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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 1–1 Inter

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2024/2025

Home 4.00 fair 3.53
Draw ✓ 3.50 fair 4.20
Away 1.91 fair 2.09
Under 2.5 ✓ 2.00 fair 2.32
Over 2.5 1.80 fair 1.76

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Inter
10 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 6
8 Corners 11
5 Fouls 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (225 league matches this season so far).
Result Inter to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.71
Expected goals 1.26 – 1.70
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawInter
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 11.1% 1–2 9.4% 0–1 8.8%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
1.62points / match
1.52scored / match
1.10conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 32:23
Inter before this match, all matches
2.38points / match
2.62scored / match
0.86conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 55:18
Milan all matches all matches Inter

Per match

1.52 Goals scored 2.62
1.10 Goals conceded 0.86
2.62 Total goals 3.48
14.86 Shots 15.43
5.57 Shots on target 5.86
10.62 Shots faced 9.05
5.81 Corners 5.90
3.52 Corners against 3.19
11.38 Fouls 11.29
1.86 Yellow cards 1.43
0.86 1st-half goals scored 1.24
0.48 1st-half goals conceded 0.38

How often Full Time

43% Wins 71%
33% Draws 24%
24% Losses 5%
90% Over 0.5 goals 100%
76% Over 1.5 goals 86%
57% Over 2.5 goals 67%
24% Over 3.5 goals 52%
10% Over 4.5 goals 24%
5% Over 5.5 goals 10%
52% Both teams scored 48%
38% Clean sheets 52%
19% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

33% Wins 52%
48% Draws 48%
19% Losses 0%
71% Over 0.5 goals 67%
43% Over 1.5 goals 52%
14% Over 2.5 goals 24%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Inter all matches
Milan before this match, at home
1.82points / match
1.64scored / match
0.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 18:8
Inter before this match, away
2.60points / match
2.90scored / match
0.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 29:5
Milan at home away Inter

Per match

1.64 Goals scored 2.90
0.73 Goals conceded 0.50
2.36 Total goals 3.40
16.09 Shots 14.20
5.64 Shots on target 5.90
9.18 Shots faced 9.20
6.55 Corners 3.80
3.09 Corners against 3.70
10.55 Fouls 11.20
1.64 Yellow cards 1.60
1.09 1st-half goals scored 1.30
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.20

How often Full Time

45% Wins 80%
45% Draws 20%
9% Losses 0%
82% Over 0.5 goals 100%
73% Over 1.5 goals 80%
45% Over 2.5 goals 70%
27% Over 3.5 goals 50%
9% Over 4.5 goals 30%
0% Over 5.5 goals 10%
36% Both teams scored 30%
55% Clean sheets 70%
27% Failed to score 0%

How often Half Time

36% Wins 50%
45% Draws 50%
18% Losses 0%
73% Over 0.5 goals 60%
55% Over 1.5 goals 50%
18% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Inter away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.01.25 Milan – Parma 3–2 (1–1) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
18.01.25 Juventus – Milan 2–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.40 2.10 1.73
14.01.25 Como – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 4.203.501.90 1.84 2.06
11.01.25 Milan – Cagliari 1–1 (0–0) 1.335.009.50 1.62 2.30
29.12.24 Milan – Roma 1–1 (1–1) 2.253.403.20 1.93 1.97
20.12.24 Verona – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 5.504.101.57 1.73 2.10
15.12.24 Milan – Genoa 0–0 (0–0) 1.335.258.00 1.67 2.20
06.12.24 Atalanta – Milan 2–1 (1–1) 2.153.403.30 1.73 2.10
30.11.24 Milan – Empoli 3–0 (2–0) 1.364.759.00 1.73 2.10
23.11.24 Milan – Juventus 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.20 1.67

Inter all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.01.25 Lecce – Inter 0–4 (0–2) 9.505.251.33 1.67 2.20
19.01.25 Inter – Empoli 3–1 (0–0) 1.255.7513.00 1.57 2.38
15.01.25 Inter – Bologna 2–2 (2–1) 1.484.207.00 1.73 2.10
12.01.25 Venezia – Inter 0–1 (0–1) 11.005.251.29 1.57 2.38
28.12.24 Cagliari – Inter 0–3 (0–0) 6.504.751.44 1.62 2.30
23.12.24 Inter – Como 2–0 (0–0) 1.206.5015.00 1.53 2.50
16.12.24 Lazio – Inter 0–6 (0–2) 3.603.402.10 1.99 1.91
06.12.24 Inter – Parma 3–1 (1–0) 1.187.0015.00 1.33 3.40
23.11.24 Verona – Inter 0–5 (0–5) 7.005.251.38 1.57 2.38
10.11.24 Inter – Napoli 1–1 (1–1) 1.853.704.10 1.90 2.00

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.01.25 Milan – Parma 3–2 (1–1) 1.306.008.50 1.44 2.75
11.01.25 Milan – Cagliari 1–1 (0–0) 1.335.009.50 1.62 2.30
29.12.24 Milan – Roma 1–1 (1–1) 2.253.403.20 1.93 1.97
15.12.24 Milan – Genoa 0–0 (0–0) 1.335.258.00 1.67 2.20
30.11.24 Milan – Empoli 3–0 (2–0) 1.364.759.00 1.73 2.10
23.11.24 Milan – Juventus 0–0 (0–0) 2.153.303.50 2.20 1.67
29.10.24 Milan – Napoli 0–2 (0–2) 2.453.402.80 1.95 1.95
19.10.24 Milan – Udinese 1–0 (1–0) 1.384.758.50 1.57 2.38
27.09.24 Milan – Lecce 3–0 (3–0) 1.335.758.00 1.50 2.63
14.09.24 Milan – Venezia 4–0 (4–0) 1.305.759.00 1.53 2.50

Inter away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
26.01.25 Lecce – Inter 0–4 (0–2) 9.505.251.33 1.67 2.20
12.01.25 Venezia – Inter 0–1 (0–1) 11.005.251.29 1.57 2.38
28.12.24 Cagliari – Inter 0–3 (0–0) 6.504.751.44 1.62 2.30
16.12.24 Lazio – Inter 0–6 (0–2) 3.603.402.10 1.99 1.91
23.11.24 Verona – Inter 0–5 (0–5) 7.005.251.38 1.57 2.38
30.10.24 Empoli – Inter 0–3 (0–0) 7.504.331.44 1.80 2.00
20.10.24 Roma – Inter 0–1 (0–0) 4.203.701.85 1.73 2.10
28.09.24 Udinese – Inter 2–3 (1–2) 7.004.331.48 1.73 2.10
15.09.24 Monza – Inter 1–1 (0–0) 8.004.751.40 1.67 2.20
17.08.24 Genoa – Inter 2–2 (1–1) 6.504.001.53 1.90 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsInter wins
7matches
3.29goals / match
71%over 2.5
86%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.09.24I1 Inter – Milan 1–2 (1–1) 1.654.005.25 1.67 2.20
22.04.24I1 Milan – Inter 1–2 (0–1) 3.753.602.00 1.73 2.10
16.09.23I1 Inter – Milan 5–1 (2–0) 2.153.503.40 1.90 2.00
05.02.23I1 Inter – Milan 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 1.85 2.05
03.09.22I1 Milan – Inter 3–2 (1–1) 2.803.252.60 1.88 2.02
05.02.22I1 Inter – Milan 1–2 (1–0) 1.803.754.50 1.66 2.20
07.11.21I1 Milan – Inter 1–1 (1–1) 3.253.502.15 1.66 2.20

Italy Serie A table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 22 17 2 3 37 15 +22 53
2 Inter 21 15 5 1 55 18 +37 50
3 Atalanta 23 14 5 4 49 26 +23 47
4 Juventus 23 9 13 1 39 20 +19 40
5 Fiorentina 22 11 6 5 37 23 +14 39
6 Lazio 22 12 3 7 38 30 +8 39
7 Bologna 22 9 10 3 35 27 +8 37
8 Milan 21 9 7 5 32 23 +9 34
9 Roma 22 8 6 8 33 28 +5 30
10 Udinese 23 8 5 10 28 36 -8 29
11 Torino 23 6 9 8 24 27 -3 27
12 Genoa 23 6 8 9 21 32 -11 26
13 Verona 23 7 2 14 26 48 -22 23
14 Lecce 23 6 5 12 18 41 -23 23
15 Como 23 5 7 11 27 38 -11 22
16 Empoli 23 4 9 10 22 33 -11 21
17 Cagliari 22 5 6 11 23 36 -13 21
18 Parma 23 4 8 11 29 42 -13 20
19 Venezia 23 3 7 13 22 38 -16 16
20 Monza 23 2 7 14 20 34 -14 13
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 11 9 0 2 17 7 +10 27
2 Inter 11 7 3 1 26 13 +13 24
3 Atalanta 11 7 2 2 29 16 +13 23
4 Juventus 12 5 7 0 21 10 +11 22
5 Roma 11 7 0 4 23 11 +12 21
6 Fiorentina 11 6 3 2 19 13 +6 21
7 Lazio 11 6 3 2 20 16 +4 21
8 Milan 11 5 5 1 18 8 +10 20
9 Bologna 11 5 5 1 17 9 +8 20
10 Udinese 12 5 2 5 15 17 -2 17
11 Como 11 4 3 4 18 18 0 15
12 Torino 11 3 4 4 9 10 -1 13
13 Lecce 11 3 4 4 9 21 -12 13
14 Venezia 11 3 3 5 12 14 -2 12
15 Parma 12 3 3 6 18 22 -4 12
16 Genoa 12 2 6 4 12 16 -4 12
17 Cagliari 11 3 3 5 12 19 -7 12
18 Verona 11 3 1 7 11 25 -14 10
19 Empoli 11 1 5 5 5 12 -7 8
20 Monza 12 1 3 8 10 17 -7 6
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 10 8 2 0 29 5 +24 26
2 Napoli 11 8 2 1 20 8 +12 26
3 Atalanta 12 7 3 2 20 10 +10 24
4 Fiorentina 11 5 3 3 18 10 +8 18
5 Juventus 11 4 6 1 18 10 +8 18
6 Lazio 11 6 0 5 18 14 +4 18
7 Bologna 11 4 5 2 18 18 0 17
8 Milan 10 4 2 4 14 15 -1 14
9 Torino 12 3 5 4 15 17 -2 14
10 Genoa 11 4 2 5 9 16 -7 14
11 Empoli 12 3 4 5 17 21 -4 13
12 Verona 12 4 1 7 15 23 -8 13
13 Udinese 11 3 3 5 13 19 -6 12
14 Lecce 12 3 1 8 9 20 -11 10
15 Cagliari 11 2 3 6 11 17 -6 9
16 Roma 11 1 6 4 10 17 -7 9
17 Parma 11 1 5 5 11 20 -9 8
18 Monza 11 1 4 6 10 17 -7 7
19 Como 12 1 4 7 9 20 -11 7
20 Venezia 12 0 4 8 10 24 -14 4

Milan   Inter

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Lazio 22 6 16 1.7 1.4 12 3 7 38 30 39
2 13 Verona 23 8 15 1.1 2.1 7 2 14 26 48 23
3 18 Parma 23 8 15 1.3 1.8 4 8 11 29 42 20
4 2 Inter 21 7 14 2.6 0.9 15 5 1 55 18 50
5 3 Atalanta 23 9 14 2.1 1.1 14 5 4 49 26 47
6 5 Fiorentina 22 9 13 1.7 1.0 11 6 5 37 23 39
7 10 Udinese 23 10 13 1.2 1.6 8 5 10 28 36 29
8 7 Bologna 22 10 12 1.6 1.2 9 10 3 35 27 37
9 8 Milan 21 9 12 1.5 1.1 9 7 5 32 23 34
10 19 Venezia 23 11 12 1.0 1.7 3 7 13 22 38 16
11 1 Napoli 22 11 11 1.7 0.7 17 2 3 37 15 53
12 4 Juventus 23 12 11 1.7 0.9 9 13 1 39 20 40
13 9 Roma 22 11 11 1.5 1.3 8 6 8 33 28 30
14 14 Lecce 23 12 11 0.8 1.8 6 5 12 18 41 23
15 20 Monza 23 12 11 0.9 1.5 2 7 14 20 34 13
16 12 Genoa 23 13 10 0.9 1.4 6 8 9 21 32 26
17 15 Como 23 13 10 1.2 1.7 5 7 11 27 38 22
18 16 Empoli 23 13 10 1.0 1.4 4 9 10 22 33 21
19 17 Cagliari 22 12 10 1.0 1.6 5 6 11 23 36 21
20 11 Torino 23 16 7 1.0 1.2 6 9 8 24 27 27
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Lazio 11 2 9 1.8 1.5 6 3 2 20 16 21
2 13 Verona 11 2 9 1.0 2.3 3 1 7 11 25 10
3 3 Atalanta 11 3 8 2.6 1.5 7 2 2 29 16 23
4 5 Fiorentina 11 3 8 1.7 1.2 6 3 2 19 13 21
5 18 Parma 12 4 8 1.5 1.8 3 3 6 18 22 12
6 2 Inter 11 4 7 2.4 1.2 7 3 1 26 13 24
7 9 Roma 11 4 7 2.1 1.0 7 0 4 23 11 21
8 4 Juventus 12 6 6 1.8 0.8 5 7 0 21 10 22
9 10 Udinese 12 6 6 1.2 1.4 5 2 5 15 17 17
10 14 Lecce 11 5 6 0.8 1.9 3 4 4 9 21 13
11 15 Como 11 5 6 1.6 1.6 4 3 4 18 18 15
12 20 Monza 12 6 6 0.8 1.4 1 3 8 10 17 6
13 1 Napoli 11 6 5 1.5 0.6 9 0 2 17 7 27
14 8 Milan 11 6 5 1.6 0.7 5 5 1 18 8 20
15 12 Genoa 12 7 5 1.0 1.3 2 6 4 12 16 12
16 17 Cagliari 11 6 5 1.1 1.7 3 3 5 12 19 12
17 7 Bologna 11 7 4 1.5 0.8 5 5 1 17 9 20
18 19 Venezia 11 7 4 1.1 1.3 3 3 5 12 14 12
19 16 Empoli 11 8 3 0.5 1.1 1 5 5 5 12 8
20 11 Torino 11 9 2 0.8 0.9 3 4 4 9 10 13
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Bologna 11 3 8 1.6 1.6 4 5 2 18 18 17
2 19 Venezia 12 4 8 0.8 2.0 0 4 8 10 24 4
3 2 Inter 10 3 7 2.9 0.5 8 2 0 29 5 26
4 6 Lazio 11 4 7 1.6 1.3 6 0 5 18 14 18
5 8 Milan 10 3 7 1.4 1.5 4 2 4 14 15 14
6 10 Udinese 11 4 7 1.2 1.7 3 3 5 13 19 12
7 16 Empoli 12 5 7 1.4 1.8 3 4 5 17 21 13
8 18 Parma 11 4 7 1.0 1.8 1 5 5 11 20 8
9 1 Napoli 11 5 6 1.8 0.7 8 2 1 20 8 26
10 3 Atalanta 12 6 6 1.7 0.8 7 3 2 20 10 24
11 13 Verona 12 6 6 1.2 1.9 4 1 7 15 23 13
12 4 Juventus 11 6 5 1.6 0.9 4 6 1 18 10 18
13 5 Fiorentina 11 6 5 1.6 0.9 5 3 3 18 10 18
14 11 Torino 12 7 5 1.2 1.4 3 5 4 15 17 14
15 12 Genoa 11 6 5 0.8 1.5 4 2 5 9 16 14
16 14 Lecce 12 7 5 0.8 1.7 3 1 8 9 20 10
17 17 Cagliari 11 6 5 1.0 1.5 2 3 6 11 17 9
18 20 Monza 11 6 5 0.9 1.5 1 4 6 10 17 7
19 9 Roma 11 7 4 0.9 1.5 1 6 4 10 17 9
20 15 Como 12 8 4 0.8 1.7 1 4 7 9 20 7

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51