1.1 1.5 4 7 6 19 26 19 OOUUUU
11 15 Arouca 18 9 9 0.8 1.7 4 4 10 15 30 16 OUOUOO
12 14 Estrela 17 9 8 0.9 1.7 4 4 9 16 29 16 UOUUUO
13 18 Boavista 17 10 7 0.6 1.5 2 6 9 11 26 12 UUOUOO
14 5 Santa Clara 18 12 6 1.1 1.1 10 1 7 20 19 31 UUUOUO
15 13 Nacional 18 12 6 0.9 1.3 5 4 9 16 24 19 UUOOUO
16 16 Farense 18 12 6 0.6 1.3 3 6 9 11 23 15 UUOOUU
17 17 AVS 18 12 6 0.8 1.5 2 9 7 14 27 15 UUUUUO
18 7 Casa Pia 17 12 5 1.1 1.2 6 6 5 19 20 24 UUUOOU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Benfica 10 2 8 3.1 0.5 9 0 1 31 5 27 OOUOOO
2 6 Guimaraes 9 2 7 2.0 1.6 4 4 1 18 14 16 OUOOOO
3 3 Porto 9 3 6 2.8 0.2 9 0 0 25 2 27 OOOUUO
4 4 Sp Braga 9 3 6 2.0 1.7 3 3 3 18 15 12 OUOOOO
5 11 Rio Ave 9 3 6 1.6 1.4 4 4 1 14 13 16 UOOOOO
6 14 Estrela 9 3 6 1.4 1.6 4 2 3 13 14 14 OOUOUO
7 9 Estoril 9 4 5 1.1 1.4 3 3 3 10 13 12 OOUOUO
8 1 Sp Lisbon 8 4 4 2.4 0.6 7 0 1 19 5 21 OUOUOU
9 8 Moreirense 9 5 4 1.2 1.0 4 4 1 11 9 16 UOOOUU
10 12 Gil Vicente 8 4 4 1.5 0.9 3 4 1 12 7 13 UOOOUU
11 16 Farense 8 4 4 0.8 1.6 2 1 5 6 13 7 UUOUUO
12 5 Santa Clara 10 7 3 1.0 0.9 6 1 3 10 9 19 OUUUUO
13 10 Famalicao 9 6 3 0.8 1.0 2 4 3 7 9 10 UOUUOO
14 13 Nacional 9 6 3 1.2 1.3 5 1 3 11 12 16 UUUUUO
15 7 Casa Pia 9 7 2 1.2 1.0 3 4 2 11 9 13 UUUUOU
16 15 Arouca 8 6 2 0.6 1.2 2 2 4 5 10 8 OUOUUU
17 17 AVS 9 7 2 0.8 1.3 2 4 3 7 12 10 UOOUUU
18 18 Boavista 8 6 2 0.2 1.5 0 3 5 2 12 3 OUUUUO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 10 1 9 3.2 0.9 7 2 1 32 9 23 OOOUOO
2 15 Arouca 10 3 7 1.0 2.0 2 2 6 10 20 8 OUOOOO
3 8 Moreirense 9 3 6 1.2 1.8 2 1 6 11 16 7 OUUOUO
4 9 Estoril 9 3 6 1.2 1.9 2 3 4 11 17 9 UOOOOO
5 10 Famalicao 9 3 6 1.4 1.7 2 4 3 13 15 10 UOOOUO
6 12 Gil Vicente 9 4 5 0.8 2.1 1 3 5 7 19 6 OOOOUU
7 18 Boavista 9 4 5 1.0 1.6 2 3 4 9 14 9 UOOUOO
8 3 Porto 8 4 4 1.9 1.1 4 1 3 15 9 13 OOOUOU
9 4 Sp Braga 8 4 4 1.5 0.5 6 1 1 12 4 19 OOOUUO
10 17 AVS 9 5 4 0.8 1.7 0 5 4 7 15 5 UUUUUO
11 5 Santa Clara 8 5 3 1.2 1.2 4 0 4 10 10 12 OUUUUO
12 6 Guimaraes 9 6 3 1.1 1.1 2 4 3 10 10 10 UOUUOO
13 7 Casa Pia 8 5 3 1.0 1.4 3 2 3 8 11 11 UUOUUO
14 11 Rio Ave 9 6 3 0.4 2.0 1 1 7 4 18 4 OOUUUU
15 13 Nacional 9 6 3 0.6 1.3 0 3 6 5 12 3 UUUOOO
16 2 Benfica 8 6 2 1.4 0.8 4 2 2 11 6 14 OOUUUU
17 14 Estrela 8 6 2 0.4 1.9 0 2 6 3 15 2 UOOUUU
18 16 Farense 10 8 2 0.5 1.0 1 5 4 5 10 8 UUUOUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10