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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Ajax 2–2 Excelsior

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2023/2024

Home 1.29 fair 1.64
Draw ✓ 5.50 fair 5.56
Away 10.00 fair 4.78
Under 2.5 2.88 fair 4.45
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.40 fair 1.29

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Ajax Excelsior
8 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 4
4 Corners 3
6 Fouls 11
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (271 league matches this season so far).
Result Ajax to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.39
Expected goals 2.59 – 1.50
Home / Draw / Away
AjaxDrawExcelsior
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 8.4% 3–1 7.3% 1–1 6.5%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Ajax before this match, all matches
1.60points / match
2.10scored / match
1.87conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 63:56
Excelsior before this match, all matches
0.83points / match
1.47scored / match
2.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 44:64
Ajax all matches all matches Excelsior

Per match

2.10 Goals scored 1.47
1.87 Goals conceded 2.13
3.97 Total goals 3.60
15.37 Shots 11.17
6.50 Shots on target 4.30
13.03 Shots faced 15.63
5.60 Corners 3.53
4.20 Corners against 6.53
8.50 Fouls 8.43
1.23 Yellow cards 1.50
0.87 1st-half goals scored 0.63
0.80 1st-half goals conceded 0.77

How often Full Time

43% Wins 17%
30% Draws 33%
27% Losses 50%
97% Over 0.5 goals 93%
97% Over 1.5 goals 93%
80% Over 2.5 goals 77%
67% Over 3.5 goals 50%
37% Over 4.5 goals 20%
13% Over 5.5 goals 20%
77% Both teams scored 70%
13% Clean sheets 17%
13% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 30%
27% Draws 43%
30% Losses 27%
87% Over 0.5 goals 70%
53% Over 1.5 goals 43%
27% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax all matches
Excelsior all matches
Ajax before this match, at home
1.93points / match
2.27scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 34:19
Excelsior before this match, away
0.60points / match
1.47scored / match
2.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 22:40
Ajax at home away Excelsior

Per match

2.27 Goals scored 1.47
1.27 Goals conceded 2.67
3.53 Total goals 4.13
16.27 Shots 8.47
6.60 Shots on target 3.53
10.40 Shots faced 17.33
5.47 Corners 3.13
3.87 Corners against 6.80
8.07 Fouls 9.27
1.27 Yellow cards 1.87
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 1.20

How often Full Time

53% Wins 13%
33% Draws 20%
13% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 93%
100% Over 1.5 goals 93%
73% Over 2.5 goals 93%
53% Over 3.5 goals 67%
27% Over 4.5 goals 27%
0% Over 5.5 goals 27%
73% Both teams scored 73%
20% Clean sheets 13%
7% Failed to score 20%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 27%
20% Draws 27%
20% Losses 47%
93% Over 0.5 goals 87%
47% Over 1.5 goals 53%
20% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax at home
Excelsior away

Last 10 matches before this match

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.04.24 Ajax – Twente 2–1 (0–1) 2.803.402.55 1.60 2.30
07.04.24 Feyenoord – Ajax 6–0 (3–0) 1.444.507.50 1.50 2.50
04.04.24 Ajax – Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 (1–0) 1.504.755.75 1.48 2.60
31.03.24 Zwolle – Ajax 1–3 (0–2) 4.754.001.70 1.53 2.40
17.03.24 Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax 2–2 (1–0) 3.503.502.05 1.70 2.10
10.03.24 Ajax – For Sittard 2–2 (1–0) 1.444.756.50 1.57 2.35
03.03.24 Ajax – Utrecht 2–0 (1–0) 1.804.004.00 1.53 2.40
25.02.24 AZ Alkmaar – Ajax 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.803.50 1.60 2.30
18.02.24 Ajax – Nijmegen 2–2 (1–0) 1.405.506.00 1.36 3.10
11.02.24 Heerenveen – Ajax 3–2 (2–0) 4.004.501.73 1.40 2.88

Excelsior all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.04.24 Excelsior – Volendam 4–0 (2–0) 1.754.334.00 1.50 2.50
06.04.24 Zwolle – Excelsior 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.753.60 1.57 2.35
02.04.24 Excelsior – PSV Eindhoven 0–2 (0–0) 12.008.501.18 1.25 4.00
30.03.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Excelsior 3–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.57 2.35
16.03.24 Excelsior – Waalwijk 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.403.20 1.80 2.00
10.03.24 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior 4–0 (3–0) 1.296.009.50 1.53 2.40
03.03.24 For Sittard – Excelsior 5–2 (4–0) 1.913.803.80 1.88 1.98
25.02.24 Excelsior – Vitesse 1–2 (0–0) 2.103.803.20 1.75 2.05
17.02.24 Sparta Rotterdam – Excelsior 4–2 (2–2) 1.853.604.20 1.73 2.08
10.02.24 Excelsior – Twente 0–3 (0–3) 5.504.331.55 1.70 2.10

Ajax at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.04.24 Ajax – Twente 2–1 (0–1) 2.803.402.55 1.60 2.30
04.04.24 Ajax – Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 (1–0) 1.504.755.75 1.48 2.60
10.03.24 Ajax – For Sittard 2–2 (1–0) 1.444.756.50 1.57 2.35
03.03.24 Ajax – Utrecht 2–0 (1–0) 1.804.004.00 1.53 2.40
18.02.24 Ajax – Nijmegen 2–2 (1–0) 1.405.506.00 1.36 3.10
03.02.24 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 1–1 (1–1) 3.304.331.95 1.40 2.88
21.01.24 Ajax – Waalwijk 4–1 (2–1) 1.256.5010.00 1.33 3.40
17.12.23 Ajax – Zwolle 2–2 (1–0) 1.296.508.00 1.36 3.10
09.12.23 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 (2–0) 1.404.757.50 1.44 2.70
25.11.23 Ajax – Vitesse 5–0 (2–0) 1.305.509.50 1.40 2.88

Excelsior away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24 Zwolle – Excelsior 2–1 (1–0) 1.953.753.60 1.57 2.35
30.03.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Excelsior 3–0 (1–0) 1.604.005.75 1.57 2.35
10.03.24 AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior 4–0 (3–0) 1.296.009.50 1.53 2.40
03.03.24 For Sittard – Excelsior 5–2 (4–0) 1.913.803.80 1.88 1.98
17.02.24 Sparta Rotterdam – Excelsior 4–2 (2–2) 1.853.604.20 1.73 2.08
02.02.24 Almere City – Excelsior 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.253.50 2.05 1.80
13.01.24 PSV Eindhoven – Excelsior 3–1 (2–0) 1.0712.0021.00 1.18 4.50
08.12.23 Twente – Excelsior 4–2 (1–2) 1.226.5012.00 1.48 2.60
02.12.23 Waalwijk – Excelsior 2–2 (1–0) 2.054.003.25 1.57 2.35
12.11.23 Utrecht – Excelsior 2–2 (0–0) 1.803.804.20 1.67 2.15

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Ajax winsDrawsExcelsior wins
3matches
5.67goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.08.23N1 Excelsior – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 10.006.501.25 1.29 3.60
29.01.23N1 Excelsior – Ajax 1–4 (1–2) 11.006.001.25 1.36 3.10
16.10.22N1 Ajax – Excelsior 7–1 (3–0) 1.0513.0029.00 1.12 6.00

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 30 26 3 1 95 17 +78 81
2 Feyenoord 30 22 6 2 77 23 +54 72
3 Twente 31 19 6 6 59 31 +28 63
4 AZ Alkmaar 30 16 7 7 59 35 +24 55
5 Ajax 30 13 9 8 63 56 +7 48
6 Nijmegen 30 12 11 7 59 44 +15 47
7 Utrecht 30 12 9 9 43 41 +2 45
8 Go Ahead Eagles 30 11 9 10 44 39 +5 42
9 Sparta Rotterdam 30 11 7 12 45 43 +2 40
10 Heerenveen 30 10 6 14 50 56 -6 36
11 For Sittard 30 9 8 13 34 52 -18 35
12 Almere City 31 7 12 12 31 51 -20 33
13 Zwolle 30 8 8 14 40 58 -18 32
14 Heracles 30 9 5 16 40 62 -22 32
15 Excelsior 30 5 10 15 44 64 -20 25
16 Waalwijk 30 6 6 18 29 50 -21 24
17 Volendam 30 4 7 19 30 74 -44 19
18 Vitesse 30 4 5 21 22 68 -46 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 15 14 1 0 47 8 +39 43
2 Twente 16 13 1 2 33 15 +18 40
3 Feyenoord 15 11 3 1 42 10 +32 36
4 AZ Alkmaar 15 10 2 3 36 14 +22 32
5 Ajax 15 8 5 2 34 19 +15 29
6 Nijmegen 15 8 4 3 33 19 +14 28
7 Utrecht 15 7 5 3 28 22 +6 26
8 Go Ahead Eagles 15 7 4 4 30 17 +13 25
9 For Sittard 15 7 4 4 26 19 +7 25
10 Heerenveen 15 6 3 6 29 25 +4 21
11 Heracles 15 6 3 6 25 30 -5 21
12 Sparta Rotterdam 15 4 5 6 22 24 -2 17
13 Excelsior 15 3 7 5 22 24 -2 16
14 Waalwijk 15 4 4 7 17 22 -5 16
15 Almere City 15 3 6 6 16 25 -9 15
16 Zwolle 15 4 3 8 15 28 -13 15
17 Volendam 15 3 2 10 14 38 -24 11
18 Vitesse 15 1 5 9 10 26 -16 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 15 12 2 1 48 9 +39 38
2 Feyenoord 15 11 3 1 35 13 +22 36
3 Twente 15 6 5 4 26 16 +10 23
4 Sparta Rotterdam 15 7 2 6 23 19 +4 23
5 AZ Alkmaar 15 6 5 4 23 21 +2 23
6 Nijmegen 15 4 7 4 26 25 +1 19
7 Utrecht 15 5 4 6 15 19 -4 19
8 Ajax 15 5 4 6 29 37 -8 19
9 Almere City 16 4 6 6 15 26 -11 18
10 Zwolle 15 4 5 6 25 30 -5 17
11 Go Ahead Eagles 15 4 5 6 14 22 -8 17
12 Heerenveen 15 4 3 8 21 31 -10 15
13 Heracles 15 3 2 10 15 32 -17 11
14 For Sittard 15 2 4 9 8 33 -25 10
15 Excelsior 15 2 3 10 22 40 -18 9
16 Vitesse 15 3 0 12 12 42 -30 9
17 Waalwijk 15 2 2 11 12 28 -16 8
18 Volendam 15 1 5 9 16 36 -20 8

Ajax   Excelsior

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Ajax 30 6 24 2.1 1.9 13 9 8 63 56 48
2 15 Excelsior 30 7 23 1.5 2.1 5 10 15 44 64 25
3 1 PSV Eindhoven 30 9 21 3.2 0.6 26 3 1 95 17 81
4 10 Heerenveen 30 9 21 1.7 1.9 10 6 14 50 56 36
5 14 Heracles 30 9 21 1.3 2.1 9 5 16 40 62 32
6 2 Feyenoord 30 10 20 2.6 0.8 22 6 2 77 23 72
7 3 Twente 31 11 20 1.9 1.0 19 6 6 59 31 63
8 6 Nijmegen 30 10 20 2.0 1.5 12 11 7 59 44 47
9 17 Volendam 30 10 20 1.0 2.5 4 7 19 30 74 19
10 4 AZ Alkmaar 30 11 19 2.0 1.2 16 7 7 59 35 55
11 13 Zwolle 30 11 19 1.3 1.9 8 8 14 40 58 32
12 11 For Sittard 30 12 18 1.1 1.7 9 8 13 34 52 35
13 9 Sparta Rotterdam 30 13 17 1.5 1.4 11 7 12 45 43 40
14 18 Vitesse 30 13 17 0.7 2.3 4 5 21 22 68 17
15 12 Almere City 31 16 15 1.0 1.6 7 12 12 31 51 33
16 16 Waalwijk 30 15 15 1.0 1.7 6 6 18 29 50 24
17 8 Go Ahead Eagles 30 16 14 1.5 1.3 11 9 10 44 39 42
18 7 Utrecht 30 18 12 1.4 1.4 12 9 9 43 41 45
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 10 Heerenveen 15 3 12 1.9 1.7 6 3 6 29 25 21
2 3 Twente 16 5 11 2.1 0.9 13 1 2 33 15 40
3 5 Ajax 15 4 11 2.3 1.3 8 5 2 34 19 29
4 14 Heracles 15 4 11 1.7 2.0 6 3 6 25 30 21
5 1 PSV Eindhoven 15 5 10 3.1 0.5 14 1 0 47 8 43
6 2 Feyenoord 15 5 10 2.8 0.7 11 3 1 42 10 36
7 4 AZ Alkmaar 15 5 10 2.4 0.9 10 2 3 36 14 32
8 6 Nijmegen 15 5 10 2.2 1.3 8 4 3 33 19 28
9 17 Volendam 15 5 10 0.9 2.5 3 2 10 14 38 11
10 8 Go Ahead Eagles 15 6 9 2.0 1.1 7 4 4 30 17 25
11 9 Sparta Rotterdam 15 6 9 1.5 1.6 4 5 6 22 24 17
12 11 For Sittard 15 6 9 1.7 1.3 7 4 4 26 19 25
13 15 Excelsior 15 6 9 1.5 1.6 3 7 5 22 24 16
14 12 Almere City 15 7 8 1.1 1.7 3 6 6 16 25 15
15 13 Zwolle 15 7 8 1.0 1.9 4 3 8 15 28 15
16 16 Waalwijk 15 7 8 1.1 1.5 4 4 7 17 22 16
17 7 Utrecht 15 8 7 1.9 1.5 7 5 3 28 22 26
18 18 Vitesse 15 9 6 0.7 1.7 1 5 9 10 26 8
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Excelsior 15 1 14 1.5 2.7 2 3 10 22 40 9
2 5 Ajax 15 2 13 1.9 2.5 5 4 6 29 37 19
3 1 PSV Eindhoven 15 4 11 3.2 0.6 12 2 1 48 9 38
4 13 Zwolle 15 4 11 1.7 2.0 4 5 6 25 30 17
5 18 Vitesse 15 4 11 0.8 2.8 3 0 12 12 42 9
6 2 Feyenoord 15 5 10 2.3 0.9 11 3 1 35 13 36
7 6 Nijmegen 15 5 10 1.7 1.7 4 7 4 26 25 19
8 14 Heracles 15 5 10 1.0 2.1 3 2 10 15 32 11
9 17 Volendam 15 5 10 1.1 2.4 1 5 9 16 36 8
10 3 Twente 15 6 9 1.7 1.1 6 5 4 26 16 23
11 4 AZ Alkmaar 15 6 9 1.5 1.4 6 5 4 23 21 23
12 10 Heerenveen 15 6 9 1.4 2.1 4 3 8 21 31 15
13 11 For Sittard 15 6 9 0.5 2.2 2 4 9 8 33 10
14 9 Sparta Rotterdam 15 7 8 1.5 1.3 7 2 6 23 19 23
15 12 Almere City 16 9 7 0.9 1.6 4 6 6 15 26 18
16 16 Waalwijk 15 8 7 0.8 1.9 2 2 11 12 28 8
17 7 Utrecht 15 10 5 1.0 1.3 5 4 6 15 19 19
18 8 Go Ahead Eagles 15 10 5 0.9 1.5 4 5 6 14 22 17

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40