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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Guimaraes 2–3 Sp Braga

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 3.25 fair 2.26
Draw 3.50 fair 4.35
Away ✓ 2.10 fair 3.05
Under 2.5 2.15 fair 2.71
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.59

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Guimaraes Sp Braga
12 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 8
6 Corners 8
13 Fouls 15
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (292 league matches this season so far).
Result Guimaraes to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.56
Expected goals 1.76 – 1.49
Home / Draw / Away
GuimaraesDrawSp Braga
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.2% 2–1 9% 1–2 7.6%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Guimaraes before this match, all matches
1.88points / match
1.47scored / match
1.06conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 47:34
Sp Braga before this match, all matches
2.03points / match
2.13scored / match
1.47conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 32 played · 68:47
Guimaraes all matches all matches Sp Braga

Per match

1.47 Goals scored 2.13
1.06 Goals conceded 1.47
2.53 Total goals 3.59
12.22 Shots 15.13
3.97 Shots on target 6.25
9.47 Shots faced 10.06
6.56 Corners 5.84
5.03 Corners against 3.84
14.16 Fouls 11.75
2.72 Yellow cards 2.25
0.72 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.53 1st-half goals conceded 0.59

How often Full Time

56% Wins 63%
19% Draws 16%
25% Losses 22%
97% Over 0.5 goals 97%
72% Over 1.5 goals 84%
53% Over 2.5 goals 72%
22% Over 3.5 goals 47%
9% Over 4.5 goals 28%
0% Over 5.5 goals 19%
53% Both teams scored 69%
31% Clean sheets 19%
19% Failed to score 16%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 31%
44% Draws 38%
19% Losses 31%
72% Over 0.5 goals 72%
41% Over 1.5 goals 31%
13% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Guimaraes all matches
Sp Braga all matches
Guimaraes before this match, at home
2.19points / match
1.81scored / match
0.94conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 29:15
Sp Braga before this match, away
2.00points / match
2.19scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 35:28
Guimaraes at home away Sp Braga

Per match

1.81 Goals scored 2.19
0.94 Goals conceded 1.75
2.75 Total goals 3.94
13.31 Shots 12.88
4.88 Shots on target 5.75
8.81 Shots faced 11.69
6.88 Corners 5.13
4.06 Corners against 4.38
13.50 Fouls 11.69
2.38 Yellow cards 2.50
0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.63

How often Full Time

69% Wins 63%
13% Draws 13%
19% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
75% Over 1.5 goals 81%
56% Over 2.5 goals 75%
25% Over 3.5 goals 69%
19% Over 4.5 goals 38%
0% Over 5.5 goals 25%
50% Both teams scored 63%
44% Clean sheets 25%
6% Failed to score 19%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 38%
50% Draws 31%
19% Losses 31%
75% Over 0.5 goals 75%
44% Over 1.5 goals 38%
6% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Guimaraes at home
Sp Braga away

Last 10 matches before this match

Guimaraes all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.05.24 Rio Ave – Guimaraes 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.302.63 2.20 1.65
27.04.24 Guimaraes – Boavista 1–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.50 1.98 1.88
21.04.24 Sp Lisbon – Guimaraes 3–0 (2–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.57 2.35
13.04.24 Guimaraes – Farense 1–1 (0–1) 1.534.006.50 1.88 1.98
07.04.24 Porto – Guimaraes 1–2 (1–2) 1.365.007.50 1.70 2.10
30.03.24 Guimaraes – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.20 2.20 1.65
17.03.24 Chaves – Guimaraes 1–2 (1–1) 4.503.501.83 2.03 1.83
09.03.24 Guimaraes – Famalicao 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.754.20 2.05 1.75
02.03.24 Estoril – Guimaraes 1–3 (0–3) 3.503.502.10 1.88 1.98
24.02.24 Guimaraes – Casa Pia 0–2 (0–2) 1.603.806.00 2.15 1.67

Sp Braga all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.05.24 Sp Braga – Casa Pia 4–3 (1–1) 1.335.259.00 1.53 2.40
27.04.24 Benfica – Sp Braga 3–1 (0–1) 1.554.335.75 1.50 2.50
20.04.24 Sp Braga – Vizela 2–1 (0–0) 1.295.5011.00 1.50 2.50
13.04.24 Estoril – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–0) 4.504.001.73 1.57 2.35
06.04.24 Sp Braga – Arouca 0–3 (0–2) 1.454.757.00 1.53 2.40
01.04.24 Portimonense – Sp Braga 3–5 (1–2) 7.004.501.45 1.62 2.25
16.03.24 Sp Braga – Gil Vicente 2–1 (1–0) 1.445.007.00 1.60 2.30
09.03.24 Rio Ave – Sp Braga 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.801.80 1.83 2.03
02.03.24 Sp Braga – Estrela 3–0 (0–0) 1.365.008.50 1.57 2.35
26.02.24 Boavista – Sp Braga 0–4 (0–2) 4.503.501.83 1.73 2.08

Guimaraes at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.24 Guimaraes – Boavista 1–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.50 1.98 1.88
13.04.24 Guimaraes – Farense 1–1 (0–1) 1.534.006.50 1.88 1.98
30.03.24 Guimaraes – Moreirense 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.404.20 2.20 1.65
09.03.24 Guimaraes – Famalicao 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.754.20 2.05 1.75
24.02.24 Guimaraes – Casa Pia 0–2 (0–2) 1.603.806.00 2.15 1.67
11.02.24 Guimaraes – Benfica 2–2 (1–1) 5.504.001.62 1.80 2.00
21.01.24 Guimaraes – Estrela 3–0 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 1.98 1.88
15.01.24 Guimaraes – Arouca 2–1 (1–1) 1.913.504.00 2.05 1.75
23.12.23 Guimaraes – Rio Ave 1–0 (0–0) 1.673.754.75 1.93 1.93
09.12.23 Guimaraes – Sp Lisbon 3–2 (1–1) 5.004.001.62 1.73 2.08

Sp Braga away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.04.24 Benfica – Sp Braga 3–1 (0–1) 1.554.335.75 1.50 2.50
13.04.24 Estoril – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–0) 4.504.001.73 1.57 2.35
01.04.24 Portimonense – Sp Braga 3–5 (1–2) 7.004.501.45 1.62 2.25
09.03.24 Rio Ave – Sp Braga 0–0 (0–0) 4.203.801.80 1.83 2.03
26.02.24 Boavista – Sp Braga 0–4 (0–2) 4.503.501.83 1.73 2.08
11.02.24 Sp Lisbon – Sp Braga 5–0 (2–0) 1.504.506.00 1.53 2.40
18.01.24 Famalicao – Sp Braga 1–2 (0–0) 4.333.601.80 1.73 2.08
14.01.24 Porto – Sp Braga 2–0 (1–0) 1.733.754.50 1.67 2.15
30.12.23 Casa Pia – Sp Braga 1–3 (0–0) 5.254.001.62 1.80 2.00
08.12.23 Vizela – Sp Braga 1–3 (0–1) 5.254.331.57 1.57 2.35

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Guimaraes winsDrawsSp Braga wins
5matches
1.80goals / match
40%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.01.24P1 Sp Braga – Guimaraes 1–1 (0–0) 1.604.205.00 1.57 2.35
27.02.23P1 Guimaraes – Sp Braga 2–1 (2–0) 3.753.501.91 2.00 1.85
03.09.22P1 Sp Braga – Guimaraes 1–0 (0–0) 1.364.758.00 1.65 2.20
05.02.22P1 Guimaraes – Sp Braga 2–1 (1–0) 3.503.502.05 1.85 2.00
29.08.21P1 Sp Braga – Guimaraes 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.804.75 1.80 2.00

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 33 28 3 2 93 29 +64 87 WWWDWW
2 Benfica 32 24 4 4 71 27 +44 76 WLWWWL
3 Porto 32 20 6 6 60 26 +34 66 LLDWDW
4 Sp Braga 32 20 5 7 68 47 +21 65 WLWWLW
5 Guimaraes 32 18 6 8 47 34 +13 60 WWDLWL
6 Moreirense 32 14 7 11 33 34 -1 49 LDLLWW
7 Arouca 32 13 7 12 53 42 +11 46 WWWDDD
8 Famalicao 33 10 12 11 36 39 -3 42 DLDLWW
9 Farense 32 10 7 15 45 46 -1 37 LWDLWW
10 Rio Ave 33 6 18 9 37 42 -5 36 WDDDWD
11 Casa Pia 32 9 8 15 36 48 -12 35 WDDLWL
12 Estoril 33 9 6 18 48 56 -8 33 DLDWLL
13 Gil Vicente 32 8 9 15 40 51 -11 33 LLLWDD
14 Boavista 32 7 10 15 36 58 -22 31 DLLDLD
15 Estrela 33 6 12 15 32 53 -21 30 DDDLDL
16 Portimonense 33 7 8 18 36 71 -35 29 WDDLLD
17 Vizela 33 5 10 18 34 64 -30 25 LLLDLW
18 Chaves 33 5 8 20 31 69 -38 23 LWDLLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 16 16 0 0 54 11 +43 48 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 16 14 2 0 43 7 +36 44 WWWWWW
3 Guimaraes 16 11 2 3 29 15 +14 35 DLWWDW
4 Porto 16 10 4 2 33 12 +21 34 WWWLDD
5 Sp Braga 16 10 3 3 33 19 +14 33 WWWLWW
6 Estoril 17 8 1 8 25 18 +7 25 LWWLWL
7 Rio Ave 16 6 7 3 24 19 +5 25 WDDWDW
8 Moreirense 16 7 4 5 18 17 +1 25 LDWDLW
9 Arouca 16 7 3 6 25 23 +2 24 WWLWWD
10 Famalicao 16 6 6 4 20 19 +1 24 DDWLDW
11 Gil Vicente 16 5 7 4 26 22 +4 22 LDDLLD
12 Farense 16 6 4 6 23 20 +3 22 DLDWLW
13 Boavista 16 4 7 5 19 28 -9 19 WLWDDD
14 Estrela 16 5 3 8 21 27 -6 18 WDWLDL
15 Portimonense 17 3 6 8 18 31 -13 15 DLLDLD
16 Casa Pia 16 3 5 8 10 17 -7 14 WDLDLW
17 Vizela 17 3 5 9 20 32 -12 14 DWLLDW
18 Chaves 17 3 4 10 21 37 -16 13 LLLDLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 17 12 3 2 39 18 +21 39 WWWWDW
2 Porto 16 10 2 4 27 14 +13 32 LDWLWW
3 Benfica 16 10 2 4 28 20 +8 32 DLWLWL
4 Sp Braga 16 10 2 4 35 28 +7 32 LWDWWL
5 Guimaraes 16 7 4 5 18 19 -1 25 DWWWLL
6 Moreirense 16 7 3 6 15 17 -2 24 LWLLLW
7 Arouca 16 6 4 6 28 19 +9 22 LWLWDD
8 Casa Pia 16 6 3 7 26 31 -5 21 LWLWDL
9 Famalicao 17 4 6 7 16 20 -4 18 LLWDLW
10 Farense 16 4 3 9 22 26 -4 15 LLLLDW
11 Portimonense 16 4 2 10 18 40 -22 14 LLLWDL
12 Boavista 16 3 3 10 17 30 -13 12 LDLLLL
13 Estrela 17 1 9 7 11 26 -15 12 LDDDDL
14 Rio Ave 17 0 11 6 13 23 -10 11 DDDDDD
15 Gil Vicente 16 3 2 11 14 29 -15 11 WDLLWD
16 Vizela 16 2 5 9 14 32 -18 11 LDLLLL
17 Chaves 16 2 4 10 10 32 -22 10 LDDLWL
18 Estoril 16 1 5 10 23 38 -15 8 LDLDDL

Guimaraes   Sp Braga

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 33 8 25 2.8 0.9 28 3 2 93 29 87 OUOOOU
2 4 Sp Braga 32 9 23 2.1 1.5 20 5 7 68 47 65 OOUOOO
3 2 Benfica 32 12 20 2.2 0.8 24 4 4 71 27 76 UOOOOU
4 7 Arouca 32 12 20 1.7 1.3 13 7 12 53 42 46 OOOUOU
5 12 Estoril 33 13 20 1.5 1.7 9 6 18 48 56 33 UUOUOU
6 16 Portimonense 33 13 20 1.1 2.2 7 8 18 36 71 29 OOOUOO
7 18 Chaves 33 13 20 0.9 2.1 5 8 20 31 69 23 OUOOOU
8 3 Porto 32 14 18 1.9 0.8 20 6 6 60 26 66 UOOOOO
9 9 Farense 32 14 18 1.4 1.4 10 7 15 45 46 37 OUUOOO
10 17 Vizela 33 15 18 1.0 1.9 5 10 18 34 64 25 OUOUUO
11 5 Guimaraes 32 15 17 1.5 1.1 18 6 8 47 34 60 UOUOUO
12 13 Gil Vicente 32 15 17 1.2 1.6 8 9 15 40 51 33 OOOUOU
13 14 Boavista 32 16 16 1.1 1.8 7 10 15 36 58 31 UUOUUU
14 15 Estrela 33 17 16 1.0 1.6 6 12 15 32 53 30 OOUOUO
15 11 Casa Pia 32 17 15 1.1 1.5 9 8 15 36 48 35 OUOOOO
16 8 Famalicao 33 19 14 1.1 1.2 10 12 11 36 39 42 OUOUUU
17 10 Rio Ave 33 21 12 1.1 1.3 6 18 9 37 42 36 OOUUOO
18 6 Moreirense 32 21 11 1.0 1.1 14 7 11 33 34 49 UOOUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 16 3 13 3.4 0.7 16 0 0 54 11 48 OOOOOO
2 18 Chaves 17 4 13 1.2 2.2 3 4 10 21 37 13 OOOOOU
3 4 Sp Braga 16 5 11 2.1 1.2 10 3 3 33 19 33 OOOOOO
4 2 Benfica 16 6 10 2.7 0.4 14 2 0 43 7 44 OOOUOO
5 7 Arouca 16 6 10 1.6 1.4 7 3 6 25 23 24 OOOOOU
6 15 Estrela 16 6 10 1.3 1.7 5 3 8 21 27 18 OUOOOO
7 17 Vizela 17 7 10 1.2 1.9 3 5 9 20 32 14 OOOUUO
8 3 Porto 16 7 9 2.1 0.8 10 4 2 33 12 34 UOOOOO
9 5 Guimaraes 16 7 9 1.8 0.9 11 2 3 29 15 35 OUUUUU
10 12 Estoril 17 8 9 1.5 1.1 8 1 8 25 18 25 OUUUUU
11 16 Portimonense 17 8 9 1.1 1.8 3 6 8 18 31 15 UOOOUO
12 8 Famalicao 16 8 8 1.2 1.2 6 6 4 20 19 24 UUOUOU
13 9 Farense 16 8 8 1.4 1.2 6 4 6 23 20 22 UUUUOO
14 14 Boavista 16 8 8 1.2 1.8 4 7 5 19 28 19 OOUUUU
15 13 Gil Vicente 16 9 7 1.6 1.4 5 7 4 26 22 22 UUUOOO
16 10 Rio Ave 16 10 6 1.5 1.2 6 7 3 24 19 25 UOUOUO
17 6 Moreirense 16 11 5 1.1 1.1 7 4 5 18 17 25 UUUOUU
18 11 Casa Pia 16 11 5 0.6 1.1 3 5 8 10 17 14 UUUUOO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 17 5 12 2.3 1.1 12 3 2 39 18 39 OOOUOU
2 4 Sp Braga 16 4 12 2.2 1.8 10 2 4 35 28 32 OOUOUO
3 12 Estoril 16 5 11 1.4 2.4 1 5 10 23 38 8 OOOUOO
4 16 Portimonense 16 5 11 1.1 2.5 4 2 10 18 40 14 OOUOOO
5 2 Benfica 16 6 10 1.8 1.2 10 2 4 28 20 32 OOUOOU
6 7 Arouca 16 6 10 1.8 1.2 6 4 6 28 19 22 UOUOUO
7 9 Farense 16 6 10 1.4 1.6 4 3 9 22 26 15 OOOOUO
8 11 Casa Pia 16 6 10 1.6 1.9 6 3 7 26 31 21 UUOOOO
9 13 Gil Vicente 16 6 10 0.9 1.8 3 2 11 14 29 11 OUOOUU
10 3 Porto 16 7 9 1.7 0.9 10 2 4 27 14 32 OUOUOO
11 5 Guimaraes 16 8 8 1.1 1.2 7 4 5 18 19 25 UOOOOO
12 14 Boavista 16 8 8 1.1 1.9 3 3 10 17 30 12 OUOUOU
13 17 Vizela 16 8 8 0.9 2.0 2 5 9 14 32 11 OUOOOU
14 18 Chaves 16 9 7 0.6 2.0 2 4 10 10 32 10 UUUUUO
15 6 Moreirense 16 10 6 0.9 1.1 7 3 6 15 17 24 UUUUOU
16 8 Famalicao 17 11 6 0.9 1.2 4 6 7 16 20 18 OUOOUU
17 10 Rio Ave 17 11 6 0.8 1.4 0 11 6 13 23 11 UUUOUO
18 15 Estrela 17 11 6 0.6 1.5 1 9 7 11 26 12 OUOUUO

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 2 Nov 2026, 20:47