Loading...
BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Excelsior 2–2 Ajax

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2025/2026

Home 4.20 fair 3.04
Draw ✓ 3.90 fair 4.27
Away 1.75 fair 2.29
Under 2.5 2.35 fair 2.56
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.57 fair 1.64

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Excelsior Ajax
11 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
4 Corners 1
12 Fouls 5
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (182 league matches this season so far).
Result Ajax to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.60
Expected goals 1.45 – 1.70
Home / Draw / Away
ExcelsiorDrawAjax
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10.6% 1–2 9% 2–1 7.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Excelsior before this match, all matches
1.10points / match
1.00scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 20:35
Ajax before this match, all matches
1.85points / match
1.95scored / match
1.30conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 39:26
Excelsior all matches all matches Ajax

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.95
1.75 Goals conceded 1.30
2.75 Total goals 3.25
11.55 Shots 15.85
3.85 Shots on target 6.70
16.20 Shots faced 13.50
4.10 Corners 5.35
5.55 Corners against 4.95
12.95 Fouls 10.65
1.55 Yellow cards 1.95
0.55 1st-half goals scored 1.05
0.65 1st-half goals conceded 0.65

How often Full Time

30% Wins 50%
20% Draws 35%
50% Losses 15%
95% Over 0.5 goals 100%
75% Over 1.5 goals 100%
60% Over 2.5 goals 60%
25% Over 3.5 goals 45%
15% Over 4.5 goals 15%
5% Over 5.5 goals 5%
60% Both teams scored 70%
20% Clean sheets 25%
25% Failed to score 5%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 50%
45% Draws 25%
25% Losses 25%
65% Over 0.5 goals 100%
30% Over 1.5 goals 55%
15% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Excelsior all matches
Ajax all matches
Excelsior before this match, at home
1.30points / match
1.00scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 10:12
Ajax before this match, away
1.56points / match
2.22scored / match
1.89conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 20:17
Excelsior at home away Ajax

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 2.22
1.20 Goals conceded 1.89
2.20 Total goals 4.11
12.20 Shots 14.78
3.90 Shots on target 6.33
17.30 Shots faced 15.00
3.80 Corners 4.89
4.80 Corners against 5.33
12.90 Fouls 10.56
1.70 Yellow cards 2.56
0.60 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.30 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

40% Wins 33%
10% Draws 56%
50% Losses 11%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 100%
50% Over 2.5 goals 89%
10% Over 3.5 goals 78%
0% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 11%
50% Both teams scored 100%
30% Clean sheets 0%
20% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 22%
50% Draws 44%
10% Losses 33%
60% Over 0.5 goals 100%
20% Over 1.5 goals 67%
10% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Excelsior at home
Ajax away

Last 10 matches before this match

Excelsior all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.26 Twente – Excelsior 0–0 (0–0) 1.335.508.50 1.48 2.60
21.01.26 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior 1–1 (0–0) 1.306.008.50 1.36 3.10
17.01.26 Excelsior – Telstar 2–2 (0–0) 2.203.503.20 1.70 2.10
10.01.26 PSV Eindhoven – Excelsior 5–1 (4–1) 1.148.5015.00 1.25 4.00
20.12.25 Excelsior – Zwolle 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.603.20 1.65 2.20
05.12.25 Excelsior – Groningen 0–2 (0–0) 3.403.502.10 1.85 1.95
29.11.25 Excelsior – NAC Breda 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.502.88 1.70 2.10
22.11.25 Ajax – Excelsior 1–2 (0–1) 1.385.507.00 1.44 2.70
08.11.25 Excelsior – Heracles 1–2 (1–0) 1.914.103.50 1.65 2.20
01.11.25 Telstar – Excelsior 2–2 (2–1) 2.253.602.90 1.67 2.15

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.26 Ajax – Volendam 2–0 (2–0) 1.306.508.00 1.36 3.10
17.01.26 Ajax – Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 (2–0) 1.484.506.25 1.40 2.88
11.01.26 Telstar – Ajax 2–3 (0–2) 3.804.001.85 1.57 2.35
20.12.25 Nijmegen – Ajax 2–2 (1–2) 2.304.002.63 1.48 2.60
14.12.25 Ajax – Feyenoord 2–0 (1–0) 3.003.902.15 1.53 2.40
06.12.25 For Sittard – Ajax 1–3 (1–1) 4.333.901.75 1.65 2.20
02.12.25 Ajax – Groningen 2–0 (1–0) 1.674.204.33 1.67 2.15
22.11.25 Ajax – Excelsior 1–2 (0–1) 1.385.507.00 1.44 2.70
09.11.25 Utrecht – Ajax 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.702.45 1.62 2.25
01.11.25 Ajax – Heerenveen 1–1 (1–0) 1.574.505.00 1.44 2.70

Excelsior at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.01.26 Excelsior – Telstar 2–2 (0–0) 2.203.503.20 1.70 2.10
20.12.25 Excelsior – Zwolle 2–1 (1–0) 2.153.603.20 1.65 2.20
05.12.25 Excelsior – Groningen 0–2 (0–0) 3.403.502.10 1.85 1.95
29.11.25 Excelsior – NAC Breda 1–0 (1–0) 2.353.502.88 1.70 2.10
08.11.25 Excelsior – Heracles 1–2 (1–0) 1.914.103.50 1.65 2.20
19.10.25 Excelsior – For Sittard 1–0 (1–0) 2.303.403.10 1.73 2.08
27.09.25 Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (1–1) 9.007.001.25 1.29 3.60
14.09.25 Excelsior – Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 (0–0) 3.203.602.15 1.67 2.15
30.08.25 Excelsior – Twente 1–0 (0–0) 3.804.001.83 1.57 2.35
16.08.25 Excelsior – Feyenoord 1–2 (1–2) 5.004.501.45 1.44 2.70

Ajax away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.01.26 Telstar – Ajax 2–3 (0–2) 3.804.001.85 1.57 2.35
20.12.25 Nijmegen – Ajax 2–2 (1–2) 2.304.002.63 1.48 2.60
06.12.25 For Sittard – Ajax 1–3 (1–1) 4.333.901.75 1.65 2.20
09.11.25 Utrecht – Ajax 2–1 (1–0) 2.703.702.45 1.62 2.25
26.10.25 Twente – Ajax 2–3 (1–0) 2.353.503.00 1.65 2.20
04.10.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax 3–3 (1–1) 4.104.101.75 1.53 2.40
21.09.25 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 1.734.004.50 1.40 2.88
30.08.25 Volendam – Ajax 1–1 (1–0) 7.005.501.36 1.40 2.88
17.08.25 Go Ahead Eagles – Ajax 2–2 (2–2) 3.904.101.80 1.44 2.70
14.05.25 Groningen – Ajax 2–2 (0–1) 4.754.201.65 1.62 2.25

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Excelsior winsDrawsAjax wins
5matches
4.80goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.11.25N1 Ajax – Excelsior 1–2 (0–1) 1.385.507.00 1.44 2.70
24.04.24N1 Ajax – Excelsior 2–2 (1–1) 1.295.5010.00 1.40 2.88
19.08.23N1 Excelsior – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 10.006.501.25 1.29 3.60
29.01.23N1 Excelsior – Ajax 1–4 (1–2) 11.006.001.25 1.36 3.10
16.10.22N1 Ajax – Excelsior 7–1 (3–0) 1.0513.0029.00 1.12 6.00

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 20 17 2 1 61 25 +36 53
2 Feyenoord 20 12 3 5 51 29 +22 39
3 Nijmegen 20 11 5 4 52 34 +18 38
4 Ajax 20 10 7 3 39 26 +13 37
5 Sparta Rotterdam 21 11 2 8 27 34 -7 35
6 AZ Alkmaar 21 9 5 7 36 35 +1 32
7 Twente 21 7 10 4 31 24 +7 31
8 Groningen 21 9 4 8 28 26 +2 31
9 Zwolle 21 7 5 9 30 43 -13 26
10 For Sittard 20 7 4 9 30 34 -4 25
11 Heerenveen 19 6 6 7 31 30 +1 24
12 Utrecht 19 6 5 8 29 26 +3 23
13 Excelsior 20 6 4 10 20 35 -15 22
14 Go Ahead Eagles 19 4 9 6 30 33 -3 21
15 Volendam 20 4 5 11 21 35 -14 17
16 NAC Breda 21 3 7 11 23 34 -11 16
17 Telstar 21 3 7 11 25 37 -12 16
18 Heracles 20 4 2 14 28 52 -24 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 10 7 2 1 33 16 +17 23
2 Ajax 11 7 2 2 19 9 +10 23
3 Feyenoord 11 7 1 3 29 18 +11 22
4 Nijmegen 9 6 2 1 25 13 +12 20
5 Zwolle 10 6 1 3 14 13 +1 19
6 Utrecht 10 5 2 3 18 10 +8 17
7 For Sittard 10 5 2 3 17 15 +2 17
8 Sparta Rotterdam 11 5 2 4 13 18 -5 17
9 AZ Alkmaar 10 4 4 2 21 19 +2 16
10 Twente 10 4 4 2 13 11 +2 16
11 Groningen 10 4 3 3 15 9 +6 15
12 Volendam 10 4 3 3 16 13 +3 15
13 Go Ahead Eagles 9 3 5 1 15 12 +3 14
14 Heerenveen 10 3 4 3 17 18 -1 13
15 Excelsior 10 4 1 5 10 12 -2 13
16 NAC Breda 11 3 3 5 14 16 -2 12
17 Heracles 9 3 1 5 18 23 -5 10
18 Telstar 11 1 4 6 17 23 -6 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 10 10 0 0 28 9 +19 30
2 Nijmegen 11 5 3 3 27 21 +6 18
3 Sparta Rotterdam 10 6 0 4 14 16 -2 18
4 Feyenoord 9 5 2 2 22 11 +11 17
5 AZ Alkmaar 11 5 1 5 15 16 -1 16
6 Groningen 11 5 1 5 13 17 -4 16
7 Twente 11 3 6 2 18 13 +5 15
8 Ajax 9 3 5 1 20 17 +3 14
9 Heerenveen 9 3 2 4 14 12 +2 11
10 Telstar 10 2 3 5 8 14 -6 9
11 Excelsior 10 2 3 5 10 23 -13 9
12 For Sittard 10 2 2 6 13 19 -6 8
13 Go Ahead Eagles 10 1 4 5 15 21 -6 7
14 Zwolle 11 1 4 6 16 30 -14 7
15 Utrecht 9 1 3 5 11 16 -5 6
16 NAC Breda 10 0 4 6 9 18 -9 4
17 Heracles 11 1 1 9 10 29 -19 4
18 Volendam 10 0 2 8 5 22 -17 2

Excelsior   Ajax

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Nijmegen 20 3 17 2.6 1.7 11 5 4 52 34 38
2 1 PSV Eindhoven 20 4 16 3.0 1.2 17 2 1 61 25 53
3 18 Heracles 20 5 15 1.4 2.6 4 2 14 28 52 14
4 2 Feyenoord 20 6 14 2.5 1.4 12 3 5 51 29 39
5 6 AZ Alkmaar 21 7 14 1.7 1.7 9 5 7 36 35 32
6 9 Zwolle 21 7 14 1.4 2.0 7 5 9 30 43 26
7 11 Heerenveen 19 6 13 1.6 1.6 6 6 7 31 30 24
8 14 Go Ahead Eagles 19 6 13 1.6 1.7 4 9 6 30 33 21
9 15 Volendam 20 7 13 1.1 1.8 4 5 11 21 35 17
10 4 Ajax 20 8 12 1.9 1.3 10 7 3 39 26 37
11 10 For Sittard 20 8 12 1.5 1.7 7 4 9 30 34 25
12 13 Excelsior 20 8 12 1.0 1.8 6 4 10 20 35 22
13 16 NAC Breda 21 9 12 1.1 1.6 3 7 11 23 34 16
14 12 Utrecht 19 8 11 1.5 1.4 6 5 8 29 26 23
15 17 Telstar 21 10 11 1.2 1.8 3 7 11 25 37 16
16 5 Sparta Rotterdam 21 11 10 1.3 1.6 11 2 8 27 34 35
17 8 Groningen 21 12 9 1.3 1.2 9 4 8 28 26 31
18 7 Twente 21 13 8 1.5 1.1 7 10 4 31 24 31
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 10 1 9 3.3 1.6 7 2 1 33 16 23
2 3 Nijmegen 9 1 8 2.8 1.4 6 2 1 25 13 20
3 6 AZ Alkmaar 10 2 8 2.1 1.9 4 4 2 21 19 16
4 17 Telstar 11 3 8 1.5 2.1 1 4 6 17 23 7
5 2 Feyenoord 11 4 7 2.6 1.6 7 1 3 29 18 22
6 11 Heerenveen 10 3 7 1.7 1.8 3 4 3 17 18 13
7 15 Volendam 10 3 7 1.6 1.3 4 3 3 16 13 15
8 18 Heracles 9 2 7 2.0 2.6 3 1 5 18 23 10
9 10 For Sittard 10 4 6 1.7 1.5 5 2 3 17 15 17
10 12 Utrecht 10 4 6 1.8 1.0 5 2 3 18 10 17
11 14 Go Ahead Eagles 9 3 6 1.7 1.3 3 5 1 15 12 14
12 16 NAC Breda 11 5 6 1.3 1.5 3 3 5 14 16 12
13 5 Sparta Rotterdam 11 6 5 1.2 1.6 5 2 4 13 18 17
14 8 Groningen 10 5 5 1.5 0.9 4 3 3 15 9 15
15 9 Zwolle 10 5 5 1.4 1.3 6 1 3 14 13 19
16 13 Excelsior 10 5 5 1.0 1.2 4 1 5 10 12 13
17 4 Ajax 11 7 4 1.7 0.8 7 2 2 19 9 23
18 7 Twente 10 6 4 1.3 1.1 4 4 2 13 11 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Nijmegen 11 2 9 2.5 1.9 5 3 3 27 21 18
2 9 Zwolle 11 2 9 1.5 2.7 1 4 6 16 30 7
3 4 Ajax 9 1 8 2.2 1.9 3 5 1 20 17 14
4 18 Heracles 11 3 8 0.9 2.6 1 1 9 10 29 4
5 1 PSV Eindhoven 10 3 7 2.8 0.9 10 0 0 28 9 30
6 2 Feyenoord 9 2 7 2.4 1.2 5 2 2 22 11 17
7 13 Excelsior 10 3 7 1.0 2.3 2 3 5 10 23 9
8 14 Go Ahead Eagles 10 3 7 1.5 2.1 1 4 5 15 21 7
9 6 AZ Alkmaar 11 5 6 1.4 1.5 5 1 5 15 16 16
10 10 For Sittard 10 4 6 1.3 1.9 2 2 6 13 19 8
11 11 Heerenveen 9 3 6 1.6 1.3 3 2 4 14 12 11
12 15 Volendam 10 4 6 0.5 2.2 0 2 8 5 22 2
13 16 NAC Breda 10 4 6 0.9 1.8 0 4 6 9 18 4
14 5 Sparta Rotterdam 10 5 5 1.4 1.6 6 0 4 14 16 18
15 12 Utrecht 9 4 5 1.2 1.8 1 3 5 11 16 6
16 7 Twente 11 7 4 1.6 1.2 3 6 2 18 13 15
17 8 Groningen 11 7 4 1.2 1.5 5 1 5 13 17 16
18 17 Telstar 10 7 3 0.8 1.4 2 3 5 8 14 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40