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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estrela 2–0 Nacional

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 2.20 fair 2.42
Draw 3.40 fair 3.76
Away 3.20 fair 3.12
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.70 fair 1.88
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 2.14

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estrela Nacional
17 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 4
10 Corners 4
10 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (94 league matches this season so far).
Result Estrela to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.94
Expected goals 1.37 – 1.17
Home / Draw / Away
EstrelaDrawNacional
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.6% 1–0 10.8% 0–1 9.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Estrela before this match, all matches
0.60points / match
0.80scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 8:20
Nacional before this match, all matches
0.89points / match
0.67scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 6:13
Estrela all matches all matches Nacional

Per match

0.80 Goals scored 0.67
2.00 Goals conceded 1.44
2.80 Total goals 2.11
9.50 Shots 12.33
2.80 Shots on target 3.56
12.40 Shots faced 15.44
4.20 Corners 3.89
6.40 Corners against 5.56
14.00 Fouls 14.11
2.40 Yellow cards 2.89
0.50 1st-half goals scored 0.56
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.56

How often Full Time

10% Wins 22%
30% Draws 22%
60% Losses 56%
100% Over 0.5 goals 89%
70% Over 1.5 goals 56%
60% Over 2.5 goals 22%
30% Over 3.5 goals 11%
10% Over 4.5 goals 11%
10% Over 5.5 goals 11%
50% Both teams scored 22%
0% Clean sheets 33%
50% Failed to score 56%

How often Half Time

10% Wins 33%
40% Draws 22%
50% Losses 44%
70% Over 0.5 goals 78%
50% Over 1.5 goals 22%
20% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela all matches
Nacional all matches
Estrela before this match, at home
1.00points / match
1.20scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 6:9
Nacional before this match, away
0.40points / match
0.20scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 1:4
Estrela at home away Nacional

Per match

1.20 Goals scored 0.20
1.80 Goals conceded 0.80
3.00 Total goals 1.00
10.60 Shots 12.40
2.60 Shots on target 3.20
12.20 Shots faced 13.60
3.60 Corners 3.80
4.80 Corners against 6.20
14.20 Fouls 14.40
2.40 Yellow cards 3.00
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.20
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

20% Wins 0%
40% Draws 40%
40% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
80% Over 1.5 goals 20%
80% Over 2.5 goals 0%
40% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 20%
0% Clean sheets 20%
40% Failed to score 80%

How often Half Time

20% Wins 20%
40% Draws 20%
40% Losses 60%
80% Over 0.5 goals 80%
60% Over 1.5 goals 0%
20% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela at home
Nacional away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.24 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 5–1 (3–1) 1.0811.0019.00 1.30 3.50
27.10.24 Estrela – Guimaraes 2–2 (1–1) 4.753.401.80 2.25 1.62
05.10.24 Gil Vicente – Estrela 3–0 (2–0) 1.853.504.20 2.08 1.73
28.09.24 Estrela – Moreirense 2–1 (2–0) 2.903.202.45 2.30 1.60
21.09.24 Santa Clara – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.505.00 2.10 1.70
16.09.24 Estrela – Boavista 2–2 (1–2) 1.913.304.20 2.35 1.57
31.08.24 Estrela – Casa Pia 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.203.20 2.35 1.57
24.08.24 Benfica – Estrela 1–0 (1–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.50 2.50
19.08.24 Estrela – Famalicao 0–3 (0–1) 2.503.202.88 2.15 1.67
11.08.24 Sp Braga – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 1.384.757.50 1.53 2.40

Nacional all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.11.24 Nacional – Santa Clara 2–0 (2–0) 3.303.102.25 2.35 1.57
25.10.24 Casa Pia – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 2.25 1.62
29.09.24 Famalicao – Nacional 0–0 (0–0) 1.603.755.75 2.00 1.85
20.09.24 Nacional – Sp Braga 0–3 (0–0) 5.253.801.65 1.62 2.25
15.09.24 Estoril – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 2.08 1.73
01.09.24 Nacional – Farense 2–0 (1–0) 2.203.403.20 1.90 1.95
25.08.24 Arouca – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 1.93 1.93
17.08.24 Nacional – Sp Lisbon 1–6 (1–2) 10.006.001.25 1.57 2.35
10.08.24 AVS – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.253.20 2.08 1.73

Estrela at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.10.24 Estrela – Guimaraes 2–2 (1–1) 4.753.401.80 2.25 1.62
28.09.24 Estrela – Moreirense 2–1 (2–0) 2.903.202.45 2.30 1.60
16.09.24 Estrela – Boavista 2–2 (1–2) 1.913.304.20 2.35 1.57
31.08.24 Estrela – Casa Pia 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.203.20 2.35 1.57
19.08.24 Estrela – Famalicao 0–3 (0–1) 2.503.202.88 2.15 1.67
18.05.24 Estrela – Gil Vicente 1–0 (1–0) 1.673.904.75 1.70 2.10
29.04.24 Estrela – Farense 0–3 (0–1) 2.203.253.50 1.98 1.88
14.04.24 Estrela – Rio Ave 2–2 (1–1) 2.503.252.90 2.35 1.57
29.03.24 Estrela – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (1–2) 13.007.001.20 1.53 2.40
08.03.24 Estrela – Casa Pia 3–1 (0–0) 2.203.003.60 2.40 1.53

Nacional away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.24 Casa Pia – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.403.40 2.25 1.62
29.09.24 Famalicao – Nacional 0–0 (0–0) 1.603.755.75 2.00 1.85
15.09.24 Estoril – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 2.08 1.73
25.08.24 Arouca – Nacional 1–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.50 1.93 1.93
10.08.24 AVS – Nacional 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.253.20 2.08 1.73

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 10 10 0 0 35 3 +32 30 WWWWWW
2 Porto 10 9 0 1 27 4 +23 27 WWWWWW
3 Benfica 9 7 1 1 24 6 +18 22 DWWWWW
4 Sp Braga 10 6 2 2 17 7 +10 20 LWWLWW
5 Guimaraes 10 5 3 2 12 10 +2 18 WLDDDW
6 Santa Clara 10 6 0 4 13 12 +1 18 LWWLWL
7 Famalicao 11 4 5 2 12 9 +3 17 DDDLWD
8 Moreirense 11 5 2 4 15 14 +1 17 DLWWLW
9 Casa Pia 11 3 4 4 10 14 -4 13 DDLWDD
10 Rio Ave 11 3 3 5 10 20 -10 12 DLDLDW
11 Gil Vicente 11 2 4 5 14 19 -5 10 DLWLLL
12 Estoril 11 2 4 5 8 16 -8 10 DLLWLD
13 AVS 11 2 4 5 9 19 -10 10 LDDLLD
14 Boavista 11 2 3 6 7 15 -8 9 LLDLWL
15 Nacional 9 2 2 5 6 13 -7 8 WLLDLW
16 Arouca 11 2 2 7 6 19 -13 8 WLDLLD
17 Estrela 10 1 3 6 8 20 -12 6 DLWLDL
18 Farense 11 1 2 8 5 18 -13 5 LDWLLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 6 6 0 0 17 2 +15 18 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 5 5 0 0 18 2 +16 15 WWWWW
3 Sp Lisbon 5 5 0 0 15 2 +13 15 WWWWW
4 Santa Clara 5 4 0 1 6 4 +2 12 LWWWW
5 Moreirense 5 3 2 0 8 4 +4 11 WDDWW
6 Sp Braga 5 3 1 1 10 4 +6 10 DWLWW
7 Guimaraes 5 3 1 1 6 6 0 10 WWLDW
8 Rio Ave 5 2 3 0 7 5 +2 9 WWDDD
9 Famalicao 6 2 3 1 4 4 0 9 WWDDLD
10 Gil Vicente 5 2 2 1 9 5 +4 8 WDDWL
11 Casa Pia 6 2 2 2 6 6 0 8 LLWDWD
12 Estoril 6 2 2 2 6 8 -2 8 LDWLWD
13 AVS 6 2 2 2 5 9 -4 8 DWWDLL
14 Nacional 4 2 0 2 5 9 -4 6 LWLW
15 Estrela 5 1 2 2 6 9 -3 5 LLDWD
16 Arouca 5 1 1 3 3 7 -4 4 LWLDL
17 Farense 5 1 0 4 3 10 -7 3 LLLWL
18 Boavista 5 0 1 4 0 8 -8 1 LDLLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 5 5 0 0 20 1 +19 15 WWWWW
2 Sp Braga 5 3 1 1 7 3 +4 10 WDWLW
3 Porto 4 3 0 1 10 2 +8 9 WLWW
4 Famalicao 5 2 2 1 8 5 +3 8 WLDDW
5 Guimaraes 5 2 2 1 6 4 +2 8 WLWDD
6 Boavista 6 2 2 2 7 7 0 8 WLDLDW
7 Benfica 4 2 1 1 6 4 +2 7 LDWW
8 Santa Clara 5 2 0 3 7 8 -1 6 WWLLL
9 Moreirense 6 2 0 4 7 10 -3 6 WLLLWL
10 Casa Pia 5 1 2 2 4 8 -4 5 LWDLD
11 Arouca 6 1 1 4 3 12 -9 4 LLWLLD
12 Rio Ave 6 1 0 5 3 15 -12 3 LLLLLW
13 Nacional 5 0 2 3 1 4 -3 2 DLLDL
14 AVS 5 0 2 3 4 10 -6 2 LLLDD
15 Estoril 5 0 2 3 2 8 -6 2 LDDLL
16 Farense 6 0 2 4 2 8 -6 2 LLLDLD
17 Gil Vicente 6 0 2 4 5 14 -9 2 LDDLLL
18 Estrela 5 0 1 4 2 11 -9 1 DLLLL

Estrela   Nacional

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 10 2 8 3.5 0.3 10 0 0 35 3 30 OOOUOO
2 2 Porto 10 3 7 2.7 0.4 9 0 1 27 4 27 OOOOOO
3 11 Gil Vicente 11 4 7 1.3 1.7 2 4 5 14 19 10 UOOOOO
4 3 Benfica 9 3 6 2.7 0.7 7 1 1 24 6 22 UOOOOO
5 8 Moreirense 11 5 6 1.4 1.3 5 2 4 15 14 17 UOUUUO
6 17 Estrela 10 4 6 0.8 2.0 1 3 6 8 20 6 OUOOOO
7 4 Sp Braga 10 5 5 1.7 0.7 6 2 2 17 7 20 UOOOUO
8 10 Rio Ave 11 6 5 0.9 1.8 3 3 5 10 20 12 OOUOOU
9 12 Estoril 11 6 5 0.7 1.5 2 4 5 8 16 10 OOUOOU
10 13 AVS 11 6 5 0.8 1.7 2 4 5 9 19 10 OUUOOU
11 16 Arouca 11 6 5 0.5 1.7 2 2 7 6 19 8 UOUOOU
12 5 Guimaraes 10 6 4 1.2 1.0 5 3 2 12 10 18 UOUOOU
13 6 Santa Clara 10 6 4 1.3 1.2 6 0 4 13 12 18 OUUUOU
14 7 Famalicao 11 7 4 1.1 0.8 4 5 2 12 9 17 UUUOOU
15 14 Boavista 11 7 4 0.6 1.4 2 3 6 7 15 9 OUOUOU
16 18 Farense 11 7 4 0.5 1.6 1 2 8 5 18 5 UUUUOU
17 9 Casa Pia 11 8 3 0.9 1.3 3 4 4 10 14 13 UUUUOU
18 15 Nacional 9 7 2 0.7 1.4 2 2 5 6 13 8 UUOUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Porto 6 1 5 2.8 0.3 6 0 0 17 2 18 OUOOOO
2 3 Benfica 5 1 4 3.6 0.4 5 0 0 18 2 15 OUOOO
3 17 Estrela 5 1 4 1.2 1.8 1 2 2 6 9 5 OUOOO
4 1 Sp Lisbon 5 2 3 3.0 0.4 5 0 0 15 2 15 OUOUO
5 5 Guimaraes 5 2 3 1.2 1.2 3 1 1 6 6 10 UOOOU
6 11 Gil Vicente 5 2 3 1.8 1.0 2 2 1 9 5 8 OUUOO
7 12 Estoril 6 3 3 1.0 1.3 2 2 2 6 8 8 OUUOOU
8 18 Farense 5 2 3 0.6 2.0 1 0 4 3 10 3 OOUUO
9 4 Sp Braga 5 3 2 2.0 0.8 3 1 1 10 4 10 UOUOU
10 6 Santa Clara 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 4 0 1 6 4 12 UOUUO
11 8 Moreirense 5 3 2 1.6 0.8 3 2 0 8 4 11 OUUUO
12 10 Rio Ave 5 3 2 1.4 1.0 2 3 0 7 5 9 UUOUO
13 13 AVS 6 4 2 0.8 1.5 2 2 2 5 9 8 UUUUOO
14 15 Nacional 4 2 2 1.2 2.2 2 0 2 5 9 6 OUOU
15 16 Arouca 5 3 2 0.6 1.4 1 1 3 3 7 4 UUOUO
16 7 Famalicao 6 5 1 0.7 0.7 2 3 1 4 4 9 UUUUOU
17 9 Casa Pia 6 5 1 1.0 1.0 2 2 2 6 6 8 UUOUUU
18 14 Boavista 5 4 1 0.0 1.6 0 1 4 0 8 1 UUOUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 5 0 5 4.0 0.2 5 0 0 20 1 15 OOOOO
2 8 Moreirense 6 2 4 1.2 1.7 2 0 4 7 10 6 OOOOUU
3 11 Gil Vicente 6 2 4 0.8 2.3 0 2 4 5 14 2 OUUOOO
4 4 Sp Braga 5 2 3 1.4 0.6 3 1 1 7 3 10 UUOOO
5 7 Famalicao 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 2 2 1 8 5 8 OOUUO
6 10 Rio Ave 6 3 3 0.5 2.5 1 0 5 3 15 3 OUUOOU
7 13 AVS 5 2 3 0.8 2.0 0 2 3 4 10 2 OOOUU
8 14 Boavista 6 3 3 1.2 1.2 2 2 2 7 7 8 UUOUOO
9 16 Arouca 6 3 3 0.5 2.0 1 1 4 3 12 4 OUUOOU
10 2 Porto 4 2 2 2.5 0.5 3 0 1 10 2 9 UUOO
11 3 Benfica 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 2 1 1 6 4 7 UUOO
12 6 Santa Clara 5 3 2 1.4 1.6 2 0 3 7 8 6 OUOUU
13 9 Casa Pia 5 3 2 0.8 1.6 1 2 2 4 8 5 OUUUO
14 12 Estoril 5 3 2 0.4 1.6 0 2 3 2 8 2 UUOUO
15 17 Estrela 5 3 2 0.4 2.2 0 1 4 2 11 1 UUUOO
16 5 Guimaraes 5 4 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 1 6 4 8 UUUUO
17 18 Farense 6 5 1 0.3 1.3 0 2 4 2 8 2 UUOUUU
18 15 Nacional 5 5 0 0.2 0.8 0 2 3 1 4 2 UUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 06:11