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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Nijmegen 1–2 Ajax

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2023/2024

Home 4.33 fair 2.13
Draw 4.33 fair 4.81
Away ✓ 1.70 fair 3.11
Under 2.5 2.70 fair 3.85
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.44 fair 1.35

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nijmegen Ajax
7 Shots 22
3 Shots on target 10
2 Corners 6
4 Fouls 7
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (121 league matches this season so far).
Result Nijmegen to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.38
Expected goals 2.12 – 1.74
Home / Draw / Away
NijmegenDrawAjax
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 8.2% 1–1 7.8% 2–2 7.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Nijmegen before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
1.75scored / match
1.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 21:23
Ajax before this match, all matches
1.25points / match
2.17scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 26:24
Nijmegen all matches all matches Ajax

Per match

1.75 Goals scored 2.17
1.92 Goals conceded 2.00
3.67 Total goals 4.17
11.25 Shots 16.33
5.25 Shots on target 7.17
16.42 Shots faced 13.58
4.08 Corners 7.17
6.83 Corners against 4.25
9.50 Fouls 9.00
1.83 Yellow cards 1.58
0.75 1st-half goals scored 0.75
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.92

How often Full Time

17% Wins 33%
50% Draws 25%
33% Losses 42%
100% Over 0.5 goals 92%
100% Over 1.5 goals 92%
67% Over 2.5 goals 83%
42% Over 3.5 goals 75%
25% Over 4.5 goals 42%
25% Over 5.5 goals 17%
75% Both teams scored 67%
17% Clean sheets 25%
8% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 25%
42% Draws 42%
25% Losses 33%
83% Over 0.5 goals 75%
50% Over 1.5 goals 58%
8% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nijmegen all matches
Ajax all matches
Nijmegen before this match, at home
1.29points / match
2.14scored / match
1.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 15:12
Ajax before this match, away
0.50points / match
1.67scored / match
2.67conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 10:16
Nijmegen at home away Ajax

Per match

2.14 Goals scored 1.67
1.71 Goals conceded 2.67
3.86 Total goals 4.33
11.29 Shots 14.50
6.00 Shots on target 6.67
12.14 Shots faced 17.00
4.57 Corners 7.00
5.57 Corners against 4.50
8.14 Fouls 8.33
1.57 Yellow cards 1.67
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.83

How often Full Time

29% Wins 0%
43% Draws 50%
29% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 83%
100% Over 1.5 goals 83%
71% Over 2.5 goals 83%
43% Over 3.5 goals 83%
29% Over 4.5 goals 33%
29% Over 5.5 goals 33%
71% Both teams scored 83%
29% Clean sheets 17%
0% Failed to score 17%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 17%
43% Draws 50%
14% Losses 33%
86% Over 0.5 goals 67%
57% Over 1.5 goals 50%
14% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nijmegen at home
Ajax away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nijmegen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.11.23 Nijmegen – Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 (0–0) 2.403.602.75 1.67 2.15
11.11.23 Twente – Nijmegen 3–3 (1–0) 1.335.0010.00 1.57 2.35
05.11.23 Nijmegen – Volendam 3–3 (1–1) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.35
21.10.23 Nijmegen – Almere City 1–1 (0–1) 1.803.804.00 1.70 2.10
07.10.23 Heerenveen – Nijmegen 1–1 (1–1) 2.153.603.20 1.67 2.15
01.10.23 Nijmegen – Vitesse 1–3 (1–1) 2.153.403.25 1.70 2.10
23.09.23 Nijmegen – Utrecht 3–0 (2–0) 2.753.602.45 1.62 2.25
16.09.23 PSV Eindhoven – Nijmegen 4–0 (2–0) 1.178.0015.00 1.33 3.40
01.09.23 Sparta Rotterdam – Nijmegen 1–1 (0–0) 1.913.803.80 1.70 2.10
26.08.23 Nijmegen – Waalwijk 3–0 (1–0) 1.753.804.33 1.57 2.35

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.11.23 Ajax – Vitesse 5–0 (2–0) 1.305.509.50 1.40 2.88
12.11.23 Almere City – Ajax 2–2 (0–0) 5.004.751.53 1.48 2.60
05.11.23 Ajax – Heerenveen 4–1 (2–1) 1.504.756.00 1.40 2.88
02.11.23 Ajax – Volendam 2–0 (0–0) 1.306.009.50 1.29 3.60
29.10.23 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 5–2 (1–2) 1.305.759.00 1.33 3.40
22.10.23 Utrecht – Ajax 4–3 (1–0) 3.903.701.91 1.53 2.40
08.10.23 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 1–2 (0–1) 2.253.802.90 1.53 2.40
27.09.23 Ajax – Feyenoord 0–4 (0–3) 2.803.752.38 1.53 2.40
17.09.23 Twente – Ajax 3–1 (2–1) 2.603.502.60 1.60 2.30
03.09.23 For Sittard – Ajax 0–0 (0–0) 6.505.501.40 1.40 2.88

Nijmegen at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.11.23 Nijmegen – Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 (0–0) 2.403.602.75 1.67 2.15
05.11.23 Nijmegen – Volendam 3–3 (1–1) 1.604.335.00 1.57 2.35
21.10.23 Nijmegen – Almere City 1–1 (0–1) 1.803.804.00 1.70 2.10
01.10.23 Nijmegen – Vitesse 1–3 (1–1) 2.153.403.25 1.70 2.10
23.09.23 Nijmegen – Utrecht 3–0 (2–0) 2.753.602.45 1.62 2.25
26.08.23 Nijmegen – Waalwijk 3–0 (1–0) 1.753.804.33 1.57 2.35
13.08.23 Nijmegen – Excelsior 3–4 (2–1) 1.504.336.50 1.57 2.35
21.05.23 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 0–3 (0–2) 4.333.801.80 1.60 2.30
06.05.23 Nijmegen – Heerenveen 2–3 (1–1) 2.103.403.50 1.75 2.05
16.04.23 Nijmegen – Vitesse 1–4 (0–2) 2.203.403.30 1.93 1.93

Ajax away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
12.11.23 Almere City – Ajax 2–2 (0–0) 5.004.751.53 1.48 2.60
29.10.23 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 5–2 (1–2) 1.305.759.00 1.33 3.40
22.10.23 Utrecht – Ajax 4–3 (1–0) 3.903.701.91 1.53 2.40
17.09.23 Twente – Ajax 3–1 (2–1) 2.603.502.60 1.60 2.30
03.09.23 For Sittard – Ajax 0–0 (0–0) 6.505.501.40 1.40 2.88
19.08.23 Excelsior – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 10.006.501.25 1.29 3.60
28.05.23 Twente – Ajax 3–1 (0–1) 4.004.201.75 1.44 2.70
14.05.23 Groningen – Ajax 2–3 (1–1) 13.006.501.22 1.40 2.88
23.04.23 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 3–0 (1–0) 2.383.502.90 1.57 2.35
02.04.23 Go Ahead Eagles – Ajax 0–0 (0–0) 7.505.001.33 1.53 2.40

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nijmegen winsDrawsAjax wins
4matches
2.25goals / match
25%over 2.5
25%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.03.23N1 Ajax – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 1.226.5011.00 1.40 2.88
08.01.23N1 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–1 (0–1) 6.506.001.36 1.44 2.70
23.04.22N1 Nijmegen – Ajax 0–1 (0–0) 13.007.001.20 1.36 3.10
14.08.21N1 Ajax – Nijmegen 5–0 (5–0) 1.109.0017.00 1.28 3.60

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 14 14 0 0 50 6 +44 42
2 Feyenoord 14 10 2 2 41 13 +28 32
3 AZ Alkmaar 12 9 2 1 29 6 +23 29
4 Twente 13 8 3 2 25 14 +11 27
5 Go Ahead Eagles 13 6 4 3 24 17 +7 22
6 Sparta Rotterdam 14 6 3 5 19 18 +1 21
7 Heerenveen 14 6 1 7 23 26 -3 19
8 Zwolle 14 5 2 7 20 23 -3 17
9 Excelsior 14 3 7 4 24 27 -3 16
10 For Sittard 14 4 4 6 15 24 -9 16
11 Ajax 12 4 3 5 26 24 +2 15
12 Heracles 14 4 3 7 20 33 -13 15
13 Waalwijk 13 4 1 8 12 23 -11 13
14 Almere City 14 3 4 7 12 30 -18 13
15 Nijmegen 12 2 6 4 21 23 -2 12
16 Utrecht 13 3 3 7 13 24 -11 12
17 Volendam 14 2 2 10 15 36 -21 8
18 Vitesse 14 2 2 10 10 32 -22 8
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 7 7 0 0 24 4 +20 21
2 Feyenoord 7 5 1 1 21 5 +16 16
3 AZ Alkmaar 6 5 1 0 18 2 +16 16
4 Go Ahead Eagles 6 5 1 0 19 4 +15 16
5 Twente 7 5 1 1 13 9 +4 16
6 For Sittard 7 4 2 1 12 7 +5 14
7 Heerenveen 7 4 1 2 14 8 +6 13
8 Ajax 6 4 0 2 16 8 +8 12
9 Heracles 7 3 1 3 10 15 -5 10
10 Nijmegen 7 2 3 2 15 12 +3 9
11 Sparta Rotterdam 7 2 2 3 8 11 -3 8
12 Excelsior 7 1 4 2 11 14 -3 7
13 Zwolle 7 2 1 4 6 10 -4 7
14 Waalwijk 7 2 1 4 7 13 -6 7
15 Volendam 7 2 1 4 8 16 -8 7
16 Utrecht 6 1 2 3 8 15 -7 5
17 Almere City 7 1 2 4 5 17 -12 5
18 Vitesse 6 0 2 4 3 11 -8 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 7 7 0 0 26 2 +24 21
2 Feyenoord 7 5 1 1 20 8 +12 16
3 AZ Alkmaar 6 4 1 1 11 4 +7 13
4 Sparta Rotterdam 7 4 1 2 11 7 +4 13
5 Twente 6 3 2 1 12 5 +7 11
6 Zwolle 7 3 1 3 14 13 +1 10
7 Excelsior 7 2 3 2 13 13 0 9
8 Almere City 7 2 2 3 7 13 -6 8
9 Utrecht 7 2 1 4 5 9 -4 7
10 Waalwijk 6 2 0 4 5 10 -5 6
11 Go Ahead Eagles 7 1 3 3 5 13 -8 6
12 Heerenveen 7 2 0 5 9 18 -9 6
13 Vitesse 8 2 0 6 7 21 -14 6
14 Heracles 7 1 2 4 10 18 -8 5
15 Nijmegen 5 0 3 2 6 11 -5 3
16 Ajax 6 0 3 3 10 16 -6 3
17 For Sittard 7 0 2 5 3 17 -14 2
18 Volendam 7 0 1 6 7 20 -13 1

Nijmegen   Ajax

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 14 1 13 3.6 0.4 14 0 0 50 6 42
2 12 Heracles 14 2 12 1.4 2.4 4 3 7 20 33 15
3 2 Feyenoord 14 3 11 2.9 0.9 10 2 2 41 13 32
4 7 Heerenveen 14 3 11 1.6 1.9 6 1 7 23 26 19
5 9 Excelsior 14 3 11 1.7 1.9 3 7 4 24 27 16
6 17 Volendam 14 3 11 1.1 2.6 2 2 10 15 36 8
7 10 For Sittard 14 4 10 1.1 1.7 4 4 6 15 24 16
8 11 Ajax 12 2 10 2.2 2.0 4 3 5 26 24 15
9 8 Zwolle 14 5 9 1.4 1.6 5 2 7 20 23 17
10 14 Almere City 14 5 9 0.9 2.1 3 4 7 12 30 13
11 4 Twente 13 5 8 1.9 1.1 8 3 2 25 14 27
12 5 Go Ahead Eagles 13 5 8 1.8 1.3 6 4 3 24 17 22
13 6 Sparta Rotterdam 14 6 8 1.4 1.3 6 3 5 19 18 21
14 13 Waalwijk 13 5 8 0.9 1.8 4 1 8 12 23 13
15 15 Nijmegen 12 4 8 1.8 1.9 2 6 4 21 23 12
16 18 Vitesse 14 6 8 0.7 2.3 2 2 10 10 32 8
17 3 AZ Alkmaar 12 5 7 2.4 0.5 9 2 1 29 6 29
18 16 Utrecht 13 7 6 1.0 1.8 3 3 7 13 24 12
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 7 1 6 3.4 0.6 7 0 0 24 4 21
2 7 Heerenveen 7 1 6 2.0 1.1 4 1 2 14 8 13
3 12 Heracles 7 1 6 1.4 2.1 3 1 3 10 15 10
4 2 Feyenoord 7 2 5 3.0 0.7 5 1 1 21 5 16
5 4 Twente 7 2 5 1.9 1.3 5 1 1 13 9 16
6 5 Go Ahead Eagles 6 1 5 3.2 0.7 5 1 0 19 4 16
7 9 Excelsior 7 2 5 1.6 2.0 1 4 2 11 14 7
8 10 For Sittard 7 2 5 1.7 1.0 4 2 1 12 7 14
9 11 Ajax 6 1 5 2.7 1.3 4 0 2 16 8 12
10 13 Waalwijk 7 2 5 1.0 1.9 2 1 4 7 13 7
11 14 Almere City 7 2 5 0.7 2.4 1 2 4 5 17 5
12 15 Nijmegen 7 2 5 2.1 1.7 2 3 2 15 12 9
13 17 Volendam 7 2 5 1.1 2.3 2 1 4 8 16 7
14 3 AZ Alkmaar 6 2 4 3.0 0.3 5 1 0 18 2 16
15 6 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 4 1.1 1.6 2 2 3 8 11 8
16 8 Zwolle 7 4 3 0.9 1.4 2 1 4 6 10 7
17 16 Utrecht 6 3 3 1.3 2.5 1 2 3 8 15 5
18 18 Vitesse 6 4 2 0.5 1.8 0 2 4 3 11 2
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 7 0 7 3.7 0.3 7 0 0 26 2 21
2 2 Feyenoord 7 1 6 2.9 1.1 5 1 1 20 8 16
3 8 Zwolle 7 1 6 2.0 1.9 3 1 3 14 13 10
4 9 Excelsior 7 1 6 1.9 1.9 2 3 2 13 13 9
5 12 Heracles 7 1 6 1.4 2.6 1 2 4 10 18 5
6 17 Volendam 7 1 6 1.0 2.9 0 1 6 7 20 1
7 18 Vitesse 8 2 6 0.9 2.6 2 0 6 7 21 6
8 7 Heerenveen 7 2 5 1.3 2.6 2 0 5 9 18 6
9 10 For Sittard 7 2 5 0.4 2.4 0 2 5 3 17 2
10 11 Ajax 6 1 5 1.7 2.7 0 3 3 10 16 3
11 6 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 4 1.6 1.0 4 1 2 11 7 13
12 14 Almere City 7 3 4 1.0 1.9 2 2 3 7 13 8
13 3 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 3 1.8 0.7 4 1 1 11 4 13
14 4 Twente 6 3 3 2.0 0.8 3 2 1 12 5 11
15 5 Go Ahead Eagles 7 4 3 0.7 1.9 1 3 3 5 13 6
16 13 Waalwijk 6 3 3 0.8 1.7 2 0 4 5 10 6
17 15 Nijmegen 5 2 3 1.2 2.2 0 3 2 6 11 3
18 16 Utrecht 7 4 3 0.7 1.3 2 1 4 5 9 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44