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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Lecce 2–2 Milan

Full time · half time 0–2 · season 2023/2024

Home 5.00 fair 2.77
Draw ✓ 3.60 fair 3.84
Away 1.75 fair 2.64
Under 2.5 1.73 fair 1.98
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.08 fair 2.02

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Lecce Milan
14 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 6
3 Corners 1
12 Fouls 16
4 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (112 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.85
Expected goals 1.31 – 1.35
Home / Draw / Away
LecceDrawMilan
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.4% 0–1 9.5% 1–0 9.2%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Lecce before this match, all matches
1.18points / match
1.00scored / match
1.27conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 11:14
Milan before this match, all matches
2.00points / match
1.64scored / match
1.09conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 18:12
Lecce all matches all matches Milan

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.64
1.27 Goals conceded 1.09
2.27 Total goals 2.73
12.09 Shots 12.55
3.64 Shots on target 4.64
13.00 Shots faced 12.82
3.64 Corners 4.55
4.09 Corners against 3.27
12.91 Fouls 11.55
3.09 Yellow cards 2.55
0.18 1st-half goals scored 1.00
0.64 1st-half goals conceded 0.36

How often Full Time

27% Wins 64%
36% Draws 9%
36% Losses 27%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
73% Over 1.5 goals 64%
36% Over 2.5 goals 45%
18% Over 3.5 goals 36%
0% Over 4.5 goals 18%
0% Over 5.5 goals 9%
55% Both teams scored 45%
18% Clean sheets 36%
27% Failed to score 18%

How often Half Time

9% Wins 55%
45% Draws 36%
45% Losses 9%
64% Over 0.5 goals 64%
18% Over 1.5 goals 45%
0% Over 2.5 goals 18%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lecce all matches
Milan all matches
Lecce before this match, at home
1.67points / match
1.00scored / match
1.17conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 6:7
Milan before this match, away
2.17points / match
1.83scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 6 played · 11:9
Lecce at home away Milan

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.83
1.17 Goals conceded 1.50
2.17 Total goals 3.33
15.67 Shots 12.83
5.00 Shots on target 4.50
11.33 Shots faced 14.00
4.33 Corners 3.67
3.33 Corners against 3.83
13.00 Fouls 10.17
2.50 Yellow cards 2.83
0.17 1st-half goals scored 1.17
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

50% Wins 67%
17% Draws 17%
33% Losses 17%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
67% Over 1.5 goals 83%
33% Over 2.5 goals 67%
17% Over 3.5 goals 50%
0% Over 4.5 goals 17%
0% Over 5.5 goals 17%
33% Both teams scored 67%
33% Clean sheets 33%
33% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

17% Wins 67%
17% Draws 17%
67% Losses 17%
83% Over 0.5 goals 83%
0% Over 1.5 goals 67%
0% Over 2.5 goals 17%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lecce at home
Milan away

Last 10 matches before this match

Lecce all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.11.23 Roma – Lecce 2–1 (0–0) 1.573.806.50 2.10 1.70
28.10.23 Lecce – Torino 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.002.80 2.50 1.50
23.10.23 Udinese – Lecce 1–1 (0–0) 2.203.303.40 2.20 1.65
06.10.23 Lecce – Sassuolo 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.402.70 1.80 2.00
30.09.23 Lecce – Napoli 0–4 (0–1) 4.753.801.75 2.01 1.89
26.09.23 Juventus – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.504.207.00 1.96 1.94
22.09.23 Lecce – Genoa 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.203.10 2.30 1.62
17.09.23 Monza – Lecce 1–1 (1–1) 2.103.403.50 2.10 1.73
03.09.23 Lecce – Salernitana 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.304.00 2.20 1.67
27.08.23 Fiorentina – Lecce 2–2 (2–0) 1.574.205.75 2.10 1.73

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.11.23 Milan – Udinese 0–1 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.75 2.05
29.10.23 Napoli – Milan 2–2 (0–2) 2.203.403.30 2.04 1.86
22.10.23 Milan – Juventus 0–1 (0–0) 2.253.403.20 2.10 1.70
07.10.23 Genoa – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.501.91 2.05 1.75
30.09.23 Milan – Lazio 2–0 (0–0) 1.733.605.00 2.06 1.84
27.09.23 Cagliari – Milan 1–3 (1–2) 5.253.801.67 1.99 1.91
23.09.23 Milan – Verona 1–0 (1–0) 1.364.759.00 1.73 2.10
16.09.23 Inter – Milan 5–1 (2–0) 2.153.503.40 1.90 2.00
01.09.23 Roma – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 2.803.102.63 2.30 1.62
26.08.23 Milan – Torino 4–1 (3–1) 1.653.805.00 2.20 1.67

Lecce at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
28.10.23 Lecce – Torino 0–1 (0–1) 2.753.002.80 2.50 1.50
06.10.23 Lecce – Sassuolo 1–1 (0–1) 2.553.402.70 1.80 2.00
30.09.23 Lecce – Napoli 0–4 (0–1) 4.753.801.75 2.01 1.89
22.09.23 Lecce – Genoa 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.203.10 2.30 1.62
03.09.23 Lecce – Salernitana 2–0 (1–0) 2.003.304.00 2.20 1.67
20.08.23 Lecce – Lazio 2–1 (0–1) 3.603.302.10 2.20 1.67
04.06.23 Lecce – Bologna 2–3 (1–0) 2.753.502.45 1.99 1.94
21.05.23 Lecce – Spezia 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.103.60 2.30 1.62
07.05.23 Lecce – Verona 0–1 (0–0) 2.203.003.75 2.50 1.53
28.04.23 Lecce – Udinese 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.003.20 2.50 1.53

Milan away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.10.23 Napoli – Milan 2–2 (0–2) 2.203.403.30 2.04 1.86
07.10.23 Genoa – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.501.91 2.05 1.75
27.09.23 Cagliari – Milan 1–3 (1–2) 5.253.801.67 1.99 1.91
16.09.23 Inter – Milan 5–1 (2–0) 2.153.503.40 1.90 2.00
01.09.23 Roma – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 2.803.102.63 2.30 1.62
21.08.23 Bologna – Milan 0–2 (0–2) 4.003.401.95 2.00 1.80
28.05.23 Juventus – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 2.303.403.10 2.10 1.73
13.05.23 Spezia – Milan 2–0 (0–0) 4.203.501.91 2.03 1.87
29.04.23 Roma – Milan 1–1 (0–0) 2.753.002.75 2.50 1.53
15.04.23 Bologna – Milan 1–1 (1–1) 3.103.102.45 2.30 1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Lecce winsDrawsMilan wins
2matches
3.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
50%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
23.04.23I1 Milan – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.207.00 2.10 1.73
14.01.23I1 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (2–0) 5.753.801.62 2.03 1.87

Italy Serie A table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 11 9 1 1 27 6 +21 28
2 Juventus 11 8 2 1 17 6 +11 26
3 Milan 11 7 1 3 18 12 +6 22
4 Napoli 11 6 3 2 24 12 +12 21
5 Atalanta 11 6 1 4 19 10 +9 19
6 Bologna 11 4 6 1 12 8 +4 18
7 Roma 11 5 2 4 22 14 +8 17
8 Fiorentina 11 5 2 4 18 15 +3 17
9 Monza 11 4 4 3 12 10 +2 16
10 Lazio 11 5 1 5 13 13 0 16
11 Frosinone 11 4 3 4 17 18 -1 15
12 Torino 11 4 3 4 9 13 -4 15
13 Genoa 12 4 2 6 13 16 -3 14
14 Lecce 11 3 4 4 11 14 -3 13
15 Sassuolo 12 3 3 6 16 21 -5 12
16 Udinese 11 1 7 3 7 14 -7 10
17 Cagliari 11 2 3 6 11 22 -11 9
18 Verona 12 2 2 8 7 16 -9 8
19 Empoli 11 2 1 8 4 21 -17 7
20 Salernitana 12 0 5 7 8 24 -16 5
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 6 4 1 1 15 5 +10 13
2 Roma 6 4 1 1 15 5 +10 13
3 Juventus 5 4 1 0 8 2 +6 13
4 Bologna 6 4 1 1 8 4 +4 13
5 Frosinone 6 4 1 1 12 9 +3 13
6 Atalanta 5 3 1 1 8 2 +6 10
7 Lazio 5 3 1 1 7 4 +3 10
8 Genoa 6 3 1 2 9 8 +1 10
9 Lecce 6 3 1 2 6 7 -1 10
10 Monza 5 2 3 0 7 2 +5 9
11 Milan 5 3 0 2 7 3 +4 9
12 Torino 6 2 3 1 4 5 -1 9
13 Sassuolo 7 2 2 3 10 11 -1 8
14 Napoli 5 2 1 2 10 8 +2 7
15 Fiorentina 5 2 1 2 8 7 +1 7
16 Cagliari 6 2 1 3 8 13 -5 7
17 Verona 5 1 1 3 4 8 -4 4
18 Empoli 6 1 1 4 1 7 -6 4
19 Udinese 5 0 3 2 3 8 -5 3
20 Salernitana 6 0 3 3 4 13 -9 3
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 5 5 0 0 12 1 +11 15
2 Napoli 6 4 2 0 14 4 +10 14
3 Juventus 6 4 1 1 9 4 +5 13
4 Milan 6 4 1 1 11 9 +2 13
5 Fiorentina 6 3 1 2 10 8 +2 10
6 Atalanta 6 3 0 3 11 8 +3 9
7 Udinese 6 1 4 1 4 6 -2 7
8 Monza 6 2 1 3 5 8 -3 7
9 Lazio 6 2 0 4 6 9 -3 6
10 Torino 5 2 0 3 5 8 -3 6
11 Bologna 5 0 5 0 4 4 0 5
12 Roma 5 1 1 3 7 9 -2 4
13 Sassuolo 5 1 1 3 6 10 -4 4
14 Genoa 6 1 1 4 4 8 -4 4
15 Verona 7 1 1 5 3 8 -5 4
16 Lecce 5 0 3 2 5 7 -2 3
17 Empoli 5 1 0 4 3 14 -11 3
18 Frosinone 5 0 2 3 5 9 -4 2
19 Cagliari 5 0 2 3 3 9 -6 2
20 Salernitana 6 0 2 4 4 11 -7 2

Lecce   Milan

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Napoli 11 3 8 2.2 1.1 6 3 2 24 12 21
2 1 Inter 11 4 7 2.5 0.5 9 1 1 27 6 28
3 7 Roma 11 4 7 2.0 1.3 5 2 4 22 14 17
4 11 Frosinone 11 4 7 1.5 1.6 4 3 4 17 18 15
5 17 Cagliari 11 4 7 1.0 2.0 2 3 6 11 22 9
6 5 Atalanta 11 5 6 1.7 0.9 6 1 4 19 10 19
7 8 Fiorentina 11 5 6 1.6 1.4 5 2 4 18 15 17
8 15 Sassuolo 12 6 6 1.3 1.8 3 3 6 16 21 12
9 20 Salernitana 12 6 6 0.7 2.0 0 5 7 8 24 5
10 3 Milan 11 6 5 1.6 1.1 7 1 3 18 12 22
11 13 Genoa 12 7 5 1.1 1.3 4 2 6 13 16 14
12 18 Verona 12 7 5 0.6 1.3 2 2 8 7 16 8
13 6 Bologna 11 7 4 1.1 0.7 4 6 1 12 8 18
14 10 Lazio 11 7 4 1.2 1.2 5 1 5 13 13 16
15 12 Torino 11 7 4 0.8 1.2 4 3 4 9 13 15
16 14 Lecce 11 7 4 1.0 1.3 3 4 4 11 14 13
17 19 Empoli 11 7 4 0.4 1.9 2 1 8 4 21 7
18 2 Juventus 11 8 3 1.5 0.5 8 2 1 17 6 26
19 9 Monza 11 8 3 1.1 0.9 4 4 3 12 10 16
20 16 Udinese 11 8 3 0.6 1.3 1 7 3 7 14 10
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 11 Frosinone 6 1 5 2.0 1.5 4 1 1 12 9 13
2 1 Inter 6 2 4 2.5 0.8 4 1 1 15 5 13
3 4 Napoli 5 1 4 2.0 1.6 2 1 2 10 8 7
4 7 Roma 6 2 4 2.5 0.8 4 1 1 15 5 13
5 17 Cagliari 6 2 4 1.3 2.2 2 1 3 8 13 7
6 6 Bologna 6 3 3 1.3 0.7 4 1 1 8 4 13
7 8 Fiorentina 5 2 3 1.6 1.4 2 1 2 8 7 7
8 13 Genoa 6 3 3 1.5 1.3 3 1 2 9 8 10
9 15 Sassuolo 7 4 3 1.4 1.6 2 2 3 10 11 8
10 18 Verona 5 2 3 0.8 1.6 1 1 3 4 8 4
11 20 Salernitana 6 3 3 0.7 2.2 0 3 3 4 13 3
12 5 Atalanta 5 3 2 1.6 0.4 3 1 1 8 2 10
13 12 Torino 6 4 2 0.7 0.8 2 3 1 4 5 9
14 14 Lecce 6 4 2 1.0 1.2 3 1 2 6 7 10
15 16 Udinese 5 3 2 0.6 1.6 0 3 2 3 8 3
16 2 Juventus 5 4 1 1.6 0.4 4 1 0 8 2 13
17 3 Milan 5 4 1 1.4 0.6 3 0 2 7 3 9
18 9 Monza 5 4 1 1.4 0.4 2 3 0 7 2 9
19 10 Lazio 5 4 1 1.4 0.8 3 1 1 7 4 10
20 19 Empoli 6 5 1 0.2 1.2 1 1 4 1 7 4
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Milan 6 2 4 1.8 1.5 4 1 1 11 9 13
2 4 Napoli 6 2 4 2.3 0.7 4 2 0 14 4 14
3 5 Atalanta 6 2 4 1.8 1.3 3 0 3 11 8 9
4 1 Inter 5 2 3 2.4 0.2 5 0 0 12 1 15
5 7 Roma 5 2 3 1.4 1.8 1 1 3 7 9 4
6 8 Fiorentina 6 3 3 1.7 1.3 3 1 2 10 8 10
7 10 Lazio 6 3 3 1.0 1.5 2 0 4 6 9 6
8 15 Sassuolo 5 2 3 1.2 2.0 1 1 3 6 10 4
9 17 Cagliari 5 2 3 0.6 1.8 0 2 3 3 9 2
10 19 Empoli 5 2 3 0.6 2.8 1 0 4 3 14 3
11 20 Salernitana 6 3 3 0.7 1.8 0 2 4 4 11 2
12 2 Juventus 6 4 2 1.5 0.7 4 1 1 9 4 13
13 9 Monza 6 4 2 0.8 1.3 2 1 3 5 8 7
14 11 Frosinone 5 3 2 1.0 1.8 0 2 3 5 9 2
15 12 Torino 5 3 2 1.0 1.6 2 0 3 5 8 6
16 13 Genoa 6 4 2 0.7 1.3 1 1 4 4 8 4
17 14 Lecce 5 3 2 1.0 1.4 0 3 2 5 7 3
18 18 Verona 7 5 2 0.4 1.1 1 1 5 3 8 4
19 6 Bologna 5 4 1 0.8 0.8 0 5 0 4 4 5
20 16 Udinese 6 5 1 0.7 1.0 1 4 1 4 6 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38