Lecce 2–3 Milan – Italy Serie A, 8 Mar 2025 | BetGPS

Match facts

Lecce Milan

11 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 9

2 Corners 7

13 Fouls 7

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (273 league matches this season so far).

Result Milan to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.97

Expected goals 1.04 – 1.53

Home / Draw / Away

26% 26% 49%

LecceDrawMilan

Under / Over 2.5 goals

53% 47%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

49% 51%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

8% 0

20% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

12% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.2% 0–1 11.7% 1–2 9.3%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Lecce before this match, all matches

0.93points / match

0.67scored / match

1.59conceded / match

6 7 14

WonDrawnLost 27 played · 18:43

Milan before this match, all matches

1.52points / match

1.44scored / match

1.11conceded / match

11 8 8

WonDrawnLost 27 played · 39:30

Lecce all matches all matches Milan

Per match

0.67 Goals scored 1.44

1.59 Goals conceded 1.11

2.26 Total goals 2.56

11.44 Shots 15.00

3.30 Shots on target 5.37

13.89 Shots faced 11.04

4.15 Corners 6.11

6.00 Corners against 3.96

12.59 Fouls 11.07

1.56 Yellow cards 1.78

0.33 1st-half goals scored 0.74

0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.44

How often Full Time

22% Wins 41%

26% Draws 30%

52% Losses 30%

85% Over 0.5 goals 93%

56% Over 1.5 goals 78%

41% Over 2.5 goals 56%

30% Over 3.5 goals 19%

11% Over 4.5 goals 7%

4% Over 5.5 goals 4%

33% Both teams scored 56%

26% Clean sheets 37%

56% Failed to score 15%

How often Half Time

19% Wins 33%

48% Draws 44%

33% Losses 22%

59% Over 0.5 goals 70%

30% Over 1.5 goals 33%

11% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lecce all matches

2

L

D

3

1

W

1

4

L

4

L

3

1

W

D

1

L

1

L

Milan all matches

1

D

2

1

W

2

L

3

2

W

1

D

2

W

1

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

1

2

L

Lecce before this match, at home

1.08points / match

0.69scored / match

1.69conceded / match

3 5 5

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 9:22

Milan before this match, away

1.31points / match

1.38scored / match

1.46conceded / match

5 2 6

WonDrawnLost 13 played · 18:19

Lecce at home away Milan

Per match

0.69 Goals scored 1.38

1.69 Goals conceded 1.46

2.38 Total goals 2.85

12.46 Shots 14.23

3.38 Shots on target 5.54

12.46 Shots faced 11.77

5.00 Corners 5.54

5.54 Corners against 3.85

11.54 Fouls 11.77

0.92 Yellow cards 2.15

0.31 1st-half goals scored 0.54

0.85 1st-half goals conceded 0.46

How often Full Time

23% Wins 38%

38% Draws 15%

38% Losses 46%

85% Over 0.5 goals 100%

62% Over 1.5 goals 85%

46% Over 2.5 goals 69%

31% Over 3.5 goals 15%

8% Over 4.5 goals 8%

8% Over 5.5 goals 8%

38% Both teams scored 69%

31% Clean sheets 23%

46% Failed to score 8%

How often Half Time

23% Wins 31%

31% Draws 46%

46% Losses 23%

69% Over 0.5 goals 69%

31% Over 1.5 goals 23%

15% Over 2.5 goals 8%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lecce at home

6

L

1

W

1

D

1

D

2

1

W

1

2

L

D

4

L

D

1

L

Milan away

1

2

L

1

W

3

D

1

2

L

1

W

2

1

W

2

L

2

W

1

2

L

1

2

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Lecce all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
28.02.25	Fiorentina – Lecce	1–0 (1–0)	1.75	3.40	5.00	2.30	1.62
21.02.25	Lecce – Udinese	0–1 (0–1)	3.00	3.00	2.60	2.30	1.62
16.02.25	Monza – Lecce	0–0 (0–0)	2.70	3.20	2.70	2.30	1.62
09.02.25	Lecce – Bologna	0–0 (0–0)	4.20	3.50	1.91	2.20	1.67
31.01.25	Parma – Lecce	1–3 (1–1)	2.15	3.40	3.50	1.86	2.04
26.01.25	Lecce – Inter	0–4 (0–2)	9.50	5.25	1.33	1.67	2.20
19.01.25	Cagliari – Lecce	4–1 (0–1)	1.95	3.30	4.10	2.05	1.85
11.01.25	Empoli – Lecce	1–3 (0–2)	2.00	3.10	4.33	2.50	1.53
05.01.25	Lecce – Genoa	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.00	2.90	2.38	1.57
30.12.24	Como – Lecce	2–0 (0–0)	1.70	3.70	5.00	2.00	1.80

Milan all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
02.03.25	Milan – Lazio	1–2 (0–1)	2.05	3.60	3.50	1.86	2.04
27.02.25	Bologna – Milan	2–1 (0–1)	2.88	3.30	2.50	1.96	1.82
22.02.25	Torino – Milan	2–1 (1–0)	3.90	3.30	2.00	2.10	1.73
15.02.25	Milan – Verona	1–0 (0–0)	1.33	4.75	9.50	1.57	2.38
08.02.25	Empoli – Milan	0–2 (0–0)	5.50	3.80	1.65	1.95	1.95
02.02.25	Milan – Inter	1–1 (1–0)	4.00	3.50	1.91	1.80	2.00
26.01.25	Milan – Parma	3–2 (1–1)	1.30	6.00	8.50	1.44	2.75
18.01.25	Juventus – Milan	2–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.40	2.10	1.73
14.01.25	Como – Milan	1–2 (0–0)	4.20	3.50	1.90	1.84	2.06
11.01.25	Milan – Cagliari	1–1 (0–0)	1.33	5.00	9.50	1.62	2.30

Lecce at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.02.25	Lecce – Udinese	0–1 (0–1)	3.00	3.00	2.60	2.30	1.62
09.02.25	Lecce – Bologna	0–0 (0–0)	4.20	3.50	1.91	2.20	1.67
26.01.25	Lecce – Inter	0–4 (0–2)	9.50	5.25	1.33	1.67	2.20
05.01.25	Lecce – Genoa	0–0 (0–0)	2.63	3.00	2.90	2.38	1.57
21.12.24	Lecce – Lazio	1–2 (0–1)	5.00	3.60	1.73	2.00	1.80
15.12.24	Lecce – Monza	2–1 (2–1)	2.45	3.00	3.20	2.38	1.57
01.12.24	Lecce – Juventus	1–1 (0–0)	5.25	3.60	1.70	2.30	1.62
08.11.24	Lecce – Empoli	1–1 (0–1)	2.40	3.00	3.30	2.75	1.44
29.10.24	Lecce – Verona	1–0 (0–0)	2.25	3.25	3.25	2.20	1.67
20.10.24	Lecce – Fiorentina	0–6 (0–3)	3.20	3.30	2.30	2.04	1.86

Milan away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.02.25	Bologna – Milan	2–1 (0–1)	2.88	3.30	2.50	1.96	1.82
22.02.25	Torino – Milan	2–1 (1–0)	3.90	3.30	2.00	2.10	1.73
08.02.25	Empoli – Milan	0–2 (0–0)	5.50	3.80	1.65	1.95	1.95
18.01.25	Juventus – Milan	2–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.40	2.10	1.73
14.01.25	Como – Milan	1–2 (0–0)	4.20	3.50	1.90	1.84	2.06
20.12.24	Verona – Milan	0–1 (0–0)	5.50	4.10	1.57	1.73	2.10
06.12.24	Atalanta – Milan	2–1 (1–1)	2.15	3.40	3.30	1.73	2.10
09.11.24	Cagliari – Milan	3–3 (1–2)	5.50	4.10	1.60	1.67	2.20
02.11.24	Monza – Milan	0–1 (0–1)	5.00	3.60	1.70	1.90	2.00
06.10.24	Fiorentina – Milan	2–1 (1–0)	3.10	3.60	2.20	1.73	2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 3

Lecce winsDrawsMilan wins

5matches

3.20goals / match

80%over 2.5

40%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
27.09.24I1	Milan – Lecce	3–0 (3–0)	1.33	5.75	8.00	1.50	2.63
06.04.24I1	Milan – Lecce	3–0 (2–0)	1.36	4.75	8.50	1.70	2.10
11.11.23I1	Lecce – Milan	2–2 (0–2)	5.00	3.60	1.75	2.08	1.73
23.04.23I1	Milan – Lecce	2–0 (1–0)	1.50	4.20	7.00	2.10	1.73
14.01.23I1	Lecce – Milan	2–2 (2–0)	5.75	3.80	1.62	2.03	1.87

Italy Serie A table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	27	17	7	3	60	25	+35	58
2	Napoli	27	17	6	4	43	22	+21	57
3	Atalanta	27	16	7	4	59	26	+33	55
4	Juventus	27	13	13	1	45	21	+24	52
5	Lazio	27	15	5	7	49	35	+14	50
6	Bologna	27	12	11	4	42	33	+9	47
7	Fiorentina	27	13	6	8	42	28	+14	45
8	Roma	27	12	7	8	42	30	+12	43
9	Milan	27	11	8	8	39	30	+9	41
10	Udinese	27	11	6	10	34	37	-3	39
11	Torino	28	8	11	9	33	34	-1	35
12	Genoa	28	7	11	10	26	36	-10	32
13	Como	28	7	8	13	34	44	-10	29
14	Cagliari	28	6	8	14	28	43	-15	26
15	Verona	27	8	2	17	27	56	-29	26
16	Lecce	27	6	7	14	18	43	-25	25
17	Parma	28	5	9	14	34	48	-14	24
18	Empoli	27	4	10	13	23	44	-21	22
19	Venezia	28	3	10	15	23	42	-19	19
20	Monza	27	2	8	17	21	45	-24	14

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Inter	13	9	3	1	29	14	+15	30
2	Bologna	14	8	5	1	24	13	+11	29
3	Napoli	13	9	2	2	19	9	+10	29
4	Roma	14	9	1	4	30	13	+17	28
5	Juventus	14	7	7	0	24	10	+14	28
6	Fiorentina	14	8	3	3	23	15	+8	27
7	Atalanta	13	7	4	2	29	16	+13	25
8	Lazio	13	7	4	2	27	19	+8	25
9	Milan	14	6	6	2	21	11	+10	24
10	Udinese	14	7	2	5	19	17	+2	23
11	Como	14	5	4	5	22	22	0	19
12	Torino	13	4	5	4	12	12	0	17
13	Genoa	14	3	7	4	15	17	-2	16
14	Parma	15	4	4	7	22	25	-3	16
15	Cagliari	15	4	4	7	16	24	-8	16
16	Lecce	13	3	5	5	9	22	-13	14
17	Venezia	13	3	4	6	12	15	-3	13
18	Verona	13	4	1	8	12	30	-18	13
19	Empoli	13	1	5	7	5	19	-14	8
20	Monza	14	1	4	9	10	19	-9	7

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Atalanta	14	9	3	2	30	10	+20	30
2	Inter	14	8	4	2	31	11	+20	28
3	Napoli	14	8	4	2	24	13	+11	28
4	Lazio	14	8	1	5	22	16	+6	25
5	Juventus	13	6	6	1	21	11	+10	24
6	Fiorentina	13	5	3	5	19	13	+6	18
7	Torino	15	4	6	5	21	22	-1	18
8	Bologna	13	4	6	3	18	20	-2	18
9	Milan	13	5	2	6	18	19	-1	17
10	Udinese	13	4	4	5	15	20	-5	16
11	Genoa	14	4	4	6	11	19	-8	16
12	Roma	13	3	6	4	12	17	-5	15
13	Empoli	14	3	5	6	18	25	-7	14
14	Verona	14	4	1	9	15	26	-11	13
15	Lecce	14	3	2	9	9	21	-12	11
16	Cagliari	13	2	4	7	12	19	-7	10
17	Como	14	2	4	8	12	22	-10	10
18	Parma	13	1	5	7	12	23	-11	8
19	Monza	13	1	4	8	11	26	-15	7
20	Venezia	15	0	6	9	11	27	-16	6

Lecce Milan

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Lazio	27	7	20	1.8	1.3	15	5	7	49	35	50
2	17	Parma	28	11	17	1.2	1.7	5	9	14	34	48	24
3	1	Inter	27	11	16	2.2	0.9	17	7	3	60	25	58
4	3	Atalanta	27	11	16	2.2	1.0	16	7	4	59	26	55
5	15	Verona	27	11	16	1.0	2.1	8	2	17	27	56	26
6	6	Bologna	27	12	15	1.6	1.2	12	11	4	42	33	47
7	7	Fiorentina	27	12	15	1.6	1.0	13	6	8	42	28	45
8	9	Milan	27	12	15	1.4	1.1	11	8	8	39	30	41
9	10	Udinese	27	13	14	1.3	1.4	11	6	10	34	37	39
10	2	Napoli	27	14	13	1.6	0.8	17	6	4	43	22	57
11	8	Roma	27	14	13	1.6	1.1	12	7	8	42	30	43
12	13	Como	28	15	13	1.2	1.6	7	8	13	34	44	29
13	14	Cagliari	28	15	13	1.0	1.5	6	8	14	28	43	26
14	20	Monza	27	14	13	0.8	1.7	2	8	17	21	45	14
15	4	Juventus	27	15	12	1.7	0.8	13	13	1	45	21	52
16	18	Empoli	27	15	12	0.9	1.6	4	10	13	23	44	22
17	19	Venezia	28	16	12	0.8	1.5	3	10	15	23	42	19
18	16	Lecce	27	16	11	0.7	1.6	6	7	14	18	43	25
19	11	Torino	28	18	10	1.2	1.2	8	11	9	33	34	35
20	12	Genoa	28	18	10	0.9	1.3	7	11	10	26	36	32

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Lazio	13	2	11	2.1	1.5	7	4	2	27	19	25
2	15	Verona	13	3	10	0.9	2.3	4	1	8	12	30	13
3	7	Fiorentina	14	5	9	1.6	1.1	8	3	3	23	15	27
4	8	Roma	14	5	9	2.1	0.9	9	1	4	30	13	28
5	17	Parma	15	6	9	1.5	1.7	4	4	7	22	25	16
6	1	Inter	13	5	8	2.2	1.1	9	3	1	29	14	30
7	3	Atalanta	13	5	8	2.2	1.2	7	4	2	29	16	25
8	13	Como	14	6	8	1.6	1.6	5	4	5	22	22	19
9	6	Bologna	14	7	7	1.7	0.9	8	5	1	24	13	29
10	10	Udinese	14	7	7	1.4	1.2	7	2	5	19	17	23
11	14	Cagliari	15	8	7	1.1	1.6	4	4	7	16	24	16
12	4	Juventus	14	8	6	1.7	0.7	7	7	0	24	10	28
13	9	Milan	14	8	6	1.5	0.8	6	6	2	21	11	24
14	16	Lecce	13	7	6	0.7	1.7	3	5	5	9	22	14
15	20	Monza	14	8	6	0.7	1.4	1	4	9	10	19	7
16	2	Napoli	13	8	5	1.5	0.7	9	2	2	19	9	29
17	12	Genoa	14	9	5	1.1	1.2	3	7	4	15	17	16
18	18	Empoli	13	9	4	0.4	1.5	1	5	7	5	19	8
19	19	Venezia	13	9	4	0.9	1.2	3	4	6	12	15	13
20	11	Torino	13	10	3	0.9	0.9	4	5	4	12	12	17

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Lazio	14	5	9	1.6	1.1	8	1	5	22	16	25
2	9	Milan	13	4	9	1.4	1.5	5	2	6	18	19	17
3	1	Inter	14	6	8	2.2	0.8	8	4	2	31	11	28
4	2	Napoli	14	6	8	1.7	0.9	8	4	2	24	13	28
5	3	Atalanta	14	6	8	2.1	0.7	9	3	2	30	10	30
6	6	Bologna	13	5	8	1.4	1.5	4	6	3	18	20	18
7	17	Parma	13	5	8	0.9	1.8	1	5	7	12	23	8
8	18	Empoli	14	6	8	1.3	1.8	3	5	6	18	25	14
9	19	Venezia	15	7	8	0.7	1.8	0	6	9	11	27	6
10	10	Udinese	13	6	7	1.2	1.5	4	4	5	15	20	16
11	11	Torino	15	8	7	1.4	1.5	4	6	5	21	22	18
12	20	Monza	13	6	7	0.8	2.0	1	4	8	11	26	7
13	4	Juventus	13	7	6	1.6	0.8	6	6	1	21	11	24
14	7	Fiorentina	13	7	6	1.5	1.0	5	3	5	19	13	18
15	14	Cagliari	13	7	6	0.9	1.5	2	4	7	12	19	10
16	15	Verona	14	8	6	1.1	1.9	4	1	9	15	26	13
17	12	Genoa	14	9	5	0.8	1.4	4	4	6	11	19	16
18	13	Como	14	9	5	0.9	1.6	2	4	8	12	22	10
19	16	Lecce	14	9	5	0.6	1.5	3	2	9	9	21	11
20	8	Roma	13	9	4	0.9	1.3	3	6	4	12	17	15

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.