Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Ajax 5–1 Willem II

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2026/2027

Home ✓ 1.10 fair 2.12
Draw 9.00 fair 4.76
Away 21.00 fair 3.13
Under 2.5 4.20 fair 3.67
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.22 fair 1.37

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Ajax Willem II
33 Shots 10
12 Shots on target 4
3.78 Expected goals (xG) 1.58
14 Corners 2
6 Fouls 3
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (53 league matches this season so far).
Result Ajax to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.40
Expected goals 2.08 – 1.70
Home / Draw / Away
AjaxDrawWillem II
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 8.4% 1–1 8.1% 2–2 7.1%

Statistics 2026/2027, before this match

Ajax before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
2.80scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 14:6
Willem II before this match, all matches
0.40points / match
1.00scored / match
2.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 5:14
Ajax all matches all matches Willem II

Per match

2.80 Goals scored 1.00
1.20 Goals conceded 2.80
4.00 Total goals 3.80
2.36 xG created 1.28
1.27 xG allowed 2.17
21.40 Shots 11.60
7.20 Shots on target 2.40
10.60 Shots faced 17.80
6.60 Corners 4.20
2.60 Corners against 6.40
9.80 Fouls 10.20
2.40 Yellow cards 1.00
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.20
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

60% Wins 0%
20% Draws 40%
20% Losses 60%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
80% Over 2.5 goals 80%
80% Over 3.5 goals 60%
20% Over 4.5 goals 40%
20% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 80%
40% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 0%
20% Draws 40%
20% Losses 60%
80% Over 0.5 goals 80%
40% Over 1.5 goals 40%
40% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax all matches
Willem II all matches
Ajax before this match, at home
0.50points / match
1.50scored / match
2.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 3:5
Willem II before this match, away
0.50points / match
1.00scored / match
2.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 2:5
Ajax at home away Willem II

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 1.00
2.50 Goals conceded 2.50
4.00 Total goals 3.50
1.99 xG created 1.22
1.96 xG allowed 2.46
21.00 Shots 10.50
5.00 Shots on target 1.50
13.50 Shots faced 21.00
4.00 Corners 2.00
1.50 Corners against 8.50
7.00 Fouls 11.00
2.50 Yellow cards 1.00
1.50 1st-half goals scored 0.50
1.50 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

0% Wins 0%
50% Draws 50%
50% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
100% Over 2.5 goals 50%
100% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 50%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
100% Both teams scored 100%
0% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
0% Draws 50%
50% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 50%
100% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax at home
Willem II away

Last 10 matches before this match

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.09.26 For Sittard – Ajax 1–5 (0–1) 5.755.251.44 1.36 3.10
05.09.26 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (1–2) 2.703.752.40 1.30 3.50
30.08.26 Telstar – Ajax 0–4 (0–1) 5.004.501.57 1.40 2.88
16.08.26 Ajax – Heerenveen 2–2 (2–1) 1.444.507.00 1.40 2.88
09.08.26 Zwolle – Ajax 0–2 (0–0) 6.004.501.50 1.48 2.60
17.05.26 Heerenveen – Ajax 0–0 (0–0) 2.903.902.05 1.33 3.40
10.05.26 Ajax – Utrecht 1–2 (0–0) 1.674.334.50 1.36 3.10
02.05.26 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 2–2 (1–1) 2.454.202.45 1.36 3.10
25.04.26 NAC Breda – Ajax 0–2 (0–2) 3.203.902.05 1.67 2.15
11.04.26 Heracles – Ajax 0–3 (0–2) 5.254.331.57 1.50 2.50

Willem II all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.09.26 AZ Alkmaar – Willem II 1–1 (1–0) 1.178.0013.00 1.29 3.60
05.09.26 Willem II – Excelsior 0–3 (0–2) 3.003.502.30 1.62 2.25
30.08.26 Willem II – Heerenveen 2–2 (0–0) 4.004.331.75 1.44 2.70
15.08.26 Willem II – Nijmegen 1–4 (0–1) 4.754.751.57 1.44 2.70
08.08.26 Go Ahead Eagles – Willem II 4–1 (1–1) 1.654.104.75 1.57 2.35
18.05.25 NAC Breda – Willem II 1–1 (1–1) 1.853.504.10 1.75 2.05
14.05.25 Willem II – Zwolle 1–2 (0–1) 2.553.202.50 1.85 2.00
09.05.25 Willem II – Heracles 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.252.60 2.05 1.80
03.05.25 Nijmegen – Willem II 1–1 (0–1) 1.574.335.25 1.67 2.15
27.04.25 For Sittard – Willem II 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.754.33 2.05 1.75

Ajax at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.09.26 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 1–3 (1–2) 2.703.752.40 1.30 3.50
16.08.26 Ajax – Heerenveen 2–2 (2–1) 1.444.507.00 1.40 2.88
10.05.26 Ajax – Utrecht 1–2 (0–0) 1.674.334.50 1.36 3.10
02.05.26 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 2–2 (1–1) 2.454.202.45 1.36 3.10
04.04.26 Ajax – Twente 1–2 (1–1) 2.303.752.88 1.53 2.40
14.03.26 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 4–0 (2–0) 1.624.504.50 1.50 2.50
21.02.26 Ajax – Nijmegen 1–1 (1–0) 1.754.334.00 1.44 2.70
14.02.26 Ajax – For Sittard 4–1 (3–1) 1.365.008.00 1.53 2.40
24.01.26 Ajax – Volendam 2–0 (2–0) 1.306.508.00 1.36 3.10
17.01.26 Ajax – Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 (2–0) 1.484.506.25 1.40 2.88

Willem II away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.09.26 AZ Alkmaar – Willem II 1–1 (1–0) 1.178.0013.00 1.29 3.60
08.08.26 Go Ahead Eagles – Willem II 4–1 (1–1) 1.654.104.75 1.57 2.35
18.05.25 NAC Breda – Willem II 1–1 (1–1) 1.853.504.10 1.75 2.05
03.05.25 Nijmegen – Willem II 1–1 (0–1) 1.574.335.25 1.67 2.15
27.04.25 For Sittard – Willem II 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.754.33 2.05 1.75
04.04.25 Heerenveen – Willem II 3–1 (2–0) 1.454.507.00 1.75 2.05
16.03.25 Go Ahead Eagles – Willem II 1–0 (0–0) 1.553.906.00 1.80 2.00
02.03.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Willem II 4–0 (1–0) 1.653.805.25 2.00 1.85
08.02.25 PSV Eindhoven – Willem II 1–1 (0–0) 1.119.0019.00 1.30 3.50
26.01.25 Waalwijk – Willem II 2–0 (1–0) 2.553.402.70 1.98 1.88

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Ajax winsDrawsWillem II wins
4matches
2.50goals / match
50%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
13.04.25N1 Willem II – Ajax 1–2 (1–0) 7.005.251.36 1.70 2.10
27.10.24N1 Ajax – Willem II 1–0 (1–0) 1.296.009.50 1.53 2.40
19.02.22N1 Willem II – Ajax 0–1 (0–0) 26.0010.001.09 1.33 3.40
02.12.21N1 Ajax – Willem II 5–0 (3–0) 1.0813.0019.00 1.22 4.20

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2026/2027, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 6 5 1 0 22 7 +15 16
2 AZ Alkmaar 6 5 1 0 17 6 +11 16
3 Feyenoord 6 4 2 0 20 7 +13 14
4 Twente 6 4 1 1 12 5 +7 13
5 Ajax 5 3 1 1 14 6 +8 10
6 Excelsior 6 3 1 2 13 7 +6 10
7 For Sittard 6 3 1 2 12 14 -2 10
8 Go Ahead Eagles 6 2 3 1 15 13 +2 9
9 Groningen 6 2 2 2 12 13 -1 8
10 Nijmegen 6 2 1 3 11 12 -1 7
11 Heerenveen 6 1 3 2 7 9 -2 6
12 Sparta Rotterdam 6 1 2 3 10 13 -3 5
13 Telstar 6 1 2 3 5 11 -6 5
14 Utrecht 6 1 2 3 11 19 -8 5
15 Cambuur 6 1 1 4 9 18 -9 4
16 Zwolle 6 1 1 4 6 17 -11 4
17 Willem II 5 0 2 3 5 14 -9 2
18 Den Haag 6 0 1 5 6 16 -10 1
  • Champions League – league phase
  • Champions League – 3rd qualifying round
  • Europa League – 2nd qualifying round
  • Play-offs for a Conference League place
  • Relegation play-off
  • Relegation to Eerste Divisie

KNVB Cup winners go to the Europa League league phase, so places can move down the table.

Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Twente 3 3 0 0 6 1 +5 9
2 PSV Eindhoven 3 2 1 0 11 4 +7 7
3 AZ Alkmaar 3 2 1 0 8 3 +5 7
4 Go Ahead Eagles 3 2 1 0 8 3 +5 7
5 Groningen 3 1 1 1 6 6 0 4
6 Heerenveen 4 1 1 2 3 5 -2 4
7 Excelsior 3 1 0 2 4 5 -1 3
8 For Sittard 3 1 0 2 4 8 -4 3
9 Cambuur 4 1 0 3 6 13 -7 3
10 Feyenoord 2 0 2 0 4 4 0 2
11 Sparta Rotterdam 3 0 2 1 5 6 -1 2
12 Ajax 2 0 1 1 3 5 -2 1
13 Nijmegen 3 0 1 2 4 7 -3 1
14 Telstar 3 0 1 2 3 9 -6 1
15 Willem II 3 0 1 2 3 9 -6 1
16 Utrecht 3 0 1 2 5 13 -8 1
17 Den Haag 2 0 0 2 3 7 -4 0
18 Zwolle 3 0 0 3 1 12 -11 0
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 4 4 0 0 16 3 +13 12
2 Ajax 3 3 0 0 11 1 +10 9
3 PSV Eindhoven 3 3 0 0 11 3 +8 9
4 AZ Alkmaar 3 3 0 0 9 3 +6 9
5 Excelsior 3 2 1 0 9 2 +7 7
6 For Sittard 3 2 1 0 8 6 +2 7
7 Nijmegen 3 2 0 1 7 5 +2 6
8 Twente 3 1 1 1 6 4 +2 4
9 Utrecht 3 1 1 1 6 6 0 4
10 Zwolle 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
11 Telstar 3 1 1 1 2 2 0 4
12 Groningen 3 1 1 1 6 7 -1 4
13 Sparta Rotterdam 3 1 0 2 5 7 -2 3
14 Heerenveen 2 0 2 0 4 4 0 2
15 Go Ahead Eagles 3 0 2 1 7 10 -3 2
16 Cambuur 2 0 1 1 3 5 -2 1
17 Willem II 2 0 1 1 2 5 -3 1
18 Den Haag 4 0 1 3 3 9 -6 1

Ajax   Willem II

Under / Over goals 2026/2027, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 6 0 6 3.7 1.2 5 1 0 22 7 16
2 6 Excelsior 6 0 6 2.2 1.2 3 1 2 13 7 10
3 10 Nijmegen 6 0 6 1.8 2.0 2 1 3 11 12 7
4 14 Utrecht 6 0 6 1.8 3.2 1 2 3 11 19 5
5 15 Cambuur 6 0 6 1.5 3.0 1 1 4 9 18 4
6 3 Feyenoord 6 1 5 3.3 1.2 4 2 0 20 7 14
7 7 For Sittard 6 1 5 2.0 2.3 3 1 2 12 14 10
8 8 Go Ahead Eagles 6 1 5 2.5 2.2 2 3 1 15 13 9
9 9 Groningen 6 1 5 2.0 2.2 2 2 2 12 13 8
10 12 Sparta Rotterdam 6 1 5 1.7 2.2 1 2 3 10 13 5
11 5 Ajax 5 1 4 2.8 1.2 3 1 1 14 6 10
12 13 Telstar 6 2 4 0.8 1.8 1 2 3 5 11 5
13 16 Zwolle 6 2 4 1.0 2.8 1 1 4 6 17 4
14 17 Willem II 5 1 4 1.0 2.8 0 2 3 5 14 2
15 18 Den Haag 6 2 4 1.0 2.7 0 1 5 6 16 1
16 2 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 3 2.8 1.0 5 1 0 17 6 16
17 4 Twente 6 3 3 2.0 0.8 4 1 1 12 5 13
18 11 Heerenveen 6 3 3 1.2 1.5 1 3 2 7 9 6
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Cambuur 4 0 4 1.5 3.2 1 0 3 6 13 3
2 1 PSV Eindhoven 3 0 3 3.7 1.3 2 1 0 11 4 7
3 6 Excelsior 3 0 3 1.3 1.7 1 0 2 4 5 3
4 9 Groningen 3 0 3 2.0 2.0 1 1 1 6 6 4
5 10 Nijmegen 3 0 3 1.3 2.3 0 1 2 4 7 1
6 13 Telstar 3 0 3 1.0 3.0 0 1 2 3 9 1
7 14 Utrecht 3 0 3 1.7 4.3 0 1 2 5 13 1
8 17 Willem II 3 0 3 1.0 3.0 0 1 2 3 9 1
9 3 Feyenoord 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 0 2 0 4 4 2
10 5 Ajax 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 0 1 1 3 5 1
11 7 For Sittard 3 1 2 1.3 2.7 1 0 2 4 8 3
12 8 Go Ahead Eagles 3 1 2 2.7 1.0 2 1 0 8 3 7
13 12 Sparta Rotterdam 3 1 2 1.7 2.0 0 2 1 5 6 2
14 16 Zwolle 3 1 2 0.3 4.0 0 0 3 1 12 0
15 18 Den Haag 2 0 2 1.5 3.5 0 0 2 3 7 0
16 2 AZ Alkmaar 3 2 1 2.7 1.0 2 1 0 8 3 7
17 4 Twente 3 2 1 2.0 0.3 3 0 0 6 1 9
18 11 Heerenveen 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 1 1 2 3 5 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 3 0 3 3.7 1.0 3 0 0 11 3 9
2 3 Feyenoord 4 1 3 4.0 0.8 4 0 0 16 3 12
3 6 Excelsior 3 0 3 3.0 0.7 2 1 0 9 2 7
4 7 For Sittard 3 0 3 2.7 2.0 2 1 0 8 6 7
5 8 Go Ahead Eagles 3 0 3 2.3 3.3 0 2 1 7 10 2
6 10 Nijmegen 3 0 3 2.3 1.7 2 0 1 7 5 6
7 12 Sparta Rotterdam 3 0 3 1.7 2.3 1 0 2 5 7 3
8 14 Utrecht 3 0 3 2.0 2.0 1 1 1 6 6 4
9 2 AZ Alkmaar 3 1 2 3.0 1.0 3 0 0 9 3 9
10 4 Twente 3 1 2 2.0 1.3 1 1 1 6 4 4
11 5 Ajax 3 1 2 3.7 0.3 3 0 0 11 1 9
12 9 Groningen 3 1 2 2.0 2.3 1 1 1 6 7 4
13 11 Heerenveen 2 0 2 2.0 2.0 0 2 0 4 4 2
14 15 Cambuur 2 0 2 1.5 2.5 0 1 1 3 5 1
15 16 Zwolle 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
16 18 Den Haag 4 2 2 0.8 2.2 0 1 3 3 9 1
17 13 Telstar 3 2 1 0.7 0.7 1 1 1 2 2 4
18 17 Willem II 2 1 1 1.0 2.5 0 1 1 2 5 1

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44