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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Ajax 2–2 Excelsior

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2026/2027

Home 1.22 fair 2.54
Draw ✓ 7.00 fair 4.70
Away 11.00 fair 2.54
Under 2.5 4.00 fair 3.72
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.25 fair 1.37

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Ajax Excelsior
33 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 2
2.36 Expected goals (xG) 0.82
9 Corners 0
6 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (57 league matches this season so far).
Result Ajax to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.38
Expected goals 1.90 – 1.90
Home / Draw / Away
AjaxDrawExcelsior
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 8.1% 2–1 7.7% 1–2 7.7%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Ajax before this match, all matches
2.17points / match
3.17scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 19:7
Excelsior before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
2.17scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 13:7
Ajax all matches all matches Excelsior

Per match

3.17 Goals scored 2.17
1.17 Goals conceded 1.17
4.33 Total goals 3.33
2.60 xG created 1.43
1.32 xG allowed 1.26
23.33 Shots 12.50
8.00 Shots on target 5.17
10.50 Shots faced 13.33
7.83 Corners 5.00
2.50 Corners against 4.50
9.17 Fouls 12.00
2.00 Yellow cards 1.50
1.17 1st-half goals scored 1.17
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

67% Wins 50%
17% Draws 17%
17% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
83% Over 2.5 goals 100%
83% Over 3.5 goals 33%
33% Over 4.5 goals 0%
33% Over 5.5 goals 0%
67% Both teams scored 67%
33% Clean sheets 33%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 50%
17% Draws 17%
17% Losses 33%
83% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
33% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax all matches
Excelsior all matches
Ajax before this match, at home
1.33points / match
2.67scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 8:6
Excelsior before this match, away
2.33points / match
3.00scored / match
0.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 9:2
Ajax at home away Excelsior

Per match

2.67 Goals scored 3.00
2.00 Goals conceded 0.67
4.67 Total goals 3.67
2.59 xG created 2.09
1.83 xG allowed 0.98
25.00 Shots 15.00
7.33 Shots on target 6.67
12.33 Shots faced 12.67
7.33 Corners 6.00
1.67 Corners against 4.67
6.67 Fouls 13.67
1.67 Yellow cards 1.33
1.67 1st-half goals scored 2.00
1.00 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

33% Wins 67%
33% Draws 33%
33% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 100%
100% Over 3.5 goals 67%
33% Over 4.5 goals 0%
33% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 33%
0% Clean sheets 67%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 67%
0% Draws 33%
33% Losses 0%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
67% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax at home
Excelsior away

Last 10 matches before this match

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.09.26 Ajax – Willem II 5–1 (2–0) 1.109.0021.00 1.22 4.20
12.09.26 For Sittard – Ajax 1–5 (0–1) 5.755.251.44 1.36 3.10
05.09.26 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (1–2) 2.703.752.40 1.30 3.50
30.08.26 Telstar – Ajax 0–4 (0–1) 5.004.501.57 1.40 2.88
16.08.26 Ajax – Heerenveen 2–2 (2–1) 1.444.507.00 1.40 2.88
09.08.26 Zwolle – Ajax 0–2 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.48 2.60
17.05.26 Heerenveen – Ajax 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.902.05 1.33 3.40
10.05.26 Ajax – Utrecht 1–2 (0–0) 1.674.334.50 1.36 3.10
02.05.26 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 2–2 (1–1) 2.454.202.45 1.36 3.10
25.04.26 NAC Breda – Ajax 0–2 (0–2) 3.203.902.05 1.67 2.15

Excelsior all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.09.26 Excelsior – Utrecht 1–2 (0–1) 2.203.753.00 1.60 2.30
08.09.26 Nijmegen – Excelsior 2–2 (1–1) 1.624.105.00 1.48 2.60
05.09.26 Willem II – Excelsior 0–3 (0–2) 3.003.502.30 1.62 2.25
29.08.26 Excelsior – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (1–0) 2.403.802.63 1.53 2.40
15.08.26 Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (0–1) 5.504.331.57 1.36 3.10
07.08.26 Cambuur – Excelsior 0–4 (0–3) 2.603.402.70 1.75 2.05
17.05.26 Sparta Rotterdam – Excelsior 2–3 (0–1) 2.053.703.20 1.48 2.60
10.05.26 Excelsior – Volendam 1–1 (1–1) 1.754.004.10 1.57 2.35
02.05.26 Groningen – Excelsior 2–3 (1–1) 1.704.104.50 1.50 2.50
26.04.26 Excelsior – Utrecht 5–0 (2–0) 3.203.502.20 1.75 2.05

Ajax at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.09.26 Ajax – Willem II 5–1 (2–0) 1.109.0021.00 1.22 4.20
05.09.26 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (1–2) 2.703.752.40 1.30 3.50
16.08.26 Ajax – Heerenveen 2–2 (2–1) 1.444.507.00 1.40 2.88
10.05.26 Ajax – Utrecht 1–2 (0–0) 1.674.334.50 1.36 3.10
02.05.26 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 2–2 (1–1) 2.454.202.45 1.36 3.10
04.04.26 Ajax – Twente 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.752.88 1.53 2.40
14.03.26 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 4–0 (2–0) 1.624.504.50 1.50 2.50
21.02.26 Ajax – Nijmegen 1–1 (1–0) 1.754.334.00 1.44 2.70
14.02.26 Ajax – For Sittard 4–1 (3–1) 1.365.008.00 1.53 2.40
24.01.26 Ajax – Volendam 2–0 (2–0) 1.306.508.00 1.36 3.10

Excelsior away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.09.26 Nijmegen – Excelsior 2–2 (1–1) 1.624.105.00 1.48 2.60
05.09.26 Willem II – Excelsior 0–3 (0–2) 3.003.502.30 1.62 2.25
07.08.26 Cambuur – Excelsior 0–4 (0–3) 2.603.402.70 1.75 2.05
17.05.26 Sparta Rotterdam – Excelsior 2–3 (0–1) 2.053.703.20 1.48 2.60
02.05.26 Groningen – Excelsior 2–3 (1–1) 1.704.104.50 1.50 2.50
12.04.26 Zwolle – Excelsior 2–2 (1–1) 2.203.703.10 1.62 2.25
20.03.26 Heracles – Excelsior 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.302.70 1.73 2.08
15.03.26 Feyenoord – Excelsior 2–1 (0–1) 1.306.008.00 1.40 2.88
20.02.26 For Sittard – Excelsior 2–1 (1–0) 2.253.603.10 1.75 2.05
06.02.26 NAC Breda – Excelsior 0–2 (0–2) 1.833.704.20 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Ajax winsDrawsExcelsior wins
6matches
4.67goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.26N1 Excelsior – Ajax 2–2 (0–2) 4.203.901.75 1.57 2.35
22.11.25N1 Ajax – Excelsior 1–2 (0–1) 1.385.507.00 1.44 2.70
24.04.24N1 Ajax – Excelsior 2–2 (1–1) 1.295.5010.00 1.40 2.88
19.08.23N1 Excelsior – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 10.006.501.25 1.29 3.60
29.01.23N1 Excelsior – Ajax 1–4 (1–2) 11.006.001.25 1.36 3.10
16.10.22N1 Ajax – Excelsior 7–1 (3–0) 1.0513.0029.00 1.12 6.00

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 6 5 1 0 22 7 +15 16
2 AZ Alkmaar 6 5 1 0 17 6 +11 16
3 Feyenoord 6 4 2 0 20 7 +13 14
4 Ajax 6 4 1 1 19 7 +12 13
5 Twente 6 4 1 1 12 5 +7 13
6 Groningen 7 3 2 2 15 13 +2 11
7 Excelsior 6 3 1 2 13 7 +6 10
8 For Sittard 6 3 1 2 12 14 -2 10
9 Go Ahead Eagles 6 2 3 1 15 13 +2 9
10 Heerenveen 7 2 3 2 11 9 +2 9
11 Nijmegen 6 2 1 3 11 12 -1 7
12 Telstar 6 1 2 3 5 11 -6 5
13 Sparta Rotterdam 7 1 2 4 10 17 -7 5
14 Utrecht 6 1 2 3 11 19 -8 5
15 Cambuur 7 1 2 4 10 19 -9 5
16 Zwolle 7 1 1 5 6 20 -14 4
17 Den Haag 7 0 2 5 7 17 -10 2
18 Willem II 6 0 2 4 6 19 -13 2
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Champions League – 3rd qualifying round
  • Europa League – 2nd qualifying round
  • Play-offs for a Conference League place
  • Relegation play-off
  • Relegation to Eerste Divisie

KNVB Cup winners go to the Europa League league phase, so places can move down the table.

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Twente 3 3 0 0 6 1 +5 9
2 PSV Eindhoven 3 2 1 0 11 4 +7 7
3 AZ Alkmaar 3 2 1 0 8 3 +5 7
4 Go Ahead Eagles 3 2 1 0 8 3 +5 7
5 Groningen 4 2 1 1 9 6 +3 7
6 Ajax 3 1 1 1 8 6 +2 4
7 Heerenveen 4 1 1 2 3 5 -2 4
8 Excelsior 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
9 For Sittard 3 1 0 2 4 8 -4 3
10 Cambuur 4 1 0 3 6 13 -7 3
11 Feyenoord 2 0 2 0 4 4 0 2
12 Sparta Rotterdam 4 0 2 2 5 10 -5 2
13 Nijmegen 3 0 1 2 4 7 -3 1
14 Den Haag 3 0 1 2 4 8 -4 1
15 Telstar 3 0 1 2 3 9 -6 1
16 Willem II 3 0 1 2 3 9 -6 1
17 Utrecht 3 0 1 2 5 13 -8 1
18 Zwolle 3 0 0 3 1 12 -11 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 4 4 0 0 16 3 +13 12
2 Ajax 3 3 0 0 11 1 +10 9
3 PSV Eindhoven 3 3 0 0 11 3 +8 9
4 AZ Alkmaar 3 3 0 0 9 3 +6 9
5 Excelsior 3 2 1 0 9 2 +7 7
6 For Sittard 3 2 1 0 8 6 +2 7
7 Nijmegen 3 2 0 1 7 5 +2 6
8 Heerenveen 3 1 2 0 8 4 +4 5
9 Twente 3 1 1 1 6 4 +2 4
10 Utrecht 3 1 1 1 6 6 0 4
11 Telstar 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4
12 Groningen 3 1 1 1 6 7 -1 4
13 Zwolle 4 1 1 2 5 8 -3 4
14 Sparta Rotterdam 3 1 0 2 5 7 -2 3
15 Cambuur 3 0 2 1 4 6 -2 2
16 Go Ahead Eagles 3 0 2 1 7 10 -3 2
17 Den Haag 4 0 1 3 3 9 -6 1
18 Willem II 3 0 1 2 3 10 -7 1

Ajax   Excelsior

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 6 0 6 3.7 1.2 5 1 0 22 7 16
2 6 Groningen 7 1 6 2.1 1.9 3 2 2 15 13 11
3 7 Excelsior 6 0 6 2.2 1.2 3 1 2 13 7 10
4 11 Nijmegen 6 0 6 1.8 2.0 2 1 3 11 12 7
5 13 Sparta Rotterdam 7 1 6 1.4 2.4 1 2 4 10 17 5
6 14 Utrecht 6 0 6 1.8 3.2 1 2 3 11 19 5
7 15 Cambuur 7 1 6 1.4 2.7 1 2 4 10 19 5
8 3 Feyenoord 6 1 5 3.3 1.2 4 2 0 20 7 14
9 4 Ajax 6 1 5 3.2 1.2 4 1 1 19 7 13
10 8 For Sittard 6 1 5 2.0 2.3 3 1 2 12 14 10
11 9 Go Ahead Eagles 6 1 5 2.5 2.2 2 3 1 15 13 9
12 16 Zwolle 7 2 5 0.9 2.9 1 1 5 6 20 4
13 18 Willem II 6 1 5 1.0 3.2 0 2 4 6 19 2
14 10 Heerenveen 7 3 4 1.6 1.3 2 3 2 11 9 9
15 12 Telstar 6 2 4 0.8 1.8 1 2 3 5 11 5
16 17 Den Haag 7 3 4 1.0 2.4 0 2 5 7 17 2
17 2 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 3 2.8 1.0 5 1 0 17 6 16
18 5 Twente 6 3 3 2.0 0.8 4 1 1 12 5 13
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Groningen 4 0 4 2.2 1.5 2 1 1 9 6 7
2 15 Cambuur 4 0 4 1.5 3.2 1 0 3 6 13 3
3 1 PSV Eindhoven 3 0 3 3.7 1.3 2 1 0 11 4 7
4 4 Ajax 3 0 3 2.7 2.0 1 1 1 8 6 4
5 7 Excelsior 3 0 3 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
6 11 Nijmegen 3 0 3 1.3 2.3 0 1 2 4 7 1
7 12 Telstar 3 0 3 1.0 3.0 0 1 2 3 9 1
8 13 Sparta Rotterdam 4 1 3 1.2 2.5 0 2 2 5 10 2
9 14 Utrecht 3 0 3 1.7 4.3 0 1 2 5 13 1
10 18 Willem II 3 0 3 1.0 3.0 0 1 2 3 9 1
11 3 Feyenoord 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 0 2 0 4 4 2
12 8 For Sittard 3 1 2 1.3 2.7 1 0 2 4 8 3
13 9 Go Ahead Eagles 3 1 2 2.7 1.0 2 1 0 8 3 7
14 16 Zwolle 3 1 2 0.3 4.0 0 0 3 1 12 0
15 17 Den Haag 3 1 2 1.3 2.7 0 1 2 4 8 1
16 2 AZ Alkmaar 3 2 1 2.7 1.0 2 1 0 8 3 7
17 5 Twente 3 2 1 2.0 0.3 3 0 0 6 1 9
18 10 Heerenveen 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 1 1 2 3 5 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 3 0 3 3.7 1.0 3 0 0 11 3 9
2 3 Feyenoord 4 1 3 4.0 0.8 4 0 0 16 3 12
3 7 Excelsior 3 0 3 3.0 0.7 2 1 0 9 2 7
4 8 For Sittard 3 0 3 2.7 2.0 2 1 0 8 6 7
5 9 Go Ahead Eagles 3 0 3 2.3 3.3 0 2 1 7 10 2
6 10 Heerenveen 3 0 3 2.7 1.3 1 2 0 8 4 5
7 11 Nijmegen 3 0 3 2.3 1.7 2 0 1 7 5 6
8 13 Sparta Rotterdam 3 0 3 1.7 2.3 1 0 2 5 7 3
9 14 Utrecht 3 0 3 2.0 2.0 1 1 1 6 6 4
10 16 Zwolle 4 1 3 1.2 2.0 1 1 2 5 8 4
11 2 AZ Alkmaar 3 1 2 3.0 1.0 3 0 0 9 3 9
12 4 Ajax 3 1 2 3.7 0.3 3 0 0 11 1 9
13 5 Twente 3 1 2 2.0 1.3 1 1 1 6 4 4
14 6 Groningen 3 1 2 2.0 2.3 1 1 1 6 7 4
15 15 Cambuur 3 1 2 1.3 2.0 0 2 1 4 6 2
16 17 Den Haag 4 2 2 0.8 2.2 0 1 3 3 9 1
17 18 Willem II 3 1 2 1.0 3.3 0 1 2 3 10 1
18 12 Telstar 3 2 1 0.7 0.7 1 1 1 2 2 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38