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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Excelsior 5–0 Utrecht

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 3.20 fair 3.01
Draw 3.50 fair 3.99
Away 2.20 fair 2.40
Under 2.5 2.05 fair 2.15
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.75 fair 1.87

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Excelsior Utrecht
18 Shots 10
9 Shots on target 3
3 Corners 2
12 Fouls 8
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (277 league matches this season so far).
Result Utrecht to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.76
Expected goals 1.31 – 1.50
Home / Draw / Away
ExcelsiorDrawUtrecht
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.8% 0–1 9% 1–2 8.9%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Excelsior before this match, all matches
0.93points / match
1.03scored / match
1.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 31:51
Utrecht before this match, all matches
1.47points / match
1.63scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 49:36
Excelsior all matches all matches Utrecht

Per match

1.03 Goals scored 1.63
1.70 Goals conceded 1.20
2.73 Total goals 2.83
12.10 Shots 14.87
4.00 Shots on target 5.40
15.07 Shots faced 12.67
4.03 Corners 5.23
5.53 Corners against 4.53
12.37 Fouls 10.87
1.37 Yellow cards 1.50
0.53 1st-half goals scored 0.73
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

23% Wins 40%
23% Draws 27%
53% Losses 33%
97% Over 0.5 goals 97%
80% Over 1.5 goals 80%
60% Over 2.5 goals 50%
23% Over 3.5 goals 33%
10% Over 4.5 goals 17%
3% Over 5.5 goals 3%
63% Both teams scored 63%
17% Clean sheets 23%
23% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 47%
37% Draws 23%
33% Losses 30%
73% Over 0.5 goals 83%
30% Over 1.5 goals 33%
10% Over 2.5 goals 3%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Excelsior all matches
Utrecht all matches
Excelsior before this match, at home
0.93points / match
0.93scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 14:21
Utrecht before this match, away
1.13points / match
1.47scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 22:23
Excelsior at home away Utrecht

Per match

0.93 Goals scored 1.47
1.40 Goals conceded 1.53
2.33 Total goals 3.00
12.80 Shots 13.47
4.13 Shots on target 5.27
15.13 Shots faced 14.20
4.20 Corners 5.33
4.67 Corners against 4.60
11.40 Fouls 11.27
1.40 Yellow cards 1.73
0.47 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.47 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

27% Wins 27%
13% Draws 33%
60% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
67% Over 1.5 goals 87%
53% Over 2.5 goals 53%
13% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 20%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
53% Both teams scored 73%
20% Clean sheets 20%
27% Failed to score 13%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 33%
40% Draws 27%
27% Losses 40%
67% Over 0.5 goals 80%
20% Over 1.5 goals 40%
7% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Excelsior at home
Utrecht away

Last 10 matches before this match

Excelsior all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.26 Zwolle – Excelsior 2–2 (1–1) 2.203.703.10 1.62 2.25
04.04.26 Excelsior – Nijmegen 0–2 (0–1) 3.504.001.95 1.50 2.50
20.03.26 Heracles – Excelsior 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.302.70 1.73 2.08
15.03.26 Feyenoord – Excelsior 2–1 (0–1) 1.306.008.00 1.40 2.88
07.03.26 Excelsior – Heerenveen 1–2 (0–1) 2.803.752.30 1.65 2.20
01.03.26 Excelsior – Go Ahead Eagles 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.502.80 1.70 2.10
20.02.26 For Sittard – Excelsior 2–1 (1–0) 2.253.603.10 1.75 2.05
14.02.26 Excelsior – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (1–0) 3.403.702.00 1.65 2.20
06.02.26 NAC Breda – Excelsior 0–2 (0–2) 1.833.704.20 1.80 2.00
01.02.26 Excelsior – Ajax 2–2 (0–2) 4.203.901.75 1.57 2.35

Utrecht all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.04.26 Utrecht – Telstar 4–1 (1–0) 1.623.706.00 1.60 2.30
04.04.26 PSV Eindhoven – Utrecht 4–3 (1–2) 1.504.755.50 1.44 2.70
22.03.26 Utrecht – Go Ahead Eagles 2–0 (2–0) 1.753.605.00 1.67 2.15
15.03.26 Twente – Utrecht 0–2 (0–1) 1.554.335.75 1.67 2.15
06.03.26 Heracles – Utrecht 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.602.20 1.83 1.98
01.03.26 Utrecht – AZ Alkmaar 2–0 (2–0) 2.203.603.10 1.70 2.10
22.02.26 Utrecht – Zwolle 1–1 (1–0) 1.624.005.25 1.73 2.08
14.02.26 Groningen – Utrecht 1–2 (0–0) 2.003.403.80 2.00 1.80
11.02.26 Nijmegen – Utrecht 1–3 (0–2) 1.733.904.75 1.62 2.25
08.02.26 Utrecht – Feyenoord 0–1 (0–1) 3.103.752.15 1.70 2.10

Excelsior at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.04.26 Excelsior – Nijmegen 0–2 (0–1) 3.504.001.95 1.50 2.50
07.03.26 Excelsior – Heerenveen 1–2 (0–1) 2.803.752.30 1.65 2.20
01.03.26 Excelsior – Go Ahead Eagles 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.502.80 1.70 2.10
14.02.26 Excelsior – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (1–0) 3.403.702.00 1.65 2.20
01.02.26 Excelsior – Ajax 2–2 (0–2) 4.203.901.75 1.57 2.35
17.01.26 Excelsior – Telstar 2–2 (0–0) 2.203.503.20 1.70 2.10
20.12.25 Excelsior – Zwolle 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.603.20 1.65 2.20
05.12.25 Excelsior – Groningen 0–2 (0–0) 3.403.502.10 1.85 1.95
29.11.25 Excelsior – NAC Breda 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.502.88 1.70 2.10
08.11.25 Excelsior – Heracles 1–2 (1–0) 1.914.103.50 1.65 2.20

Utrecht away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.04.26 PSV Eindhoven – Utrecht 4–3 (1–2) 1.504.755.50 1.44 2.70
15.03.26 Twente – Utrecht 0–2 (0–1) 1.554.335.75 1.67 2.15
06.03.26 Heracles – Utrecht 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.602.20 1.83 1.98
14.02.26 Groningen – Utrecht 1–2 (0–0) 2.003.403.80 2.00 1.80
11.02.26 Nijmegen – Utrecht 1–3 (0–2) 1.733.904.75 1.62 2.25
01.02.26 Heerenveen – Utrecht 1–1 (1–0) 1.853.753.90 1.67 2.15
18.01.26 Volendam – Utrecht 2–1 (2–0) 4.333.751.80 1.73 2.08
14.12.25 NAC Breda – Utrecht 1–1 (1–1) 2.703.402.60 1.85 1.95
30.11.25 Go Ahead Eagles – Utrecht 2–2 (0–1) 2.883.502.35 1.65 2.20
23.11.25 Telstar – Utrecht 1–1 (0–0) 3.253.752.10 1.70 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Excelsior winsDrawsUtrecht wins
5matches
2.60goals / match
40%over 2.5
60%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.08.25N1 Utrecht – Excelsior 4–1 (2–0) 1.425.256.25 1.40 2.88
27.01.24N1 Excelsior – Utrecht 1–1 (0–0) 3.103.602.20 1.70 2.10
12.11.23N1 Utrecht – Excelsior 2–2 (0–0) 1.803.804.20 1.67 2.15
25.01.23N1 Utrecht – Excelsior 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.757.50 1.48 2.60
02.10.22N1 Excelsior – Utrecht 0–1 (0–1) 5.004.201.65 1.47 2.60

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 31 25 2 4 90 41 +49 77
2 Feyenoord 31 17 7 7 65 42 +23 58
3 Nijmegen 31 15 10 6 73 49 +24 55
4 Ajax 31 14 12 5 59 37 +22 54
5 Twente 31 14 12 5 52 33 +19 54
6 AZ Alkmaar 31 14 7 10 52 45 +7 49
7 Heerenveen 31 13 8 10 55 51 +4 47
8 Utrecht 30 12 8 10 49 36 +13 44
9 Groningen 31 12 6 13 43 40 +3 42
10 Sparta Rotterdam 31 12 6 13 36 53 -17 42
11 Go Ahead Eagles 31 8 13 10 50 45 +5 37
12 For Sittard 31 10 6 15 45 57 -12 36
13 Zwolle 31 8 10 13 41 66 -25 34
14 Telstar 31 7 9 15 43 53 -10 30
15 Volendam 30 7 7 16 31 50 -19 28
16 Excelsior 30 7 7 16 31 51 -20 28
17 NAC Breda 31 5 10 16 30 53 -23 25
18 Heracles 30 5 4 21 34 77 -43 19
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 16 12 2 2 53 25 +28 38
2 Feyenoord 16 11 2 3 38 22 +16 35
3 Ajax 15 9 3 3 29 13 +16 30
4 AZ Alkmaar 15 8 5 2 34 21 +13 29
5 Heerenveen 16 8 5 3 33 24 +9 29
6 Twente 16 8 5 3 25 16 +9 29
7 Nijmegen 15 8 4 3 38 23 +15 28
8 Utrecht 15 8 3 4 27 13 +14 27
9 Go Ahead Eagles 16 6 7 3 33 20 +13 25
10 Zwolle 15 7 4 4 20 19 +1 25
11 Volendam 15 6 5 4 23 19 +4 23
12 Groningen 15 6 4 5 23 14 +9 22
13 For Sittard 15 6 4 5 24 25 -1 22
14 Sparta Rotterdam 15 6 4 5 17 22 -5 22
15 Telstar 16 4 5 7 28 28 0 17
16 NAC Breda 16 4 5 7 18 23 -5 17
17 Heracles 15 4 3 8 22 32 -10 15
18 Excelsior 15 4 2 9 14 21 -7 14
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 15 13 0 2 37 16 +21 39
2 Nijmegen 16 7 6 3 35 26 +9 27
3 Twente 15 6 7 2 27 17 +10 25
4 Ajax 16 5 9 2 30 24 +6 24
5 Feyenoord 15 6 5 4 27 20 +7 23
6 Groningen 16 6 2 8 20 26 -6 20
7 AZ Alkmaar 16 6 2 8 18 24 -6 20
8 Sparta Rotterdam 16 6 2 8 19 31 -12 20
9 Heerenveen 15 5 3 7 22 27 -5 18
10 Utrecht 15 4 5 6 22 23 -1 17
11 For Sittard 16 4 2 10 21 32 -11 14
12 Excelsior 15 3 5 7 17 30 -13 14
13 Telstar 15 3 4 8 15 25 -10 13
14 Go Ahead Eagles 15 2 6 7 17 25 -8 12
15 Zwolle 16 1 6 9 21 47 -26 9
16 NAC Breda 15 1 5 9 12 30 -18 8
17 Volendam 15 1 2 12 8 31 -23 5
18 Heracles 15 1 1 13 12 45 -33 4

Excelsior   Utrecht

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 31 5 26 2.9 1.3 25 2 4 90 41 77
2 7 Heerenveen 31 7 24 1.8 1.6 13 8 10 55 51 47
3 3 Nijmegen 31 8 23 2.4 1.6 15 10 6 73 49 55
4 18 Heracles 30 8 22 1.1 2.6 5 4 21 34 77 19
5 12 For Sittard 31 10 21 1.5 1.8 10 6 15 45 57 36
6 6 AZ Alkmaar 31 11 20 1.7 1.5 14 7 10 52 45 49
7 13 Zwolle 31 11 20 1.3 2.1 8 10 13 41 66 34
8 2 Feyenoord 31 12 19 2.1 1.4 17 7 7 65 42 58
9 15 Volendam 30 11 19 1.0 1.7 7 7 16 31 50 28
10 4 Ajax 31 13 18 1.9 1.2 14 12 5 59 37 54
11 11 Go Ahead Eagles 31 13 18 1.6 1.5 8 13 10 50 45 37
12 14 Telstar 31 13 18 1.4 1.7 7 9 15 43 53 30
13 16 Excelsior 30 12 18 1.0 1.7 7 7 16 31 51 28
14 9 Groningen 31 15 16 1.4 1.3 12 6 13 43 40 42
15 17 NAC Breda 31 15 16 1.0 1.7 5 10 16 30 53 25
16 8 Utrecht 30 15 15 1.6 1.2 12 8 10 49 36 44
17 10 Sparta Rotterdam 31 16 15 1.2 1.7 12 6 13 36 53 42
18 5 Twente 31 17 14 1.7 1.1 14 12 5 52 33 54
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 16 1 15 3.3 1.6 12 2 2 53 25 38
2 3 Nijmegen 15 2 13 2.5 1.5 8 4 3 38 23 28
3 7 Heerenveen 16 4 12 2.1 1.5 8 5 3 33 24 29
4 6 AZ Alkmaar 15 4 11 2.3 1.4 8 5 2 34 21 29
5 11 Go Ahead Eagles 16 5 11 2.1 1.2 6 7 3 33 20 25
6 14 Telstar 16 5 11 1.8 1.8 4 5 7 28 28 17
7 2 Feyenoord 16 6 10 2.4 1.4 11 2 3 38 22 35
8 12 For Sittard 15 5 10 1.6 1.7 6 4 5 24 25 22
9 15 Volendam 15 5 10 1.5 1.3 6 5 4 23 19 23
10 18 Heracles 15 5 10 1.5 2.1 4 3 8 22 32 15
11 9 Groningen 15 6 9 1.5 0.9 6 4 5 23 14 22
12 13 Zwolle 15 7 8 1.3 1.3 7 4 4 20 19 25
13 16 Excelsior 15 7 8 0.9 1.4 4 2 9 14 21 14
14 4 Ajax 15 8 7 1.9 0.9 9 3 3 29 13 30
15 5 Twente 16 9 7 1.6 1.0 8 5 3 25 16 29
16 8 Utrecht 15 8 7 1.8 0.9 8 3 4 27 13 27
17 17 NAC Breda 16 9 7 1.1 1.4 4 5 7 18 23 17
18 10 Sparta Rotterdam 15 10 5 1.1 1.5 6 4 5 17 22 22
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Heerenveen 15 3 12 1.5 1.8 5 3 7 22 27 18
2 13 Zwolle 16 4 12 1.3 2.9 1 6 9 21 47 9
3 18 Heracles 15 3 12 0.8 3.0 1 1 13 12 45 4
4 1 PSV Eindhoven 15 4 11 2.5 1.1 13 0 2 37 16 39
5 4 Ajax 16 5 11 1.9 1.5 5 9 2 30 24 24
6 12 For Sittard 16 5 11 1.3 2.0 4 2 10 21 32 14
7 3 Nijmegen 16 6 10 2.2 1.6 7 6 3 35 26 27
8 10 Sparta Rotterdam 16 6 10 1.2 1.9 6 2 8 19 31 20
9 16 Excelsior 15 5 10 1.1 2.0 3 5 7 17 30 14
10 2 Feyenoord 15 6 9 1.8 1.3 6 5 4 27 20 23
11 6 AZ Alkmaar 16 7 9 1.1 1.5 6 2 8 18 24 20
12 15 Volendam 15 6 9 0.5 2.1 1 2 12 8 31 5
13 17 NAC Breda 15 6 9 0.8 2.0 1 5 9 12 30 8
14 8 Utrecht 15 7 8 1.5 1.5 4 5 6 22 23 17
15 5 Twente 15 8 7 1.8 1.1 6 7 2 27 17 25
16 9 Groningen 16 9 7 1.2 1.6 6 2 8 20 26 20
17 11 Go Ahead Eagles 15 8 7 1.1 1.7 2 6 7 17 25 12
18 14 Telstar 15 8 7 1.0 1.7 3 4 8 15 25 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51