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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Portugal Primeira Liga ·

Sp Lisbon 5–1 Estrela

Full time · half time 3–1 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.08 fair 1.49
Draw 11.00 fair 5.19
Away 19.00 fair 7.38
Under 2.5 3.50 fair 2.34
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.30 fair 1.75

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Sp Lisbon Estrela
20 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 5
12 Corners 2
13 Fouls 15
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (80 league matches this season so far).
Result Sp Lisbon to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.99
Expected goals 2.14 – 0.84
Home / Draw / Away
Sp LisbonDrawEstrela
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–0 11.6% 1–0 10.9% 2–1 9.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Sp Lisbon before this match, all matches
3.00points / match
3.33scored / match
0.22conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 30:2
Estrela before this match, all matches
0.67points / match
0.78scored / match
1.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 7:15
Sp Lisbon all matches all matches Estrela

Per match

3.33 Goals scored 0.78
0.22 Goals conceded 1.67
3.56 Total goals 2.44
22.44 Shots 9.56
7.44 Shots on target 2.56
5.78 Shots faced 11.56
6.67 Corners 4.44
2.22 Corners against 5.78
9.67 Fouls 13.89
0.78 Yellow cards 2.67
1.33 1st-half goals scored 0.44
0.11 1st-half goals conceded 0.78

How often Full Time

100% Wins 11%
0% Draws 33%
0% Losses 56%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 67%
78% Over 2.5 goals 56%
33% Over 3.5 goals 22%
22% Over 4.5 goals 0%
11% Over 5.5 goals 0%
22% Both teams scored 44%
78% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 56%

How often Half Time

78% Wins 11%
22% Draws 44%
0% Losses 44%
78% Over 0.5 goals 67%
56% Over 1.5 goals 44%
11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sp Lisbon all matches
Estrela all matches
Sp Lisbon before this match, at home
3.00points / match
2.50scored / match
0.25conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 10:1
Estrela before this match, away
0.25points / match
0.25scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 1:6
Sp Lisbon at home away Estrela

Per match

2.50 Goals scored 0.25
0.25 Goals conceded 1.50
2.75 Total goals 1.75
19.50 Shots 8.25
6.25 Shots on target 2.50
4.75 Shots faced 10.75
5.50 Corners 5.50
2.00 Corners against 7.00
10.75 Fouls 13.50
1.00 Yellow cards 3.00
1.25 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

100% Wins 0%
0% Draws 25%
0% Losses 75%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 50%
50% Over 2.5 goals 25%
25% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
25% Both teams scored 25%
75% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 75%

How often Half Time

75% Wins 0%
25% Draws 50%
0% Losses 50%
75% Over 0.5 goals 50%
50% Over 1.5 goals 25%
0% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Sp Lisbon at home
Estrela away

Last 10 matches before this match

Sp Lisbon all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.24 Famalicao – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–0) 7.005.501.36 1.75 2.05
05.10.24 Sp Lisbon – Casa Pia 2–0 (1–0) 1.1310.0013.00 1.40 2.88
27.09.24 Estoril – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–2) 13.007.501.17 1.40 2.88
22.09.24 Sp Lisbon – AVS 3–0 (2–0) 1.0712.0023.00 1.30 3.50
13.09.24 Arouca – Sp Lisbon 0–3 (0–1) 13.006.001.22 1.44 2.70
31.08.24 Sp Lisbon – Porto 2–0 (0–0) 1.753.804.33 1.70 2.10
23.08.24 Farense – Sp Lisbon 0–5 (0–2) 10.008.001.20 1.36 3.10
17.08.24 Nacional – Sp Lisbon 1–6 (1–2) 10.006.001.25 1.57 2.35
09.08.24 Sp Lisbon – Rio Ave 3–1 (2–0) 1.178.0013.00 1.44 2.70
18.05.24 Sp Lisbon – Chaves 3–0 (2–0) 1.0711.0023.00 1.25 4.00

Estrela all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
27.10.24 Estrela – Guimaraes 2–2 (1–1) 4.753.401.80 2.25 1.62
05.10.24 Gil Vicente – Estrela 3–0 (2–0) 1.853.504.20 2.08 1.73
28.09.24 Estrela – Moreirense 2–1 (2–0) 2.903.202.45 2.30 1.60
21.09.24 Santa Clara – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.505.00 2.10 1.70
16.09.24 Estrela – Boavista 2–2 (1–2) 1.913.304.20 2.35 1.57
31.08.24 Estrela – Casa Pia 0–1 (0–0) 2.303.203.20 2.35 1.57
24.08.24 Benfica – Estrela 1–0 (1–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.50 2.50
19.08.24 Estrela – Famalicao 0–3 (0–1) 2.503.202.88 2.15 1.67
11.08.24 Sp Braga – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 1.384.757.50 1.53 2.40
18.05.24 Estrela – Gil Vicente 1–0 (1–0) 1.673.904.75 1.70 2.10

Sp Lisbon at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.24 Sp Lisbon – Casa Pia 2–0 (1–0) 1.1310.0013.00 1.40 2.88
22.09.24 Sp Lisbon – AVS 3–0 (2–0) 1.0712.0023.00 1.30 3.50
31.08.24 Sp Lisbon – Porto 2–0 (0–0) 1.753.804.33 1.70 2.10
09.08.24 Sp Lisbon – Rio Ave 3–1 (2–0) 1.178.0013.00 1.44 2.70
18.05.24 Sp Lisbon – Chaves 3–0 (2–0) 1.0711.0023.00 1.25 4.00
04.05.24 Sp Lisbon – Portimonense 3–0 (1–0) 1.0813.0019.00 1.25 4.00
21.04.24 Sp Lisbon – Guimaraes 3–0 (2–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.57 2.35
06.04.24 Sp Lisbon – Benfica 2–1 (1–1) 1.953.753.75 1.67 2.15
17.03.24 Sp Lisbon – Boavista 6–1 (1–1) 1.148.0017.00 1.40 2.88
03.03.24 Sp Lisbon – Farense 3–2 (2–1) 1.138.5021.00 1.36 3.10

Estrela away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.24 Gil Vicente – Estrela 3–0 (2–0) 1.853.504.20 2.08 1.73
21.09.24 Santa Clara – Estrela 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.505.00 2.10 1.70
24.08.24 Benfica – Estrela 1–0 (1–0) 1.187.5013.00 1.50 2.50
11.08.24 Sp Braga – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 1.384.757.50 1.53 2.40
11.05.24 Vizela – Estrela 4–0 (1–0) 3.503.402.05 1.93 1.93
05.05.24 Arouca – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.603.50 1.88 1.98
20.04.24 Boavista – Estrela 1–1 (0–0) 2.633.202.75 2.15 1.67
07.04.24 Moreirense – Estrela 2–2 (2–0) 2.053.403.75 2.40 1.53
16.03.24 Famalicao – Estrela 0–0 (0–0) 2.003.404.00 2.25 1.62
02.03.24 Sp Braga – Estrela 3–0 (0–0) 1.365.008.50 1.57 2.35

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Sp Lisbon winsDrawsEstrela wins
2matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.03.24P1 Estrela – Sp Lisbon 1–2 (1–2) 13.007.001.20 1.53 2.40
05.11.23P1 Sp Lisbon – Estrela 3–2 (1–0) 1.256.0010.00 1.44 2.70

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 9 9 0 0 30 2 +28 27 WWWWWW
2 Porto 9 8 0 1 23 4 +19 24 LWWWWW
3 Benfica 8 6 1 1 22 5 +17 19 WDWWWW
4 Santa Clara 9 6 0 3 13 10 +3 18 WLWWLW
5 Sp Braga 9 5 2 2 15 6 +9 17 DLWWLW
6 Guimaraes 9 4 3 2 11 10 +1 15 WWLDDD
7 Moreirense 9 4 2 3 12 11 +1 14 DLDLWW
8 Famalicao 9 3 4 2 9 7 +2 13 LDDDDL
9 Casa Pia 9 3 2 4 7 11 -4 11 WWDDLW
10 Gil Vicente 9 2 4 3 11 14 -3 10 DDDLWL
11 Estoril 9 2 3 4 8 12 -4 9 DWDLLW
12 AVS 9 2 3 4 7 16 -9 9 LWLDDL
13 Rio Ave 9 2 2 5 6 18 -12 8 WLDLDL
14 Arouca 9 2 1 6 5 17 -12 7 LLWLDL
15 Boavista 9 1 3 5 5 12 -7 6 DDLLDL
16 Estrela 9 1 3 5 7 15 -8 6 LDLWLD
17 Nacional 8 1 2 5 4 13 -9 5 LWLLDL
18 Farense 9 1 1 7 3 15 -12 4 LLLDWL
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Benfica 5 5 0 0 18 2 +16 15 WWWWW
2 Porto 5 5 0 0 13 2 +11 15 WWWWW
3 Sp Lisbon 4 4 0 0 10 1 +9 12 WWWW
4 Santa Clara 5 4 0 1 6 4 +2 12 LWWWW
5 Sp Braga 5 3 1 1 10 4 +6 10 DWLWW
6 Gil Vicente 4 2 2 0 8 3 +5 8 WDDW
7 Moreirense 4 2 2 0 5 2 +3 8 WDDW
8 Rio Ave 4 2 2 0 5 3 +2 8 WWDD
9 Famalicao 5 2 2 1 4 4 0 8 WWDDL
10 AVS 5 2 2 1 3 6 -3 8 DWWDL
11 Casa Pia 5 2 1 2 5 5 0 7 LLWDW
12 Guimaraes 4 2 1 1 5 6 -1 7 WWLD
13 Estoril 5 2 1 2 6 8 -2 7 LDWLW
14 Estrela 5 1 2 2 6 9 -3 5 LLDWD
15 Arouca 4 1 1 2 2 5 -3 4 LWLD
16 Nacional 3 1 0 2 3 9 -6 3 LWL
17 Farense 4 1 0 3 2 8 -6 3 LLLW
18 Boavista 4 0 1 3 0 6 -6 1 LDLL
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Streak
1 Sp Lisbon 5 5 0 0 20 1 +19 15 WWWWW
2 Porto 4 3 0 1 10 2 +8 9 WLWW
3 Guimaraes 5 2 2 1 6 4 +2 8 WLWDD
4 Sp Braga 4 2 1 1 5 2 +3 7 WDWL
5 Santa Clara 4 2 0 2 7 6 +1 6 WWLL
6 Moreirense 5 2 0 3 7 9 -2 6 WLLLW
7 Famalicao 4 1 2 1 5 3 +2 5 WLDD
8 Boavista 5 1 2 2 5 6 -1 5 WLDLD
9 Benfica 3 1 1 1 4 3 +1 4 LDW
10 Casa Pia 4 1 1 2 2 6 -4 4 LWDL
11 Arouca 5 1 0 4 3 12 -9 3 LLWLL
12 Estoril 4 0 2 2 2 4 -2 2 LDDL
13 Nacional 5 0 2 3 1 4 -3 2 DLLDL
14 Gil Vicente 5 0 2 3 3 11 -8 2 LDDLL
15 Estrela 4 0 1 3 1 6 -5 1 DLLL
16 AVS 4 0 1 3 4 10 -6 1 LLLD
17 Farense 5 0 1 4 1 7 -6 1 LLLDL
18 Rio Ave 5 0 0 5 1 15 -14 0 LLLLL

Sp Lisbon   Estrela

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 9 2 7 3.3 0.2 9 0 0 30 2 27 UOOOUO
2 2 Porto 9 3 6 2.6 0.4 8 0 1 23 4 24 UOOOOO
3 3 Benfica 8 3 5 2.8 0.6 6 1 1 22 5 19 UUOOOO
4 7 Moreirense 9 4 5 1.3 1.2 4 2 3 12 11 14 UOUOUU
5 10 Gil Vicente 9 4 5 1.2 1.6 2 4 3 11 14 10 UUUOOO
6 16 Estrela 9 4 5 0.8 1.7 1 3 5 7 15 6 UOUOOO
7 4 Santa Clara 9 5 4 1.4 1.1 6 0 3 13 10 18 OOUUUO
8 5 Sp Braga 9 5 4 1.7 0.7 5 2 2 15 6 17 UUOOOU
9 6 Guimaraes 9 5 4 1.2 1.1 4 3 2 11 10 15 OUOUOO
10 11 Estoril 9 5 4 0.9 1.3 2 3 4 8 12 9 UUOOUO
11 12 AVS 9 5 4 0.8 1.8 2 3 4 7 16 9 OUOUUO
12 13 Rio Ave 9 5 4 0.7 2.0 2 2 5 6 18 8 UUOOUO
13 14 Arouca 9 5 4 0.6 1.9 2 1 6 5 17 7 UOUOUO
14 8 Famalicao 9 6 3 1.0 0.8 3 4 2 9 7 13 OUUUUO
15 15 Boavista 9 6 3 0.6 1.3 1 3 5 5 12 6 UOOUOU
16 18 Farense 9 6 3 0.3 1.7 1 1 7 3 15 4 UOUUUU
17 9 Casa Pia 9 7 2 0.8 1.2 3 2 4 7 11 11 UOUUUU
18 17 Nacional 8 6 2 0.5 1.6 1 2 5 4 13 5 UUUOUU
Home – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 2 Porto 5 1 4 2.6 0.4 5 0 0 13 2 15 OUOOO
2 3 Benfica 5 1 4 3.6 0.4 5 0 0 18 2 15 OUOOO
3 16 Estrela 5 1 4 1.2 1.8 1 2 2 6 9 5 OUOOO
4 6 Guimaraes 4 1 3 1.2 1.5 2 1 1 5 6 7 UOOO
5 11 Estoril 5 2 3 1.2 1.6 2 1 2 6 8 7 OUUOO
6 1 Sp Lisbon 4 2 2 2.5 0.2 4 0 0 10 1 12 OUOU
7 4 Santa Clara 5 3 2 1.2 0.8 4 0 1 6 4 12 UOUUO
8 5 Sp Braga 5 3 2 2.0 0.8 3 1 1 10 4 10 UOUOU
9 10 Gil Vicente 4 2 2 2.0 0.8 2 2 0 8 3 8 OUUO
10 17 Nacional 3 1 2 1.0 3.0 1 0 2 3 9 3 OUO
11 18 Farense 4 2 2 0.5 2.0 1 0 3 2 8 3 OOUU
12 7 Moreirense 4 3 1 1.2 0.5 2 2 0 5 2 8 OUUU
13 8 Famalicao 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 2 2 1 4 4 8 UUUUO
14 9 Casa Pia 5 4 1 1.0 1.0 2 1 2 5 5 7 UUOUU
15 12 AVS 5 4 1 0.6 1.2 2 2 1 3 6 8 UUUUO
16 13 Rio Ave 4 3 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 0 5 3 8 UUOU
17 14 Arouca 4 3 1 0.5 1.2 1 1 2 2 5 4 UUOU
18 15 Boavista 4 3 1 0.0 1.5 0 1 3 0 6 1 UUOU
Away – Under/Over goals
# Streak
1 1 Sp Lisbon 5 0 5 4.0 0.2 5 0 0 20 1 15 OOOOO
2 7 Moreirense 5 1 4 1.4 1.8 2 0 3 7 9 6 OOOOU
3 10 Gil Vicente 5 2 3 0.6 2.2 0 2 3 3 11 2 OUUOO
4 12 AVS 4 1 3 1.0 2.5 0 1 3 4 10 1 OOOU
5 13 Rio Ave 5 2 3 0.2 3.0 0 0 5 1 15 0 OUUOO
6 14 Arouca 5 2 3 0.6 2.4 1 0 4 3 12 3 OUUOO
7 2 Porto 4 2 2 2.5 0.5 3 0 1 10 2 9 UUOO
8 4 Santa Clara 4 2 2 1.8 1.5 2 0 2 7 6 6 OUOU
9 5 Sp Braga 4 2 2 1.2 0.5 2 1 1 5 2 7 UUOO
10 8 Famalicao 4 2 2 1.2 0.8 1 2 1 5 3 5 OOUU
11 15 Boavista 5 3 2 1.0 1.2 1 2 2 5 6 5 UUOUO
12 3 Benfica 3 2 1 1.3 1.0 1 1 1 4 3 4 UUO
13 6 Guimaraes 5 4 1 1.2 0.8 2 2 1 6 4 8 UUUUO
14 9 Casa Pia 4 3 1 0.5 1.5 1 1 2 2 6 4 OUUU
15 11 Estoril 4 3 1 0.5 1.0 0 2 2 2 4 2 UUOU
16 16 Estrela 4 3 1 0.2 1.5 0 1 3 1 6 1 UUUO
17 18 Farense 5 4 1 0.2 1.4 0 1 4 1 7 1 UUOUU
18 17 Nacional 5 5 0 0.2 0.8 0 2 3 1 4 2 UUUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 4 Nov 2026, 21:10