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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Utrecht 1–0 Nijmegen

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 2.15 fair 2.10
Draw 3.60 fair 4.79
Away 3.25 fair 3.18
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.20 fair 3.72
Over 2.5 1.65 fair 1.37

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Utrecht Nijmegen
11 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 5
2 Corners 2
11 Fouls 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (98 league matches this season so far).
Result Utrecht to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.40
Expected goals 2.10 – 1.69
Home / Draw / Away
UtrechtDrawNijmegen
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 8.4% 1–1 8% 2–2 7.1%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Utrecht before this match, all matches
1.30points / match
1.90scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 19:15
Nijmegen before this match, all matches
1.50points / match
2.70scored / match
1.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 27:19
Utrecht all matches all matches Nijmegen

Per match

1.90 Goals scored 2.70
1.50 Goals conceded 1.90
3.40 Total goals 4.60
15.10 Shots 15.20
5.40 Shots on target 6.70
11.70 Shots faced 10.50
5.30 Corners 5.10
4.50 Corners against 4.00
10.30 Fouls 13.00
1.10 Yellow cards 1.70
0.60 1st-half goals scored 0.90
0.70 1st-half goals conceded 0.90

How often Full Time

40% Wins 40%
10% Draws 30%
50% Losses 30%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 100%
70% Over 2.5 goals 90%
60% Over 3.5 goals 70%
30% Over 4.5 goals 60%
0% Over 5.5 goals 20%
60% Both teams scored 80%
20% Clean sheets 20%
20% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 40%
20% Draws 30%
50% Losses 30%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
40% Over 1.5 goals 50%
0% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Utrecht all matches
Nijmegen all matches
Utrecht before this match, at home
2.00points / match
2.60scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 13:5
Nijmegen before this match, away
1.00points / match
2.20scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 11:10
Utrecht at home away Nijmegen

Per match

2.60 Goals scored 2.20
1.00 Goals conceded 2.00
3.60 Total goals 4.20
17.00 Shots 15.40
6.20 Shots on target 6.40
9.60 Shots faced 11.00
5.80 Corners 5.00
3.20 Corners against 5.20
10.20 Fouls 12.60
0.80 Yellow cards 1.80
0.80 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

60% Wins 20%
20% Draws 40%
20% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
80% Over 1.5 goals 100%
80% Over 2.5 goals 80%
80% Over 3.5 goals 80%
20% Over 4.5 goals 60%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
60% Both teams scored 100%
20% Clean sheets 0%
20% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 20%
40% Draws 40%
20% Losses 40%
80% Over 0.5 goals 100%
40% Over 1.5 goals 60%
0% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Utrecht at home
Nijmegen away

Last 10 matches before this match

Utrecht all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.25 AZ Alkmaar – Utrecht 4–1 (2–0) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.35
18.10.25 Utrecht – Volendam 3–1 (0–1) 1.365.258.00 1.53 2.40
05.10.25 Feyenoord – Utrecht 3–2 (1–0) 1.484.506.00 1.62 2.25
28.09.25 Utrecht – Heerenveen 2–2 (1–1) 1.804.003.90 1.67 2.15
20.09.25 For Sittard – Utrecht 1–0 (1–0) 3.803.601.95 1.75 2.05
14.09.25 Utrecht – Groningen 0–1 (0–0) 1.754.004.33 1.67 2.15
31.08.25 Zwolle – Utrecht 0–2 (0–2) 3.103.602.20 1.70 2.10
24.08.25 Utrecht – Excelsior 4–1 (2–0) 1.425.256.25 1.40 2.88
17.08.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Utrecht 2–1 (1–0) 2.603.702.50 1.62 2.25
10.08.25 Utrecht – Heracles 4–0 (1–0) 1.554.505.50 1.67 2.15

Nijmegen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.25 Zwolle – Nijmegen 2–2 (1–1) 3.203.752.10 1.53 2.40
18.10.25 Nijmegen – Twente 3–3 (1–1) 2.353.802.70 1.57 2.35
05.10.25 Go Ahead Eagles – Nijmegen 1–1 (0–1) 2.554.002.50 1.44 2.70
28.09.25 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (1–0) 3.004.102.10 1.44 2.70
21.09.25 Heerenveen – Nijmegen 3–2 (1–0) 2.553.602.63 1.48 2.60
13.09.25 Nijmegen – PSV Eindhoven 3–5 (1–3) 5.004.331.62 1.33 3.40
31.08.25 For Sittard – Nijmegen 3–2 (2–1) 3.003.752.20 1.67 2.15
24.08.25 Nijmegen – NAC Breda 3–0 (1–0) 1.554.205.75 1.67 2.15
16.08.25 Heracles – Nijmegen 1–4 (1–1) 2.803.502.40 1.73 2.08
09.08.25 Nijmegen – Excelsior 5–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.33 1.73 2.08

Utrecht at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.25 Utrecht – Volendam 3–1 (0–1) 1.365.258.00 1.53 2.40
28.09.25 Utrecht – Heerenveen 2–2 (1–1) 1.804.003.90 1.67 2.15
14.09.25 Utrecht – Groningen 0–1 (0–0) 1.754.004.33 1.67 2.15
24.08.25 Utrecht – Excelsior 4–1 (2–0) 1.425.256.25 1.40 2.88
10.08.25 Utrecht – Heracles 4–0 (1–0) 1.554.505.50 1.67 2.15
14.05.25 Utrecht – Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 (1–1) 1.903.504.10 1.62 2.25
20.04.25 Utrecht – Ajax 4–0 (1–0) 3.503.602.00 1.65 2.20
13.04.25 Utrecht – Groningen 3–1 (3–1) 1.703.705.00 1.98 1.88
30.03.25 Utrecht – Heerenveen 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.754.33 1.75 2.05
15.03.25 Utrecht – Nijmegen 0–1 (0–0) 1.803.754.20 1.67 2.15

Nijmegen away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.10.25 Zwolle – Nijmegen 2–2 (1–1) 3.203.752.10 1.53 2.40
05.10.25 Go Ahead Eagles – Nijmegen 1–1 (0–1) 2.554.002.50 1.44 2.70
21.09.25 Heerenveen – Nijmegen 3–2 (1–0) 2.553.602.63 1.48 2.60
31.08.25 For Sittard – Nijmegen 3–2 (2–1) 3.003.752.20 1.67 2.15
16.08.25 Heracles – Nijmegen 1–4 (1–1) 2.803.502.40 1.73 2.08
18.05.25 Heracles – Nijmegen 1–2 (0–0) 2.553.602.60 1.53 2.40
11.05.25 Ajax – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–0) 1.305.509.00 1.48 2.60
27.04.25 Heerenveen – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 1.953.703.75 1.70 2.10
06.04.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Nijmegen 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.503.70 1.98 1.88
15.03.25 Utrecht – Nijmegen 0–1 (0–0) 1.803.754.20 1.67 2.15

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Utrecht winsDrawsNijmegen wins
8matches
2.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.03.25N1 Utrecht – Nijmegen 0–1 (0–0) 1.803.754.20 1.67 2.15
24.11.24N1 Nijmegen – Utrecht 1–2 (0–1) 2.633.252.70 1.90 1.95
17.03.24N1 Utrecht – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 1.913.504.20 1.75 2.05
23.09.23N1 Nijmegen – Utrecht 3–0 (2–0) 2.753.602.45 1.62 2.25
12.03.23N1 Nijmegen – Utrecht 2–2 (1–0) 2.403.502.88 1.95 1.90
16.09.22N1 Utrecht – Nijmegen 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.755.00 1.70 2.10
29.04.22N1 Utrecht – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 1.723.405.50 1.83 2.02
22.09.21N1 Nijmegen – Utrecht 0–3 (0–1) 4.503.601.66 1.75 2.05

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 11 9 1 1 30 10 +20 28
2 PSV Eindhoven 11 9 1 1 35 16 +19 28
3 AZ Alkmaar 11 7 3 1 24 13 +11 24
4 Ajax 11 5 5 1 21 15 +6 20
5 Groningen 11 6 1 4 17 15 +2 19
6 Sparta Rotterdam 11 5 1 5 14 23 -9 16
7 Nijmegen 10 4 3 3 27 19 +8 15
8 Twente 11 4 3 4 20 18 +2 15
9 Heerenveen 11 3 5 3 19 19 0 14
10 Utrecht 10 4 1 5 19 15 +4 13
11 Go Ahead Eagles 11 3 4 4 17 17 0 13
12 For Sittard 11 4 1 6 16 20 -4 13
13 NAC Breda 11 3 3 5 14 19 -5 12
14 Volendam 11 2 4 5 14 19 -5 10
15 Excelsior 11 3 1 7 10 21 -11 10
16 Zwolle 11 2 3 6 13 27 -14 9
17 Telstar 11 2 2 7 14 21 -7 8
18 Heracles 11 2 0 9 15 32 -17 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 6 5 0 1 13 6 +7 15
2 PSV Eindhoven 6 4 1 1 19 10 +9 13
3 Ajax 6 4 1 1 10 5 +5 13
4 AZ Alkmaar 5 3 2 0 15 8 +7 11
5 Utrecht 5 3 1 1 13 5 +8 10
6 Nijmegen 5 3 1 1 16 9 +7 10
7 Groningen 6 3 1 2 9 5 +4 10
8 For Sittard 5 3 1 1 8 6 +2 10
9 NAC Breda 6 3 1 2 8 7 +1 10
10 Heerenveen 6 2 3 1 12 11 +1 9
11 Volendam 5 2 2 1 9 6 +3 8
12 Go Ahead Eagles 5 2 2 1 8 6 +2 8
13 Twente 5 2 1 2 9 10 -1 7
14 Sparta Rotterdam 6 2 1 3 7 14 -7 7
15 Excelsior 5 2 0 3 4 5 -1 6
16 Heracles 5 2 0 3 13 15 -2 6
17 Telstar 6 1 2 3 11 14 -3 5
18 Zwolle 5 1 1 3 3 10 -7 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 5 5 0 0 16 6 +10 15
2 Feyenoord 5 4 1 0 17 4 +13 13
3 AZ Alkmaar 6 4 1 1 9 5 +4 13
4 Groningen 5 3 0 2 8 10 -2 9
5 Sparta Rotterdam 5 3 0 2 7 9 -2 9
6 Twente 6 2 2 2 11 8 +3 8
7 Ajax 5 1 4 0 11 10 +1 7
8 Nijmegen 5 1 2 2 11 10 +1 5
9 Heerenveen 5 1 2 2 7 8 -1 5
10 Go Ahead Eagles 6 1 2 3 9 11 -2 5
11 Zwolle 6 1 2 3 10 17 -7 5
12 Excelsior 6 1 1 4 6 16 -10 4
13 Utrecht 5 1 0 4 6 10 -4 3
14 Telstar 5 1 0 4 3 7 -4 3
15 For Sittard 6 1 0 5 8 14 -6 3
16 NAC Breda 5 0 2 3 6 12 -6 2
17 Volendam 6 0 2 4 5 13 -8 2
18 Heracles 6 0 0 6 2 17 -15 0

Utrecht   Nijmegen

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Heracles 11 1 10 1.4 2.9 2 0 9 15 32 6
2 2 PSV Eindhoven 11 2 9 3.2 1.5 9 1 1 35 16 28
3 7 Nijmegen 10 1 9 2.7 1.9 4 3 3 27 19 15
4 3 AZ Alkmaar 11 3 8 2.2 1.2 7 3 1 24 13 24
5 9 Heerenveen 11 3 8 1.7 1.7 3 5 3 19 19 14
6 13 NAC Breda 11 3 8 1.3 1.7 3 3 5 14 19 12
7 14 Volendam 11 3 8 1.3 1.7 2 4 5 14 19 10
8 1 Feyenoord 11 4 7 2.7 0.9 9 1 1 30 10 28
9 6 Sparta Rotterdam 11 4 7 1.3 2.1 5 1 5 14 23 16
10 8 Twente 11 4 7 1.8 1.6 4 3 4 20 18 15
11 10 Utrecht 10 3 7 1.9 1.5 4 1 5 19 15 13
12 11 Go Ahead Eagles 11 4 7 1.5 1.5 3 4 4 17 17 13
13 12 For Sittard 11 4 7 1.5 1.8 4 1 6 16 20 13
14 15 Excelsior 11 4 7 0.9 1.9 3 1 7 10 21 10
15 16 Zwolle 11 4 7 1.2 2.5 2 3 6 13 27 9
16 4 Ajax 11 5 6 1.9 1.4 5 5 1 21 15 20
17 5 Groningen 11 5 6 1.5 1.4 6 1 4 17 15 19
18 17 Telstar 11 5 6 1.3 1.9 2 2 7 14 21 8
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 PSV Eindhoven 6 1 5 3.2 1.7 4 1 1 19 10 13
2 3 AZ Alkmaar 5 0 5 3.0 1.6 3 2 0 15 8 11
3 7 Nijmegen 5 0 5 3.2 1.8 3 1 1 16 9 10
4 9 Heerenveen 6 1 5 2.0 1.8 2 3 1 12 11 9
5 17 Telstar 6 1 5 1.8 2.3 1 2 3 11 14 5
6 18 Heracles 5 0 5 2.6 3.0 2 0 3 13 15 6
7 6 Sparta Rotterdam 6 2 4 1.2 2.3 2 1 3 7 14 7
8 8 Twente 5 1 4 1.8 2.0 2 1 2 9 10 7
9 10 Utrecht 5 1 4 2.6 1.0 3 1 1 13 5 10
10 13 NAC Breda 6 2 4 1.3 1.2 3 1 2 8 7 10
11 14 Volendam 5 1 4 1.8 1.2 2 2 1 9 6 8
12 1 Feyenoord 6 3 3 2.2 1.0 5 0 1 13 6 15
13 11 Go Ahead Eagles 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 2 2 1 8 6 8
14 12 For Sittard 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 3 1 1 8 6 10
15 4 Ajax 6 4 2 1.7 0.8 4 1 1 10 5 13
16 5 Groningen 6 4 2 1.5 0.8 3 1 2 9 5 10
17 15 Excelsior 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 2 0 3 4 5 6
18 16 Zwolle 5 3 2 0.6 2.0 1 1 3 3 10 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 15 Excelsior 6 1 5 1.0 2.7 1 1 4 6 16 4
2 16 Zwolle 6 1 5 1.7 2.8 1 2 3 10 17 5
3 18 Heracles 6 1 5 0.3 2.8 0 0 6 2 17 0
4 1 Feyenoord 5 1 4 3.4 0.8 4 1 0 17 4 13
5 2 PSV Eindhoven 5 1 4 3.2 1.2 5 0 0 16 6 15
6 4 Ajax 5 1 4 2.2 2.0 1 4 0 11 10 7
7 5 Groningen 5 1 4 1.6 2.0 3 0 2 8 10 9
8 7 Nijmegen 5 1 4 2.2 2.0 1 2 2 11 10 5
9 11 Go Ahead Eagles 6 2 4 1.5 1.8 1 2 3 9 11 5
10 12 For Sittard 6 2 4 1.3 2.3 1 0 5 8 14 3
11 13 NAC Breda 5 1 4 1.2 2.4 0 2 3 6 12 2
12 14 Volendam 6 2 4 0.8 2.2 0 2 4 5 13 2
13 3 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 3 1.5 0.8 4 1 1 9 5 13
14 6 Sparta Rotterdam 5 2 3 1.4 1.8 3 0 2 7 9 9
15 8 Twente 6 3 3 1.8 1.3 2 2 2 11 8 8
16 9 Heerenveen 5 2 3 1.4 1.6 1 2 2 7 8 5
17 10 Utrecht 5 2 3 1.2 2.0 1 0 4 6 10 3
18 17 Telstar 5 4 1 0.6 1.4 1 0 4 3 7 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40