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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 3–0 Lecce

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2024/2025

Home ✓ 1.33 fair 1.95
Draw 5.75 fair 4.16
Away 8.00 fair 4.03
Under 2.5 2.63 fair 2.13
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.50 fair 1.89

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Lecce
15 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 7
4 Corners 7
5 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (50 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.83
Expected goals 1.69 – 1.11
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawLecce
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.4% 1–0 10.3% 2–1 9.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
1.60points / match
2.20scored / match
1.40conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 11:7
Lecce before this match, all matches
1.00points / match
0.60scored / match
1.60conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 5 played · 3:8
Milan all matches all matches Lecce

Per match

2.20 Goals scored 0.60
1.40 Goals conceded 1.60
3.60 Total goals 2.20
15.00 Shots 16.00
6.20 Shots on target 4.40
8.00 Shots faced 14.20
6.60 Corners 5.40
3.40 Corners against 7.40
9.60 Fouls 11.40
1.80 Yellow cards 2.00
1.20 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.60 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

40% Wins 20%
40% Draws 40%
20% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
100% Over 1.5 goals 60%
100% Over 2.5 goals 40%
60% Over 3.5 goals 40%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
80% Both teams scored 20%
20% Clean sheets 40%
0% Failed to score 60%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 40%
20% Draws 20%
40% Losses 40%
100% Over 0.5 goals 80%
40% Over 1.5 goals 20%
20% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Lecce all matches
Milan before this match, at home
2.00points / match
3.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 6:2
Lecce before this match, away
0.50points / match
0.00scored / match
1.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 2 played · 0:2
Milan at home away Lecce

Per match

3.00 Goals scored 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded 1.00
4.00 Total goals 1.00
16.00 Shots 15.00
7.00 Shots on target 5.00
6.00 Shots faced 8.00
7.50 Corners 6.50
1.50 Corners against 6.00
11.00 Fouls 12.50
1.50 Yellow cards 2.50
2.00 1st-half goals scored 0.00
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 0%
50% Draws 50%
0% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 50%
100% Over 1.5 goals 50%
100% Over 2.5 goals 0%
100% Over 3.5 goals 0%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
50% Both teams scored 0%
50% Clean sheets 50%
0% Failed to score 100%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 0%
0% Draws 50%
50% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 50%
50% Over 1.5 goals 0%
50% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Lecce away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.09.24 Inter – Milan 1–2 (1–1) 1.654.005.25 1.67 2.20
14.09.24 Milan – Venezia 4–0 (4–0) 1.305.759.00 1.53 2.50
31.08.24 Lazio – Milan 2–2 (0–1) 2.903.402.40 1.90 2.00
24.08.24 Parma – Milan 2–1 (1–0) 4.753.901.70 1.73 2.10
17.08.24 Milan – Torino 2–2 (0–1) 1.623.805.75 1.95 1.95
25.05.24 Milan – Salernitana 3–3 (2–0) 1.188.0012.00 1.25 4.00
18.05.24 Torino – Milan 3–1 (2–0) 2.803.202.60 2.10 1.73
11.05.24 Milan – Cagliari 5–1 (1–0) 1.405.256.50 1.57 2.38
05.05.24 Milan – Genoa 3–3 (1–1) 1.454.506.50 1.73 2.10
27.04.24 Juventus – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.04 1.86

Lecce all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.09.24 Lecce – Parma 2–2 (1–0) 2.203.503.25 1.91 1.99
15.09.24 Torino – Lecce 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 2.30 1.62
31.08.24 Lecce – Cagliari 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.40 2.30 1.62
24.08.24 Inter – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.57 2.38
19.08.24 Lecce – Atalanta 0–4 (0–2) 4.203.701.85 1.98 1.92
26.05.24 Napoli – Lecce 0–0 (0–0) 1.425.006.25 1.57 2.38
18.05.24 Lecce – Atalanta 0–2 (0–0) 4.503.801.75 1.91 1.99
13.05.24 Lecce – Udinese 0–2 (0–1) 2.633.102.80 2.30 1.62
05.05.24 Cagliari – Lecce 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.203.75 2.20 1.67
27.04.24 Lecce – Monza 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.254.00 2.20 1.67

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.09.24 Milan – Venezia 4–0 (4–0) 1.305.759.00 1.53 2.50
17.08.24 Milan – Torino 2–2 (0–1) 1.623.805.75 1.95 1.95
25.05.24 Milan – Salernitana 3–3 (2–0) 1.188.0012.00 1.25 4.00
11.05.24 Milan – Cagliari 5–1 (1–0) 1.405.256.50 1.57 2.38
05.05.24 Milan – Genoa 3–3 (1–1) 1.454.506.50 1.73 2.10
22.04.24 Milan – Inter 1–2 (0–1) 3.753.602.00 1.73 2.10
06.04.24 Milan – Lecce 3–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.50 1.70 2.10
10.03.24 Milan – Empoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.50 1.70 2.10
25.02.24 Milan – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05
11.02.24 Milan – Napoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.80 2.00

Lecce away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.09.24 Torino – Lecce 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 2.30 1.62
24.08.24 Inter – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.57 2.38
26.05.24 Napoli – Lecce 0–0 (0–0) 1.425.006.25 1.57 2.38
05.05.24 Cagliari – Lecce 1–1 (1–0) 2.153.203.75 2.20 1.67
21.04.24 Sassuolo – Lecce 0–3 (0–2) 2.303.303.20 2.00 1.90
06.04.24 Milan – Lecce 3–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.50 1.70 2.10
16.03.24 Salernitana – Lecce 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.202.50 2.10 1.70
03.03.24 Frosinone – Lecce 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.303.30 1.99 1.91
16.02.24 Torino – Lecce 2–0 (0–0) 1.803.404.75 2.25 1.62
11.02.24 Bologna – Lecce 4–0 (2–0) 1.733.605.25 2.20 1.65

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsLecce wins
4matches
3.25goals / match
75%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.04.24I1 Milan – Lecce 3–0 (2–0) 1.364.758.50 1.70 2.10
11.11.23I1 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (0–2) 5.003.601.75 2.08 1.73
23.04.23I1 Milan – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.207.00 2.10 1.73
14.01.23I1 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (2–0) 5.753.801.62 2.03 1.87

Italy Serie A table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Torino 5 3 2 0 8 5 +3 11
2 Napoli 5 3 1 1 9 4 +5 10
3 Udinese 5 3 1 1 7 7 0 10
4 Juventus 5 2 3 0 6 0 +6 9
5 Empoli 5 2 3 0 5 2 +3 9
6 Inter 5 2 2 1 10 5 +5 8
7 Milan 5 2 2 1 11 7 +4 8
8 Lazio 5 2 1 2 9 8 +1 7
9 Roma 5 1 3 1 5 3 +2 6
10 Verona 5 2 0 3 8 8 0 6
11 Fiorentina 5 1 3 1 7 7 0 6
12 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 10 11 -1 6
13 Bologna 5 1 3 1 6 8 -2 6
14 Parma 5 1 2 2 8 9 -1 5
15 Como 5 1 2 2 6 9 -3 5
16 Genoa 5 1 2 2 4 7 -3 5
17 Lecce 5 1 2 2 3 8 -5 5
18 Venezia 5 1 1 3 3 8 -5 4
19 Monza 5 0 3 2 4 6 -2 3
20 Cagliari 5 0 2 3 1 8 -7 2
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lazio 3 2 1 0 7 4 +3 7
2 Inter 3 2 0 1 7 2 +5 6
3 Napoli 2 2 0 0 5 1 +4 6
4 Udinese 2 2 0 0 3 1 +2 6
5 Juventus 3 1 2 0 3 0 +3 5
6 Fiorentina 3 1 2 0 4 3 +1 5
7 Milan 2 1 1 0 6 2 +4 4
8 Torino 2 1 1 0 2 1 +1 4
9 Parma 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
10 Lecce 3 1 1 1 3 6 -3 4
11 Roma 2 1 0 1 4 2 +2 3
12 Venezia 2 1 0 1 2 1 +1 3
13 Atalanta 2 1 0 1 5 5 0 3
14 Verona 3 1 0 2 5 6 -1 3
15 Bologna 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2
16 Empoli 2 0 2 0 0 0 0 2
17 Genoa 3 0 2 1 3 5 -2 2
18 Cagliari 4 0 2 2 1 7 -6 2
19 Como 1 0 1 0 2 2 0 1
20 Monza 3 0 1 2 2 4 -2 1
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Empoli 3 2 1 0 5 2 +3 7
2 Torino 3 2 1 0 6 4 +2 7
3 Juventus 2 1 1 0 3 0 +3 4
4 Napoli 3 1 1 1 4 3 +1 4
5 Milan 3 1 1 1 5 5 0 4
6 Bologna 3 1 1 1 4 6 -2 4
7 Udinese 3 1 1 1 4 6 -2 4
8 Como 4 1 1 2 4 7 -3 4
9 Verona 2 1 0 1 3 2 +1 3
10 Roma 3 0 3 0 1 1 0 3
11 Atalanta 3 1 0 2 5 6 -1 3
12 Genoa 2 1 0 1 1 2 -1 3
13 Inter 2 0 2 0 3 3 0 2
14 Monza 2 0 2 0 2 2 0 2
15 Fiorentina 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
16 Parma 2 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
17 Lecce 2 0 1 1 0 2 -2 1
18 Venezia 3 0 1 2 1 7 -6 1
19 Cagliari 1 0 0 1 0 1 -1 0
20 Lazio 2 0 0 2 2 4 -2 0

Milan   Lecce

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Milan 5 0 5 2.2 1.4 2 2 1 11 7 8
2 8 Lazio 5 0 5 1.8 1.6 2 1 2 9 8 7
3 12 Atalanta 5 0 5 2.0 2.2 2 0 3 10 11 6
4 2 Napoli 5 1 4 1.8 0.8 3 1 1 9 4 10
5 10 Verona 5 1 4 1.6 1.6 2 0 3 8 8 6
6 14 Parma 5 1 4 1.6 1.8 1 2 2 8 9 5
7 1 Torino 5 2 3 1.6 1.0 3 2 0 8 5 11
8 3 Udinese 5 2 3 1.4 1.4 3 1 1 7 7 10
9 6 Inter 5 2 3 2.0 1.0 2 2 1 10 5 8
10 11 Fiorentina 5 2 3 1.4 1.4 1 3 1 7 7 6
11 13 Bologna 5 2 3 1.2 1.6 1 3 1 6 8 6
12 15 Como 5 2 3 1.2 1.8 1 2 2 6 9 5
13 4 Juventus 5 3 2 1.2 0.0 2 3 0 6 0 9
14 9 Roma 5 3 2 1.0 0.6 1 3 1 5 3 6
15 17 Lecce 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 1 2 2 3 8 5
16 18 Venezia 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 1 1 3 3 8 4
17 19 Monza 5 3 2 0.8 1.2 0 3 2 4 6 3
18 5 Empoli 5 4 1 1.0 0.4 2 3 0 5 2 9
19 16 Genoa 5 4 1 0.8 1.4 1 2 2 4 7 5
20 20 Cagliari 5 4 1 0.2 1.6 0 2 3 1 8 2
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 8 Lazio 3 0 3 2.3 1.3 2 1 0 7 4 7
2 10 Verona 3 0 3 1.7 2.0 1 0 2 5 6 3
3 2 Napoli 2 0 2 2.5 0.5 2 0 0 5 1 6
4 6 Inter 3 1 2 2.3 0.7 2 0 1 7 2 6
5 7 Milan 2 0 2 3.0 1.0 1 1 0 6 2 4
6 9 Roma 2 0 2 2.0 1.0 1 0 1 4 2 3
7 11 Fiorentina 3 1 2 1.3 1.0 1 2 0 4 3 5
8 12 Atalanta 2 0 2 2.5 2.5 1 0 1 5 5 3
9 14 Parma 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
10 17 Lecce 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 1 1 1 3 6 4
11 1 Torino 2 1 1 1.0 0.5 1 1 0 2 1 4
12 3 Udinese 2 1 1 1.5 0.5 2 0 0 3 1 6
13 4 Juventus 3 2 1 1.0 0.0 1 2 0 3 0 5
14 15 Como 1 0 1 2.0 2.0 0 1 0 2 2 1
15 16 Genoa 3 2 1 1.0 1.7 0 2 1 3 5 2
16 19 Monza 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 0 1 2 2 4 1
17 20 Cagliari 4 3 1 0.2 1.8 0 2 2 1 7 2
18 5 Empoli 2 2 0 0.0 0.0 0 2 0 0 0 2
19 13 Bologna 2 2 0 1.0 1.0 0 2 0 2 2 2
20 18 Venezia 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 0 1 2 1 3
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Milan 3 0 3 1.7 1.7 1 1 1 5 5 4
2 12 Atalanta 3 0 3 1.7 2.0 1 0 2 5 6 3
3 13 Bologna 3 0 3 1.3 2.0 1 1 1 4 6 4
4 1 Torino 3 1 2 2.0 1.3 2 1 0 6 4 7
5 2 Napoli 3 1 2 1.3 1.0 1 1 1 4 3 4
6 3 Udinese 3 1 2 1.3 2.0 1 1 1 4 6 4
7 8 Lazio 2 0 2 1.0 2.0 0 0 2 2 4 0
8 14 Parma 2 0 2 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
9 15 Como 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 1 2 4 7 4
10 18 Venezia 3 1 2 0.3 2.3 0 1 2 1 7 1
11 4 Juventus 2 1 1 1.5 0.0 1 1 0 3 0 4
12 5 Empoli 3 2 1 1.7 0.7 2 1 0 5 2 7
13 6 Inter 2 1 1 1.5 1.5 0 2 0 3 3 2
14 10 Verona 2 1 1 1.5 1.0 1 0 1 3 2 3
15 11 Fiorentina 2 1 1 1.5 2.0 0 1 1 3 4 1
16 19 Monza 2 1 1 1.0 1.0 0 2 0 2 2 2
17 9 Roma 3 3 0 0.3 0.3 0 3 0 1 1 3
18 16 Genoa 2 2 0 0.5 1.0 1 0 1 1 2 3
19 17 Lecce 2 2 0 0.0 1.0 0 1 1 0 2 1
20 20 Cagliari 1 1 0 0.0 1.0 0 0 1 0 1 0

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38