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Netherlands Eredivisie ·

Ajax 1–1 Heerenveen

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2025/2026

Home 1.57 fair 1.99
Draw ✓ 4.50 fair 4.62
Away 5.00 fair 3.55
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.70 fair 3.03
Over 2.5 1.44 fair 1.49

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Ajax Heerenveen
9 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 7
5 Corners 4
6 Fouls 16
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (91 league matches this season so far).
Result Ajax to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.51
Expected goals 2.00 – 1.46
Home / Draw / Away
AjaxDrawHeerenveen
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 9.2% 2–1 9.2% 1–2 6.7%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Ajax before this match, all matches
1.90points / match
2.00scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 20:14
Heerenveen before this match, all matches
1.30points / match
1.80scored / match
1.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 18:18
Ajax all matches all matches Heerenveen

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 1.80
1.40 Goals conceded 1.80
3.40 Total goals 3.60
15.80 Shots 15.00
6.80 Shots on target 4.70
13.10 Shots faced 10.60
5.80 Corners 6.10
5.20 Corners against 4.70
12.30 Fouls 10.30
2.30 Yellow cards 1.80
0.90 1st-half goals scored 0.80
0.90 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

50% Wins 30%
40% Draws 40%
10% Losses 30%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 90%
60% Over 2.5 goals 80%
50% Over 3.5 goals 50%
20% Over 4.5 goals 30%
10% Over 5.5 goals 10%
70% Both teams scored 90%
20% Clean sheets 0%
10% Failed to score 10%

How often Half Time

30% Wins 40%
40% Draws 30%
30% Losses 30%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 40%
10% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax all matches
Heerenveen all matches
Ajax before this match, at home
2.40points / match
1.80scored / match
0.80conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 9:4
Heerenveen before this match, away
1.00points / match
1.50scored / match
1.75conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 4 played · 6:7
Ajax at home away Heerenveen

Per match

1.80 Goals scored 1.50
0.80 Goals conceded 1.75
2.60 Total goals 3.25
16.60 Shots 13.00
7.40 Shots on target 4.25
12.00 Shots faced 12.50
6.40 Corners 6.25
4.60 Corners against 5.00
12.20 Fouls 12.50
1.60 Yellow cards 2.00
1.00 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

80% Wins 25%
0% Draws 25%
20% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
100% Over 1.5 goals 75%
40% Over 2.5 goals 75%
20% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 25%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
40% Both teams scored 75%
40% Clean sheets 0%
20% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

60% Wins 25%
20% Draws 50%
20% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
60% Over 1.5 goals 75%
0% Over 2.5 goals 25%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Ajax at home
Heerenveen away

Last 10 matches before this match

Ajax all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.10.25 Twente – Ajax 2–3 (1–0) 2.353.503.00 1.65 2.20
18.10.25 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 0–2 (0–2) 2.003.903.40 1.57 2.35
04.10.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Ajax 3–3 (1–1) 4.104.101.75 1.53 2.40
27.09.25 Ajax – NAC Breda 2–1 (1–1) 1.276.009.50 1.36 3.10
21.09.25 PSV Eindhoven – Ajax 2–2 (1–1) 1.734.004.50 1.40 2.88
13.09.25 Ajax – Zwolle 3–1 (2–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.48 2.60
30.08.25 Volendam – Ajax 1–1 (1–0) 7.005.501.36 1.40 2.88
24.08.25 Ajax – Heracles 2–0 (1–0) 1.186.5015.00 1.36 3.10
17.08.25 Go Ahead Eagles – Ajax 2–2 (2–2) 3.904.101.80 1.44 2.70
10.08.25 Ajax – Telstar 2–0 (1–0) 1.177.5017.00 1.33 3.40

Heerenveen all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
24.10.25 Heerenveen – NAC Breda 3–3 (1–0) 1.734.104.50 1.60 2.30
19.10.25 Telstar – Heerenveen 2–3 (1–2) 2.703.502.50 1.65 2.20
04.10.25 Heerenveen – Excelsior 2–1 (0–1) 1.604.335.00 1.53 2.40
28.09.25 Utrecht – Heerenveen 2–2 (1–1) 1.804.003.90 1.67 2.15
21.09.25 Heerenveen – Nijmegen 3–2 (1–0) 2.553.602.63 1.48 2.60
13.09.25 Feyenoord – Heerenveen 1–0 (1–0) 1.385.007.50 1.57 2.35
30.08.25 Heerenveen – Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 (1–1) 2.253.702.90 1.60 2.30
24.08.25 Heerenveen – Twente 1–2 (0–1) 2.753.752.30 1.62 2.25
16.08.25 Groningen – Heerenveen 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.503.20 1.93 1.88
09.08.25 Heerenveen – Volendam 1–1 (1–0) 1.574.205.50 1.70 2.10

Ajax at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.10.25 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 0–2 (0–2) 2.003.903.40 1.57 2.35
27.09.25 Ajax – NAC Breda 2–1 (1–1) 1.276.009.50 1.36 3.10
13.09.25 Ajax – Zwolle 3–1 (2–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.48 2.60
24.08.25 Ajax – Heracles 2–0 (1–0) 1.186.5015.00 1.36 3.10
10.08.25 Ajax – Telstar 2–0 (1–0) 1.177.5017.00 1.33 3.40
18.05.25 Ajax – Twente 2–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.00 1.40 2.88
11.05.25 Ajax – Nijmegen 0–3 (0–0) 1.305.509.00 1.48 2.60
27.04.25 Ajax – Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 (0–0) 1.484.755.50 1.53 2.40
06.04.25 Ajax – NAC Breda 3–1 (2–1) 1.256.2510.00 1.44 2.70
16.03.25 Ajax – AZ Alkmaar 2–2 (0–0) 1.753.804.33 1.88 1.98

Heerenveen away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.10.25 Telstar – Heerenveen 2–3 (1–2) 2.703.502.50 1.65 2.20
28.09.25 Utrecht – Heerenveen 2–2 (1–1) 1.804.003.90 1.67 2.15
13.09.25 Feyenoord – Heerenveen 1–0 (1–0) 1.385.007.50 1.57 2.35
16.08.25 Groningen – Heerenveen 2–1 (1–1) 2.203.503.20 1.93 1.88
14.05.25 Go Ahead Eagles – Heerenveen 1–0 (0–0) 2.553.752.55 1.50 2.50
10.05.25 Waalwijk – Heerenveen 3–1 (1–1) 3.403.802.00 1.50 2.40
12.04.25 Sparta Rotterdam – Heerenveen 3–1 (1–0) 1.913.753.75 1.83 2.03
30.03.25 Utrecht – Heerenveen 2–0 (1–0) 1.753.754.33 1.75 2.05
08.03.25 PSV Eindhoven – Heerenveen 2–1 (1–0) 1.256.5010.00 1.33 3.40
16.02.25 Zwolle – Heerenveen 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.503.10 1.80 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Ajax winsDrawsHeerenveen wins
8matches
3.88goals / match
63%over 2.5
38%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
19.01.25N1 Heerenveen – Ajax 0–2 (0–1) 5.754.101.60 1.62 2.25
11.08.24N1 Ajax – Heerenveen 1–0 (1–0) 1.454.506.50 1.40 2.88
11.02.24N1 Heerenveen – Ajax 3–2 (2–0) 4.004.501.73 1.40 2.88
05.11.23N1 Ajax – Heerenveen 4–1 (2–1) 1.504.756.00 1.40 2.88
12.03.23N1 Heerenveen – Ajax 2–4 (1–3) 6.505.001.44 1.53 2.40
10.09.22N1 Ajax – Heerenveen 5–0 (2–0) 1.188.0012.00 1.28 3.60
11.05.22N1 Ajax – Heerenveen 5–0 (3–0) 1.149.0015.00 1.25 4.00
16.10.21N1 Heerenveen – Ajax 0–2 (0–1) 11.005.501.20 1.33 3.40

Netherlands Eredivisie table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 11 9 1 1 35 16 +19 28
2 Feyenoord 10 8 1 1 27 9 +18 25
3 AZ Alkmaar 10 6 3 1 23 13 +10 21
4 Ajax 10 5 4 1 20 14 +6 19
5 Groningen 10 6 0 4 16 14 +2 18
6 Sparta Rotterdam 10 5 1 4 14 22 -8 16
7 Nijmegen 10 4 3 3 27 19 +8 15
8 Twente 10 4 2 4 19 17 +2 14
9 Utrecht 10 4 1 5 19 15 +4 13
10 Go Ahead Eagles 10 3 4 3 17 16 +1 13
11 Heerenveen 10 3 4 3 18 18 0 13
12 For Sittard 11 4 1 6 16 20 -4 13
13 Volendam 10 2 4 4 13 16 -3 10
14 NAC Breda 10 2 3 5 13 19 -6 9
15 Zwolle 10 2 3 5 11 19 -8 9
16 Excelsior 10 3 0 7 8 19 -11 9
17 Telstar 10 2 1 7 12 19 -7 7
18 Heracles 10 1 0 9 7 30 -23 3
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 6 4 1 1 19 10 +9 13
2 Feyenoord 5 4 0 1 10 5 +5 12
3 Ajax 5 4 0 1 9 4 +5 12
4 AZ Alkmaar 5 3 2 0 15 8 +7 11
5 Utrecht 5 3 1 1 13 5 +8 10
6 Nijmegen 5 3 1 1 16 9 +7 10
7 For Sittard 5 3 1 1 8 6 +2 10
8 Groningen 5 3 0 2 8 4 +4 9
9 Heerenveen 6 2 3 1 12 11 +1 9
10 Volendam 5 2 2 1 9 6 +3 8
11 Go Ahead Eagles 5 2 2 1 8 6 +2 8
12 NAC Breda 5 2 1 2 7 7 0 7
13 Twente 5 2 1 2 9 10 -1 7
14 Sparta Rotterdam 5 2 1 2 7 13 -6 7
15 Excelsior 5 2 0 3 4 5 -1 6
16 Telstar 5 1 1 3 9 12 -3 4
17 Zwolle 5 1 1 3 3 10 -7 4
18 Heracles 4 1 0 3 5 13 -8 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 PSV Eindhoven 5 5 0 0 16 6 +10 15
2 Feyenoord 5 4 1 0 17 4 +13 13
3 AZ Alkmaar 5 3 1 1 8 5 +3 10
4 Groningen 5 3 0 2 8 10 -2 9
5 Sparta Rotterdam 5 3 0 2 7 9 -2 9
6 Twente 5 2 1 2 10 7 +3 7
7 Ajax 5 1 4 0 11 10 +1 7
8 Nijmegen 5 1 2 2 11 10 +1 5
9 Go Ahead Eagles 5 1 2 2 9 10 -1 5
10 Zwolle 5 1 2 2 8 9 -1 5
11 Heerenveen 4 1 1 2 6 7 -1 4
12 Utrecht 5 1 0 4 6 10 -4 3
13 Telstar 5 1 0 4 3 7 -4 3
14 For Sittard 6 1 0 5 8 14 -6 3
15 Excelsior 5 1 0 4 4 14 -10 3
16 NAC Breda 5 0 2 3 6 12 -6 2
17 Volendam 5 0 2 3 4 10 -6 2
18 Heracles 6 0 0 6 2 17 -15 0

Ajax   Heerenveen

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 11 2 9 3.2 1.5 9 1 1 35 16 28
2 7 Nijmegen 10 1 9 2.7 1.9 4 3 3 27 19 15
3 18 Heracles 10 1 9 0.7 3.0 1 0 9 7 30 3
4 3 AZ Alkmaar 10 2 8 2.3 1.3 6 3 1 23 13 21
5 11 Heerenveen 10 2 8 1.8 1.8 3 4 3 18 18 13
6 14 NAC Breda 10 2 8 1.3 1.9 2 3 5 13 19 9
7 6 Sparta Rotterdam 10 3 7 1.4 2.2 5 1 4 14 22 16
8 8 Twente 10 3 7 1.9 1.7 4 2 4 19 17 14
9 9 Utrecht 10 3 7 1.9 1.5 4 1 5 19 15 13
10 10 Go Ahead Eagles 10 3 7 1.7 1.6 3 4 3 17 16 13
11 12 For Sittard 11 4 7 1.5 1.8 4 1 6 16 20 13
12 13 Volendam 10 3 7 1.3 1.6 2 4 4 13 16 10
13 2 Feyenoord 10 4 6 2.7 0.9 8 1 1 27 9 25
14 4 Ajax 10 4 6 2.0 1.4 5 4 1 20 14 19
15 5 Groningen 10 4 6 1.6 1.4 6 0 4 16 14 18
16 15 Zwolle 10 4 6 1.1 1.9 2 3 5 11 19 9
17 16 Excelsior 10 4 6 0.8 1.9 3 0 7 8 19 9
18 17 Telstar 10 5 5 1.2 1.9 2 1 7 12 19 7
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 PSV Eindhoven 6 1 5 3.2 1.7 4 1 1 19 10 13
2 3 AZ Alkmaar 5 0 5 3.0 1.6 3 2 0 15 8 11
3 7 Nijmegen 5 0 5 3.2 1.8 3 1 1 16 9 10
4 11 Heerenveen 6 1 5 2.0 1.8 2 3 1 12 11 9
5 6 Sparta Rotterdam 5 1 4 1.4 2.6 2 1 2 7 13 7
6 8 Twente 5 1 4 1.8 2.0 2 1 2 9 10 7
7 9 Utrecht 5 1 4 2.6 1.0 3 1 1 13 5 10
8 13 Volendam 5 1 4 1.8 1.2 2 2 1 9 6 8
9 14 NAC Breda 5 1 4 1.4 1.4 2 1 2 7 7 7
10 17 Telstar 5 1 4 1.8 2.4 1 1 3 9 12 4
11 18 Heracles 4 0 4 1.2 3.2 1 0 3 5 13 3
12 10 Go Ahead Eagles 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 2 2 1 8 6 8
13 12 For Sittard 5 2 3 1.6 1.2 3 1 1 8 6 10
14 2 Feyenoord 5 3 2 2.0 1.0 4 0 1 10 5 12
15 4 Ajax 5 3 2 1.8 0.8 4 0 1 9 4 12
16 5 Groningen 5 3 2 1.6 0.8 3 0 2 8 4 9
17 15 Zwolle 5 3 2 0.6 2.0 1 1 3 3 10 4
18 16 Excelsior 5 3 2 0.8 1.0 2 0 3 4 5 6
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 18 Heracles 6 1 5 0.3 2.8 0 0 6 2 17 0
2 1 PSV Eindhoven 5 1 4 3.2 1.2 5 0 0 16 6 15
3 2 Feyenoord 5 1 4 3.4 0.8 4 1 0 17 4 13
4 4 Ajax 5 1 4 2.2 2.0 1 4 0 11 10 7
5 5 Groningen 5 1 4 1.6 2.0 3 0 2 8 10 9
6 7 Nijmegen 5 1 4 2.2 2.0 1 2 2 11 10 5
7 10 Go Ahead Eagles 5 1 4 1.8 2.0 1 2 2 9 10 5
8 12 For Sittard 6 2 4 1.3 2.3 1 0 5 8 14 3
9 14 NAC Breda 5 1 4 1.2 2.4 0 2 3 6 12 2
10 15 Zwolle 5 1 4 1.6 1.8 1 2 2 8 9 5
11 16 Excelsior 5 1 4 0.8 2.8 1 0 4 4 14 3
12 3 AZ Alkmaar 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 3 1 1 8 5 10
13 6 Sparta Rotterdam 5 2 3 1.4 1.8 3 0 2 7 9 9
14 8 Twente 5 2 3 2.0 1.4 2 1 2 10 7 7
15 9 Utrecht 5 2 3 1.2 2.0 1 0 4 6 10 3
16 11 Heerenveen 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 1 1 2 6 7 4
17 13 Volendam 5 2 3 0.8 2.0 0 2 3 4 10 2
18 17 Telstar 5 4 1 0.6 1.4 1 0 4 3 7 3

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 30 Oct 2026, 22:44