Ajax 1–1 Nijmegen – Netherlands Eredivisie, 21 Feb 2026

Match facts

Ajax Nijmegen

9 Shots 18

4 Shots on target 9

6 Corners 7

7 Fouls 16

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (210 league matches this season so far).

Result Ajax to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.41

Expected goals 2.06 – 1.67

Home / Draw / Away

47% 21% 32%

AjaxDrawNijmegen

Under / Over 2.5 goals

28% 72%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

29% 71%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

2% 0

9% 1

17% 2

21% 3

19% 4

32% 5+

Most likely scores

2–1 8.5% 1–1 8.2% 2–2 7.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Ajax before this match, all matches

1.83points / match

2.00scored / match

1.30conceded / match

11 9 3

WonDrawnLost 23 played · 46:30

Nijmegen before this match, all matches

1.83points / match

2.52scored / match

1.70conceded / match

12 6 5

WonDrawnLost 23 played · 58:39

Ajax all matches all matches Nijmegen

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 2.52

1.30 Goals conceded 1.70

3.30 Total goals 4.22

15.52 Shots 15.78

6.39 Shots on target 6.65

13.13 Shots faced 11.74

5.04 Corners 5.22

4.57 Corners against 4.22

10.48 Fouls 11.96

1.70 Yellow cards 1.87

1.13 1st-half goals scored 0.91

0.61 1st-half goals conceded 0.91

How often Full Time

48% Wins 52%

39% Draws 26%

13% Losses 22%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

100% Over 1.5 goals 96%

61% Over 2.5 goals 83%

48% Over 3.5 goals 70%

17% Over 4.5 goals 43%

4% Over 5.5 goals 17%

74% Both teams scored 83%

22% Clean sheets 13%

4% Failed to score 4%

How often Half Time

52% Wins 35%

26% Draws 35%

22% Losses 30%

96% Over 0.5 goals 91%

57% Over 1.5 goals 61%

13% Over 2.5 goals 26%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax all matches

2

W

3

1

W

2

W

2

D

3

2

W

2

D

2

W

2

D

1

D

4

1

W

Nijmegen all matches

3

1

W

3

2

W

2

D

2

D

4

3

W

2

1

W

3

1

W

4

1

W

1

3

L

1

D

Ajax before this match, at home

2.17points / match

1.92scored / match

0.83conceded / match

8 2 2

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 23:10

Nijmegen before this match, away

1.58points / match

2.33scored / match

1.83conceded / match

5 4 3

WonDrawnLost 12 played · 28:22

Ajax at home away Nijmegen

Per match

1.92 Goals scored 2.33

0.83 Goals conceded 1.83

2.75 Total goals 4.17

17.00 Shots 15.75

7.08 Shots on target 7.08

11.92 Shots faced 12.17

5.58 Corners 4.92

4.25 Corners against 4.58

10.75 Fouls 13.50

1.33 Yellow cards 2.08

1.25 1st-half goals scored 0.83

0.42 1st-half goals conceded 0.92

How often Full Time

67% Wins 42%

17% Draws 33%

17% Losses 25%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

100% Over 1.5 goals 92%

42% Over 2.5 goals 75%

25% Over 3.5 goals 75%

8% Over 4.5 goals 50%

0% Over 5.5 goals 17%

50% Both teams scored 92%

42% Clean sheets 0%

8% Failed to score 8%

How often Half Time

75% Wins 25%

8% Draws 42%

17% Losses 33%

100% Over 0.5 goals 92%

50% Over 1.5 goals 58%

8% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax at home

3

1

W

2

1

W

2

L

1

D

1

2

L

2

W

2

W

2

D

2

W

4

1

W

Nijmegen away

2

3

L

1

D

2

D

1

L

4

2

W

3

2

W

2

D

4

3

W

3

1

W

1

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Ajax all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.02.26	Ajax – For Sittard	4–1 (3–1)	1.36	5.00	8.00	1.53	2.40
08.02.26	AZ Alkmaar – Ajax	1–1 (0–0)	2.20	3.80	3.00	1.57	2.35
01.02.26	Excelsior – Ajax	2–2 (0–2)	4.20	3.90	1.75	1.57	2.35
24.01.26	Ajax – Volendam	2–0 (2–0)	1.30	6.50	8.00	1.36	3.10
17.01.26	Ajax – Go Ahead Eagles	2–2 (2–0)	1.48	4.50	6.25	1.40	2.88
11.01.26	Telstar – Ajax	2–3 (0–2)	3.80	4.00	1.85	1.57	2.35
20.12.25	Nijmegen – Ajax	2–2 (1–2)	2.30	4.00	2.63	1.48	2.60
14.12.25	Ajax – Feyenoord	2–0 (1–0)	3.00	3.90	2.15	1.53	2.40
06.12.25	For Sittard – Ajax	1–3 (1–1)	4.33	3.90	1.75	1.65	2.20
02.12.25	Ajax – Groningen	2–0 (1–0)	1.67	4.20	4.33	1.67	2.15

Nijmegen all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.02.26	Sparta Rotterdam – Nijmegen	1–1 (0–0)	2.63	3.60	2.50	1.57	2.35
11.02.26	Nijmegen – Utrecht	1–3 (0–2)	1.73	3.90	4.75	1.62	2.25
07.02.26	Nijmegen – Heracles	4–1 (2–1)	1.44	4.75	6.25	1.40	2.88
31.01.26	AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen	1–3 (1–2)	1.80	4.10	3.90	1.44	2.70
24.01.26	Nijmegen – Zwolle	2–1 (1–1)	1.48	4.50	6.50	1.44	2.70
17.01.26	NAC Breda – Nijmegen	3–4 (1–2)	3.00	3.60	2.25	1.60	2.30
20.12.25	Nijmegen – Ajax	2–2 (1–2)	2.30	4.00	2.63	1.48	2.60
13.12.25	Telstar – Nijmegen	2–2 (1–1)	3.50	4.00	1.90	1.44	2.70
07.12.25	Volendam – Nijmegen	2–3 (1–0)	4.00	4.00	1.80	1.44	2.70
29.11.25	Nijmegen – Sparta Rotterdam	3–1 (2–0)	1.62	4.33	4.75	1.48	2.60

Ajax at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.02.26	Ajax – For Sittard	4–1 (3–1)	1.36	5.00	8.00	1.53	2.40
24.01.26	Ajax – Volendam	2–0 (2–0)	1.30	6.50	8.00	1.36	3.10
17.01.26	Ajax – Go Ahead Eagles	2–2 (2–0)	1.48	4.50	6.25	1.40	2.88
14.12.25	Ajax – Feyenoord	2–0 (1–0)	3.00	3.90	2.15	1.53	2.40
02.12.25	Ajax – Groningen	2–0 (1–0)	1.67	4.20	4.33	1.67	2.15
22.11.25	Ajax – Excelsior	1–2 (0–1)	1.38	5.50	7.00	1.44	2.70
01.11.25	Ajax – Heerenveen	1–1 (1–0)	1.57	4.50	5.00	1.44	2.70
18.10.25	Ajax – AZ Alkmaar	0–2 (0–2)	2.00	3.90	3.40	1.57	2.35
27.09.25	Ajax – NAC Breda	2–1 (1–1)	1.27	6.00	9.50	1.36	3.10
13.09.25	Ajax – Zwolle	3–1 (2–0)	1.25	6.00	11.00	1.48	2.60

Nijmegen away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
17.02.26	Sparta Rotterdam – Nijmegen	1–1 (0–0)	2.63	3.60	2.50	1.57	2.35
31.01.26	AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen	1–3 (1–2)	1.80	4.10	3.90	1.44	2.70
17.01.26	NAC Breda – Nijmegen	3–4 (1–2)	3.00	3.60	2.25	1.60	2.30
13.12.25	Telstar – Nijmegen	2–2 (1–1)	3.50	4.00	1.90	1.44	2.70
07.12.25	Volendam – Nijmegen	2–3 (1–0)	4.00	4.00	1.80	1.44	2.70
23.11.25	Feyenoord – Nijmegen	2–4 (1–1)	1.40	5.00	7.00	1.36	3.10
02.11.25	Utrecht – Nijmegen	1–0 (1–0)	2.15	3.60	3.25	1.65	2.20
25.10.25	Zwolle – Nijmegen	2–2 (1–1)	3.20	3.75	2.10	1.53	2.40
05.10.25	Go Ahead Eagles – Nijmegen	1–1 (0–1)	2.55	4.00	2.50	1.44	2.70
21.09.25	Heerenveen – Nijmegen	3–2 (1–0)	2.55	3.60	2.63	1.48	2.60

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

5 3 1

Ajax winsDrawsNijmegen wins

9matches

2.89goals / match

67%over 2.5

56%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
20.12.25N1	Nijmegen – Ajax	2–2 (1–2)	2.30	4.00	2.63	1.48	2.60
11.05.25N1	Ajax – Nijmegen	0–3 (0–0)	1.30	5.50	9.00	1.48	2.60
01.12.24N1	Nijmegen – Ajax	1–2 (1–1)	4.33	4.00	1.70	1.67	2.15
18.02.24N1	Ajax – Nijmegen	2–2 (1–0)	1.40	5.50	6.00	1.36	3.10
03.12.23N1	Nijmegen – Ajax	1–2 (0–0)	4.33	4.33	1.70	1.44	2.70
05.03.23N1	Ajax – Nijmegen	1–0 (0–0)	1.22	6.50	11.00	1.40	2.88
08.01.23N1	Nijmegen – Ajax	1–1 (0–1)	6.50	6.00	1.36	1.44	2.70
23.04.22N1	Nijmegen – Ajax	0–1 (0–0)	13.00	7.00	1.20	1.36	3.10
14.08.21N1	Ajax – Nijmegen	5–0 (5–0)	1.10	9.00	17.00	1.28	3.60

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	PSV Eindhoven	24	20	2	2	70	29	+41	62
2	Feyenoord	23	14	3	6	53	32	+21	45
3	Nijmegen	23	12	6	5	58	39	+19	42
4	Ajax	23	11	9	3	46	30	+16	42
5	Sparta Rotterdam	23	11	4	8	30	37	-7	37
6	AZ Alkmaar	23	10	6	7	39	37	+2	36
7	Twente	23	8	11	4	37	25	+12	35
8	Groningen	23	9	4	10	30	30	0	31
9	Heerenveen	24	8	7	9	40	42	-2	31
10	Utrecht	23	8	6	9	35	30	+5	30
11	For Sittard	24	8	5	11	36	43	-7	29
12	Excelsior	24	7	5	12	26	41	-15	26
13	Zwolle	23	7	5	11	33	49	-16	26
14	Volendam	24	6	6	12	26	39	-13	24
15	Go Ahead Eagles	23	4	11	8	33	39	-6	23
16	NAC Breda	24	5	7	12	25	36	-11	22
17	Telstar	23	3	9	11	27	39	-12	18
18	Heracles	23	5	2	16	31	58	-27	17

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	PSV Eindhoven	12	9	2	1	39	17	+22	29
2	Ajax	12	8	2	2	23	10	+13	26
3	Feyenoord	12	8	1	3	30	18	+12	25
4	Nijmegen	11	7	2	2	30	17	+13	23
5	For Sittard	12	6	3	3	21	18	+3	21
6	Twente	11	5	4	2	18	11	+7	19
7	Volendam	12	5	4	3	19	15	+4	19
8	Zwolle	11	6	1	4	15	15	0	19
9	Sparta Rotterdam	12	5	3	4	14	19	-5	18
10	Utrecht	11	5	2	4	18	11	+7	17
11	AZ Alkmaar	11	4	5	2	22	20	+2	17
12	Heerenveen	12	4	5	3	22	21	+1	17
13	Groningen	12	4	3	5	17	13	+4	15
14	Go Ahead Eagles	11	3	6	2	17	16	+1	15
15	NAC Breda	13	4	3	6	15	18	-3	15
16	Excelsior	12	4	2	6	13	16	-3	14
17	Heracles	11	4	1	6	20	25	-5	13
18	Telstar	12	1	5	6	18	24	-6	8

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	PSV Eindhoven	12	11	0	1	31	12	+19	33
2	Feyenoord	11	6	2	3	23	14	+9	20
3	Nijmegen	12	5	4	3	28	22	+6	19
4	AZ Alkmaar	12	6	1	5	17	17	0	19
5	Sparta Rotterdam	11	6	1	4	16	18	-2	19
6	Twente	12	3	7	2	19	14	+5	16
7	Ajax	11	3	7	1	23	20	+3	16
8	Groningen	11	5	1	5	13	17	-4	16
9	Heerenveen	12	4	2	6	18	21	-3	14
10	Utrecht	12	3	4	5	17	19	-2	13
11	Excelsior	12	3	3	6	13	25	-12	12
12	Telstar	11	2	4	5	9	15	-6	10
13	Go Ahead Eagles	12	1	5	6	16	23	-7	8
14	For Sittard	12	2	2	8	15	25	-10	8
15	NAC Breda	11	1	4	6	10	18	-8	7
16	Zwolle	12	1	4	7	18	34	-16	7
17	Volendam	12	1	2	9	7	24	-17	5
18	Heracles	12	1	1	10	11	33	-22	4

Ajax Nijmegen

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	PSV Eindhoven	24	4	20	2.9	1.2	20	2	2	70	29	62
2	3	Nijmegen	23	4	19	2.5	1.7	12	6	5	58	39	42
3	9	Heerenveen	24	7	17	1.7	1.8	8	7	9	40	42	31
4	18	Heracles	23	6	17	1.3	2.5	5	2	16	31	58	17
5	11	For Sittard	24	8	16	1.5	1.8	8	5	11	36	43	29
6	13	Zwolle	23	7	16	1.4	2.1	7	5	11	33	49	26
7	2	Feyenoord	23	8	15	2.3	1.4	14	3	6	53	32	45
8	6	AZ Alkmaar	23	8	15	1.7	1.6	10	6	7	39	37	36
9	12	Excelsior	24	9	15	1.1	1.7	7	5	12	26	41	26
10	14	Volendam	24	9	15	1.1	1.6	6	6	12	26	39	24
11	4	Ajax	23	9	14	2.0	1.3	11	9	3	46	30	42
12	15	Go Ahead Eagles	23	9	14	1.4	1.7	4	11	8	33	39	23
13	10	Utrecht	23	10	13	1.5	1.3	8	6	9	35	30	30
14	16	NAC Breda	24	12	12	1.0	1.5	5	7	12	25	36	22
15	5	Sparta Rotterdam	23	12	11	1.3	1.6	11	4	8	30	37	37
16	8	Groningen	23	12	11	1.3	1.3	9	4	10	30	30	31
17	17	Telstar	23	12	11	1.2	1.7	3	9	11	27	39	18
18	7	Twente	23	14	9	1.6	1.1	8	11	4	37	25	35

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	PSV Eindhoven	12	1	11	3.2	1.4	9	2	1	39	17	29
2	3	Nijmegen	11	1	10	2.7	1.5	7	2	2	30	17	23
3	6	AZ Alkmaar	11	3	8	2.0	1.8	4	5	2	22	20	17
4	9	Heerenveen	12	4	8	1.8	1.8	4	5	3	22	21	17
5	11	For Sittard	12	4	8	1.8	1.5	6	3	3	21	18	21
6	14	Volendam	12	4	8	1.6	1.2	5	4	3	19	15	19
7	17	Telstar	12	4	8	1.5	2.0	1	5	6	18	24	8
8	18	Heracles	11	3	8	1.8	2.3	4	1	6	20	25	13
9	2	Feyenoord	12	5	7	2.5	1.5	8	1	3	30	18	25
10	8	Groningen	12	5	7	1.4	1.1	4	3	5	17	13	15
11	12	Excelsior	12	5	7	1.1	1.3	4	2	6	13	16	14
12	15	Go Ahead Eagles	11	4	7	1.5	1.5	3	6	2	17	16	15
13	10	Utrecht	11	5	6	1.6	1.0	5	2	4	18	11	17
14	13	Zwolle	11	5	6	1.4	1.4	6	1	4	15	15	19
15	16	NAC Breda	13	7	6	1.2	1.4	4	3	6	15	18	15
16	4	Ajax	12	7	5	1.9	0.8	8	2	2	23	10	26
17	5	Sparta Rotterdam	12	7	5	1.2	1.6	5	3	4	14	19	18
18	7	Twente	11	6	5	1.6	1.0	5	4	2	18	11	19

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	Zwolle	12	2	10	1.5	2.8	1	4	7	18	34	7
2	1	PSV Eindhoven	12	3	9	2.6	1.0	11	0	1	31	12	33
3	3	Nijmegen	12	3	9	2.3	1.8	5	4	3	28	22	19
4	4	Ajax	11	2	9	2.1	1.8	3	7	1	23	20	16
5	9	Heerenveen	12	3	9	1.5	1.8	4	2	6	18	21	14
6	18	Heracles	12	3	9	0.9	2.8	1	1	10	11	33	4
7	2	Feyenoord	11	3	8	2.1	1.3	6	2	3	23	14	20
8	11	For Sittard	12	4	8	1.2	2.1	2	2	8	15	25	8
9	12	Excelsior	12	4	8	1.1	2.1	3	3	6	13	25	12
10	6	AZ Alkmaar	12	5	7	1.4	1.4	6	1	5	17	17	19
11	10	Utrecht	12	5	7	1.4	1.6	3	4	5	17	19	13
12	14	Volendam	12	5	7	0.6	2.0	1	2	9	7	24	5
13	15	Go Ahead Eagles	12	5	7	1.3	1.9	1	5	6	16	23	8
14	5	Sparta Rotterdam	11	5	6	1.5	1.6	6	1	4	16	18	19
15	16	NAC Breda	11	5	6	0.9	1.6	1	4	6	10	18	7
16	7	Twente	12	8	4	1.6	1.2	3	7	2	19	14	16
17	8	Groningen	11	7	4	1.2	1.5	5	1	5	13	17	16
18	17	Telstar	11	8	3	0.8	1.4	2	4	5	9	15	10

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.