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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Ajax 1–0 Nijmegen

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.22 fair 1.69
Draw 6.50 fair 4.68
Away 11.00 fair 5.16
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.88 fair 2.41
Over 2.5 1.40 fair 1.71

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Ajax Nijmegen
19 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 2
10 Corners 2
17 Fouls 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (214 league matches this season so far).
Result Ajax to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.78
Expected goals 1.99 – 1.05
Home / Draw / Away
AjaxDrawNijmegen
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 10% 2–1 9.9% 1–0 9.5%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Ajax before this match, all matches
2.13points / match
2.83scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 65:23
Nijmegen before this match, all matches
1.30points / match
1.30scored / match
0.96conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 23 played · 30:22
Ajax all matches all matches Nijmegen

Per match

2.83 Goals scored 1.30
1.00 Goals conceded 0.96
3.83 Total goals 2.26
18.43 Shots 14.61
7.04 Shots on target 4.83
8.83 Shots faced 14.13
7.52 Corners 5.96
3.17 Corners against 5.61
8.61 Fouls 10.13
1.43 Yellow cards 1.48
1.30 1st-half goals scored 0.39
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

61% Wins 26%
30% Draws 52%
9% Losses 22%
96% Over 0.5 goals 83%
91% Over 1.5 goals 70%
70% Over 2.5 goals 30%
57% Over 3.5 goals 17%
39% Over 4.5 goals 13%
17% Over 5.5 goals 9%
70% Both teams scored 48%
30% Clean sheets 30%
4% Failed to score 39%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 17%
22% Draws 57%
22% Losses 26%
91% Over 0.5 goals 52%
61% Over 1.5 goals 30%
22% Over 2.5 goals 13%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax all matches
Nijmegen all matches
Ajax before this match, at home
2.00points / match
3.09scored / match
0.82conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 34:9
Nijmegen before this match, away
1.18points / match
0.82scored / match
0.91conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 9:10
Ajax at home away Nijmegen

Per match

3.09 Goals scored 0.82
0.82 Goals conceded 0.91
3.91 Total goals 1.73
22.09 Shots 11.73
8.64 Shots on target 4.18
7.09 Shots faced 16.73
9.18 Corners 4.36
2.36 Corners against 6.18
7.09 Fouls 10.36
0.91 Yellow cards 1.82
1.27 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.36 1st-half goals conceded 0.64

How often Full Time

55% Wins 27%
36% Draws 36%
9% Losses 36%
91% Over 0.5 goals 73%
91% Over 1.5 goals 55%
73% Over 2.5 goals 27%
64% Over 3.5 goals 9%
27% Over 4.5 goals 9%
18% Over 5.5 goals 0%
64% Both teams scored 18%
36% Clean sheets 45%
9% Failed to score 64%

How often Half Time

55% Wins 27%
27% Draws 36%
18% Losses 36%
82% Over 0.5 goals 64%
55% Over 1.5 goals 27%
18% Over 2.5 goals 9%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax at home
Nijmegen away

Last 10 matches before this match

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.02.23 Vitesse – Ajax 1–2 (1–1) 5.504.751.50 1.57 2.35
19.02.23 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 4–0 (2–0) 1.227.0012.00 1.44 2.70
12.02.23 Ajax – Waalwijk 3–1 (0–1) 1.148.0017.00 1.30 3.50
05.02.23 Cambuur – Ajax 0–5 (0–2) 9.005.751.22 1.50 2.50
29.01.23 Excelsior – Ajax 1–4 (1–2) 11.006.001.25 1.36 3.10
26.01.23 Ajax – Volendam 1–1 (0–0) 1.139.5017.00 1.20 4.33
22.01.23 Feyenoord – Ajax 1–1 (1–0) 2.703.502.60 1.60 2.30
14.01.23 Ajax – Twente 0–0 (0–0) 1.365.257.50 1.44 2.70
08.01.23 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–1 (0–1) 6.506.001.36 1.44 2.70
12.11.22 FC Emmen – Ajax 3–3 (1–3) 9.505.501.30 1.40 2.87

Nijmegen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.02.23 Nijmegen – Volendam 3–0 (0–0) 1.574.005.75 1.67 2.15
19.02.23 Excelsior – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–1) 3.303.402.20 1.70 2.10
11.02.23 Nijmegen – Cambuur 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.805.00 2.00 1.85
05.02.23 Go Ahead Eagles – Nijmegen 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.402.70 2.00 1.85
28.01.23 Nijmegen – Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 (0–0) 2.303.303.20 2.05 1.75
25.01.23 Feyenoord – Nijmegen 2–0 (2–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.57 2.35
21.01.23 Nijmegen – FC Emmen 3–1 (2–1) 2.003.404.00 2.15 1.67
15.01.23 Vitesse – Nijmegen 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.75 2.05
08.01.23 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–1 (0–1) 6.506.001.36 1.44 2.70
13.11.22 Nijmegen – Waalwijk 6–1 (1–1) 2.053.603.50 1.72 2.07

Ajax at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.02.23 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 4–0 (2–0) 1.227.0012.00 1.44 2.70
12.02.23 Ajax – Waalwijk 3–1 (0–1) 1.148.0017.00 1.30 3.50
26.01.23 Ajax – Volendam 1–1 (0–0) 1.139.5017.00 1.20 4.33
14.01.23 Ajax – Twente 0–0 (0–0) 1.365.257.50 1.44 2.70
09.11.22 Ajax – Vitesse 2–2 (1–1) 1.1210.0015.00 1.28 3.60
06.11.22 Ajax – PSV Eindhoven 1–2 (0–1) 1.754.004.33 1.44 2.70
16.10.22 Ajax – Excelsior 7–1 (3–0) 1.0513.0029.00 1.12 6.00
01.10.22 Ajax – Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 (1–0) 1.0812.0021.00 1.22 4.20
10.09.22 Ajax – Heerenveen 5–0 (2–0) 1.188.0012.00 1.28 3.60
03.09.22 Ajax – Cambuur 4–0 (2–0) 1.1011.0023.00 1.16 5.00

Nijmegen away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.02.23 Excelsior – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–1) 3.303.402.20 1.70 2.10
05.02.23 Go Ahead Eagles – Nijmegen 1–0 (1–0) 2.403.402.70 2.00 1.85
25.01.23 Feyenoord – Nijmegen 2–0 (2–0) 1.305.5010.00 1.57 2.35
15.01.23 Vitesse – Nijmegen 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.403.30 1.75 2.05
04.11.22 Cambuur – Nijmegen 0–1 (0–1) 2.623.402.62 1.98 1.88
30.10.22 PSV Eindhoven – Nijmegen 3–0 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.36 3.10
16.10.22 Sparta Rotterdam – Nijmegen 2–0 (2–0) 2.373.403.00 2.05 1.75
16.09.22 Utrecht – Nijmegen 0–0 (0–0) 1.703.755.00 1.70 2.10
04.09.22 Heerenveen – Nijmegen 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.604.00 1.75 2.05
01.09.22 AZ Alkmaar – Nijmegen 1–1 (0–0) 1.454.506.50 1.66 2.15

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Ajax winsDrawsNijmegen wins
3matches
2.67goals / match
33%over 2.5
33%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.01.23N1 Nijmegen – Ajax 1–1 (0–1) 6.506.001.36 1.44 2.70
23.04.22N1 Nijmegen – Ajax 0–1 (0–0) 13.007.001.20 1.36 3.10
14.08.21N1 Ajax – Nijmegen 5–0 (5–0) 1.109.0017.00 1.28 3.60

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Feyenoord 24 16 7 1 54 22 +32 55
2 AZ Alkmaar 24 15 5 4 50 28 +22 50
3 Ajax 23 14 7 2 65 23 +42 49
4 PSV Eindhoven 24 15 4 5 61 28 +33 49
5 Twente 24 11 8 5 39 21 +18 41
6 Sparta Rotterdam 24 11 7 6 36 26 +10 40
7 Utrecht 24 10 7 7 39 37 +2 37
8 Waalwijk 24 8 8 8 39 37 +2 32
9 Heerenveen 24 8 7 9 27 32 -5 31
10 Nijmegen 23 6 12 5 30 22 +8 30
11 For Sittard 24 8 5 11 31 41 -10 29
12 Go Ahead Eagles 23 6 8 9 33 39 -6 26
13 Vitesse 24 5 8 11 28 42 -14 23
14 Volendam 24 6 5 13 28 53 -25 23
15 Excelsior 24 6 2 16 21 58 -37 20
16 FC Emmen 24 3 9 12 21 43 -22 18
17 Groningen 24 4 5 15 25 49 -24 17
18 Cambuur 23 3 4 16 13 39 -26 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 12 10 1 1 37 8 +29 31
2 Twente 12 9 3 0 30 6 +24 30
3 Feyenoord 12 8 4 0 24 6 +18 28
4 Sparta Rotterdam 12 7 2 3 20 12 +8 23
5 Ajax 11 6 4 1 34 9 +25 22
6 AZ Alkmaar 11 6 4 1 25 15 +10 22
7 Waalwijk 12 6 3 3 26 16 +10 21
8 Utrecht 12 5 4 3 13 11 +2 19
9 Nijmegen 12 3 8 1 21 12 +9 17
10 Go Ahead Eagles 12 4 4 4 19 20 -1 16
11 Volendam 12 5 1 6 18 25 -7 16
12 Excelsior 12 5 1 6 13 22 -9 16
13 FC Emmen 12 2 8 2 13 15 -2 14
14 Heerenveen 12 4 2 6 13 18 -5 14
15 Groningen 12 3 3 6 17 21 -4 12
16 For Sittard 12 3 3 6 15 20 -5 12
17 Vitesse 12 2 4 6 13 24 -11 10
18 Cambuur 12 1 0 11 5 24 -19 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 AZ Alkmaar 13 9 1 3 25 13 +12 28
2 Ajax 12 8 3 1 31 14 +17 27
3 Feyenoord 12 8 3 1 30 16 +14 27
4 PSV Eindhoven 12 5 3 4 24 20 +4 18
5 Utrecht 12 5 3 4 26 26 0 18
6 Sparta Rotterdam 12 4 5 3 16 14 +2 17
7 Heerenveen 12 4 5 3 14 14 0 17
8 For Sittard 12 5 2 5 16 21 -5 17
9 Nijmegen 11 3 4 4 9 10 -1 13
10 Vitesse 12 3 4 5 15 18 -3 13
11 Twente 12 2 5 5 9 15 -6 11
12 Waalwijk 12 2 5 5 13 21 -8 11
13 Go Ahead Eagles 11 2 4 5 14 19 -5 10
14 Cambuur 11 2 4 5 8 15 -7 10
15 Volendam 12 1 4 7 10 28 -18 7
16 Groningen 12 1 2 9 8 28 -20 5
17 FC Emmen 12 1 1 10 8 28 -20 4
18 Excelsior 12 1 1 10 8 36 -28 4

Ajax   Nijmegen

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Ajax 23 7 16 2.8 1.0 14 7 2 65 23 49
2 4 PSV Eindhoven 24 8 16 2.5 1.2 15 4 5 61 28 49
3 2 AZ Alkmaar 24 9 15 2.1 1.2 15 5 4 50 28 50
4 8 Waalwijk 24 9 15 1.6 1.5 8 8 8 39 37 32
5 13 Vitesse 24 9 15 1.2 1.8 5 8 11 28 42 23
6 14 Volendam 24 9 15 1.2 2.2 6 5 13 28 53 23
7 6 Sparta Rotterdam 24 10 14 1.5 1.1 11 7 6 36 26 40
8 7 Utrecht 24 10 14 1.6 1.5 10 7 7 39 37 37
9 11 For Sittard 24 10 14 1.3 1.7 8 5 11 31 41 29
10 15 Excelsior 24 10 14 0.9 2.4 6 2 16 21 58 20
11 17 Groningen 24 10 14 1.0 2.0 4 5 15 25 49 17
12 9 Heerenveen 24 11 13 1.1 1.3 8 7 9 27 32 31
13 1 Feyenoord 24 12 12 2.2 0.9 16 7 1 54 22 55
14 16 FC Emmen 24 12 12 0.9 1.8 3 9 12 21 43 18
15 18 Cambuur 23 11 12 0.6 1.7 3 4 16 13 39 13
16 5 Twente 24 13 11 1.6 0.9 11 8 5 39 21 41
17 12 Go Ahead Eagles 23 12 11 1.4 1.7 6 8 9 33 39 26
18 10 Nijmegen 23 16 7 1.3 1.0 6 12 5 30 22 30
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Ajax 11 3 8 3.1 0.8 6 4 1 34 9 22
2 5 Twente 12 4 8 2.5 0.5 9 3 0 30 6 30
3 8 Waalwijk 12 4 8 2.2 1.3 6 3 3 26 16 21
4 9 Heerenveen 12 4 8 1.1 1.5 4 2 6 13 18 14
5 13 Vitesse 12 4 8 1.1 2.0 2 4 6 13 24 10
6 14 Volendam 12 4 8 1.5 2.1 5 1 6 18 25 16
7 2 AZ Alkmaar 11 4 7 2.3 1.4 6 4 1 25 15 22
8 4 PSV Eindhoven 12 5 7 3.1 0.7 10 1 1 37 8 31
9 6 Sparta Rotterdam 12 5 7 1.7 1.0 7 2 3 20 12 23
10 15 Excelsior 12 5 7 1.1 1.8 5 1 6 13 22 16
11 17 Groningen 12 5 7 1.4 1.8 3 3 6 17 21 12
12 18 Cambuur 12 5 7 0.4 2.0 1 0 11 5 24 3
13 12 Go Ahead Eagles 12 6 6 1.6 1.7 4 4 4 19 20 16
14 1 Feyenoord 12 7 5 2.0 0.5 8 4 0 24 6 28
15 7 Utrecht 12 7 5 1.1 0.9 5 4 3 13 11 19
16 11 For Sittard 12 7 5 1.2 1.7 3 3 6 15 20 12
17 16 FC Emmen 12 7 5 1.1 1.2 2 8 2 13 15 14
18 10 Nijmegen 12 8 4 1.8 1.0 3 8 1 21 12 17
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 PSV Eindhoven 12 3 9 2.0 1.7 5 3 4 24 20 18
2 7 Utrecht 12 3 9 2.2 2.2 5 3 4 26 26 18
3 11 For Sittard 12 3 9 1.3 1.8 5 2 5 16 21 17
4 2 AZ Alkmaar 13 5 8 1.9 1.0 9 1 3 25 13 28
5 3 Ajax 12 4 8 2.6 1.2 8 3 1 31 14 27
6 1 Feyenoord 12 5 7 2.5 1.3 8 3 1 30 16 27
7 6 Sparta Rotterdam 12 5 7 1.3 1.2 4 5 3 16 14 17
8 8 Waalwijk 12 5 7 1.1 1.8 2 5 5 13 21 11
9 13 Vitesse 12 5 7 1.2 1.5 3 4 5 15 18 13
10 14 Volendam 12 5 7 0.8 2.3 1 4 7 10 28 7
11 15 Excelsior 12 5 7 0.7 3.0 1 1 10 8 36 4
12 16 FC Emmen 12 5 7 0.7 2.3 1 1 10 8 28 4
13 17 Groningen 12 5 7 0.7 2.3 1 2 9 8 28 5
14 9 Heerenveen 12 7 5 1.2 1.2 4 5 3 14 14 17
15 12 Go Ahead Eagles 11 6 5 1.3 1.7 2 4 5 14 19 10
16 18 Cambuur 11 6 5 0.7 1.4 2 4 5 8 15 10
17 5 Twente 12 9 3 0.8 1.2 2 5 5 9 15 11
18 10 Nijmegen 11 8 3 0.8 0.9 3 4 4 9 10 13

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44