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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estrela 2–4 Sp Braga

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 4.50 fair 2.35
Draw 3.80 fair 4.15
Away ✓ 1.70 fair 2.99
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.38
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.70 fair 1.73

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estrela Sp Braga
17 Shots 17
9 Shots on target 9
8 Corners 6
9 Fouls 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (54 league matches this season so far).
Result Estrela to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.66
Expected goals 1.61 – 1.40
Home / Draw / Away
EstrelaDrawSp Braga
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1% 2–1 8.9% 1–0 7.9%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Estrela before this match, all matches
0.83points / match
0.83scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 5:8
Sp Braga before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
2.33scored / match
1.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 14:11
Estrela all matches all matches Sp Braga

Per match

0.83 Goals scored 2.33
1.33 Goals conceded 1.83
2.17 Total goals 4.17
9.17 Shots 14.17
1.50 Shots on target 5.17
15.17 Shots faced 10.67
6.17 Corners 4.50
7.50 Corners against 4.00
12.33 Fouls 12.33
3.33 Yellow cards 2.83
0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.83
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.17

How often Full Time

17% Wins 50%
33% Draws 17%
50% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 100%
33% Over 2.5 goals 83%
17% Over 3.5 goals 67%
0% Over 4.5 goals 50%
0% Over 5.5 goals 17%
50% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
50% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 33%
50% Draws 17%
33% Losses 50%
67% Over 0.5 goals 100%
17% Over 1.5 goals 67%
0% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela all matches
Sp Braga all matches
Estrela before this match, at home
1.00points / match
0.67scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 2:3
Sp Braga before this match, away
2.00points / match
2.67scored / match
2.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 8:7
Estrela at home away Sp Braga

Per match

0.67 Goals scored 2.67
1.00 Goals conceded 2.33
1.67 Total goals 5.00
9.67 Shots 14.00
1.33 Shots on target 6.00
10.67 Shots faced 14.00
7.00 Corners 4.67
8.00 Corners against 5.33
11.00 Fouls 11.00
2.33 Yellow cards 3.00
0.00 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 1.67

How often Full Time

33% Wins 67%
0% Draws 0%
67% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
33% Over 1.5 goals 100%
33% Over 2.5 goals 100%
0% Over 3.5 goals 100%
0% Over 4.5 goals 67%
0% Over 5.5 goals 33%
33% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
67% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

0% Wins 0%
33% Draws 33%
67% Losses 67%
67% Over 0.5 goals 100%
0% Over 1.5 goals 100%
0% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela at home
Sp Braga away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.09.23 Chaves – Estrela 2–2 (0–1) 2.703.252.63 1.90 1.95
15.09.23 Estrela – Porto 0–1 (0–1) 8.505.001.33 1.65 2.20
02.09.23 Portimonense – Estrela 1–1 (1–1) 2.633.202.75 2.08 1.73
25.08.23 Estrela – Estoril 2–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.20 2.35 1.57
19.08.23 Benfica – Estrela 2–0 (0–0) 1.089.5023.00 1.36 3.10
13.08.23 Estrela – Guimaraes 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.202.70 2.30 1.60

Sp Braga all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.09.23 Sp Braga – Boavista 4–1 (2–1) 1.504.006.00 1.62 2.25
16.09.23 Farense – Sp Braga 3–1 (2–0) 4.753.801.70 1.67 2.15
09.09.23 Moreirense – Sp Braga 2–3 (2–1) 4.203.751.80 1.70 2.10
03.09.23 Sp Braga – Sp Lisbon 1–1 (0–1) 2.903.802.20 1.75 2.05
19.08.23 Chaves – Sp Braga 2–4 (1–1) 4.504.001.70 1.73 2.08
11.08.23 Sp Braga – Famalicao 1–2 (1–0) 1.404.007.00 1.67 2.15
27.05.23 Sp Braga – Pacos Ferreira 3–0 (2–0) 1.226.5011.00 1.40 2.88
20.05.23 Boavista – Sp Braga 1–1 (0–0) 5.504.001.53 1.70 2.10
14.05.23 Sp Braga – Santa Clara 5–3 (3–1) 1.205.7512.00 1.50 2.50
06.05.23 Benfica – Sp Braga 1–0 (0–0) 1.554.205.50 1.65 2.20

Estrela at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.09.23 Estrela – Porto 0–1 (0–1) 8.505.001.33 1.65 2.20
25.08.23 Estrela – Estoril 2–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.20 2.35 1.57
13.08.23 Estrela – Guimaraes 0–1 (0–1) 2.453.202.70 2.30 1.60

Sp Braga away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.09.23 Farense – Sp Braga 3–1 (2–0) 4.753.801.70 1.67 2.15
09.09.23 Moreirense – Sp Braga 2–3 (2–1) 4.203.751.80 1.70 2.10
19.08.23 Chaves – Sp Braga 2–4 (1–1) 4.504.001.70 1.73 2.08
20.05.23 Boavista – Sp Braga 1–1 (0–0) 5.504.001.53 1.70 2.10
06.05.23 Benfica – Sp Braga 1–0 (0–0) 1.554.205.50 1.65 2.20
21.04.23 Casa Pia – Sp Braga 0–1 (0–0) 5.253.601.60 2.05 1.80
02.04.23 Chaves – Sp Braga 1–2 (1–1) 4.753.801.67 1.90 1.95
11.03.23 Vizela – Sp Braga 0–4 (0–1) 3.803.601.95 1.95 1.90
27.02.23 Guimaraes – Sp Braga 2–1 (2–0) 3.753.501.91 2.00 1.85
12.02.23 Maritimo – Sp Braga 1–2 (1–2) 5.504.001.57 1.83 2.02

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 6 5 1 0 12 4 +8 16 WWWDWW
2 Porto 6 5 1 0 10 5 +5 16 WWWDWW
3 Benfica 6 5 0 1 16 7 +9 15 LWWWWW
4 Boavista 6 4 1 1 15 10 +5 13 WWDWWL
5 Famalicao 6 3 2 1 5 3 +2 11 WDLWDW
6 Sp Braga 6 3 1 2 14 11 +3 10 LWDWLW
7 Guimaraes 6 3 1 2 6 7 -1 10 WWWLLD
8 Casa Pia 6 2 3 1 7 4 +3 9 WLDDWD
9 Moreirense 6 2 1 3 6 9 -3 7 LDWLLW
10 Gil Vicente 6 2 0 4 14 11 +3 6 WLLLWL
11 Farense 6 2 0 4 9 8 +1 6 LLWLWL
12 Arouca 6 1 3 2 8 9 -1 6 WDDDLL
13 Vizela 6 1 2 3 8 11 -3 5 LDLWLD
14 Estrela 6 1 2 3 5 8 -3 5 LLWDLD
15 Rio Ave 6 1 2 3 5 8 -3 5 WLLDDL
16 Portimonense 6 1 2 3 6 15 -9 5 LLDDWL
17 Estoril 6 1 1 4 12 15 -3 4 LWLLLD
18 Chaves 6 0 1 5 6 19 -13 1 LLLLLD
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 4 4 0 0 9 2 +7 12 WWWW
2 Boavista 3 2 1 0 8 4 +4 7 WDW
3 Porto 3 2 1 0 5 3 +2 7 WDW
4 Famalicao 3 2 1 0 2 0 +2 7 DWW
5 Gil Vicente 3 2 0 1 12 6 +6 6 WLW
6 Benfica 2 2 0 0 6 0 +6 6 WW
7 Farense 3 2 0 1 8 4 +4 6 LWW
8 Guimaraes 3 2 0 1 5 3 +2 6 WWL
9 Sp Braga 3 1 1 1 6 4 +2 4 LDW
10 Estoril 3 1 1 1 5 4 +1 4 WLD
11 Rio Ave 3 1 1 1 4 3 +1 4 WLD
12 Arouca 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4 WDL
13 Vizela 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4 DWL
14 Moreirense 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3 LLW
15 Estrela 3 1 0 2 2 3 -1 3 LWL
16 Casa Pia 3 0 2 1 2 3 -1 2 LDD
17 Chaves 3 0 1 2 5 8 -3 1 LLD
18 Portimonense 3 0 1 2 3 8 -5 1 LDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Benfica 4 3 0 1 10 7 +3 9 LWWW
2 Porto 3 3 0 0 5 2 +3 9 WWW
3 Casa Pia 3 2 1 0 5 1 +4 7 WDW
4 Sp Braga 3 2 0 1 8 7 +1 6 WWL
5 Boavista 3 2 0 1 7 6 +1 6 WWL
6 Sp Lisbon 2 1 1 0 3 2 +1 4 WD
7 Famalicao 3 1 1 1 3 3 0 4 WLD
8 Moreirense 3 1 1 1 2 4 -2 4 DWL
9 Guimaraes 3 1 1 1 1 4 -3 4 WLD
10 Portimonense 3 1 1 1 3 7 -4 4 LDW
11 Arouca 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2 DDL
12 Estrela 3 0 2 1 3 5 -2 2 LDD
13 Vizela 3 0 1 2 4 7 -3 1 LLD
14 Rio Ave 3 0 1 2 1 5 -4 1 LDL
15 Gil Vicente 3 0 0 3 2 5 -3 0 LLL
16 Farense 3 0 0 3 1 4 -3 0 LLL
17 Estoril 3 0 0 3 7 11 -4 0 LLL
18 Chaves 3 0 0 3 1 11 -10 0 LLL

Estrela   Sp Braga

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Benfica 6 1 5 2.7 1.2 5 0 1 16 7 15 OUOOOO
2 4 Boavista 6 1 5 2.5 1.7 4 1 1 15 10 13 OOUOOO
3 6 Sp Braga 6 1 5 2.3 1.8 3 1 2 14 11 10 OOUOOO
4 10 Gil Vicente 6 1 5 2.3 1.8 2 0 4 14 11 6 OOOUOO
5 17 Estoril 6 1 5 2.0 2.5 1 1 4 12 15 4 OUOOOO
6 18 Chaves 6 1 5 1.0 3.2 0 1 5 6 19 1 UOOOOO
7 2 Porto 6 2 4 1.7 0.8 5 1 0 10 5 16 OOOUUO
8 9 Moreirense 6 2 4 1.0 1.5 2 1 3 6 9 7 OUOOOU
9 11 Farense 6 2 4 1.5 1.3 2 0 4 9 8 6 OOOUOU
10 13 Vizela 6 2 4 1.3 1.8 1 2 3 8 11 5 OOUUOO
11 16 Portimonense 6 2 4 1.0 2.5 1 2 3 6 15 5 OOUUOO
12 1 Sp Lisbon 6 3 3 2.0 0.7 5 1 0 12 4 16 OOUUOU
13 7 Guimaraes 6 3 3 1.0 1.2 3 1 2 6 7 10 UOUOOU
14 8 Casa Pia 6 4 2 1.2 0.7 2 3 1 7 4 9 OOUUUU
15 12 Arouca 6 4 2 1.3 1.5 1 3 2 8 9 6 OOUUUU
16 14 Estrela 6 4 2 0.8 1.3 1 2 3 5 8 5 UUOUUO
17 5 Famalicao 6 5 1 0.8 0.5 3 2 1 5 3 11 OUUUUU
18 15 Rio Ave 6 5 1 0.8 1.3 1 2 3 5 8 5 UUOUUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 10 Gil Vicente 3 0 3 4.0 2.0 2 0 1 12 6 6 OOO
2 11 Farense 3 0 3 2.7 1.3 2 0 1 8 4 6 OOO
3 18 Chaves 3 0 3 1.7 2.7 0 1 2 5 8 1 OOO
4 1 Sp Lisbon 4 2 2 2.2 0.5 4 0 0 9 2 12 OUOU
5 2 Porto 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 2 1 0 5 3 7 OUO
6 4 Boavista 3 1 2 2.7 1.3 2 1 0 8 4 7 OUO
7 6 Sp Braga 3 1 2 2.0 1.3 1 1 1 6 4 4 OUO
8 7 Guimaraes 3 1 2 1.7 1.0 2 0 1 5 3 6 OUO
9 9 Moreirense 3 1 2 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3 OOU
10 13 Vizela 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4 OUO
11 16 Portimonense 3 1 2 1.0 2.7 0 1 2 3 8 1 OUO
12 17 Estoril 3 1 2 1.7 1.3 1 1 1 5 4 4 UOO
13 3 Benfica 2 1 1 3.0 0.0 2 0 0 6 0 6 UO
14 8 Casa Pia 3 2 1 0.7 1.0 0 2 1 2 3 2 OUU
15 12 Arouca 3 2 1 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4 OUU
16 14 Estrela 3 2 1 0.7 1.0 1 0 2 2 3 3 UOU
17 15 Rio Ave 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 1 1 4 3 4 UOU
18 5 Famalicao 3 3 0 0.7 0.0 2 1 0 2 0 7 UUU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Benfica 4 0 4 2.5 1.8 3 0 1 10 7 9 OOOO
2 4 Boavista 3 0 3 2.3 2.0 2 0 1 7 6 6 OOO
3 6 Sp Braga 3 0 3 2.7 2.3 2 0 1 8 7 6 OOO
4 17 Estoril 3 0 3 2.3 3.7 0 0 3 7 11 0 OOO
5 2 Porto 3 1 2 1.7 0.7 3 0 0 5 2 9 OOU
6 9 Moreirense 3 1 2 0.7 1.3 1 1 1 2 4 4 UOO
7 10 Gil Vicente 3 1 2 0.7 1.7 0 0 3 2 5 0 OUO
8 13 Vizela 3 1 2 1.3 2.3 0 1 2 4 7 1 OUO
9 16 Portimonense 3 1 2 1.0 2.3 1 1 1 3 7 4 OUO
10 18 Chaves 3 1 2 0.3 3.7 0 0 3 1 11 0 UOO
11 1 Sp Lisbon 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 1 0 3 2 4 OU
12 5 Famalicao 3 2 1 1.0 1.0 1 1 1 3 3 4 OUU
13 7 Guimaraes 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 1 1 1 1 4 4 UOU
14 8 Casa Pia 3 2 1 1.7 0.3 2 1 0 5 1 7 OUU
15 11 Farense 3 2 1 0.3 1.3 0 0 3 1 4 0 OUU
16 12 Arouca 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2 OUU
17 14 Estrela 3 2 1 1.0 1.7 0 2 1 3 5 2 UUO
18 15 Rio Ave 3 3 0 0.3 1.7 0 1 2 1 5 1 UUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10