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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estrela 1–0 Rio Ave

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.35 fair 2.12
Draw 3.30 fair 4.04
Away 3.00 fair 3.57
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.70 fair 2.10
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 1.91

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estrela Rio Ave
8 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 6
5 Corners 6
17 Fouls 16
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (134 league matches this season so far).
Result Estrela to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.81
Expected goals 1.60 – 1.17
Home / Draw / Away
EstrelaDrawRio Ave
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.7% 1–0 10% 2–1 9.4%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Estrela before this match, all matches
0.86points / match
0.86scored / match
1.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 12:24
Rio Ave before this match, all matches
1.14points / match
1.07scored / match
1.79conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 15:25
Estrela all matches all matches Rio Ave

Per match

0.86 Goals scored 1.07
1.71 Goals conceded 1.79
2.57 Total goals 2.86
9.86 Shots 9.00
2.57 Shots on target 3.07
12.29 Shots faced 15.57
4.57 Corners 4.57
6.36 Corners against 6.07
14.36 Fouls 13.64
2.43 Yellow cards 2.21
0.36 1st-half goals scored 0.64
0.93 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

21% Wins 29%
21% Draws 29%
57% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
71% Over 1.5 goals 71%
50% Over 2.5 goals 50%
21% Over 3.5 goals 50%
7% Over 4.5 goals 14%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
43% Both teams scored 43%
7% Clean sheets 21%
50% Failed to score 36%

How often Half Time

7% Wins 43%
36% Draws 21%
57% Losses 36%
71% Over 0.5 goals 86%
36% Over 1.5 goals 43%
14% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela all matches
Rio Ave all matches
Estrela before this match, at home
1.57points / match
1.43scored / match
1.43conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 10:10
Rio Ave before this match, away
0.43points / match
0.43scored / match
2.29conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 3:16
Estrela at home away Rio Ave

Per match

1.43 Goals scored 0.43
1.43 Goals conceded 2.29
2.86 Total goals 2.71
11.43 Shots 6.57
2.57 Shots on target 1.57
12.29 Shots faced 19.71
4.29 Corners 3.71
5.00 Corners against 6.29
13.43 Fouls 13.71
2.43 Yellow cards 2.29
0.57 1st-half goals scored 0.14
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 1.43

How often Full Time

43% Wins 14%
29% Draws 0%
29% Losses 86%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 71%
71% Over 2.5 goals 43%
29% Over 3.5 goals 43%
0% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 14%
14% Clean sheets 14%
29% Failed to score 71%

How often Half Time

14% Wins 14%
43% Draws 14%
43% Losses 71%
71% Over 0.5 goals 86%
43% Over 1.5 goals 57%
14% Over 2.5 goals 14%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela at home
Rio Ave away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.12.24 Porto – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 1.147.5019.00 1.48 2.60
09.12.24 Estrela – Arouca 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.202.80 2.15 1.67
29.11.24 Farense – Estrela 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.253.40 2.30 1.60
10.11.24 Estrela – Nacional 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.20 2.10 1.70
01.11.24 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 5–1 (3–1) 1.0811.0019.00 1.30 3.50
27.10.24 Estrela – Guimaraes 2–2 (1–1) 4.753.401.80 2.25 1.62
05.10.24 Gil Vicente – Estrela 3–0 (2–0) 1.853.504.20 2.08 1.73
28.09.24 Estrela – Moreirense 2–1 (2–0) 2.903.202.45 2.30 1.60
21.09.24 Santa Clara – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.505.00 2.10 1.70
16.09.24 Estrela – Boavista 2–2 (1–2) 1.913.304.20 2.35 1.57

Rio Ave all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.12.24 Rio Ave – Guimaraes 2–2 (2–0) 3.703.302.05 2.20 1.65
07.12.24 Santa Clara – Rio Ave 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.304.75 2.20 1.65
30.11.24 Rio Ave – Moreirense 3–2 (1–0) 2.803.202.55 2.35 1.57
09.11.24 Boavista – Rio Ave 0–2 (0–1) 2.753.102.70 2.25 1.62
02.11.24 Rio Ave – Casa Pia 2–2 (2–2) 2.203.253.30 2.20 1.65
27.10.24 Benfica – Rio Ave 5–0 (3–0) 1.177.5013.00 1.48 2.60
04.10.24 Rio Ave – Famalicao 1–1 (0–0) 2.903.002.60 2.60 1.48
29.09.24 Sp Braga – Rio Ave 4–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.00 1.70 2.10
21.09.24 Rio Ave – Estoril 2–2 (1–0) 1.913.404.10 2.40 1.53
14.09.24 AVS – Rio Ave 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.102.75 2.10 1.70

Estrela at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.12.24 Estrela – Arouca 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.202.80 2.15 1.67
10.11.24 Estrela – Nacional 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.20 2.10 1.70
27.10.24 Estrela – Guimaraes 2–2 (1–1) 4.753.401.80 2.25 1.62
28.09.24 Estrela – Moreirense 2–1 (2–0) 2.903.202.45 2.30 1.60
16.09.24 Estrela – Boavista 2–2 (1–2) 1.913.304.20 2.35 1.57
31.08.24 Estrela – Casa Pia 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.203.20 2.35 1.57
19.08.24 Estrela – Famalicao 0–3 (0–1) 2.503.202.88 2.15 1.67
18.05.24 Estrela – Gil Vicente 1–0 (1–0) 1.673.904.75 1.70 2.10
29.04.24 Estrela – Farense 0–3 (0–1) 2.203.253.50 1.98 1.88
14.04.24 Estrela – Rio Ave 2–2 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.35 1.57

Rio Ave away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.12.24 Santa Clara – Rio Ave 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.304.75 2.20 1.65
09.11.24 Boavista – Rio Ave 0–2 (0–1) 2.753.102.70 2.25 1.62
27.10.24 Benfica – Rio Ave 5–0 (3–0) 1.177.5013.00 1.48 2.60
29.09.24 Sp Braga – Rio Ave 4–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.00 1.70 2.10
14.09.24 AVS – Rio Ave 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.102.75 2.10 1.70
24.08.24 Porto – Rio Ave 2–0 (2–0) 1.256.2510.00 1.70 2.10
09.08.24 Sp Lisbon – Rio Ave 3–1 (2–0) 1.178.0013.00 1.44 2.70
11.05.24 Portimonense – Rio Ave 2–2 (0–1) 2.153.303.30 2.03 1.83
27.04.24 Vizela – Rio Ave 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.202.70 2.10 1.70
14.04.24 Estrela – Rio Ave 2–2 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.35 1.57

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Estrela winsDrawsRio Ave wins
2matches
3.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.04.24P1 Estrela – Rio Ave 2–2 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.35 1.57
02.12.23P1 Rio Ave – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 2.103.503.00 2.05 1.80

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Benfica 15 12 2 1 37 8 +29 38 WWWDWW
2 Sp Lisbon 15 12 1 2 43 10 +33 37 WWLLWD
3 Porto 15 12 1 2 36 9 +27 37 WLWDWW
4 Sp Braga 15 8 4 3 27 16 +11 28 WLWDDW
5 Santa Clara 15 9 0 6 16 15 +1 27 LWWWLL
6 Guimaraes 15 6 5 4 20 16 +4 23 WLWLDD
7 Casa Pia 15 5 5 5 16 18 -2 20 DDLDWW
8 Moreirense 15 6 2 7 19 22 -3 20 LWLWLL
9 Famalicao 15 4 7 4 18 17 +1 19 WDLDDL
10 Gil Vicente 15 4 5 6 17 24 -7 17 LLLWWD
11 Rio Ave 14 4 4 6 15 25 -10 16 LDWWLD
12 Estoril 15 3 5 7 12 24 -12 14 LDWDLL
13 AVS 15 2 7 6 11 22 -11 13 LDLDDD
14 Nacional 15 3 4 8 10 21 -11 13 LDLWLD
15 Boavista 15 2 6 7 10 19 -9 12 WLDDLD
16 Estrela 14 3 3 8 12 24 -12 12 DLWLWL
17 Farense 15 3 3 9 9 21 -12 12 LDWDLW
18 Arouca 15 3 2 10 9 26 -17 11 LDLLWL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Benfica 8 8 0 0 26 3 +23 24 WWWWWW
2 Porto 8 8 0 0 21 2 +19 24 WWWWWW
3 Sp Lisbon 7 6 0 1 18 5 +13 18 WWWWLW
4 Santa Clara 8 6 0 2 8 6 +2 18 WWWWWL
5 Guimaraes 7 4 2 1 12 8 +4 14 WLDWWD
6 Moreirense 7 4 2 1 10 8 +2 14 DDWWWL
7 Rio Ave 7 3 4 0 12 9 +3 13 WDDDWD
8 Gil Vicente 7 3 3 1 11 6 +5 12 DDWLWD
9 Sp Braga 8 3 3 2 17 13 +4 12 LWWLDD
10 Casa Pia 8 3 3 2 10 8 +2 12 WDWDDW
11 Estrela 7 3 2 2 10 10 0 11 LDWDWW
12 Estoril 8 3 2 3 8 11 -3 11 WLWDWL
13 Famalicao 8 2 4 2 6 7 -1 10 DDLDDL
14 Nacional 7 3 1 3 6 11 -5 10 WLWDWL
15 AVS 8 2 3 3 6 11 -5 9 WDLLLD
16 Arouca 7 2 1 4 4 9 -5 7 WLDLLW
17 Farense 7 2 0 5 4 11 -7 6 LLWLWL
18 Boavista 7 0 3 4 1 9 -8 3 DLLLDD
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 8 6 1 1 25 5 +20 19 WWWWLD
2 Sp Braga 7 5 1 1 10 3 +7 16 DWLWWW
3 Benfica 7 4 2 1 11 5 +6 14 DWWWDW
4 Porto 7 4 1 2 15 7 +8 13 LWWLDW
5 Famalicao 7 2 3 2 12 10 +2 9 LDDWLD
6 Guimaraes 8 2 3 3 8 8 0 9 WDDLLD
7 Boavista 8 2 3 3 9 10 -1 9 DLDWDL
8 Santa Clara 7 3 0 4 8 9 -1 9 WLLLWL
9 Casa Pia 7 2 2 3 6 10 -4 8 WDLDLW
10 Moreirense 8 2 0 6 9 14 -5 6 LLWLLL
11 Farense 8 1 3 4 5 10 -5 6 LDLDDW
12 Gil Vicente 8 1 2 5 6 18 -12 5 DLLLLW
13 AVS 7 0 4 3 5 11 -6 4 LLDDDD
14 Arouca 8 1 1 6 5 17 -12 4 WLLDLL
15 Nacional 8 0 3 5 4 10 -6 3 LDLLLD
16 Estoril 7 0 3 4 4 13 -9 3 DDLLDL
17 Rio Ave 7 1 0 6 3 16 -13 3 LLLLWL
18 Estrela 7 0 1 6 2 14 -12 1 LLLLLL

Estrela   Rio Ave

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 15 4 11 2.9 0.7 12 1 2 43 10 37 OOUOOU
2 3 Porto 15 6 9 2.4 0.6 12 1 2 36 9 37 OOUUUO
3 8 Moreirense 15 6 9 1.3 1.5 6 2 7 19 22 20 UOOOUO
4 10 Gil Vicente 15 6 9 1.1 1.6 4 5 6 17 24 17 OOOOUU
5 1 Benfica 15 7 8 2.5 0.5 12 2 1 37 8 38 OUUUUO
6 4 Sp Braga 15 7 8 1.8 1.1 8 4 3 27 16 28 OOUOOU
7 12 Estoril 15 7 8 0.8 1.6 3 5 7 12 24 14 OUOOUO
8 6 Guimaraes 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 6 5 4 20 16 23 UUOUOO
9 9 Famalicao 15 8 7 1.2 1.1 4 7 4 18 17 19 OUOUOO
10 11 Rio Ave 14 7 7 1.1 1.8 4 4 6 15 25 16 OOUOUO
11 16 Estrela 14 7 7 0.9 1.7 3 3 8 12 24 12 OOUUOU
12 18 Arouca 15 8 7 0.6 1.7 3 2 10 9 26 11 OUUOUO
13 13 AVS 15 10 5 0.7 1.5 2 7 6 11 22 13 OUUUUU
14 15 Boavista 15 10 5 0.7 1.3 2 6 7 10 19 12 OUUUOU
15 17 Farense 15 10 5 0.6 1.4 3 3 9 9 21 12 OUUUUO
16 5 Santa Clara 15 11 4 1.1 1.0 9 0 6 16 15 27 UUUUUU
17 7 Casa Pia 15 11 4 1.1 1.2 5 5 5 16 18 20 OUUUUO
18 14 Nacional 15 11 4 0.7 1.4 3 4 8 10 21 13 UUOUUO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Benfica 8 2 6 3.2 0.4 8 0 0 26 3 24 OOOOUO
2 3 Porto 8 3 5 2.6 0.2 8 0 0 21 2 24 OOOOUU
3 4 Sp Braga 8 3 5 2.1 1.6 3 3 2 17 13 12 UOUOOO
4 6 Guimaraes 7 2 5 1.7 1.1 4 2 1 12 8 14 OOOUOO
5 16 Estrela 7 2 5 1.4 1.4 3 2 2 10 10 11 UOOOUO
6 2 Sp Lisbon 7 3 4 2.6 0.7 6 0 1 18 5 18 UOUOUO
7 8 Moreirense 7 3 4 1.4 1.1 4 2 1 10 8 14 UUUOOO
8 10 Gil Vicente 7 3 4 1.6 0.9 3 3 1 11 6 12 UUOOOU
9 11 Rio Ave 7 3 4 1.7 1.3 3 4 0 12 9 13 UOUOOO
10 12 Estoril 8 4 4 1.0 1.4 3 2 3 8 11 11 UOOUOU
11 17 Farense 7 4 3 0.6 1.6 2 0 5 4 11 6 OUUOUU
12 5 Santa Clara 8 6 2 1.0 0.8 6 0 2 8 6 18 UUOUUU
13 7 Casa Pia 8 6 2 1.2 1.0 3 3 2 10 8 12 OUUUUO
14 9 Famalicao 8 6 2 0.8 0.9 2 4 2 6 7 10 UUOUUO
15 13 AVS 8 6 2 0.8 1.4 2 3 3 6 11 9 UUOOUU
16 14 Nacional 7 5 2 0.9 1.6 3 1 3 6 11 10 UOUUUU
17 18 Arouca 7 5 2 0.6 1.3 2 1 4 4 9 7 UOUOUU
18 15 Boavista 7 6 1 0.1 1.3 0 3 4 1 9 3 UOUUUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Sp Lisbon 8 1 7 3.1 0.6 6 1 1 25 5 19 OOOOOU
2 8 Moreirense 8 3 5 1.1 1.8 2 0 6 9 14 6 OOUUOU
3 9 Famalicao 7 2 5 1.7 1.4 2 3 2 12 10 9 OUUOOO
4 10 Gil Vicente 8 3 5 0.8 2.2 1 2 5 6 18 5 UOOOOU
5 18 Arouca 8 3 5 0.6 2.1 1 1 6 5 17 4 UOOUOO
6 3 Porto 7 3 4 2.1 1.0 4 1 2 15 7 13 UOOOUO
7 12 Estoril 7 3 4 0.6 1.9 0 3 4 4 13 3 UOUOOO
8 15 Boavista 8 4 4 1.1 1.2 2 3 3 9 10 9 OUOOUO
9 4 Sp Braga 7 4 3 1.4 0.4 5 1 1 10 3 16 UOOOUU
10 11 Rio Ave 7 4 3 0.4 2.3 1 0 6 3 16 3 UUOOUU
11 13 AVS 7 4 3 0.7 1.6 0 4 3 5 11 4 OOUUUU
12 1 Benfica 7 5 2 1.6 0.7 4 2 1 11 5 14 UOOUUU
13 5 Santa Clara 7 5 2 1.1 1.3 3 0 4 8 9 9 UOUUUU
14 6 Guimaraes 8 6 2 1.0 1.0 2 3 3 8 8 9 UUOUUO
15 7 Casa Pia 7 5 2 0.9 1.4 2 2 3 6 10 8 UUUOUU
16 14 Nacional 8 6 2 0.5 1.2 0 3 5 4 10 3 UUUUOO
17 16 Estrela 7 5 2 0.3 2.0 0 1 6 2 14 1 UUOOUU
18 17 Farense 8 6 2 0.6 1.2 1 3 4 5 10 6 OUUUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47