Guimaraes 3–0 Estrela – Portugal Primeira Liga, 21 Jan 2024

Match facts

Guimaraes Estrela

12 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 1

8 Corners 5

13 Fouls 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (161 league matches this season so far).

Result Guimaraes to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.81

Expected goals 1.74 – 1.11

Home / Draw / Away

52% 24% 24%

GuimaraesDrawEstrela

Under / Over 2.5 goals

46% 54%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

45% 55%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

17% 1

24% 2

22% 3

16% 4

16% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.2% 1–0 10.1% 2–1 9.7%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Guimaraes before this match, all matches

1.94points / match

1.65scored / match

1.12conceded / match

10 3 4

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 28:19

Estrela before this match, all matches

1.06points / match

1.06scored / match

1.41conceded / match

4 6 7

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 18:24

Guimaraes all matches all matches Estrela

Per match

1.65 Goals scored 1.06

1.12 Goals conceded 1.41

2.76 Total goals 2.47

12.24 Shots 9.59

4.12 Shots on target 3.00

9.88 Shots faced 13.88

6.82 Corners 4.82

5.12 Corners against 5.88

13.71 Fouls 12.06

2.35 Yellow cards 2.29

0.71 1st-half goals scored 0.24

0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.35

How often Full Time

59% Wins 24%

18% Draws 35%

24% Losses 41%

94% Over 0.5 goals 94%

76% Over 1.5 goals 65%

59% Over 2.5 goals 35%

29% Over 3.5 goals 29%

18% Over 4.5 goals 18%

0% Over 5.5 goals 6%

59% Both teams scored 59%

29% Clean sheets 18%

18% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 18%

53% Draws 53%

12% Losses 29%

65% Over 0.5 goals 53%

41% Over 1.5 goals 6%

12% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Guimaraes all matches

3

1

W

5

W

1

L

1

2

L

2

1

W

3

2

W

1

D

1

W

1

D

2

1

W

Estrela all matches

1

W

1

W

2

3

L

1

L

1

D

3

1

W

D

1

4

L

1

D

1

D

Guimaraes before this match, at home

2.33points / match

2.22scored / match

1.11conceded / match

7 2

WonDrawnLost 9 played · 20:10

Estrela before this match, away

1.00points / match

1.00scored / match

1.25conceded / match

1 5 2

WonDrawnLost 8 played · 8:10

Guimaraes at home away Estrela

Per match

2.22 Goals scored 1.00

1.11 Goals conceded 1.25

3.33 Total goals 2.25

12.33 Shots 9.38

5.00 Shots on target 2.88

9.11 Shots faced 15.38

6.56 Corners 4.63

4.11 Corners against 6.25

14.11 Fouls 10.63

2.33 Yellow cards 2.63

0.78 1st-half goals scored 0.25

0.56 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

78% Wins 13%

0% Draws 63%

22% Losses 25%

100% Over 0.5 goals 88%

89% Over 1.5 goals 75%

78% Over 2.5 goals 25%

33% Over 3.5 goals 25%

33% Over 4.5 goals 13%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

67% Both teams scored 63%

33% Clean sheets 25%

0% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 13%

67% Draws 63%

11% Losses 25%

67% Over 0.5 goals 50%

56% Over 1.5 goals 13%

11% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Guimaraes at home

1

W

2

1

W

2

W

1

2

L

3

2

W

5

W

1

2

L

3

2

W

1

W

2

1

W

Estrela away

2

L

1

D

2

D

1

W

2

3

L

1

D

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Guimaraes all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.01.24	Guimaraes – Arouca	2–1 (1–1)	1.91	3.50	4.00	2.05	1.75
06.01.24	Sp Braga – Guimaraes	1–1 (0–0)	1.60	4.20	5.00	1.57	2.35
23.12.23	Guimaraes – Rio Ave	1–0 (0–0)	1.67	3.75	4.75	1.93	1.93
16.12.23	Boavista – Guimaraes	1–1 (0–1)	3.80	3.50	1.95	1.98	1.88
09.12.23	Guimaraes – Sp Lisbon	3–2 (1–1)	5.00	4.00	1.62	1.73	2.08
02.12.23	Farense – Guimaraes	1–2 (0–1)	2.90	3.60	2.10	1.95	1.90
11.11.23	Guimaraes – Porto	1–2 (1–1)	5.00	3.75	1.70	1.85	2.00
05.11.23	Moreirense – Guimaraes	1–0 (0–0)	2.55	3.30	2.63	2.08	1.73
28.10.23	Guimaraes – Chaves	5–0 (3–0)	1.60	4.00	5.50	1.75	2.05
08.10.23	Famalicao – Guimaraes	1–3 (0–2)	2.40	3.10	2.70	2.15	1.67

Estrela all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.01.24	Gil Vicente – Estrela	1–1 (1–0)	2.10	3.30	3.50	1.93	1.93
06.01.24	Estrela – Vizela	1–1 (1–0)	2.50	3.30	2.70	2.10	1.70
28.12.23	Estrela – Arouca	1–4 (1–0)	2.55	3.30	2.70	2.08	1.73
15.12.23	Farense – Estrela	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.40	3.30	1.93	1.93
10.12.23	Estrela – Boavista	3–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.40	3.00	1.98	1.88
02.12.23	Rio Ave – Estrela	1–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.50	3.00	2.05	1.80
11.11.23	Estrela – Moreirense	0–1 (0–0)	2.60	3.30	2.70	2.05	1.80
05.11.23	Sp Lisbon – Estrela	3–2 (1–0)	1.25	6.00	10.00	1.44	2.70
29.10.23	Estrela – Famalicao	1–0 (0–0)	2.45	3.25	2.80	2.20	1.65
08.10.23	Casa Pia – Estrela	0–1 (0–0)	1.95	3.20	3.60	2.15	1.67

Guimaraes at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
15.01.24	Guimaraes – Arouca	2–1 (1–1)	1.91	3.50	4.00	2.05	1.75
23.12.23	Guimaraes – Rio Ave	1–0 (0–0)	1.67	3.75	4.75	1.93	1.93
09.12.23	Guimaraes – Sp Lisbon	3–2 (1–1)	5.00	4.00	1.62	1.73	2.08
11.11.23	Guimaraes – Porto	1–2 (1–1)	5.00	3.75	1.70	1.85	2.00
28.10.23	Guimaraes – Chaves	5–0 (3–0)	1.60	4.00	5.50	1.75	2.05
01.10.23	Guimaraes – Estoril	3–2 (0–2)	1.83	3.50	4.33	1.95	1.90
17.09.23	Guimaraes – Portimonense	1–2 (1–0)	1.50	4.00	7.00	1.93	1.93
27.08.23	Guimaraes – Vizela	2–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.30	4.33	2.08	1.73
19.08.23	Guimaraes – Gil Vicente	2–1 (0–0)	2.05	3.30	3.50	2.10	1.70
21.05.23	Guimaraes – Gil Vicente	1–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.60	4.33	1.95	1.90

Estrela away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.01.24	Gil Vicente – Estrela	1–1 (1–0)	2.10	3.30	3.50	1.93	1.93
15.12.23	Farense – Estrela	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.40	3.30	1.93	1.93
02.12.23	Rio Ave – Estrela	1–1 (0–0)	2.10	3.50	3.00	2.05	1.80
05.11.23	Sp Lisbon – Estrela	3–2 (1–0)	1.25	6.00	10.00	1.44	2.70
08.10.23	Casa Pia – Estrela	0–1 (0–0)	1.95	3.20	3.60	2.15	1.67
24.09.23	Chaves – Estrela	2–2 (0–1)	2.70	3.25	2.63	1.90	1.95
02.09.23	Portimonense – Estrela	1–1 (1–1)	2.63	3.20	2.75	2.08	1.73
19.08.23	Benfica – Estrela	2–0 (0–0)	1.08	9.50	23.00	1.36	3.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Guimaraes winsDrawsEstrela wins

1matches

1.00goals / match

0%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
13.08.23P1	Estrela – Guimaraes	0–1 (0–1)	2.45	3.20	2.70	2.30	1.60

Portugal Primeira Liga table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Streak
1	Sp Lisbon	18	15	1	2	45	19	+26	46	LWWWWW
2	Benfica	18	14	3	1	37	11	+26	45	DWWWWW
3	Porto	18	13	2	3	30	12	+18	41	WLWDWW
4	Sp Braga	18	11	3	4	42	26	+16	36	WLWDLW
5	Guimaraes	17	10	3	4	28	19	+9	33	WWDWDW
6	Moreirense	18	8	5	5	24	23	+1	29	DWDLWL
7	Farense	18	7	3	8	26	24	+2	24	DDLWLW
8	Famalicao	18	5	7	6	18	22	-4	22	DDLDWL
9	Boavista	18	5	5	8	26	33	-7	20	LDLDWL
10	Arouca	18	5	4	9	25	26	-1	19	DWWLLW
11	Gil Vicente	18	5	4	9	29	31	-2	19	DLWLDW
12	Casa Pia	18	5	4	9	19	26	-7	19	LWLWLL
13	Estrela	17	4	6	7	18	24	-6	18	DWDLDD
14	Portimonense	18	5	3	10	18	38	-20	18	DLLLWL
15	Estoril	18	5	2	11	32	34	-2	17	WDWLLL
16	Rio Ave	18	3	7	8	19	28	-9	16	DDLWLD
17	Vizela	18	2	7	9	18	32	-14	13	LDDDLL
18	Chaves	18	3	3	12	18	44	-26	12	LLLDLD

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Streak
1	Sp Lisbon	9	9	0	0	24	7	+17	27	WWWWWW
2	Benfica	9	7	2	0	20	4	+16	23	DWDWWW
3	Porto	9	7	1	1	17	5	+12	22	WLWWWW
4	Guimaraes	9	7	0	2	20	10	+10	21	WWLWWW
5	Gil Vicente	9	4	4	1	21	12	+9	16	WDDDWD
6	Sp Braga	8	4	2	2	18	9	+9	14	WWWWLD
7	Farense	9	4	2	3	14	9	+5	14	LDWLDW
8	Estoril	9	4	1	4	19	10	+9	13	LWWWLL
9	Rio Ave	9	3	3	3	13	13	0	12	LLWDDW
10	Famalicao	9	3	3	3	10	12	-2	12	LWLDDL
11	Moreirense	8	3	2	3	12	12	0	11	WDWDWL
12	Portimonense	9	3	2	4	9	14	-5	11	WWDLWL
13	Boavista	9	2	4	3	13	17	-4	10	DLLLDD
14	Estrela	9	3	1	5	10	14	-4	10	LWLWLD
15	Arouca	9	2	2	5	10	14	-4	8	LLLDWL
16	Chaves	9	2	2	5	12	19	-7	8	WLWLLD
17	Vizela	10	1	3	6	10	21	-11	6	LDLDLL
18	Casa Pia	9	1	2	6	5	13	-8	5	LLWLLL

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Streak
1	Benfica	9	7	1	1	17	7	+10	22	WWWDWW
2	Sp Braga	10	7	1	2	24	17	+7	22	DWWWLW
3	Sp Lisbon	9	6	1	2	21	12	+9	19	WLLWWW
4	Porto	9	6	1	2	13	7	+6	19	LWWWLD
5	Moreirense	10	5	3	2	12	11	+1	18	WWDDWL
6	Casa Pia	9	4	2	3	14	13	+1	14	LDLLWW
7	Guimaraes	8	3	3	2	8	9	-1	12	DWLWDD
8	Arouca	9	3	2	4	15	12	+3	11	LLWWLW
9	Famalicao	9	2	4	3	8	10	-2	10	DLDDLW
10	Boavista	9	3	1	5	13	16	-3	10	DLLLWL
11	Farense	9	3	1	5	12	15	-3	10	WWDLLW
12	Estrela	8	1	5	2	8	10	-2	8	DWLDDD
13	Vizela	8	1	4	3	8	11	-3	7	DDWLDD
14	Portimonense	9	2	1	6	9	24	-15	7	WLLLLL
15	Rio Ave	9	0	4	5	6	15	-9	4	LDDLLD
16	Estoril	9	1	1	7	13	24	-11	4	LLWLDL
17	Chaves	9	1	1	7	6	25	-19	4	WLLLLD
18	Gil Vicente	9	1	0	8	8	19	-11	3	LLLLLW

Guimaraes Estrela

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#														Streak
1	1	Sp Lisbon	18	5	13	2.5	1.1	15	1	2	45	19	46	OUOOOO
2	4	Sp Braga	18	5	13	2.3	1.4	11	3	4	42	26	36	OUOUUO
3	15	Estoril	18	5	13	1.8	1.9	5	2	11	32	34	17	OUOOOO
4	18	Chaves	18	5	13	1.0	2.4	3	3	12	18	44	12	OOUOOU
5	5	Guimaraes	17	7	10	1.6	1.1	10	3	4	28	19	33	OOUUUO
6	7	Farense	18	8	10	1.4	1.3	7	3	8	26	24	24	UUOUUO
7	9	Boavista	18	8	10	1.4	1.8	5	5	8	26	33	20	OUUUOU
8	10	Arouca	18	8	10	1.4	1.4	5	4	9	25	26	19	OOOOOO
9	11	Gil Vicente	18	8	10	1.6	1.7	5	4	9	29	31	19	UOUUUU
10	2	Benfica	18	9	9	2.1	0.6	14	3	1	37	11	45	UUOOOU
11	6	Moreirense	18	9	9	1.3	1.3	8	5	5	24	23	29	UOUOOO
12	14	Portimonense	18	9	9	1.0	2.1	5	3	10	18	38	18	UOOUUU
13	17	Vizela	18	9	9	1.0	1.8	2	7	9	18	32	13	OUUUOO
14	3	Porto	18	10	8	1.7	0.7	13	2	3	30	12	41	OUUUUO
15	8	Famalicao	18	10	8	1.0	1.2	5	7	6	18	22	22	UUOOUO
16	12	Casa Pia	18	10	8	1.1	1.4	5	4	9	19	26	19	OOOOUO
17	13	Estrela	17	11	6	1.1	1.4	4	6	7	18	24	18	UOUOUU
18	16	Rio Ave	18	12	6	1.1	1.6	3	7	8	19	28	16	OUUUOU

Home – Under/Over goals
#														Streak
1	5	Guimaraes	9	2	7	2.2	1.1	7	0	2	20	10	21	OOOOUO
2	15	Estoril	9	2	7	2.1	1.1	4	1	4	19	10	13	UOOOOO
3	18	Chaves	9	2	7	1.3	2.1	2	2	5	12	19	8	OUOOOU
4	1	Sp Lisbon	9	3	6	2.7	0.8	9	0	0	24	7	27	UOOOUO
5	17	Vizela	10	4	6	1.0	2.1	1	3	6	10	21	6	UUOUOO
6	4	Sp Braga	8	3	5	2.2	1.1	4	2	2	18	9	14	OOOOUU
7	7	Farense	9	4	5	1.6	1.0	4	2	3	14	9	14	OUUOUU
8	8	Famalicao	9	4	5	1.1	1.3	3	3	3	10	12	12	OOOUOO
9	9	Boavista	9	4	5	1.4	1.9	2	4	3	13	17	10	OUOOUU
10	2	Benfica	9	5	4	2.2	0.4	7	2	0	20	4	23	UOUOOU
11	3	Porto	9	5	4	1.9	0.6	7	1	1	17	5	22	UUOUUO
12	6	Moreirense	8	4	4	1.5	1.5	3	2	3	12	12	11	UUUUOO
13	10	Arouca	9	5	4	1.1	1.6	2	2	5	10	14	8	UUUOOO
14	11	Gil Vicente	9	5	4	2.3	1.3	4	4	1	21	12	16	UOUUUU
15	13	Estrela	9	5	4	1.1	1.6	3	1	5	10	14	10	OUUOOU
16	14	Portimonense	9	5	4	1.0	1.6	3	2	4	9	14	11	UOUOUU
17	12	Casa Pia	9	6	3	0.6	1.4	1	2	6	5	13	5	UUUOUO
18	16	Rio Ave	9	6	3	1.4	1.4	3	3	3	13	13	12	OOUUUU

Away – Under/Over goals
#														Streak
1	4	Sp Braga	10	2	8	2.4	1.7	7	1	2	24	17	22	OUOOUO
2	1	Sp Lisbon	9	2	7	2.3	1.3	6	1	2	21	12	19	UOOOOO
3	10	Arouca	9	3	6	1.7	1.3	3	2	4	15	12	11	OUOOOO
4	11	Gil Vicente	9	3	6	0.9	2.1	1	0	8	8	19	3	OOOOUU
5	15	Estoril	9	3	6	1.4	2.7	1	1	7	13	24	4	OUUOUO
6	18	Chaves	9	3	6	0.7	2.8	1	1	7	6	25	4	UOOOUO
7	2	Benfica	9	4	5	1.9	0.8	7	1	1	17	7	22	OUUUUO
8	6	Moreirense	10	5	5	1.2	1.1	5	3	2	12	11	18	UUUUOO
9	7	Farense	9	4	5	1.3	1.7	3	1	5	12	15	10	OOUOUO
10	9	Boavista	9	4	5	1.4	1.8	3	1	5	13	16	10	UUOUOU
11	12	Casa Pia	9	4	5	1.6	1.4	4	2	3	14	13	14	UUOOOO
12	14	Portimonense	9	4	5	1.0	2.7	2	1	6	9	24	7	OUOUOU
13	3	Porto	9	5	4	1.4	0.8	6	1	2	13	7	19	UUOOUU
14	5	Guimaraes	8	5	3	1.0	1.1	3	3	2	8	9	12	UOUOUU
15	8	Famalicao	9	6	3	0.9	1.1	2	4	3	8	10	10	OUUUOU
16	16	Rio Ave	9	6	3	0.7	1.7	0	4	5	6	15	4	OUOUOU
17	17	Vizela	8	5	3	1.0	1.4	1	4	3	8	11	7	OUUOUU
18	13	Estrela	8	6	2	1.0	1.2	1	5	2	8	10	8	OUOUUU

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Streak = last 6 matches, oldest left: O / U over or under the line, Y / N on the BTTS tab. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.