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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Excelsior 1–4 Ajax

Full time · half time 1–2 · season 2022/2023

Home 11.00 fair 3.83
Draw 6.00 fair 4.66
Away ✓ 1.25 fair 1.91
Under 2.5 3.10 fair 2.98
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.36 fair 1.51

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Excelsior Ajax
12 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 9
6 Corners 7
9 Fouls 5
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (167 league matches this season so far).
Result Ajax to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.53
Expected goals 1.39 – 2.03
Home / Draw / Away
ExcelsiorDrawAjax
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–2 9.4% 1–1 9.2% 0–2 6.8%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Excelsior before this match, all matches
1.06points / match
1.06scored / match
2.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 19:39
Ajax before this match, all matches
1.89points / match
2.61scored / match
1.11conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 18 played · 47:20
Excelsior all matches all matches Ajax

Per match

1.06 Goals scored 2.61
2.17 Goals conceded 1.11
3.22 Total goals 3.72
10.00 Shots 18.61
3.11 Shots on target 7.11
17.33 Shots faced 9.11
3.89 Corners 7.83
6.72 Corners against 3.00
9.67 Fouls 8.78
1.50 Yellow cards 1.50
0.56 1st-half goals scored 1.28
0.94 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

33% Wins 50%
6% Draws 39%
61% Losses 11%
100% Over 0.5 goals 94%
67% Over 1.5 goals 89%
50% Over 2.5 goals 61%
39% Over 3.5 goals 50%
22% Over 4.5 goals 39%
22% Over 5.5 goals 22%
50% Both teams scored 72%
17% Clean sheets 28%
33% Failed to score 6%

How often Half Time

28% Wins 56%
28% Draws 22%
44% Losses 22%
72% Over 0.5 goals 89%
50% Over 1.5 goals 56%
28% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Excelsior all matches
Ajax all matches
Excelsior before this match, at home
1.88points / match
1.38scored / match
1.38conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 11:11
Ajax before this match, away
2.00points / match
2.22scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 20:12
Excelsior at home away Ajax

Per match

1.38 Goals scored 2.22
1.38 Goals conceded 1.33
2.75 Total goals 3.56
12.13 Shots 14.67
3.38 Shots on target 5.56
15.63 Shots faced 11.00
4.88 Corners 6.11
7.00 Corners against 3.56
9.50 Fouls 10.78
1.00 Yellow cards 2.11
0.63 1st-half goals scored 1.22
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.67

How often Full Time

63% Wins 56%
0% Draws 33%
38% Losses 11%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
63% Over 1.5 goals 89%
50% Over 2.5 goals 56%
25% Over 3.5 goals 44%
13% Over 4.5 goals 44%
13% Over 5.5 goals 22%
50% Both teams scored 78%
25% Clean sheets 22%
25% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 56%
25% Draws 11%
38% Losses 33%
75% Over 0.5 goals 100%
38% Over 1.5 goals 56%
25% Over 2.5 goals 22%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Excelsior at home
Ajax away

Last 10 matches before this match

Excelsior all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.23 Utrecht – Excelsior 1–0 (1–0) 1.404.757.50 1.48 2.60
20.01.23 Excelsior – Volendam 2–0 (1–0) 2.383.802.70 1.53 2.40
14.01.23 Sparta Rotterdam – Excelsior 1–0 (0–0) 1.534.206.00 1.62 2.25
08.01.23 Excelsior – Groningen 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.60 1.60 2.30
13.11.22 Feyenoord – Excelsior 5–1 (2–1) 1.129.5015.00 1.28 3.60
05.11.22 Excelsior – Heerenveen 0–1 (0–0) 4.334.001.75 1.60 2.30
29.10.22 Go Ahead Eagles – Excelsior 3–1 (2–0) 1.724.004.50 1.60 2.30
23.10.22 Excelsior – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (2–0) 8.005.001.36 1.44 2.70
16.10.22 Ajax – Excelsior 7–1 (3–0) 1.0513.0029.00 1.12 6.00
08.10.22 Nijmegen – Excelsior 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.206.50 1.53 2.40

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.01.23 Ajax – Volendam 1–1 (0–0) 1.139.5017.00 1.20 4.33
22.01.23 Feyenoord – Ajax 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.502.60 1.60 2.30
14.01.23 Ajax – Twente 0–0 (0–0) 1.365.257.50 1.44 2.70
08.01.23 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–1 (0–1) 6.506.001.36 1.44 2.70
12.11.22 FC Emmen – Ajax 3–3 (1–3) 9.505.501.30 1.40 2.87
09.11.22 Ajax – Vitesse 2–2 (1–1) 1.1210.0015.00 1.28 3.60
06.11.22 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (0–1) 1.754.004.33 1.44 2.70
22.10.22 Waalwijk – Ajax 1–4 (1–1) 8.507.001.25 1.33 3.40
16.10.22 Ajax – Excelsior 7–1 (3–0) 1.0513.0029.00 1.12 6.00
08.10.22 Volendam – Ajax 2–4 (0–2) 11.009.001.18 1.20 4.33

Excelsior at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
20.01.23 Excelsior – Volendam 2–0 (1–0) 2.383.802.70 1.53 2.40
08.01.23 Excelsior – Groningen 1–0 (0–0) 2.703.402.60 1.60 2.30
05.11.22 Excelsior – Heerenveen 0–1 (0–0) 4.334.001.75 1.60 2.30
23.10.22 Excelsior – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (2–0) 8.005.001.36 1.44 2.70
02.10.22 Excelsior – Utrecht 0–1 (0–1) 5.004.201.65 1.47 2.60
10.09.22 Excelsior – FC Emmen 2–1 (0–1) 3.303.402.20 1.66 2.15
28.08.22 Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven 1–6 (0–3) 9.006.501.28 1.30 3.50
12.08.22 Excelsior – Vitesse 3–1 (2–1) 3.753.751.90 1.57 2.35

Ajax away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.01.23 Feyenoord – Ajax 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.502.60 1.60 2.30
08.01.23 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–1 (0–1) 6.506.001.36 1.44 2.70
12.11.22 FC Emmen – Ajax 3–3 (1–3) 9.505.501.30 1.40 2.87
22.10.22 Waalwijk – Ajax 1–4 (1–1) 8.507.001.25 1.33 3.40
08.10.22 Volendam – Ajax 2–4 (0–2) 11.009.001.18 1.20 4.33
18.09.22 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 2–1 (2–1) 4.754.201.66 1.60 2.30
28.08.22 Utrecht – Ajax 0–2 (0–2) 7.005.001.40 1.44 2.70
21.08.22 Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax 0–1 (0–1) 12.006.001.25 1.40 2.87
06.08.22 For Sittard – Ajax 2–3 (1–0) 13.006.501.20 1.36 3.10
15.05.22 Vitesse – Ajax 2–2 (0–1) 6.004.751.40 1.40 2.87

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Excelsior winsDrawsAjax wins
1matches
8.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.10.22N1 Ajax – Excelsior 7–1 (3–0) 1.0513.0029.00 1.12 6.00

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 19 12 6 1 43 16 +27 42
2 AZ Alkmaar 19 12 4 3 40 24 +16 40
3 PSV Eindhoven 19 12 2 5 47 23 +24 38
4 Twente 19 10 6 3 31 12 +19 36
5 Ajax 18 9 7 2 47 20 +27 34
6 Sparta Rotterdam 19 9 6 4 30 17 +13 33
7 Utrecht 19 8 6 5 32 31 +1 30
8 Heerenveen 19 7 6 6 20 21 -1 27
9 Nijmegen 19 4 11 4 24 21 +3 23
10 Waalwijk 18 5 7 6 28 30 -2 22
11 Go Ahead Eagles 18 4 7 7 26 32 -6 19
12 For Sittard 18 5 4 9 23 32 -9 19
13 Vitesse 19 4 7 8 23 35 -12 19
14 Excelsior 18 6 1 11 19 39 -20 19
15 FC Emmen 19 3 6 10 15 34 -19 15
16 Volendam 18 3 4 11 19 43 -24 13
17 Cambuur 18 3 3 12 10 28 -18 12
18 Groningen 18 3 3 12 18 37 -19 12
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Twente 10 8 2 0 24 3 +21 26
2 PSV Eindhoven 10 8 1 1 28 7 +21 25
3 Feyenoord 9 6 3 0 19 3 +16 21
4 Sparta Rotterdam 10 6 2 2 18 8 +10 20
5 Ajax 9 4 4 1 27 8 +19 16
6 AZ Alkmaar 9 4 4 1 18 14 +4 16
7 Waalwijk 9 4 3 2 20 13 +7 15
8 Utrecht 9 4 3 2 9 7 +2 15
9 Excelsior 8 5 0 3 11 11 0 15
10 Heerenveen 10 4 2 4 11 12 -1 14
11 Nijmegen 10 2 7 1 18 12 +6 13
12 FC Emmen 9 2 6 1 9 10 -1 12
13 For Sittard 10 3 2 5 13 16 -3 11
14 Go Ahead Eagles 10 2 4 4 16 20 -4 10
15 Groningen 9 2 1 6 12 19 -7 7
16 Vitesse 9 1 4 4 10 21 -11 7
17 Volendam 8 2 0 6 9 21 -12 6
18 Cambuur 9 1 0 8 3 15 -12 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 10 8 0 2 22 10 +12 24
2 Feyenoord 10 6 3 1 24 13 +11 21
3 Ajax 9 5 3 1 20 12 +8 18
4 Utrecht 10 4 3 3 23 24 -1 15
5 PSV Eindhoven 9 4 1 4 19 16 +3 13
6 Sparta Rotterdam 9 3 4 2 12 9 +3 13
7 Heerenveen 9 3 4 2 9 9 0 13
8 Vitesse 10 3 3 4 13 14 -1 12
9 Twente 9 2 4 3 7 9 -2 10
10 Nijmegen 9 2 4 3 6 9 -3 10
11 Go Ahead Eagles 8 2 3 3 10 12 -2 9
12 Cambuur 9 2 3 4 7 13 -6 9
13 For Sittard 8 2 2 4 10 16 -6 8
14 Waalwijk 9 1 4 4 8 17 -9 7
15 Volendam 10 1 4 5 10 22 -12 7
16 Groningen 9 1 2 6 6 18 -12 5
17 Excelsior 10 1 1 8 8 28 -20 4
18 FC Emmen 10 1 0 9 6 24 -18 3

Excelsior   Ajax

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Vitesse 19 6 13 1.2 1.8 4 7 8 23 35 19
2 2 AZ Alkmaar 19 7 12 2.1 1.3 12 4 3 40 24 40
3 3 PSV Eindhoven 19 7 12 2.5 1.2 12 2 5 47 23 38
4 5 Ajax 18 7 11 2.6 1.1 9 7 2 47 20 34
5 7 Utrecht 19 8 11 1.7 1.6 8 6 5 32 31 30
6 10 Waalwijk 18 7 11 1.6 1.7 5 7 6 28 30 22
7 16 Volendam 18 7 11 1.1 2.4 3 4 11 19 43 13
8 18 Groningen 18 7 11 1.0 2.1 3 3 12 18 37 12
9 6 Sparta Rotterdam 19 9 10 1.6 0.9 9 6 4 30 17 33
10 12 For Sittard 18 8 10 1.3 1.8 5 4 9 23 32 19
11 8 Heerenveen 19 10 9 1.1 1.1 7 6 6 20 21 27
12 14 Excelsior 18 9 9 1.1 2.2 6 1 11 19 39 19
13 15 FC Emmen 19 10 9 0.8 1.8 3 6 10 15 34 15
14 1 Feyenoord 19 11 8 2.3 0.8 12 6 1 43 16 42
15 4 Twente 19 11 8 1.6 0.6 10 6 3 31 12 36
16 11 Go Ahead Eagles 18 10 8 1.4 1.8 4 7 7 26 32 19
17 17 Cambuur 18 10 8 0.6 1.6 3 3 12 10 28 12
18 9 Nijmegen 19 14 5 1.3 1.1 4 11 4 24 21 23
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 13 Vitesse 9 2 7 1.1 2.3 1 4 4 10 21 7
2 4 Twente 10 4 6 2.4 0.3 8 2 0 24 3 26
3 5 Ajax 9 3 6 3.0 0.9 4 4 1 27 8 16
4 8 Heerenveen 10 4 6 1.1 1.2 4 2 4 11 12 14
5 10 Waalwijk 9 3 6 2.2 1.4 4 3 2 20 13 15
6 11 Go Ahead Eagles 10 4 6 1.6 2.0 2 4 4 16 20 10
7 16 Volendam 8 2 6 1.1 2.6 2 0 6 9 21 6
8 18 Groningen 9 3 6 1.3 2.1 2 1 6 12 19 7
9 2 AZ Alkmaar 9 4 5 2.0 1.6 4 4 1 18 14 16
10 3 PSV Eindhoven 10 5 5 2.8 0.7 8 1 1 28 7 25
11 6 Sparta Rotterdam 10 5 5 1.8 0.8 6 2 2 18 8 20
12 12 For Sittard 10 6 4 1.3 1.6 3 2 5 13 16 11
13 14 Excelsior 8 4 4 1.4 1.4 5 0 3 11 11 15
14 17 Cambuur 9 5 4 0.3 1.7 1 0 8 3 15 3
15 1 Feyenoord 9 6 3 2.1 0.3 6 3 0 19 3 21
16 7 Utrecht 9 6 3 1.0 0.8 4 3 2 9 7 15
17 9 Nijmegen 10 7 3 1.8 1.2 2 7 1 18 12 13
18 15 FC Emmen 9 6 3 1.0 1.1 2 6 1 9 10 12
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Utrecht 10 2 8 2.3 2.4 4 3 3 23 24 15
2 2 AZ Alkmaar 10 3 7 2.2 1.0 8 0 2 22 10 24
3 3 PSV Eindhoven 9 2 7 2.1 1.8 4 1 4 19 16 13
4 12 For Sittard 8 2 6 1.2 2.0 2 2 4 10 16 8
5 13 Vitesse 10 4 6 1.3 1.4 3 3 4 13 14 12
6 15 FC Emmen 10 4 6 0.6 2.4 1 0 9 6 24 3
7 1 Feyenoord 10 5 5 2.4 1.3 6 3 1 24 13 21
8 5 Ajax 9 4 5 2.2 1.3 5 3 1 20 12 18
9 6 Sparta Rotterdam 9 4 5 1.3 1.0 3 4 2 12 9 13
10 10 Waalwijk 9 4 5 0.9 1.9 1 4 4 8 17 7
11 14 Excelsior 10 5 5 0.8 2.8 1 1 8 8 28 4
12 16 Volendam 10 5 5 1.0 2.2 1 4 5 10 22 7
13 18 Groningen 9 4 5 0.7 2.0 1 2 6 6 18 5
14 17 Cambuur 9 5 4 0.8 1.4 2 3 4 7 13 9
15 8 Heerenveen 9 6 3 1.0 1.0 3 4 2 9 9 13
16 4 Twente 9 7 2 0.8 1.0 2 4 3 7 9 10
17 9 Nijmegen 9 7 2 0.7 1.0 2 4 3 6 9 10
18 11 Go Ahead Eagles 8 6 2 1.2 1.5 2 3 3 10 12 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51