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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Estrela 2–4 Estoril

Full time · half time 0–3 · season 2024/2025

Home 2.25 fair 2.15
Draw 3.10 fair 3.89
Away ✓ 3.30 fair 3.60
Under 2.5 1.62 fair 1.93
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.25 fair 2.07

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Estrela Estoril
8 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 8
3 Corners 3
20 Fouls 18
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (150 league matches this season so far).
Result Estrela to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.93
Expected goals 1.50 – 1.10
Home / Draw / Away
EstrelaDrawEstoril
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.2% 1–0 11.1% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Estrela before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.88scored / match
1.56conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 14:25
Estoril before this match, all matches
0.94points / match
0.88scored / match
1.63conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 16 played · 14:26
Estrela all matches all matches Estoril

Per match

0.88 Goals scored 0.88
1.56 Goals conceded 1.63
2.44 Total goals 2.50
10.13 Shots 9.50
2.81 Shots on target 3.06
12.69 Shots faced 13.44
4.69 Corners 4.19
6.38 Corners against 5.94
14.38 Fouls 15.38
2.50 Yellow cards 2.94
0.44 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.81 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

25% Wins 19%
25% Draws 38%
50% Losses 44%
100% Over 0.5 goals 81%
69% Over 1.5 goals 63%
44% Over 2.5 goals 56%
19% Over 3.5 goals 38%
6% Over 4.5 goals 13%
6% Over 5.5 goals 0%
44% Both teams scored 38%
13% Clean sheets 25%
44% Failed to score 56%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 25%
31% Draws 38%
50% Losses 38%
75% Over 0.5 goals 69%
31% Over 1.5 goals 38%
13% Over 2.5 goals 19%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela all matches
Estoril all matches
Estrela before this match, at home
1.75points / match
1.38scored / match
1.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 11:10
Estoril before this match, away
0.43points / match
0.57scored / match
1.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 4:13
Estrela at home away Estoril

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 0.57
1.25 Goals conceded 1.86
2.63 Total goals 2.43
11.00 Shots 8.29
2.75 Shots on target 2.43
13.13 Shots faced 15.71
4.38 Corners 3.14
5.13 Corners against 6.43
13.88 Fouls 14.14
2.63 Yellow cards 2.71
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.86

How often Full Time

50% Wins 0%
25% Draws 43%
25% Losses 57%
100% Over 0.5 goals 86%
75% Over 1.5 goals 57%
63% Over 2.5 goals 57%
25% Over 3.5 goals 43%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 29%
25% Clean sheets 14%
25% Failed to score 71%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 0%
38% Draws 29%
38% Losses 71%
75% Over 0.5 goals 71%
38% Over 1.5 goals 14%
13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Estrela at home
Estoril away

Last 10 matches before this match

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.12.24 AVS – Estrela 1–1 (0–1) 2.453.003.10 2.25 1.62
23.12.24 Estrela – Rio Ave 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.303.00 2.10 1.70
16.12.24 Porto – Estrela 2–0 (1–0) 1.147.5019.00 1.48 2.60
09.12.24 Estrela – Arouca 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.202.80 2.15 1.67
29.11.24 Farense – Estrela 1–0 (1–0) 2.203.253.40 2.30 1.60
10.11.24 Estrela – Nacional 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.20 2.10 1.70
01.11.24 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 5–1 (3–1) 1.0811.0019.00 1.30 3.50
27.10.24 Estrela – Guimaraes 2–2 (1–1) 4.753.401.80 2.25 1.62
05.10.24 Gil Vicente – Estrela 3–0 (2–0) 1.853.504.20 2.08 1.73
28.09.24 Estrela – Moreirense 2–1 (2–0) 2.903.202.45 2.30 1.60

Estoril all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.12.24 Estoril – Moreirense 2–2 (2–1) 3.253.002.40 2.50 1.50
23.12.24 Benfica – Estoril 3–0 (1–0) 1.089.5023.00 1.33 3.40
15.12.24 Estoril – Casa Pia 0–2 (0–0) 2.633.102.75 2.25 1.62
06.12.24 Sp Braga – Estoril 2–2 (1–0) 1.227.0010.00 1.65 2.20
01.12.24 Estoril – Famalicao 2–1 (2–1) 3.203.402.20 2.35 1.57
09.11.24 Estoril – AVS 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.003.50 2.25 1.62
03.11.24 Porto – Estoril 4–0 (2–0) 1.148.0015.00 1.44 2.70
26.10.24 Estoril – Arouca 4–1 (2–1) 3.003.202.40 2.25 1.62
06.10.24 Farense – Estoril 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.10 2.05 1.75
27.09.24 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–2) 13.007.501.17 1.40 2.88

Estrela at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.12.24 Estrela – Rio Ave 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.303.00 2.10 1.70
09.12.24 Estrela – Arouca 2–1 (0–1) 2.553.202.80 2.15 1.67
10.11.24 Estrela – Nacional 2–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.20 2.10 1.70
27.10.24 Estrela – Guimaraes 2–2 (1–1) 4.753.401.80 2.25 1.62
28.09.24 Estrela – Moreirense 2–1 (2–0) 2.903.202.45 2.30 1.60
16.09.24 Estrela – Boavista 2–2 (1–2) 1.913.304.20 2.35 1.57
31.08.24 Estrela – Casa Pia 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.203.20 2.35 1.57
19.08.24 Estrela – Famalicao 0–3 (0–1) 2.503.202.88 2.15 1.67
18.05.24 Estrela – Gil Vicente 1–0 (1–0) 1.673.904.75 1.70 2.10
29.04.24 Estrela – Farense 0–3 (0–1) 2.203.253.50 1.98 1.88

Estoril away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.12.24 Benfica – Estoril 3–0 (1–0) 1.089.5023.00 1.33 3.40
06.12.24 Sp Braga – Estoril 2–2 (1–0) 1.227.0010.00 1.65 2.20
03.11.24 Porto – Estoril 4–0 (2–0) 1.148.0015.00 1.44 2.70
06.10.24 Farense – Estoril 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.403.10 2.05 1.75
21.09.24 Rio Ave – Estoril 2–2 (1–0) 1.913.404.10 2.40 1.53
31.08.24 Boavista – Estoril 0–0 (0–0) 2.253.103.30 2.35 1.57
18.08.24 Guimaraes – Estoril 1–0 (1–0) 1.574.005.50 1.93 1.93
18.05.24 Moreirense – Estoril 2–1 (1–0) 2.303.303.10 1.98 1.88
05.05.24 Farense – Estoril 3–2 (2–1) 2.553.202.90 1.88 1.98
21.04.24 Chaves – Estoril 2–2 (1–0) 2.883.302.50 2.00 1.85

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Estrela winsDrawsEstoril wins
2matches
2.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.02.24P1 Estoril – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.603.60 1.98 1.88
25.08.23P1 Estrela – Estoril 2–1 (0–0) 2.253.203.20 2.35 1.57

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 17 13 2 2 48 14 +34 41 LLWDWD
2 Porto 16 13 1 2 40 9 +31 40 LWDWWW
3 Benfica 17 12 2 3 38 11 +27 38 WDWWLL
4 Sp Braga 17 9 4 4 30 19 +11 31 WDDWLW
5 Santa Clara 17 10 1 6 18 16 +2 31 WWLLWD
6 Guimaraes 17 6 7 4 26 22 +4 25 WLDDDD
7 Casa Pia 17 6 6 5 19 20 -1 24 LDWWWD
8 Moreirense 17 6 4 7 22 25 -3 22 LWLLDD
9 Famalicao 17 4 8 5 20 20 0 20 LDDLLD
10 Rio Ave 16 5 4 7 17 27 -10 19 WWLDLW
11 Gil Vicente 16 4 6 6 18 25 -7 18 LLWWDD
12 Estrela 16 4 4 8 14 25 -11 16 WLWLWD
13 AVS 17 2 9 6 13 24 -11 15 LDDDDD
14 Estoril 16 3 6 7 14 26 -12 15 DWDLLD
15 Arouca 17 4 3 10 13 28 -15 15 LLWLDW
16 Farense 17 3 5 9 11 23 -12 14 WDLWDD
17 Nacional 16 3 4 9 11 23 -12 13 DLWLDL
18 Boavista 17 2 6 9 11 26 -15 12 DDLDLL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Porto 9 9 0 0 25 2 +23 27 WWWWWW
2 Benfica 9 8 0 1 27 5 +22 24 WWWWWL
3 Sp Lisbon 8 7 0 1 19 5 +14 21 WWWLWW
4 Santa Clara 9 6 1 2 8 6 +2 19 WWWWLD
5 Rio Ave 8 4 4 0 14 10 +4 16 DDDWDW
6 Guimaraes 8 4 3 1 16 12 +4 15 LDWWDD
7 Moreirense 8 4 3 1 11 9 +2 15 DWWWLD
8 Estrela 8 4 2 2 11 10 +1 14 DWDWWW
9 Casa Pia 9 3 4 2 11 9 +2 13 DWDDWD
10 Gil Vicente 7 3 3 1 11 6 +5 12 DDWLWD
11 Sp Braga 9 3 3 3 18 15 +3 12 WWLDDL
12 Estoril 9 3 3 3 10 13 -3 12 LWDWLD
13 Famalicao 9 2 4 3 7 9 -2 10 DLDDLL
14 AVS 9 2 4 3 7 12 -5 10 DLLLDD
15 Nacional 7 3 1 3 6 11 -5 10 WLWDWL
16 Arouca 8 2 2 4 5 10 -5 8 LDLLWD
17 Farense 8 2 1 5 6 13 -7 7 LWLWLD
18 Boavista 8 0 3 5 2 12 -10 3 LLLDDL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 9 6 2 1 29 9 +20 20 WWWLDD
2 Sp Braga 8 6 1 1 12 4 +8 19 WLWWWW
3 Benfica 8 4 2 2 11 6 +5 14 WWWDWL
4 Porto 7 4 1 2 15 7 +8 13 LWWLDW
5 Santa Clara 8 4 0 4 10 10 0 12 LLLWLW
6 Casa Pia 8 3 2 3 8 11 -3 11 DLDLWW
7 Famalicao 8 2 4 2 13 11 +2 10 DDWLDD
8 Guimaraes 9 2 4 3 10 10 0 10 DDLLDD
9 Boavista 9 2 3 4 9 14 -5 9 LDWDLL
10 Moreirense 9 2 1 6 11 16 -5 7 LWLLLD
11 Farense 9 1 4 4 5 10 -5 7 DLDDWD
12 Arouca 9 2 1 6 8 18 -10 7 LLDLLW
13 Gil Vicente 9 1 3 5 7 19 -12 6 LLLLWD
14 AVS 8 0 5 3 6 12 -6 5 LDDDDD
15 Nacional 9 0 3 6 5 12 -7 3 DLLLDL
16 Estoril 7 0 3 4 4 13 -9 3 DDLLDL
17 Rio Ave 8 1 0 7 3 17 -14 3 LLLWLL
18 Estrela 8 0 2 6 3 15 -12 2 LLLLLD

Estrela   Estoril

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 17 5 12 2.8 0.8 13 2 2 48 14 41 UOOUUO
2 2 Porto 16 6 10 2.5 0.6 13 1 2 40 9 40 OUUUOO
3 4 Sp Braga 17 7 10 1.8 1.1 9 4 4 30 19 31 UOOUOO
4 8 Moreirense 17 7 10 1.3 1.5 6 4 7 22 25 22 OOUOOU
5 3 Benfica 17 8 9 2.2 0.6 12 2 3 38 11 38 UUUOUO
6 6 Guimaraes 17 8 9 1.5 1.3 6 7 4 26 22 25 OUOOOO
7 11 Gil Vicente 16 7 9 1.1 1.6 4 6 6 18 25 18 OOOUUU
8 14 Estoril 16 7 9 0.9 1.6 3 6 7 14 26 15 UOOUOO
9 9 Famalicao 17 9 8 1.2 1.2 4 8 5 20 20 20 OUOOOU
10 10 Rio Ave 16 8 8 1.1 1.7 5 4 7 17 27 19 UOUOUO
11 15 Arouca 17 9 8 0.8 1.6 4 3 10 13 28 15 UOUOUO
12 12 Estrela 16 9 7 0.9 1.6 4 4 8 14 25 16 UUOUUU
13 18 Boavista 17 10 7 0.6 1.5 2 6 9 11 26 12 UUOUOO
14 16 Farense 17 11 6 0.6 1.4 3 5 9 11 23 14 UUUOOU
15 5 Santa Clara 17 12 5 1.1 0.9 10 1 6 18 16 31 UUUUOU
16 7 Casa Pia 17 12 5 1.1 1.2 6 6 5 19 20 24 UUUOOU
17 13 AVS 17 12 5 0.8 1.4 2 9 6 13 24 15 UUUUUU
18 17 Nacional 16 11 5 0.7 1.4 3 4 9 11 23 13 UOUUOO
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 3 Benfica 9 2 7 3.0 0.6 8 0 1 27 5 24 OOOUOO
2 2 Porto 9 3 6 2.8 0.2 9 0 0 25 2 27 OOOUUO
3 4 Sp Braga 9 3 6 2.0 1.7 3 3 3 18 15 12 OUOOOO
4 6 Guimaraes 8 2 6 2.0 1.5 4 3 1 16 12 15 OOUOOO
5 10 Rio Ave 8 3 5 1.8 1.2 4 4 0 14 10 16 OUOOOO
6 12 Estrela 8 3 5 1.4 1.2 4 2 2 11 10 14 OOOUOU
7 14 Estoril 9 4 5 1.1 1.4 3 3 3 10 13 12 OOUOUO
8 1 Sp Lisbon 8 4 4 2.4 0.6 7 0 1 19 5 21 OUOUOU
9 8 Moreirense 8 4 4 1.4 1.1 4 3 1 11 9 15 UUOOOU
10 11 Gil Vicente 7 3 4 1.6 0.9 3 3 1 11 6 12 UUOOOU
11 16 Farense 8 4 4 0.8 1.6 2 1 5 6 13 7 UUOUUO
12 9 Famalicao 9 6 3 0.8 1.0 2 4 3 7 9 10 UOUUOO
13 5 Santa Clara 9 7 2 0.9 0.7 6 1 2 8 6 19 UOUUUU
14 7 Casa Pia 9 7 2 1.2 1.0 3 4 2 11 9 13 UUUUOU
15 13 AVS 9 7 2 0.8 1.3 2 4 3 7 12 10 UOOUUU
16 15 Arouca 8 6 2 0.6 1.2 2 2 4 5 10 8 OUOUUU
17 17 Nacional 7 5 2 0.9 1.6 3 1 3 6 11 10 UOUUUU
18 18 Boavista 8 6 2 0.2 1.5 0 3 5 2 12 3 OUUUUO
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 9 1 8 3.2 1.0 6 2 1 29 9 20 OOOOUO
2 8 Moreirense 9 3 6 1.2 1.8 2 1 6 11 16 7 OUUOUO
3 15 Arouca 9 3 6 0.9 2.0 2 1 6 8 18 7 OOUOOO
4 9 Famalicao 8 3 5 1.6 1.4 2 4 2 13 11 10 UUOOOU
5 11 Gil Vicente 9 4 5 0.8 2.1 1 3 5 7 19 6 OOOOUU
6 18 Boavista 9 4 5 1.0 1.6 2 3 4 9 14 9 UOOUOO
7 2 Porto 7 3 4 2.1 1.0 4 1 2 15 7 13 UOOOUO
8 4 Sp Braga 8 4 4 1.5 0.5 6 1 1 12 4 19 OOOUUO
9 14 Estoril 7 3 4 0.6 1.9 0 3 4 4 13 3 UOUOOO
10 5 Santa Clara 8 5 3 1.2 1.2 4 0 4 10 10 12 OUUUUO
11 6 Guimaraes 9 6 3 1.1 1.1 2 4 3 10 10 10 UOUUOO
12 7 Casa Pia 8 5 3 1.0 1.4 3 2 3 8 11 11 UUOUUO
13 10 Rio Ave 8 5 3 0.4 2.1 1 0 7 3 17 3 UOOUUU
14 13 AVS 8 5 3 0.8 1.5 0 5 3 6 12 5 OUUUUU
15 17 Nacional 9 6 3 0.6 1.3 0 3 6 5 12 3 UUUOOO
16 3 Benfica 8 6 2 1.4 0.8 4 2 2 11 6 14 OOUUUU
17 12 Estrela 8 6 2 0.4 1.9 0 2 6 3 15 2 UOOUUU
18 16 Farense 9 7 2 0.6 1.1 1 4 4 5 10 7 UUUUOU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10