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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Nijmegen 1–2 Ajax

Full time · half time 1–1 · season 2024/2025

Home 4.33 fair 2.34
Draw 4.00 fair 4.15
Away ✓ 1.70 fair 3.01
Under 2.5 2.15 fair 2.38
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.67 fair 1.72

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nijmegen Ajax
21 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 6
7 Corners 1
13 Fouls 21
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (124 league matches this season so far).
Result Nijmegen to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.66
Expected goals 1.62 – 1.40
Home / Draw / Away
NijmegenDrawAjax
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1% 2–1 9% 1–0 7.9%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Nijmegen before this match, all matches
1.23points / match
1.54scored / match
0.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 20:12
Ajax before this match, all matches
2.42points / match
2.25scored / match
0.92conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 12 played · 27:11
Nijmegen all matches all matches Ajax

Per match

1.54 Goals scored 2.25
0.92 Goals conceded 0.92
2.46 Total goals 3.17
13.08 Shots 14.58
4.23 Shots on target 5.92
13.31 Shots faced 9.58
5.46 Corners 6.00
5.46 Corners against 2.25
10.77 Fouls 10.00
0.92 Yellow cards 1.67
0.69 1st-half goals scored 0.92
0.54 1st-half goals conceded 0.33

How often Full Time

38% Wins 75%
8% Draws 17%
54% Losses 8%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
69% Over 1.5 goals 83%
54% Over 2.5 goals 50%
8% Over 3.5 goals 42%
8% Over 4.5 goals 25%
8% Over 5.5 goals 8%
31% Both teams scored 50%
38% Clean sheets 50%
31% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

31% Wins 50%
38% Draws 42%
31% Losses 8%
69% Over 0.5 goals 75%
38% Over 1.5 goals 33%
15% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nijmegen all matches
Ajax all matches
Nijmegen before this match, at home
1.43points / match
2.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 14:7
Ajax before this match, away
1.83points / match
2.00scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 12:8
Nijmegen at home away Ajax

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 2.00
1.00 Goals conceded 1.33
3.00 Total goals 3.33
14.86 Shots 14.00
4.86 Shots on target 4.67
11.14 Shots faced 10.67
5.14 Corners 5.00
4.57 Corners against 3.50
11.57 Fouls 10.00
0.86 Yellow cards 1.83
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.57 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

43% Wins 50%
14% Draws 33%
43% Losses 17%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
86% Over 1.5 goals 100%
71% Over 2.5 goals 50%
14% Over 3.5 goals 33%
14% Over 4.5 goals 17%
14% Over 5.5 goals 17%
57% Both teams scored 67%
43% Clean sheets 33%
0% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

43% Wins 17%
29% Draws 67%
29% Losses 17%
86% Over 0.5 goals 50%
43% Over 1.5 goals 33%
29% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nijmegen at home
Ajax away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nijmegen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.11.24 Nijmegen – Utrecht 1–2 (0–1) 2.633.252.70 1.90 1.95
09.11.24 Waalwijk – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–0) 4.203.601.85 1.70 2.10
03.11.24 Nijmegen – Groningen 6–0 (3–0) 1.853.304.75 1.93 1.93
25.10.24 Almere City – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 2.903.202.50 2.00 1.85
19.10.24 Nijmegen – Heerenveen 3–0 (1–0) 1.913.753.80 1.65 2.20
05.10.24 NAC Breda – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 2.883.402.50 1.83 2.03
28.09.24 Nijmegen – Feyenoord 1–1 (1–0) 5.754.331.55 1.57 2.35
21.09.24 Nijmegen – Heracles 1–2 (1–2) 1.574.335.50 1.62 2.25
14.09.24 PSV Eindhoven – Nijmegen 2–0 (2–0) 1.139.0019.00 1.25 4.00
31.08.24 For Sittard – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–2) 2.203.503.20 1.83 2.03

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.11.24 Ajax – Zwolle 2–0 (1–0) 1.177.0017.00 1.40 2.88
10.11.24 Twente – Ajax 2–2 (1–0) 2.553.402.70 1.70 2.10
02.11.24 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 3–2 (1–1) 2.883.752.25 1.57 2.35
30.10.24 Feyenoord – Ajax 0–2 (0–2) 1.953.503.90 1.62 2.25
27.10.24 Ajax – Willem II 1–0 (1–0) 1.296.009.50 1.53 2.40
20.10.24 Heracles – Ajax 3–4 (2–2) 6.255.001.45 1.50 2.50
06.10.24 Ajax – Groningen 3–1 (1–0) 1.365.258.00 1.57 2.35
29.09.24 Waalwijk – Ajax 0–2 (0–0) 6.505.751.38 1.44 2.70
21.09.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Ajax 1–1 (0–0) 4.204.001.75 1.67 2.15
18.09.24 Ajax – For Sittard 5–0 (2–0) 1.405.006.50 1.50 2.50

Nijmegen at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.11.24 Nijmegen – Utrecht 1–2 (0–1) 2.633.252.70 1.90 1.95
03.11.24 Nijmegen – Groningen 6–0 (3–0) 1.853.304.75 1.93 1.93
19.10.24 Nijmegen – Heerenveen 3–0 (1–0) 1.913.753.80 1.65 2.20
28.09.24 Nijmegen – Feyenoord 1–1 (1–0) 5.754.331.55 1.57 2.35
21.09.24 Nijmegen – Heracles 1–2 (1–2) 1.574.335.50 1.62 2.25
24.08.24 Nijmegen – Zwolle 1–0 (0–0) 1.574.006.00 1.57 2.35
10.08.24 Nijmegen – Twente 1–2 (1–1) 3.753.601.95 1.67 2.15
12.05.24 Nijmegen – Feyenoord 2–3 (0–1) 5.754.201.53 1.44 2.70
28.04.24 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 0–3 (0–1) 3.204.002.05 1.70 2.10
14.04.24 Nijmegen – Zwolle 2–2 (0–1) 1.554.505.25 1.53 2.40

Ajax away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.11.24 Twente – Ajax 2–2 (1–0) 2.553.402.70 1.70 2.10
30.10.24 Feyenoord – Ajax 0–2 (0–2) 1.953.503.90 1.62 2.25
20.10.24 Heracles – Ajax 3–4 (2–2) 6.255.001.45 1.50 2.50
29.09.24 Waalwijk – Ajax 0–2 (0–0) 6.505.751.38 1.44 2.70
21.09.24 Go Ahead Eagles – Ajax 1–1 (0–0) 4.204.001.75 1.67 2.15
18.08.24 NAC Breda – Ajax 2–1 (0–0) 8.506.501.29 1.33 3.40
19.05.24 Vitesse – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 5.254.201.57 1.36 3.10
05.05.24 Volendam – Ajax 1–4 (0–1) 8.005.501.36 1.29 3.60
07.04.24 Feyenoord – Ajax 6–0 (3–0) 1.444.507.50 1.50 2.50
31.03.24 Zwolle – Ajax 1–3 (0–2) 4.754.001.70 1.53 2.40

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nijmegen winsDrawsAjax wins
6matches
2.67goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.02.24N1 Ajax – Nijmegen 2–2 (1–0) 1.405.506.00 1.36 3.10
03.12.23N1 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–2 (0–0) 4.334.331.70 1.44 2.70
05.03.23N1 Ajax – Nijmegen 1–0 (0–0) 1.226.5011.00 1.40 2.88
08.01.23N1 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–1 (0–1) 6.506.001.36 1.44 2.70
23.04.22N1 Nijmegen – Ajax 0–1 (0–0) 13.007.001.20 1.36 3.10
14.08.21N1 Ajax – Nijmegen 5–0 (5–0) 1.109.0017.00 1.28 3.60

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 14 13 0 1 50 11 +39 39
2 Utrecht 13 10 1 2 24 17 +7 31
3 Feyenoord 14 8 5 1 32 14 +18 29
4 Ajax 12 9 2 1 27 11 +16 29
5 Twente 14 8 4 2 29 14 +15 28
6 AZ Alkmaar 14 7 2 5 26 15 +11 23
7 NAC Breda 14 6 1 7 15 23 -8 19
8 Go Ahead Eagles 14 5 3 6 20 23 -3 18
9 For Sittard 14 5 3 6 15 19 -4 18
10 Nijmegen 13 5 1 7 20 12 +8 16
11 Willem II 14 4 4 6 15 16 -1 16
12 Zwolle 14 4 3 7 15 24 -9 15
13 Groningen 14 4 3 7 14 24 -10 15
14 Heerenveen 14 4 3 7 14 27 -13 15
15 Heracles 14 3 4 7 14 26 -12 13
16 Sparta Rotterdam 14 2 5 7 13 21 -8 11
17 Waalwijk 14 1 3 10 13 34 -21 6
18 Almere City 14 1 3 10 6 31 -25 6
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 6 6 0 0 23 2 +21 18
2 Ajax 6 6 0 0 15 3 +12 18
3 Twente 7 4 3 0 15 6 +9 15
4 Heerenveen 7 4 3 0 12 4 +8 15
5 NAC Breda 7 5 0 2 10 7 +3 15
6 Utrecht 7 5 0 2 12 12 0 15
7 Feyenoord 7 4 2 1 12 7 +5 14
8 For Sittard 7 4 0 3 10 8 +2 12
9 Zwolle 7 4 0 3 11 10 +1 12
10 Groningen 7 3 2 2 9 5 +4 11
11 Go Ahead Eagles 7 3 2 2 13 11 +2 11
12 AZ Alkmaar 7 3 1 3 16 9 +7 10
13 Nijmegen 7 3 1 3 14 7 +7 10
14 Heracles 7 2 3 2 11 11 0 9
15 Willem II 7 2 2 3 8 7 +1 8
16 Sparta Rotterdam 7 0 4 3 7 12 -5 4
17 Waalwijk 7 1 1 5 6 14 -8 4
18 Almere City 7 1 1 5 4 19 -15 4
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 8 7 0 1 27 9 +18 21
2 Utrecht 6 5 1 0 12 5 +7 16
3 Feyenoord 7 4 3 0 20 7 +13 15
4 Twente 7 4 1 2 14 8 +6 13
5 AZ Alkmaar 7 4 1 2 10 6 +4 13
6 Ajax 6 3 2 1 12 8 +4 11
7 Willem II 7 2 2 3 7 9 -2 8
8 Sparta Rotterdam 7 2 1 4 6 9 -3 7
9 Go Ahead Eagles 7 2 1 4 7 12 -5 7
10 Nijmegen 6 2 0 4 6 5 +1 6
11 For Sittard 7 1 3 3 5 11 -6 6
12 NAC Breda 7 1 1 5 5 16 -11 4
13 Heracles 7 1 1 5 3 15 -12 4
14 Groningen 7 1 1 5 5 19 -14 4
15 Zwolle 7 0 3 4 4 14 -10 3
16 Almere City 7 0 2 5 2 12 -10 2
17 Waalwijk 7 0 2 5 7 20 -13 2
18 Heerenveen 7 0 0 7 2 23 -21 0

Nijmegen   Ajax

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 14 2 12 3.6 0.8 13 0 1 50 11 39
2 17 Waalwijk 14 4 10 0.9 2.4 1 3 10 13 34 6
3 5 Twente 14 5 9 2.1 1.0 8 4 2 29 14 28
4 6 AZ Alkmaar 14 5 9 1.9 1.1 7 2 5 26 15 23
5 2 Utrecht 13 5 8 1.8 1.3 10 1 2 24 17 31
6 7 NAC Breda 14 6 8 1.1 1.6 6 1 7 15 23 19
7 8 Go Ahead Eagles 14 6 8 1.4 1.6 5 3 6 20 23 18
8 15 Heracles 14 6 8 1.0 1.9 3 4 7 14 26 13
9 3 Feyenoord 14 7 7 2.3 1.0 8 5 1 32 14 29
10 9 For Sittard 14 7 7 1.1 1.4 5 3 6 15 19 18
11 10 Nijmegen 13 6 7 1.5 0.9 5 1 7 20 12 16
12 12 Zwolle 14 7 7 1.1 1.7 4 3 7 15 24 15
13 13 Groningen 14 7 7 1.0 1.7 4 3 7 14 24 15
14 14 Heerenveen 14 7 7 1.0 1.9 4 3 7 14 27 15
15 16 Sparta Rotterdam 14 7 7 0.9 1.5 2 5 7 13 21 11
16 4 Ajax 12 6 6 2.2 0.9 9 2 1 27 11 29
17 18 Almere City 14 8 6 0.4 2.2 1 3 10 6 31 6
18 11 Willem II 14 9 5 1.1 1.1 4 4 6 15 16 16
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 6 1 5 3.8 0.3 6 0 0 23 2 18
2 6 AZ Alkmaar 7 2 5 2.3 1.3 3 1 3 16 9 10
3 9 For Sittard 7 2 5 1.4 1.1 4 0 3 10 8 12
4 10 Nijmegen 7 2 5 2.0 1.0 3 1 3 14 7 10
5 12 Zwolle 7 2 5 1.6 1.4 4 0 3 11 10 12
6 17 Waalwijk 7 2 5 0.9 2.0 1 1 5 6 14 4
7 2 Utrecht 7 3 4 1.7 1.7 5 0 2 12 12 15
8 7 NAC Breda 7 3 4 1.4 1.0 5 0 2 10 7 15
9 8 Go Ahead Eagles 7 3 4 1.9 1.6 3 2 2 13 11 11
10 15 Heracles 7 3 4 1.6 1.6 2 3 2 11 11 9
11 16 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 4 1.0 1.7 0 4 3 7 12 4
12 3 Feyenoord 7 4 3 1.7 1.0 4 2 1 12 7 14
13 4 Ajax 6 3 3 2.5 0.5 6 0 0 15 3 18
14 5 Twente 7 4 3 2.1 0.9 4 3 0 15 6 15
15 11 Willem II 7 4 3 1.1 1.0 2 2 3 8 7 8
16 18 Almere City 7 4 3 0.6 2.7 1 1 5 4 19 4
17 13 Groningen 7 5 2 1.3 0.7 3 2 2 9 5 11
18 14 Heerenveen 7 5 2 1.7 0.6 4 3 0 12 4 15
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 8 1 7 3.4 1.1 7 0 1 27 9 21
2 5 Twente 7 1 6 2.0 1.1 4 1 2 14 8 13
3 13 Groningen 7 2 5 0.7 2.7 1 1 5 5 19 4
4 14 Heerenveen 7 2 5 0.3 3.3 0 0 7 2 23 0
5 17 Waalwijk 7 2 5 1.0 2.9 0 2 5 7 20 2
6 2 Utrecht 6 2 4 2.0 0.8 5 1 0 12 5 16
7 3 Feyenoord 7 3 4 2.9 1.0 4 3 0 20 7 15
8 6 AZ Alkmaar 7 3 4 1.4 0.9 4 1 2 10 6 13
9 7 NAC Breda 7 3 4 0.7 2.3 1 1 5 5 16 4
10 8 Go Ahead Eagles 7 3 4 1.0 1.7 2 1 4 7 12 7
11 15 Heracles 7 3 4 0.4 2.1 1 1 5 3 15 4
12 4 Ajax 6 3 3 2.0 1.3 3 2 1 12 8 11
13 16 Sparta Rotterdam 7 4 3 0.9 1.3 2 1 4 6 9 7
14 18 Almere City 7 4 3 0.3 1.7 0 2 5 2 12 2
15 9 For Sittard 7 5 2 0.7 1.6 1 3 3 5 11 6
16 10 Nijmegen 6 4 2 1.0 0.8 2 0 4 6 5 6
17 11 Willem II 7 5 2 1.0 1.3 2 2 3 7 9 8
18 12 Zwolle 7 5 2 0.6 2.0 0 3 4 4 14 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51