Groningen 2–3 Excelsior – Netherlands Eredivisie, 2 May 2026

Match facts

Groningen Excelsior

12 Shots 18

5 Shots on target 9

5 Corners 8

5 Fouls 10

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (280 league matches this season so far).

Result Groningen to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.81

Expected goals 1.80 – 1.09

Home / Draw / Away

54% 23% 23%

GroningenDrawExcelsior

Under / Over 2.5 goals

45% 55%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

45% 55%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

16% 1

23% 2

22% 3

16% 4

17% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 10.9% 1–0 10% 2–1 9.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Groningen before this match, all matches

1.35points / match

1.39scored / match

1.29conceded / match

12 6 13

WonDrawnLost 31 played · 43:40

Excelsior before this match, all matches

1.00points / match

1.16scored / match

1.65conceded / match

8 7 16

WonDrawnLost 31 played · 36:51

Groningen all matches all matches Excelsior

Per match

1.39 Goals scored 1.16

1.29 Goals conceded 1.65

2.68 Total goals 2.81

16.19 Shots 12.29

5.81 Shots on target 4.16

11.52 Shots faced 14.90

6.35 Corners 4.00

4.68 Corners against 5.42

10.90 Fouls 12.35

1.77 Yellow cards 1.32

0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.58

0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

39% Wins 26%

19% Draws 23%

42% Losses 52%

94% Over 0.5 goals 97%

87% Over 1.5 goals 81%

52% Over 2.5 goals 61%

23% Over 3.5 goals 26%

10% Over 4.5 goals 13%

3% Over 5.5 goals 3%

52% Both teams scored 61%

32% Clean sheets 19%

23% Failed to score 23%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 32%

55% Draws 35%

19% Losses 32%

65% Over 0.5 goals 74%

32% Over 1.5 goals 32%

10% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Groningen all matches

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

2

3

L

3

1

W

1

D

3

W

2

W

D

1

3

L

Excelsior all matches

2

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

D

2

L

2

D

5

W

Groningen before this match, at home

1.47points / match

1.53scored / match

0.93conceded / match

6 4 5

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 23:14

Excelsior before this match, away

0.93points / match

1.13scored / match

2.00conceded / match

3 5 7

WonDrawnLost 15 played · 17:30

Groningen at home away Excelsior

Per match

1.53 Goals scored 1.13

0.93 Goals conceded 2.00

2.47 Total goals 3.13

17.33 Shots 11.40

5.33 Shots on target 3.87

10.60 Shots faced 15.00

7.13 Corners 3.87

4.73 Corners against 6.40

9.87 Fouls 13.33

1.47 Yellow cards 1.33

0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.60

0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.87

How often Full Time

40% Wins 20%

27% Draws 33%

33% Losses 47%

87% Over 0.5 goals 93%

80% Over 1.5 goals 93%

60% Over 2.5 goals 67%

20% Over 3.5 goals 33%

0% Over 4.5 goals 20%

0% Over 5.5 goals 7%

47% Both teams scored 73%

40% Clean sheets 13%

27% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 27%

53% Draws 33%

13% Losses 40%

67% Over 0.5 goals 80%

33% Over 1.5 goals 40%

13% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Groningen at home

1

D

2

D

3

W

D

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

3

1

W

3

W

D

Excelsior away

2

D

2

1

W

1

5

L

1

D

2

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

D

2

D

Last 10 matches before this match

Groningen all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
25.04.26	Feyenoord – Groningen	3–1 (2–0)	1.62	4.50	4.33	1.48	2.60
11.04.26	Groningen – Go Ahead Eagles	0–0 (0–0)	1.85	4.00	3.80	1.53	2.40
04.04.26	Telstar – Groningen	0–2 (0–1)	2.63	3.60	2.55	1.57	2.35
22.03.26	Groningen – AZ Alkmaar	3–0 (1–0)	2.55	3.70	2.55	1.60	2.30
13.03.26	Zwolle – Groningen	1–1 (0–0)	2.70	3.60	2.50	1.62	2.25
07.03.26	Groningen – Ajax	3–1 (1–1)	2.80	3.60	2.45	1.62	2.25
01.03.26	Volendam – Groningen	3–2 (1–1)	3.75	3.60	1.95	1.70	2.10
22.02.26	Twente – Groningen	2–1 (1–1)	1.53	4.20	6.00	1.67	2.15
14.02.26	Groningen – Utrecht	1–2 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	3.80	2.00	1.80
08.02.26	Groningen – PSV Eindhoven	1–2 (1–0)	3.80	4.33	1.80	1.50	2.50

Excelsior all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.04.26	Excelsior – Utrecht	5–0 (2–0)	3.20	3.50	2.20	1.75	2.05
12.04.26	Zwolle – Excelsior	2–2 (1–1)	2.20	3.70	3.10	1.62	2.25
04.04.26	Excelsior – Nijmegen	0–2 (0–1)	3.50	4.00	1.95	1.50	2.50
20.03.26	Heracles – Excelsior	1–1 (1–0)	2.70	3.30	2.70	1.73	2.08
15.03.26	Feyenoord – Excelsior	2–1 (0–1)	1.30	6.00	8.00	1.40	2.88
07.03.26	Excelsior – Heerenveen	1–2 (0–1)	2.80	3.75	2.30	1.65	2.20
01.03.26	Excelsior – Go Ahead Eagles	0–1 (0–0)	2.45	3.50	2.80	1.70	2.10
20.02.26	For Sittard – Excelsior	2–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.60	3.10	1.75	2.05
14.02.26	Excelsior – AZ Alkmaar	1–2 (1–0)	3.40	3.70	2.00	1.65	2.20
06.02.26	NAC Breda – Excelsior	0–2 (0–2)	1.83	3.70	4.20	1.80	2.00

Groningen at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.04.26	Groningen – Go Ahead Eagles	0–0 (0–0)	1.85	4.00	3.80	1.53	2.40
22.03.26	Groningen – AZ Alkmaar	3–0 (1–0)	2.55	3.70	2.55	1.60	2.30
07.03.26	Groningen – Ajax	3–1 (1–1)	2.80	3.60	2.45	1.62	2.25
14.02.26	Groningen – Utrecht	1–2 (0–0)	2.00	3.40	3.80	2.00	1.80
08.02.26	Groningen – PSV Eindhoven	1–2 (1–0)	3.80	4.33	1.80	1.50	2.50
25.01.26	Groningen – For Sittard	1–2 (1–2)	1.60	4.00	5.50	1.70	2.10
10.01.26	Groningen – NAC Breda	0–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.90	4.75	1.80	2.00
13.12.25	Groningen – Volendam	3–0 (1–0)	1.44	4.33	7.00	1.53	2.40
23.11.25	Groningen – Zwolle	2–2 (1–1)	1.55	4.00	6.00	1.73	2.08
02.11.25	Groningen – Twente	1–1 (0–0)	2.75	3.50	2.45	1.85	1.95

Excelsior away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.04.26	Zwolle – Excelsior	2–2 (1–1)	2.20	3.70	3.10	1.62	2.25
20.03.26	Heracles – Excelsior	1–1 (1–0)	2.70	3.30	2.70	1.73	2.08
15.03.26	Feyenoord – Excelsior	2–1 (0–1)	1.30	6.00	8.00	1.40	2.88
20.02.26	For Sittard – Excelsior	2–1 (1–0)	2.25	3.60	3.10	1.75	2.05
06.02.26	NAC Breda – Excelsior	0–2 (0–2)	1.83	3.70	4.20	1.80	2.00
24.01.26	Twente – Excelsior	0–0 (0–0)	1.33	5.50	8.50	1.48	2.60
21.01.26	AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior	1–1 (0–0)	1.30	6.00	8.50	1.36	3.10
10.01.26	PSV Eindhoven – Excelsior	5–1 (4–1)	1.14	8.50	15.00	1.25	4.00
22.11.25	Ajax – Excelsior	1–2 (0–1)	1.38	5.50	7.00	1.44	2.70
01.11.25	Telstar – Excelsior	2–2 (2–1)	2.25	3.60	2.90	1.67	2.15

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1

Groningen winsDrawsExcelsior wins

3matches

2.00goals / match

33%over 2.5

0%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
05.12.25N1	Excelsior – Groningen	0–2 (0–0)	3.40	3.50	2.10	1.85	1.95
25.02.23N1	Groningen – Excelsior	3–0 (1–0)	1.85	3.80	4.00	1.75	2.05
08.01.23N1	Excelsior – Groningen	1–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.40	2.60	1.60	2.30

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	PSV Eindhoven	31	25	2	4	90	41	+49	77
2	Feyenoord	31	17	7	7	65	42	+23	58
3	Nijmegen	31	15	10	6	73	49	+24	55
4	Ajax	31	14	12	5	59	37	+22	54
5	Twente	31	14	12	5	52	33	+19	54
6	AZ Alkmaar	31	14	7	10	52	45	+7	49
7	Utrecht	32	13	8	11	51	41	+10	47
8	Heerenveen	31	13	8	10	55	51	+4	47
9	Groningen	31	12	6	13	43	40	+3	42
10	Sparta Rotterdam	31	12	6	13	36	53	-17	42
11	Go Ahead Eagles	31	8	13	10	50	45	+5	37
12	For Sittard	31	10	6	15	45	57	-12	36
13	Zwolle	31	8	10	13	41	66	-25	34
14	Excelsior	31	8	7	16	36	51	-15	31
15	Volendam	31	8	7	16	33	50	-17	31
16	Telstar	31	7	9	15	43	53	-10	30
17	NAC Breda	32	5	10	17	30	55	-25	25
18	Heracles	31	5	4	22	34	79	-45	19

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	PSV Eindhoven	16	12	2	2	53	25	+28	38
2	Feyenoord	16	11	2	3	38	22	+16	35
3	Ajax	15	9	3	3	29	13	+16	30
4	Utrecht	16	9	3	4	29	13	+16	30
5	AZ Alkmaar	15	8	5	2	34	21	+13	29
6	Heerenveen	16	8	5	3	33	24	+9	29
7	Twente	16	8	5	3	25	16	+9	29
8	Nijmegen	15	8	4	3	38	23	+15	28
9	Go Ahead Eagles	16	6	7	3	33	20	+13	25
10	Zwolle	15	7	4	4	20	19	+1	25
11	Volendam	15	6	5	4	23	19	+4	23
12	Groningen	15	6	4	5	23	14	+9	22
13	For Sittard	15	6	4	5	24	25	-1	22
14	Sparta Rotterdam	15	6	4	5	17	22	-5	22
15	Telstar	16	4	5	7	28	28	0	17
16	Excelsior	16	5	2	9	19	21	-2	17
17	NAC Breda	16	4	5	7	18	23	-5	17
18	Heracles	16	4	3	9	22	34	-12	15

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	PSV Eindhoven	15	13	0	2	37	16	+21	39
2	Nijmegen	16	7	6	3	35	26	+9	27
3	Twente	15	6	7	2	27	17	+10	25
4	Ajax	16	5	9	2	30	24	+6	24
5	Feyenoord	15	6	5	4	27	20	+7	23
6	Groningen	16	6	2	8	20	26	-6	20
7	AZ Alkmaar	16	6	2	8	18	24	-6	20
8	Sparta Rotterdam	16	6	2	8	19	31	-12	20
9	Heerenveen	15	5	3	7	22	27	-5	18
10	Utrecht	16	4	5	7	22	28	-6	17
11	For Sittard	16	4	2	10	21	32	-11	14
12	Excelsior	15	3	5	7	17	30	-13	14
13	Telstar	15	3	4	8	15	25	-10	13
14	Go Ahead Eagles	15	2	6	7	17	25	-8	12
15	Zwolle	16	1	6	9	21	47	-26	9
16	NAC Breda	16	1	5	10	12	32	-20	8
17	Volendam	16	2	2	12	10	31	-21	8
18	Heracles	15	1	1	13	12	45	-33	4

Groningen Excelsior

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	PSV Eindhoven	31	5	26	2.9	1.3	25	2	4	90	41	77
2	8	Heerenveen	31	7	24	1.8	1.6	13	8	10	55	51	47
3	3	Nijmegen	31	8	23	2.4	1.6	15	10	6	73	49	55
4	18	Heracles	31	9	22	1.1	2.5	5	4	22	34	79	19
5	12	For Sittard	31	10	21	1.5	1.8	10	6	15	45	57	36
6	6	AZ Alkmaar	31	11	20	1.7	1.5	14	7	10	52	45	49
7	13	Zwolle	31	11	20	1.3	2.1	8	10	13	41	66	34
8	2	Feyenoord	31	12	19	2.1	1.4	17	7	7	65	42	58
9	14	Excelsior	31	12	19	1.2	1.6	8	7	16	36	51	31
10	15	Volendam	31	12	19	1.1	1.6	8	7	16	33	50	31
11	4	Ajax	31	13	18	1.9	1.2	14	12	5	59	37	54
12	11	Go Ahead Eagles	31	13	18	1.6	1.5	8	13	10	50	45	37
13	16	Telstar	31	13	18	1.4	1.7	7	9	15	43	53	30
14	7	Utrecht	32	16	16	1.6	1.3	13	8	11	51	41	47
15	9	Groningen	31	15	16	1.4	1.3	12	6	13	43	40	42
16	17	NAC Breda	32	16	16	0.9	1.7	5	10	17	30	55	25
17	10	Sparta Rotterdam	31	16	15	1.2	1.7	12	6	13	36	53	42
18	5	Twente	31	17	14	1.7	1.1	14	12	5	52	33	54

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	1	PSV Eindhoven	16	1	15	3.3	1.6	12	2	2	53	25	38
2	3	Nijmegen	15	2	13	2.5	1.5	8	4	3	38	23	28
3	8	Heerenveen	16	4	12	2.1	1.5	8	5	3	33	24	29
4	6	AZ Alkmaar	15	4	11	2.3	1.4	8	5	2	34	21	29
5	11	Go Ahead Eagles	16	5	11	2.1	1.2	6	7	3	33	20	25
6	16	Telstar	16	5	11	1.8	1.8	4	5	7	28	28	17
7	2	Feyenoord	16	6	10	2.4	1.4	11	2	3	38	22	35
8	12	For Sittard	15	5	10	1.6	1.7	6	4	5	24	25	22
9	15	Volendam	15	5	10	1.5	1.3	6	5	4	23	19	23
10	18	Heracles	16	6	10	1.4	2.1	4	3	9	22	34	15
11	9	Groningen	15	6	9	1.5	0.9	6	4	5	23	14	22
12	14	Excelsior	16	7	9	1.2	1.3	5	2	9	19	21	17
13	13	Zwolle	15	7	8	1.3	1.3	7	4	4	20	19	25
14	4	Ajax	15	8	7	1.9	0.9	9	3	3	29	13	30
15	5	Twente	16	9	7	1.6	1.0	8	5	3	25	16	29
16	7	Utrecht	16	9	7	1.8	0.8	9	3	4	29	13	30
17	17	NAC Breda	16	9	7	1.1	1.4	4	5	7	18	23	17
18	10	Sparta Rotterdam	15	10	5	1.1	1.5	6	4	5	17	22	22

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	8	Heerenveen	15	3	12	1.5	1.8	5	3	7	22	27	18
2	13	Zwolle	16	4	12	1.3	2.9	1	6	9	21	47	9
3	18	Heracles	15	3	12	0.8	3.0	1	1	13	12	45	4
4	1	PSV Eindhoven	15	4	11	2.5	1.1	13	0	2	37	16	39
5	4	Ajax	16	5	11	1.9	1.5	5	9	2	30	24	24
6	12	For Sittard	16	5	11	1.3	2.0	4	2	10	21	32	14
7	3	Nijmegen	16	6	10	2.2	1.6	7	6	3	35	26	27
8	10	Sparta Rotterdam	16	6	10	1.2	1.9	6	2	8	19	31	20
9	14	Excelsior	15	5	10	1.1	2.0	3	5	7	17	30	14
10	2	Feyenoord	15	6	9	1.8	1.3	6	5	4	27	20	23
11	6	AZ Alkmaar	16	7	9	1.1	1.5	6	2	8	18	24	20
12	7	Utrecht	16	7	9	1.4	1.8	4	5	7	22	28	17
13	15	Volendam	16	7	9	0.6	1.9	2	2	12	10	31	8
14	17	NAC Breda	16	7	9	0.8	2.0	1	5	10	12	32	8
15	5	Twente	15	8	7	1.8	1.1	6	7	2	27	17	25
16	9	Groningen	16	9	7	1.2	1.6	6	2	8	20	26	20
17	11	Go Ahead Eagles	15	8	7	1.1	1.7	2	6	7	17	25	12
18	16	Telstar	15	8	7	1.0	1.7	3	4	8	15	25	13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.