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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 3–0 Lecce

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2023/2024

Home ✓ 1.36 fair 1.62
Draw 4.75 fair 4.60
Away 8.50 fair 6.10
Under 2.5 2.10 fair 2.09
Over 2.5 ✓ 1.70 fair 1.92

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Lecce
16 Shots 12
8 Shots on target 7
5 Corners 1
8 Fouls 8
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (300 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.96
Expected goals 1.90 – 0.86
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawLecce
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 12% 2–0 11.4% 1–1 10.3%

Statistics 2023/2024, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
2.17points / match
1.90scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 57:34
Lecce before this match, all matches
0.97points / match
0.87scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 26:45
Milan all matches all matches Lecce

Per match

1.90 Goals scored 0.87
1.13 Goals conceded 1.50
3.03 Total goals 2.37
13.93 Shots 13.73
5.40 Shots on target 3.97
13.43 Shots faced 13.57
4.60 Corners 4.53
4.20 Corners against 5.10
11.73 Fouls 13.27
2.40 Yellow cards 2.63
0.97 1st-half goals scored 0.27
0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.57

How often Full Time

67% Wins 20%
17% Draws 37%
17% Losses 43%
100% Over 0.5 goals 97%
70% Over 1.5 goals 73%
60% Over 2.5 goals 40%
47% Over 3.5 goals 23%
20% Over 4.5 goals 3%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
57% Both teams scored 50%
37% Clean sheets 13%
7% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 17%
43% Draws 47%
7% Losses 37%
77% Over 0.5 goals 63%
50% Over 1.5 goals 20%
7% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Lecce all matches
Milan before this match, at home
2.29points / match
1.64scored / match
0.57conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 23:8
Lecce before this match, away
0.60points / match
0.73scored / match
1.53conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 11:23
Milan at home away Lecce

Per match

1.64 Goals scored 0.73
0.57 Goals conceded 1.53
2.21 Total goals 2.27
13.79 Shots 11.53
5.07 Shots on target 3.33
12.64 Shots faced 15.60
5.00 Corners 3.80
4.00 Corners against 6.07
12.07 Fouls 14.00
1.71 Yellow cards 2.93
0.93 1st-half goals scored 0.27
0.21 1st-half goals conceded 0.53

How often Full Time

71% Wins 7%
14% Draws 40%
14% Losses 53%
100% Over 0.5 goals 100%
50% Over 1.5 goals 73%
36% Over 2.5 goals 33%
29% Over 3.5 goals 20%
7% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
36% Both teams scored 53%
50% Clean sheets 7%
14% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

57% Wins 13%
43% Draws 60%
0% Losses 27%
71% Over 0.5 goals 53%
29% Over 1.5 goals 27%
7% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Lecce away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
30.03.24 Fiorentina – Milan 1–2 (0–0) 2.883.302.50 2.01 1.89
17.03.24 Verona – Milan 1–3 (0–1) 5.253.751.70 2.05 1.85
10.03.24 Milan – Empoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.50 1.70 2.10
01.03.24 Lazio – Milan 0–1 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.10 1.70
25.02.24 Milan – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05
18.02.24 Monza – Milan 4–2 (2–0) 4.753.501.80 1.97 1.93
11.02.24 Milan – Napoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.80 2.00
03.02.24 Frosinone – Milan 2–3 (1–1) 5.004.201.62 1.60 2.30
27.01.24 Milan – Bologna 2–2 (1–1) 1.673.755.25 2.08 1.73
20.01.24 Udinese – Milan 2–3 (1–1) 4.003.801.85 1.91 1.99

Lecce all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
01.04.24 Lecce – Roma 0–0 (0–0) 4.503.501.83 2.07 1.83
16.03.24 Salernitana – Lecce 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.202.50 2.10 1.70
10.03.24 Lecce – Verona 0–1 (0–1) 2.203.253.40 2.30 1.60
03.03.24 Frosinone – Lecce 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.303.30 1.99 1.91
25.02.24 Lecce – Inter 0–4 (0–1) 7.004.501.44 1.73 2.08
16.02.24 Torino – Lecce 2–0 (0–0) 1.803.404.75 2.25 1.62
11.02.24 Bologna – Lecce 4–0 (2–0) 1.733.605.25 2.20 1.65
02.02.24 Lecce – Fiorentina 3–2 (1–0) 3.753.202.10 2.15 1.67
28.01.24 Genoa – Lecce 2–1 (0–1) 2.103.104.00 2.60 1.48
21.01.24 Lecce – Juventus 0–3 (0–0) 6.003.501.65 2.35 1.57

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.03.24 Milan – Empoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.445.006.50 1.70 2.10
25.02.24 Milan – Atalanta 1–1 (1–1) 2.383.403.00 1.75 2.05
11.02.24 Milan – Napoli 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.80 2.00
27.01.24 Milan – Bologna 2–2 (1–1) 1.673.755.25 2.08 1.73
14.01.24 Milan – Roma 3–1 (1–0) 2.203.203.50 2.15 1.67
30.12.23 Milan – Sassuolo 1–0 (0–0) 1.454.756.50 1.50 2.50
17.12.23 Milan – Monza 3–0 (2–0) 1.624.335.00 1.80 2.00
02.12.23 Milan – Frosinone 3–1 (1–0) 1.444.507.50 1.70 2.10
25.11.23 Milan – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 2.103.303.50 2.06 1.84
04.11.23 Milan – Udinese 0–1 (0–0) 1.454.507.00 1.75 2.05

Lecce away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.03.24 Salernitana – Lecce 0–1 (0–1) 2.903.202.50 2.10 1.70
03.03.24 Frosinone – Lecce 1–1 (1–0) 2.253.303.30 1.99 1.91
16.02.24 Torino – Lecce 2–0 (0–0) 1.803.404.75 2.25 1.62
11.02.24 Bologna – Lecce 4–0 (2–0) 1.733.605.25 2.20 1.65
28.01.24 Genoa – Lecce 2–1 (0–1) 2.103.104.00 2.60 1.48
14.01.24 Lazio – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.653.605.75 2.10 1.70
30.12.23 Atalanta – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 1.404.608.00 1.92 1.98
23.12.23 Inter – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.227.0011.00 1.65 2.20
11.12.23 Empoli – Lecce 1–1 (0–0) 2.553.203.00 2.08 1.73
27.11.23 Verona – Lecce 2–2 (1–1) 2.753.002.88 2.50 1.50

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsLecce wins
3matches
3.33goals / match
67%over 2.5
67%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
11.11.23I1 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (0–2) 5.003.601.75 2.08 1.73
23.04.23I1 Milan – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.504.207.00 2.10 1.73
14.01.23I1 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (2–0) 5.753.801.62 2.03 1.87

Italy Serie A table 2023/2024, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 30 25 4 1 73 14 +59 79
2 Milan 30 20 5 5 57 34 +23 65
3 Juventus 30 17 8 5 44 24 +20 59
4 Bologna 30 16 9 5 45 25 +20 57
5 Roma 30 15 7 8 55 35 +20 52
6 Atalanta 29 15 5 9 54 32 +22 50
7 Lazio 30 14 4 12 37 33 +4 46
8 Napoli 30 12 9 9 44 36 +8 45
9 Torino 30 11 11 8 29 26 +3 44
10 Fiorentina 29 12 7 10 42 34 +8 43
11 Monza 30 11 9 10 32 37 -5 42
12 Genoa 30 8 11 11 32 37 -5 35
13 Lecce 30 6 11 13 26 45 -19 29
14 Udinese 30 4 16 10 29 45 -16 28
15 Verona 30 6 9 15 27 40 -13 27
16 Cagliari 30 6 9 15 30 51 -21 27
17 Frosinone 30 6 7 17 38 61 -23 25
18 Sassuolo 31 6 7 18 36 59 -23 25
19 Empoli 30 6 7 17 22 45 -23 25
20 Salernitana 31 2 9 20 25 64 -39 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 16 13 2 1 39 8 +31 41
2 Bologna 16 12 2 2 29 8 +21 38
3 Roma 15 10 3 2 34 15 +19 33
4 Milan 14 10 2 2 23 8 +15 32
5 Juventus 15 9 5 1 22 10 +12 32
6 Atalanta 14 10 1 3 31 10 +21 31
7 Fiorentina 15 8 3 4 27 17 +10 27
8 Torino 15 7 6 2 15 8 +7 27
9 Lazio 15 7 3 5 15 12 +3 24
10 Monza 15 6 5 4 18 17 +1 23
11 Napoli 15 6 4 5 20 21 -1 22
12 Genoa 15 5 6 4 20 20 0 21
13 Frosinone 15 6 3 6 25 26 -1 21
14 Cagliari 15 5 5 5 21 25 -4 20
15 Lecce 15 5 5 5 15 22 -7 20
16 Verona 14 4 5 5 16 19 -3 17
17 Sassuolo 15 4 4 7 19 26 -7 16
18 Udinese 15 1 9 5 17 23 -6 12
19 Empoli 15 2 4 9 9 20 -11 10
20 Salernitana 16 1 5 10 15 32 -17 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 14 12 2 0 34 6 +28 38
2 Milan 16 10 3 3 34 26 +8 33
3 Juventus 15 8 3 4 22 14 +8 27
4 Napoli 15 6 5 4 24 15 +9 23
5 Lazio 15 7 1 7 22 21 +1 22
6 Atalanta 15 5 4 6 23 22 +1 19
7 Roma 15 5 4 6 21 20 +1 19
8 Bologna 14 4 7 3 16 17 -1 19
9 Monza 15 5 4 6 14 20 -6 19
10 Torino 15 4 5 6 14 18 -4 17
11 Fiorentina 14 4 4 6 15 17 -2 16
12 Udinese 15 3 7 5 12 22 -10 16
13 Empoli 15 4 3 8 13 25 -12 15
14 Genoa 15 3 5 7 12 17 -5 14
15 Verona 16 2 4 10 11 21 -10 10
16 Lecce 15 1 6 8 11 23 -12 9
17 Sassuolo 16 2 3 11 17 33 -16 9
18 Cagliari 15 1 4 10 9 26 -17 7
19 Salernitana 15 1 4 10 10 32 -22 7
20 Frosinone 15 0 4 11 13 35 -22 4

Milan   Lecce

Under / Over goals 2023/2024, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Frosinone 30 10 20 1.3 2.0 6 7 17 38 61 25
2 20 Salernitana 31 11 20 0.8 2.1 2 9 20 25 64 15
3 2 Milan 30 12 18 1.9 1.1 20 5 5 57 34 65
4 5 Roma 30 12 18 1.8 1.2 15 7 8 55 35 52
5 6 Atalanta 29 11 18 1.9 1.1 15 5 9 54 32 50
6 8 Napoli 30 13 17 1.5 1.2 12 9 9 44 36 45
7 18 Sassuolo 31 14 17 1.2 1.9 6 7 18 36 59 25
8 1 Inter 30 14 16 2.4 0.5 25 4 1 73 14 79
9 16 Cagliari 30 14 16 1.0 1.7 6 9 15 30 51 27
10 4 Bologna 30 16 14 1.5 0.8 16 9 5 45 25 57
11 10 Fiorentina 29 15 14 1.4 1.2 12 7 10 42 34 43
12 3 Juventus 30 17 13 1.5 0.8 17 8 5 44 24 59
13 7 Lazio 30 17 13 1.2 1.1 14 4 12 37 33 46
14 15 Verona 30 17 13 0.9 1.3 6 9 15 27 40 27
15 12 Genoa 30 18 12 1.1 1.2 8 11 11 32 37 35
16 13 Lecce 30 18 12 0.9 1.5 6 11 13 26 45 29
17 14 Udinese 30 18 12 1.0 1.5 4 16 10 29 45 28
18 11 Monza 30 19 11 1.1 1.2 11 9 10 32 37 42
19 19 Empoli 30 20 10 0.7 1.5 6 7 17 22 45 25
20 9 Torino 30 22 8 1.0 0.9 11 11 8 29 26 44
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Frosinone 15 3 12 1.7 1.7 6 3 6 25 26 21
2 20 Salernitana 16 5 11 0.9 2.0 1 5 10 15 32 8
3 8 Napoli 15 5 10 1.3 1.4 6 4 5 20 21 22
4 10 Fiorentina 15 5 10 1.8 1.1 8 3 4 27 17 27
5 1 Inter 16 7 9 2.4 0.5 13 2 1 39 8 41
6 5 Roma 15 6 9 2.3 1.0 10 3 2 34 15 33
7 6 Atalanta 14 5 9 2.2 0.7 10 1 3 31 10 31
8 16 Cagliari 15 6 9 1.4 1.7 5 5 5 21 25 20
9 13 Lecce 15 8 7 1.0 1.5 5 5 5 15 22 20
10 14 Udinese 15 8 7 1.1 1.5 1 9 5 17 23 12
11 15 Verona 14 7 7 1.1 1.4 4 5 5 16 19 17
12 18 Sassuolo 15 8 7 1.3 1.7 4 4 7 19 26 16
13 4 Bologna 16 10 6 1.8 0.5 12 2 2 29 8 38
14 12 Genoa 15 9 6 1.3 1.3 5 6 4 20 20 21
15 2 Milan 14 9 5 1.6 0.6 10 2 2 23 8 32
16 3 Juventus 15 10 5 1.5 0.7 9 5 1 22 10 32
17 11 Monza 15 10 5 1.2 1.1 6 5 4 18 17 23
18 7 Lazio 15 11 4 1.0 0.8 7 3 5 15 12 24
19 9 Torino 15 11 4 1.0 0.5 7 6 2 15 8 27
20 19 Empoli 15 11 4 0.6 1.3 2 4 9 9 20 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Milan 16 3 13 2.1 1.6 10 3 3 34 26 33
2 18 Sassuolo 16 6 10 1.1 2.1 2 3 11 17 33 9
3 5 Roma 15 6 9 1.4 1.3 5 4 6 21 20 19
4 6 Atalanta 15 6 9 1.5 1.5 5 4 6 23 22 19
5 7 Lazio 15 6 9 1.5 1.4 7 1 7 22 21 22
6 20 Salernitana 15 6 9 0.7 2.1 1 4 10 10 32 7
7 3 Juventus 15 7 8 1.5 0.9 8 3 4 22 14 27
8 4 Bologna 14 6 8 1.1 1.2 4 7 3 16 17 19
9 17 Frosinone 15 7 8 0.9 2.3 0 4 11 13 35 4
10 1 Inter 14 7 7 2.4 0.4 12 2 0 34 6 38
11 8 Napoli 15 8 7 1.6 1.0 6 5 4 24 15 23
12 16 Cagliari 15 8 7 0.6 1.7 1 4 10 9 26 7
13 11 Monza 15 9 6 0.9 1.3 5 4 6 14 20 19
14 12 Genoa 15 9 6 0.8 1.1 3 5 7 12 17 14
15 15 Verona 16 10 6 0.7 1.3 2 4 10 11 21 10
16 19 Empoli 15 9 6 0.9 1.7 4 3 8 13 25 15
17 13 Lecce 15 10 5 0.7 1.5 1 6 8 11 23 9
18 14 Udinese 15 10 5 0.8 1.5 3 7 5 12 22 16
19 9 Torino 15 11 4 0.9 1.2 4 5 6 14 18 17
20 10 Fiorentina 14 10 4 1.1 1.2 4 4 6 15 17 16

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51