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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Nijmegen 4–1 Heracles

Full time · half time 2–1 · season 2025/2026

Home ✓ 1.44 fair 1.46
Draw 4.75 fair 6.34
Away 6.25 fair 6.28
Under 2.5 2.88 fair 4.99
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.40 fair 1.25

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Nijmegen Heracles
15 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 2
3 Corners 6
10 Fouls 18
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (188 league matches this season so far).
Result Nijmegen to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.41
Expected goals 2.89 – 1.39
Home / Draw / Away
NijmegenDrawHeracles
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
2–1 8% 3–1 7.7% 2–0 5.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Nijmegen before this match, all matches
1.90points / match
2.60scored / match
1.70conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 52:34
Heracles before this match, all matches
0.81points / match
1.43scored / match
2.52conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 30:53
Nijmegen all matches all matches Heracles

Per match

2.60 Goals scored 1.43
1.70 Goals conceded 2.52
4.30 Total goals 3.95
15.60 Shots 11.05
6.75 Shots on target 4.19
11.80 Shots faced 17.33
5.35 Corners 4.29
4.25 Corners against 6.33
12.35 Fouls 13.14
1.80 Yellow cards 2.05
0.95 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.90 1st-half goals conceded 1.14

How often Full Time

55% Wins 24%
25% Draws 10%
20% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
95% Over 1.5 goals 100%
85% Over 2.5 goals 76%
70% Over 3.5 goals 38%
45% Over 4.5 goals 29%
20% Over 5.5 goals 24%
80% Both teams scored 57%
15% Clean sheets 5%
5% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 24%
35% Draws 19%
30% Losses 57%
95% Over 0.5 goals 90%
60% Over 1.5 goals 43%
25% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nijmegen all matches
Heracles all matches
Nijmegen before this match, at home
2.22points / match
2.78scored / match
1.44conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 9 played · 25:13
Heracles before this match, away
0.36points / match
0.91scored / match
2.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 10:29
Nijmegen at home away Heracles

Per match

2.78 Goals scored 0.91
1.44 Goals conceded 2.64
4.22 Total goals 3.55
15.00 Shots 8.55
6.11 Shots on target 2.82
11.44 Shots faced 18.91
5.89 Corners 4.18
4.00 Corners against 7.55
10.78 Fouls 14.09
1.67 Yellow cards 2.55
1.00 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.78 1st-half goals conceded 1.18

How often Full Time

67% Wins 9%
22% Draws 9%
11% Losses 82%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 100%
89% Over 2.5 goals 73%
56% Over 3.5 goals 36%
33% Over 4.5 goals 18%
22% Over 5.5 goals 18%
67% Both teams scored 55%
33% Clean sheets 0%
0% Failed to score 45%

How often Half Time

44% Wins 18%
33% Draws 0%
22% Losses 82%
89% Over 0.5 goals 100%
56% Over 1.5 goals 27%
22% Over 2.5 goals 27%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Nijmegen at home
Heracles away

Last 10 matches before this match

Nijmegen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
31.01.26 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–3 (1–2) 1.804.103.90 1.44 2.70
24.01.26 Nijmegen – Zwolle 2–1 (1–1) 1.484.506.50 1.44 2.70
17.01.26 NAC Breda – Nijmegen 3–4 (1–2) 3.003.602.25 1.60 2.30
20.12.25 Nijmegen – Ajax 2–2 (1–2) 2.304.002.63 1.48 2.60
13.12.25 Telstar – Nijmegen 2–2 (1–1) 3.504.001.90 1.44 2.70
07.12.25 Volendam – Nijmegen 2–3 (1–0) 4.004.001.80 1.44 2.70
29.11.25 Nijmegen – Sparta Rotterdam 3–1 (2–0) 1.624.334.75 1.48 2.60
23.11.25 Feyenoord – Nijmegen 2–4 (1–1) 1.405.007.00 1.36 3.10
09.11.25 Nijmegen – Groningen 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.803.60 1.67 2.15
02.11.25 Utrecht – Nijmegen 1–0 (1–0) 2.153.603.25 1.65 2.20

Heracles all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.02.26 Heracles – For Sittard 2–1 (2–1) 2.353.502.90 1.75 2.05
25.01.26 Feyenoord – Heracles 4–2 (2–1) 1.256.0011.00 1.33 3.40
18.01.26 Heracles – Twente 0–2 (0–1) 5.254.331.60 1.57 2.35
11.01.26 Sparta Rotterdam – Heracles 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.754.10 1.57 2.35
20.12.25 Heracles – Heerenveen 0–3 (0–0) 3.303.802.05 1.57 2.35
13.12.25 PSV Eindhoven – Heracles 4–3 (2–1) 1.1311.0015.00 1.18 4.50
06.12.25 Heracles – Telstar 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.752.90 1.65 2.20
29.11.25 For Sittard – Heracles 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.603.30 1.70 2.10
22.11.25 Heracles – Go Ahead Eagles 4–2 (1–2) 2.703.602.50 1.57 2.35
08.11.25 Excelsior – Heracles 1–2 (1–0) 1.914.103.50 1.65 2.20

Nijmegen at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.01.26 Nijmegen – Zwolle 2–1 (1–1) 1.484.506.50 1.44 2.70
20.12.25 Nijmegen – Ajax 2–2 (1–2) 2.304.002.63 1.48 2.60
29.11.25 Nijmegen – Sparta Rotterdam 3–1 (2–0) 1.624.334.75 1.48 2.60
09.11.25 Nijmegen – Groningen 2–0 (0–0) 1.953.803.60 1.67 2.15
18.10.25 Nijmegen – Twente 3–3 (1–1) 2.353.802.70 1.57 2.35
28.09.25 Nijmegen – AZ Alkmaar 2–1 (1–0) 3.004.102.10 1.44 2.70
13.09.25 Nijmegen – PSV Eindhoven 3–5 (1–3) 5.004.331.62 1.33 3.40
24.08.25 Nijmegen – NAC Breda 3–0 (1–0) 1.554.205.75 1.67 2.15
09.08.25 Nijmegen – Excelsior 5–0 (1–0) 1.754.004.33 1.73 2.08
14.05.25 Nijmegen – NAC Breda 3–0 (1–0) 1.803.704.33 1.70 2.10

Heracles away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.26 Feyenoord – Heracles 4–2 (2–1) 1.256.0011.00 1.33 3.40
11.01.26 Sparta Rotterdam – Heracles 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.754.10 1.57 2.35
13.12.25 PSV Eindhoven – Heracles 4–3 (2–1) 1.1311.0015.00 1.18 4.50
29.11.25 For Sittard – Heracles 1–1 (1–0) 2.103.603.30 1.70 2.10
08.11.25 Excelsior – Heracles 1–2 (1–0) 1.914.103.50 1.65 2.20
25.10.25 Volendam – Heracles 3–0 (1–0) 2.153.903.10 1.65 2.20
05.10.25 Twente – Heracles 2–1 (0–1) 1.335.508.50 1.44 2.70
20.09.25 NAC Breda – Heracles 2–1 (0–1) 2.003.603.60 1.75 2.05
29.08.25 Groningen – Heracles 4–0 (3–0) 1.623.905.25 1.80 2.00
24.08.25 Ajax – Heracles 2–0 (1–0) 1.186.5015.00 1.36 3.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Nijmegen winsDrawsHeracles wins
7matches
2.71goals / match
71%over 2.5
71%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.08.25N1 Heracles – Nijmegen 1–4 (1–1) 2.803.502.40 1.73 2.08
18.05.25N1 Heracles – Nijmegen 1–2 (0–0) 2.553.602.60 1.53 2.40
21.09.24N1 Nijmegen – Heracles 1–2 (1–2) 1.574.335.50 1.62 2.25
03.02.24N1 Nijmegen – Heracles 3–1 (0–1) 1.734.004.75 1.62 2.25
18.08.23N1 Heracles – Nijmegen 2–1 (0–1) 2.453.602.75 1.62 2.25
15.01.22N1 Nijmegen – Heracles 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.402.80 2.00 1.85
29.08.21N1 Heracles – Nijmegen 0–1 (0–0) 1.723.754.50 1.75 2.05

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 21 18 2 1 64 25 +39 56
2 Feyenoord 21 12 3 6 51 32 +19 39
3 Nijmegen 20 11 5 4 52 34 +18 38
4 Ajax 21 10 8 3 41 28 +13 38
5 Sparta Rotterdam 21 11 2 8 27 34 -7 35
6 AZ Alkmaar 21 9 5 7 36 35 +1 32
7 Twente 21 7 10 4 31 24 +7 31
8 Groningen 21 9 4 8 28 26 +2 31
9 Zwolle 21 7 5 9 30 43 -13 26
10 Excelsior 22 7 5 10 24 37 -13 26
11 Heerenveen 20 6 7 7 32 31 +1 25
12 For Sittard 21 7 4 10 31 36 -5 25
13 Utrecht 20 6 6 8 30 27 +3 24
14 Go Ahead Eagles 20 4 10 6 31 34 -3 22
15 Volendam 21 4 6 11 22 36 -14 18
16 Heracles 21 5 2 14 30 53 -23 17
17 Telstar 21 3 7 11 25 37 -12 16
18 NAC Breda 22 3 7 12 23 36 -13 16
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 11 8 2 1 36 16 +20 26
2 Ajax 11 7 2 2 19 9 +10 23
3 Feyenoord 11 7 1 3 29 18 +11 22
4 Nijmegen 9 6 2 1 25 13 +12 20
5 Zwolle 10 6 1 3 14 13 +1 19
6 Utrecht 10 5 2 3 18 10 +8 17
7 For Sittard 10 5 2 3 17 15 +2 17
8 Sparta Rotterdam 11 5 2 4 13 18 -5 17
9 Volendam 11 4 4 3 17 14 +3 16
10 AZ Alkmaar 10 4 4 2 21 19 +2 16
11 Twente 10 4 4 2 13 11 +2 16
12 Groningen 10 4 3 3 15 9 +6 15
13 Go Ahead Eagles 9 3 5 1 15 12 +3 14
14 Heerenveen 11 3 5 3 18 19 -1 14
15 Excelsior 11 4 2 5 12 14 -2 14
16 Heracles 10 4 1 5 20 24 -4 13
17 NAC Breda 12 3 3 6 14 18 -4 12
18 Telstar 11 1 4 6 17 23 -6 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 10 10 0 0 28 9 +19 30
2 Nijmegen 11 5 3 3 27 21 +6 18
3 Sparta Rotterdam 10 6 0 4 14 16 -2 18
4 Feyenoord 10 5 2 3 22 14 +8 17
5 AZ Alkmaar 11 5 1 5 15 16 -1 16
6 Groningen 11 5 1 5 13 17 -4 16
7 Twente 11 3 6 2 18 13 +5 15
8 Ajax 10 3 6 1 22 19 +3 15
9 Excelsior 11 3 3 5 12 23 -11 12
10 Heerenveen 9 3 2 4 14 12 +2 11
11 Telstar 10 2 3 5 8 14 -6 9
12 Go Ahead Eagles 11 1 5 5 16 22 -6 8
13 For Sittard 11 2 2 7 14 21 -7 8
14 Utrecht 10 1 4 5 12 17 -5 7
15 Zwolle 11 1 4 6 16 30 -14 7
16 NAC Breda 10 0 4 6 9 18 -9 4
17 Heracles 11 1 1 9 10 29 -19 4
18 Volendam 10 0 2 8 5 22 -17 2

Nijmegen   Heracles

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 21 4 17 3.0 1.2 18 2 1 64 25 56
2 3 Nijmegen 20 3 17 2.6 1.7 11 5 4 52 34 38
3 16 Heracles 21 5 16 1.4 2.5 5 2 14 30 53 17
4 2 Feyenoord 21 6 15 2.4 1.5 12 3 6 51 32 39
5 6 AZ Alkmaar 21 7 14 1.7 1.7 9 5 7 36 35 32
6 9 Zwolle 21 7 14 1.4 2.0 7 5 9 30 43 26
7 4 Ajax 21 8 13 2.0 1.3 10 8 3 41 28 38
8 10 Excelsior 22 9 13 1.1 1.7 7 5 10 24 37 26
9 11 Heerenveen 20 7 13 1.6 1.6 6 7 7 32 31 25
10 12 For Sittard 21 8 13 1.5 1.7 7 4 10 31 36 25
11 14 Go Ahead Eagles 20 7 13 1.6 1.7 4 10 6 31 34 22
12 15 Volendam 21 8 13 1.0 1.7 4 6 11 22 36 18
13 18 NAC Breda 22 10 12 1.0 1.6 3 7 12 23 36 16
14 13 Utrecht 20 9 11 1.5 1.4 6 6 8 30 27 24
15 17 Telstar 21 10 11 1.2 1.8 3 7 11 25 37 16
16 5 Sparta Rotterdam 21 11 10 1.3 1.6 11 2 8 27 34 35
17 8 Groningen 21 12 9 1.3 1.2 9 4 8 28 26 31
18 7 Twente 21 13 8 1.5 1.1 7 10 4 31 24 31
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 11 1 10 3.3 1.5 8 2 1 36 16 26
2 3 Nijmegen 9 1 8 2.8 1.4 6 2 1 25 13 20
3 6 AZ Alkmaar 10 2 8 2.1 1.9 4 4 2 21 19 16
4 16 Heracles 10 2 8 2.0 2.4 4 1 5 20 24 13
5 17 Telstar 11 3 8 1.5 2.1 1 4 6 17 23 7
6 2 Feyenoord 11 4 7 2.6 1.6 7 1 3 29 18 22
7 11 Heerenveen 11 4 7 1.6 1.7 3 5 3 18 19 14
8 15 Volendam 11 4 7 1.5 1.3 4 4 3 17 14 16
9 10 Excelsior 11 5 6 1.1 1.3 4 2 5 12 14 14
10 12 For Sittard 10 4 6 1.7 1.5 5 2 3 17 15 17
11 13 Utrecht 10 4 6 1.8 1.0 5 2 3 18 10 17
12 14 Go Ahead Eagles 9 3 6 1.7 1.3 3 5 1 15 12 14
13 18 NAC Breda 12 6 6 1.2 1.5 3 3 6 14 18 12
14 5 Sparta Rotterdam 11 6 5 1.2 1.6 5 2 4 13 18 17
15 8 Groningen 10 5 5 1.5 0.9 4 3 3 15 9 15
16 9 Zwolle 10 5 5 1.4 1.3 6 1 3 14 13 19
17 4 Ajax 11 7 4 1.7 0.8 7 2 2 19 9 23
18 7 Twente 10 6 4 1.3 1.1 4 4 2 13 11 16
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Nijmegen 11 2 9 2.5 1.9 5 3 3 27 21 18
2 4 Ajax 10 1 9 2.2 1.9 3 6 1 22 19 15
3 9 Zwolle 11 2 9 1.5 2.7 1 4 6 16 30 7
4 2 Feyenoord 10 2 8 2.2 1.4 5 2 3 22 14 17
5 16 Heracles 11 3 8 0.9 2.6 1 1 9 10 29 4
6 1 PSV Eindhoven 10 3 7 2.8 0.9 10 0 0 28 9 30
7 10 Excelsior 11 4 7 1.1 2.1 3 3 5 12 23 12
8 12 For Sittard 11 4 7 1.3 1.9 2 2 7 14 21 8
9 14 Go Ahead Eagles 11 4 7 1.5 2.0 1 5 5 16 22 8
10 6 AZ Alkmaar 11 5 6 1.4 1.5 5 1 5 15 16 16
11 11 Heerenveen 9 3 6 1.6 1.3 3 2 4 14 12 11
12 15 Volendam 10 4 6 0.5 2.2 0 2 8 5 22 2
13 18 NAC Breda 10 4 6 0.9 1.8 0 4 6 9 18 4
14 5 Sparta Rotterdam 10 5 5 1.4 1.6 6 0 4 14 16 18
15 13 Utrecht 10 5 5 1.2 1.7 1 4 5 12 17 7
16 7 Twente 11 7 4 1.6 1.2 3 6 2 18 13 15
17 8 Groningen 11 7 4 1.2 1.5 5 1 5 13 17 16
18 17 Telstar 10 7 3 0.8 1.4 2 3 5 8 14 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51