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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Ajax 1–2 Excelsior

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.38 fair 1.74
Draw 5.50 fair 4.77
Away ✓ 7.00 fair 4.60
Under 2.5 2.70 fair 2.77
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.57

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Ajax Excelsior
15 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
9 Corners 2
4 Fouls 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (109 league matches this season so far).
Result Ajax to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.63
Expected goals 2.08 – 1.21
Home / Draw / Away
AjaxDrawExcelsior
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 9.7% 1–1 9.4% 2–0 8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Ajax before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
1.83scored / match
1.42conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 22:17
Excelsior before this match, all matches
0.83points / match
0.92scored / match
1.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 11:23
Ajax all matches all matches Excelsior

Per match

1.83 Goals scored 0.92
1.42 Goals conceded 1.92
3.25 Total goals 2.83
14.75 Shots 12.58
6.17 Shots on target 4.33
13.67 Shots faced 16.50
5.58 Corners 4.50
5.17 Corners against 5.17
11.58 Fouls 13.75
1.92 Yellow cards 1.42
0.83 1st-half goals scored 0.58
0.83 1st-half goals conceded 0.75

How often Full Time

42% Wins 25%
42% Draws 8%
17% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 75%
58% Over 2.5 goals 67%
42% Over 3.5 goals 25%
17% Over 4.5 goals 17%
8% Over 5.5 goals 0%
75% Both teams scored 58%
17% Clean sheets 17%
8% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 25%
33% Draws 42%
33% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
50% Over 1.5 goals 42%
8% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax all matches
Excelsior all matches
Ajax before this match, at home
2.17points / match
1.67scored / match
0.83conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 10:5
Excelsior before this match, away
0.67points / match
1.00scored / match
2.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 6:16
Ajax at home away Excelsior

Per match

1.67 Goals scored 1.00
0.83 Goals conceded 2.67
2.50 Total goals 3.67
15.33 Shots 12.83
6.50 Shots on target 4.67
12.83 Shots faced 15.50
6.17 Corners 4.67
4.50 Corners against 5.50
11.17 Fouls 15.33
1.33 Yellow cards 1.67
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

67% Wins 17%
17% Draws 17%
17% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
33% Over 2.5 goals 83%
17% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 67%
33% Clean sheets 0%
17% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 17%
17% Draws 33%
17% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 83%
50% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax at home
Excelsior away

Last 10 matches before this match

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
09.11.25 Utrecht – Ajax 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.702.45 1.62 2.25
01.11.25 Ajax – Heerenveen 1–1 (1–0) 1.574.505.00 1.44 2.70
26.10.25 Twente – Ajax 2–3 (1–0) 2.353.503.00 1.65 2.20
18.10.25 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 0–2 (0–2) 2.003.903.40 1.57 2.35
04.10.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax 3–3 (1–1) 4.104.101.75 1.53 2.40
27.09.25 Ajax – NAC Breda 2–1 (1–1) 1.276.009.50 1.36 3.10
21.09.25 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 1.734.004.50 1.40 2.88
13.09.25 Ajax – Zwolle 3–1 (2–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.48 2.60
30.08.25 Volendam – Ajax 1–1 (1–0) 7.005.501.36 1.40 2.88
24.08.25 Ajax – Heracles 2–0 (1–0) 1.186.5015.00 1.36 3.10

Excelsior all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.11.25 Excelsior – Heracles 1–2 (1–0) 1.914.103.50 1.65 2.20
01.11.25 Telstar – Excelsior 2–2 (2–1) 2.253.602.90 1.67 2.15
26.10.25 Go Ahead Eagles – Excelsior 2–0 (0–0) 1.804.203.90 1.50 2.50
19.10.25 Excelsior – For Sittard 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.73 2.08
04.10.25 Heerenveen – Excelsior 2–1 (0–1) 1.604.335.00 1.53 2.40
27.09.25 Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–1) 9.007.001.25 1.29 3.60
20.09.25 Volendam – Excelsior 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.802.80 1.53 2.40
14.09.25 Excelsior – Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.67 2.15
30.08.25 Excelsior – Twente 1–0 (0–0) 3.804.001.83 1.57 2.35
24.08.25 Utrecht – Excelsior 4–1 (2–0) 1.425.256.25 1.40 2.88

Ajax at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.25 Ajax – Heerenveen 1–1 (1–0) 1.574.505.00 1.44 2.70
18.10.25 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 0–2 (0–2) 2.003.903.40 1.57 2.35
27.09.25 Ajax – NAC Breda 2–1 (1–1) 1.276.009.50 1.36 3.10
13.09.25 Ajax – Zwolle 3–1 (2–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.48 2.60
24.08.25 Ajax – Heracles 2–0 (1–0) 1.186.5015.00 1.36 3.10
10.08.25 Ajax – Telstar 2–0 (1–0) 1.177.5017.00 1.33 3.40
18.05.25 Ajax – Twente 2–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.00 1.40 2.88
11.05.25 Ajax – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–0) 1.305.509.00 1.48 2.60
27.04.25 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.755.50 1.53 2.40
06.04.25 Ajax – NAC Breda 3–1 (2–1) 1.256.2510.00 1.44 2.70

Excelsior away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.11.25 Telstar – Excelsior 2–2 (2–1) 2.253.602.90 1.67 2.15
26.10.25 Go Ahead Eagles – Excelsior 2–0 (0–0) 1.804.203.90 1.50 2.50
04.10.25 Heerenveen – Excelsior 2–1 (0–1) 1.604.335.00 1.53 2.40
20.09.25 Volendam – Excelsior 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.802.80 1.53 2.40
24.08.25 Utrecht – Excelsior 4–1 (2–0) 1.425.256.25 1.40 2.88
09.08.25 Nijmegen – Excelsior 5–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.33 1.73 2.08
19.05.24 Feyenoord – Excelsior 4–0 (0–0) 1.257.009.00 1.22 4.20
24.04.24 Ajax – Excelsior 2–2 (1–1) 1.295.5010.00 1.40 2.88
06.04.24 Zwolle – Excelsior 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.753.60 1.57 2.35
30.03.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Excelsior 3–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.57 2.35

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Ajax winsDrawsExcelsior wins
4matches
5.25goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.04.24N1 Ajax – Excelsior 2–2 (1–1) 1.295.5010.00 1.40 2.88
19.08.23N1 Excelsior – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 10.006.501.25 1.29 3.60
29.01.23N1 Excelsior – Ajax 1–4 (1–2) 11.006.001.25 1.36 3.10
16.10.22N1 Ajax – Excelsior 7–1 (3–0) 1.0513.0029.00 1.12 6.00

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 13 11 1 1 41 17 +24 34
2 Feyenoord 12 9 1 2 31 12 +19 28
3 AZ Alkmaar 12 7 3 2 25 18 +7 24
4 Ajax 12 5 5 2 22 17 +5 20
5 Utrecht 12 6 1 5 22 16 +6 19
6 Groningen 12 6 1 5 17 17 0 19
7 Nijmegen 12 5 3 4 29 20 +9 18
8 Twente 12 4 4 4 20 18 +2 16
9 Go Ahead Eagles 12 4 4 4 19 18 +1 16
10 For Sittard 12 5 1 6 18 20 -2 16
11 Sparta Rotterdam 12 5 1 6 14 24 -10 16
12 Heerenveen 12 3 5 4 19 21 -2 14
13 Volendam 12 3 4 5 16 20 -4 13
14 NAC Breda 13 3 3 7 15 22 -7 12
15 Zwolle 12 3 3 6 14 27 -13 12
16 Excelsior 12 3 1 8 11 23 -12 10
17 Telstar 12 2 3 7 14 21 -7 9
18 Heracles 12 3 0 9 17 33 -16 9
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Utrecht 7 5 1 1 16 6 +10 16
2 Feyenoord 6 5 0 1 13 6 +7 15
3 PSV Eindhoven 6 4 1 1 19 10 +9 13
4 Nijmegen 6 4 1 1 18 9 +9 13
5 Ajax 6 4 1 1 10 5 +5 13
6 For Sittard 6 4 1 1 10 6 +4 13
7 Volendam 6 3 2 1 11 7 +4 11
8 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 2 1 16 13 +3 11
9 Go Ahead Eagles 6 3 2 1 10 7 +3 11
10 Groningen 6 3 1 2 9 5 +4 10
11 NAC Breda 7 3 1 3 8 8 0 10
12 Heerenveen 6 2 3 1 12 11 +1 9
13 Twente 6 2 2 2 9 10 -1 8
14 Zwolle 6 2 1 3 4 10 -6 7
15 Sparta Rotterdam 6 2 1 3 7 14 -7 7
16 Heracles 5 2 0 3 13 15 -2 6
17 Excelsior 6 2 0 4 5 7 -2 6
18 Telstar 6 1 2 3 11 14 -3 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 7 7 0 0 22 7 +15 21
2 Feyenoord 6 4 1 1 18 6 +12 13
3 AZ Alkmaar 6 4 1 1 9 5 +4 13
4 Sparta Rotterdam 6 3 0 3 7 10 -3 9
5 Groningen 6 3 0 3 8 12 -4 9
6 Twente 6 2 2 2 11 8 +3 8
7 Ajax 6 1 4 1 12 12 0 7
8 Nijmegen 6 1 2 3 11 11 0 5
9 Go Ahead Eagles 6 1 2 3 9 11 -2 5
10 Heerenveen 6 1 2 3 7 10 -3 5
11 Zwolle 6 1 2 3 10 17 -7 5
12 Telstar 6 1 1 4 3 7 -4 4
13 Excelsior 6 1 1 4 6 16 -10 4
14 Utrecht 5 1 0 4 6 10 -4 3
15 For Sittard 6 1 0 5 8 14 -6 3
16 Heracles 7 1 0 6 4 18 -14 3
17 NAC Breda 6 0 2 4 7 14 -7 2
18 Volendam 6 0 2 4 5 13 -8 2

Ajax   Excelsior

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Heracles 12 1 11 1.4 2.8 3 0 9 17 33 9
2 1 PSV Eindhoven 13 3 10 3.2 1.3 11 1 1 41 17 34
3 3 AZ Alkmaar 12 3 9 2.1 1.5 7 3 2 25 18 24
4 7 Nijmegen 12 3 9 2.4 1.7 5 3 4 29 20 18
5 13 Volendam 12 3 9 1.3 1.7 3 4 5 16 20 13
6 14 NAC Breda 13 4 9 1.2 1.7 3 3 7 15 22 12
7 2 Feyenoord 12 4 8 2.6 1.0 9 1 2 31 12 28
8 5 Utrecht 12 4 8 1.8 1.3 6 1 5 22 16 19
9 9 Go Ahead Eagles 12 4 8 1.6 1.5 4 4 4 19 18 16
10 12 Heerenveen 12 4 8 1.6 1.8 3 5 4 19 21 14
11 16 Excelsior 12 4 8 0.9 1.9 3 1 8 11 23 10
12 4 Ajax 12 5 7 1.8 1.4 5 5 2 22 17 20
13 8 Twente 12 5 7 1.7 1.5 4 4 4 20 18 16
14 10 For Sittard 12 5 7 1.5 1.7 5 1 6 18 20 16
15 11 Sparta Rotterdam 12 5 7 1.2 2.0 5 1 6 14 24 16
16 15 Zwolle 12 5 7 1.2 2.2 3 3 6 14 27 12
17 6 Groningen 12 6 6 1.4 1.4 6 1 5 17 17 19
18 17 Telstar 12 6 6 1.2 1.8 2 3 7 14 21 9
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 AZ Alkmaar 6 0 6 2.7 2.2 3 2 1 16 13 11
2 1 PSV Eindhoven 6 1 5 3.2 1.7 4 1 1 19 10 13
3 5 Utrecht 7 2 5 2.3 0.9 5 1 1 16 6 16
4 7 Nijmegen 6 1 5 3.0 1.5 4 1 1 18 9 13
5 12 Heerenveen 6 1 5 2.0 1.8 2 3 1 12 11 9
6 13 Volendam 6 1 5 1.8 1.2 3 2 1 11 7 11
7 17 Telstar 6 1 5 1.8 2.3 1 2 3 11 14 5
8 18 Heracles 5 0 5 2.6 3.0 2 0 3 13 15 6
9 8 Twente 6 2 4 1.5 1.7 2 2 2 9 10 8
10 9 Go Ahead Eagles 6 2 4 1.7 1.2 3 2 1 10 7 11
11 11 Sparta Rotterdam 6 2 4 1.2 2.3 2 1 3 7 14 7
12 14 NAC Breda 7 3 4 1.1 1.1 3 1 3 8 8 10
13 2 Feyenoord 6 3 3 2.2 1.0 5 0 1 13 6 15
14 10 For Sittard 6 3 3 1.7 1.0 4 1 1 10 6 13
15 16 Excelsior 6 3 3 0.8 1.2 2 0 4 5 7 6
16 4 Ajax 6 4 2 1.7 0.8 4 1 1 10 5 13
17 6 Groningen 6 4 2 1.5 0.8 3 1 2 9 5 10
18 15 Zwolle 6 4 2 0.7 1.7 2 1 3 4 10 7
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Heracles 7 1 6 0.6 2.6 1 0 6 4 18 3
2 1 PSV Eindhoven 7 2 5 3.1 1.0 7 0 0 22 7 21
3 2 Feyenoord 6 1 5 3.0 1.0 4 1 1 18 6 13
4 4 Ajax 6 1 5 2.0 2.0 1 4 1 12 12 7
5 14 NAC Breda 6 1 5 1.2 2.3 0 2 4 7 14 2
6 15 Zwolle 6 1 5 1.7 2.8 1 2 3 10 17 5
7 16 Excelsior 6 1 5 1.0 2.7 1 1 4 6 16 4
8 6 Groningen 6 2 4 1.3 2.0 3 0 3 8 12 9
9 7 Nijmegen 6 2 4 1.8 1.8 1 2 3 11 11 5
10 9 Go Ahead Eagles 6 2 4 1.5 1.8 1 2 3 9 11 5
11 10 For Sittard 6 2 4 1.3 2.3 1 0 5 8 14 3
12 13 Volendam 6 2 4 0.8 2.2 0 2 4 5 13 2
13 3 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 3 1.5 0.8 4 1 1 9 5 13
14 5 Utrecht 5 2 3 1.2 2.0 1 0 4 6 10 3
15 8 Twente 6 3 3 1.8 1.3 2 2 2 11 8 8
16 11 Sparta Rotterdam 6 3 3 1.2 1.7 3 0 3 7 10 9
17 12 Heerenveen 6 3 3 1.2 1.7 1 2 3 7 10 5
18 17 Telstar 6 5 1 0.5 1.2 1 1 4 3 7 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51