Milan 3–2 Parma – Italy Serie A, 26 Jan 2025 | BetGPS

Match facts

Milan Parma

14 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 5

7 Corners 4

14 Fouls 7

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (212 league matches this season so far).

Result Milan to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.87

Expected goals 1.69 – 1.07

Home / Draw / Away

52% 24% 24%

MilanDrawParma

Under / Over 2.5 goals

48% 52%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

47% 54%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

6% 0

18% 1

24% 2

22% 3

15% 4

15% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 11.4% 1–0 10.7% 2–1 9.7%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches

1.55points / match

1.45scored / match

1.05conceded / match

8 7 5

WonDrawnLost 20 played · 29:21

Parma before this match, all matches

0.95points / match

1.24scored / match

1.71conceded / match

4 8 9

WonDrawnLost 21 played · 26:36

Milan all matches all matches Parma

Per match

1.45 Goals scored 1.24

1.05 Goals conceded 1.71

2.50 Total goals 2.95

14.90 Shots 12.43

5.60 Shots on target 3.95

10.55 Shots faced 15.48

5.75 Corners 5.19

3.50 Corners against 6.43

11.25 Fouls 9.76

1.85 Yellow cards 1.86

0.85 1st-half goals scored 0.52

0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.62

How often Full Time

40% Wins 19%

35% Draws 38%

25% Losses 43%

90% Over 0.5 goals 90%

75% Over 1.5 goals 81%

55% Over 2.5 goals 62%

20% Over 3.5 goals 43%

5% Over 4.5 goals 19%

5% Over 5.5 goals 0%

50% Both teams scored 76%

40% Clean sheets 10%

20% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

35% Wins 29%

45% Draws 38%

20% Losses 33%

70% Over 0.5 goals 76%

40% Over 1.5 goals 33%

15% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches

3

D

3

W

1

2

L

D

1

W

1

D

1

D

2

1

W

2

L

Parma all matches

2

1

W

1

3

L

3

1

W

1

3

L

2

3

L

5

L

2

1

W

D

1

L

1

D

Milan before this match, at home

1.70points / match

1.50scored / match

0.60conceded / match

4 5 1

WonDrawnLost 10 played · 15:6

Parma before this match, away

0.80points / match

0.90scored / match

1.70conceded / match

1 5 4

WonDrawnLost 10 played · 9:17

Milan at home away Parma

Per match

1.50 Goals scored 0.90

0.60 Goals conceded 1.70

2.10 Total goals 2.60

16.30 Shots 11.50

5.70 Shots on target 3.60

8.90 Shots faced 17.20

6.50 Corners 5.70

3.00 Corners against 7.30

10.20 Fouls 8.90

1.60 Yellow cards 1.50

1.10 1st-half goals scored 0.50

0.40 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

40% Wins 10%

50% Draws 50%

10% Losses 40%

80% Over 0.5 goals 80%

70% Over 1.5 goals 70%

40% Over 2.5 goals 60%

20% Over 3.5 goals 40%

0% Over 4.5 goals 10%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

30% Both teams scored 60%

60% Clean sheets 20%

30% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

40% Wins 20%

40% Draws 50%

20% Losses 30%

70% Over 0.5 goals 70%

50% Over 1.5 goals 40%

20% Over 2.5 goals 10%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home

2

D

4

W

3

W

1

W

2

L

D

3

W

D

1

D

1

D

Parma away

1

2

L

2

D

1

D

2

D

2

1

W

1

3

L

5

L

D

1

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
18.01.25	Juventus – Milan	2–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.40	2.10	1.73
14.01.25	Como – Milan	1–2 (0–0)	4.20	3.50	1.90	1.84	2.06
11.01.25	Milan – Cagliari	1–1 (0–0)	1.33	5.00	9.50	1.62	2.30
29.12.24	Milan – Roma	1–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.40	3.20	1.93	1.97
20.12.24	Verona – Milan	0–1 (0–0)	5.50	4.10	1.57	1.73	2.10
15.12.24	Milan – Genoa	0–0 (0–0)	1.33	5.25	8.00	1.67	2.20
06.12.24	Atalanta – Milan	2–1 (1–1)	2.15	3.40	3.30	1.73	2.10
30.11.24	Milan – Empoli	3–0 (2–0)	1.36	4.75	9.00	1.73	2.10
23.11.24	Milan – Juventus	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.20	1.67
09.11.24	Cagliari – Milan	3–3 (1–2)	5.50	4.10	1.60	1.67	2.20

Parma all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
19.01.25	Parma – Venezia	1–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.70	3.10	1.73	2.10
12.01.25	Genoa – Parma	1–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.50	4.00	1.91	1.99
05.01.25	Torino – Parma	0–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.40	4.50	2.01	1.89
28.12.24	Parma – Monza	2–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.50	3.00	1.73	2.10
22.12.24	Roma – Parma	5–0 (2–0)	1.53	4.20	6.25	1.62	2.30
15.12.24	Parma – Verona	2–3 (1–1)	1.85	3.75	4.00	1.73	2.10
06.12.24	Inter – Parma	3–1 (1–0)	1.18	7.00	15.00	1.33	3.40
01.12.24	Parma – Lazio	3–1 (1–0)	4.20	3.80	1.80	1.67	2.20
23.11.24	Parma – Atalanta	1–3 (0–2)	5.00	4.20	1.62	1.57	2.38
09.11.24	Venezia – Parma	1–2 (1–1)	2.55	3.40	2.70	1.67	2.20

Milan at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
11.01.25	Milan – Cagliari	1–1 (0–0)	1.33	5.00	9.50	1.62	2.30
29.12.24	Milan – Roma	1–1 (1–1)	2.25	3.40	3.20	1.93	1.97
15.12.24	Milan – Genoa	0–0 (0–0)	1.33	5.25	8.00	1.67	2.20
30.11.24	Milan – Empoli	3–0 (2–0)	1.36	4.75	9.00	1.73	2.10
23.11.24	Milan – Juventus	0–0 (0–0)	2.15	3.30	3.50	2.20	1.67
29.10.24	Milan – Napoli	0–2 (0–2)	2.45	3.40	2.80	1.95	1.95
19.10.24	Milan – Udinese	1–0 (1–0)	1.38	4.75	8.50	1.57	2.38
27.09.24	Milan – Lecce	3–0 (3–0)	1.33	5.75	8.00	1.50	2.63
14.09.24	Milan – Venezia	4–0 (4–0)	1.30	5.75	9.00	1.53	2.50
17.08.24	Milan – Torino	2–2 (0–1)	1.62	3.80	5.75	1.95	1.95

Parma away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
12.01.25	Genoa – Parma	1–0 (0–0)	1.91	3.50	4.00	1.91	1.99
05.01.25	Torino – Parma	0–0 (0–0)	1.85	3.40	4.50	2.01	1.89
22.12.24	Roma – Parma	5–0 (2–0)	1.53	4.20	6.25	1.62	2.30
06.12.24	Inter – Parma	3–1 (1–0)	1.18	7.00	15.00	1.33	3.40
09.11.24	Venezia – Parma	1–2 (1–1)	2.55	3.40	2.70	1.67	2.20
30.10.24	Juventus – Parma	2–2 (1–2)	1.40	4.75	8.00	1.73	2.10
19.10.24	Como – Parma	1–1 (1–1)	1.95	3.60	3.80	1.67	2.20
06.10.24	Bologna – Parma	0–0 (0–0)	1.80	3.70	4.33	1.87	2.03
21.09.24	Lecce – Parma	2–2 (1–0)	2.20	3.50	3.25	1.91	1.99
31.08.24	Napoli – Parma	2–1 (0–1)	1.48	4.33	7.00	1.73	2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

1

Milan winsDrawsParma wins

1matches

3.00goals / match

100%over 2.5

100%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
24.08.24I1	Parma – Milan	2–1 (1–0)	4.75	3.90	1.70	1.73	2.10

Italy Serie A table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Napoli	22	17	2	3	37	15	+22	53
2	Inter	20	14	5	1	51	18	+33	47
3	Atalanta	22	14	4	4	48	25	+23	46
4	Lazio	21	12	3	6	37	28	+9	39
5	Juventus	22	8	13	1	35	19	+16	37
6	Bologna	21	8	10	3	33	27	+6	34
7	Fiorentina	20	9	6	5	33	21	+12	33
8	Milan	20	8	7	5	29	21	+8	31
9	Roma	21	7	6	8	31	27	+4	27
10	Torino	22	6	8	8	23	26	-3	26
11	Udinese	21	7	5	9	24	32	-8	26
12	Genoa	21	5	8	8	18	30	-12	23
13	Como	22	5	7	10	27	36	-9	22
14	Empoli	22	4	9	9	21	29	-8	21
15	Cagliari	22	5	6	11	23	36	-13	21
16	Parma	21	4	8	9	26	36	-10	20
17	Lecce	21	5	5	11	15	36	-21	20
18	Verona	21	6	1	14	24	47	-23	19
19	Venezia	21	3	6	12	19	34	-15	15
20	Monza	21	2	7	12	20	31	-11	13

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Napoli	11	9	0	2	17	7	+10	27
2	Inter	11	7	3	1	26	13	+13	24
3	Atalanta	10	7	1	2	28	15	+13	22
4	Roma	11	7	0	4	23	11	+12	21
5	Lazio	10	6	3	1	19	14	+5	21
6	Juventus	11	4	7	0	17	9	+8	19
7	Fiorentina	10	5	3	2	17	12	+5	18
8	Milan	10	4	5	1	15	6	+9	17
9	Bologna	10	4	5	1	15	9	+6	17
10	Como	11	4	3	4	18	18	0	15
11	Udinese	10	4	2	4	11	13	-2	14
12	Torino	11	3	4	4	9	10	-1	13
13	Lecce	10	3	4	3	9	17	-8	13
14	Parma	11	3	3	5	17	19	-2	12
15	Cagliari	11	3	3	5	12	19	-7	12
16	Venezia	10	3	2	5	11	13	-2	11
17	Verona	11	3	1	7	11	25	-14	10
18	Genoa	11	1	6	4	10	16	-6	9
19	Empoli	11	1	5	5	5	12	-7	8
20	Monza	11	1	3	7	10	16	-6	6

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Napoli	11	8	2	1	20	8	+12	26
2	Atalanta	12	7	3	2	20	10	+10	24
3	Inter	9	7	2	0	25	5	+20	23
4	Juventus	11	4	6	1	18	10	+8	18
5	Lazio	11	6	0	5	18	14	+4	18
6	Bologna	11	4	5	2	18	18	0	17
7	Fiorentina	10	4	3	3	16	9	+7	15
8	Milan	10	4	2	4	14	15	-1	14
9	Genoa	10	4	2	4	8	14	-6	14
10	Empoli	11	3	4	4	16	17	-1	13
11	Torino	11	3	4	4	14	16	-2	13
12	Udinese	11	3	3	5	13	19	-6	12
13	Cagliari	11	2	3	6	11	17	-6	9
14	Verona	10	3	0	7	13	22	-9	9
15	Parma	10	1	5	4	9	17	-8	8
16	Monza	10	1	4	5	10	15	-5	7
17	Como	11	1	4	6	9	18	-9	7
18	Lecce	11	2	1	8	6	19	-13	7
19	Roma	10	0	6	4	8	16	-8	6
20	Venezia	11	0	4	7	8	21	-13	4

Milan Parma

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Lazio	21	6	15	1.8	1.3	12	3	6	37	28	39
2	18	Verona	21	6	15	1.1	2.2	6	1	14	24	47	19
3	3	Atalanta	22	8	14	2.2	1.1	14	4	4	48	25	46
4	2	Inter	20	7	13	2.5	0.9	14	5	1	51	18	47
5	16	Parma	21	8	13	1.2	1.7	4	8	9	26	36	20
6	6	Bologna	21	9	12	1.6	1.3	8	10	3	33	27	34
7	1	Napoli	22	11	11	1.7	0.7	17	2	3	37	15	53
8	7	Fiorentina	20	9	11	1.6	1.1	9	6	5	33	21	33
9	8	Milan	20	9	11	1.4	1.1	8	7	5	29	21	31
10	11	Udinese	21	10	11	1.1	1.5	7	5	9	24	32	26
11	19	Venezia	21	10	11	0.9	1.6	3	6	12	19	34	15
12	20	Monza	21	10	11	1.0	1.5	2	7	12	20	31	13
13	5	Juventus	22	12	10	1.6	0.9	8	13	1	35	19	37
14	9	Roma	21	11	10	1.5	1.3	7	6	8	31	27	27
15	13	Como	22	12	10	1.2	1.6	5	7	10	27	36	22
16	15	Cagliari	22	12	10	1.0	1.6	5	6	11	23	36	21
17	12	Genoa	21	12	9	0.9	1.4	5	8	8	18	30	23
18	14	Empoli	22	13	9	1.0	1.3	4	9	9	21	29	21
19	17	Lecce	21	12	9	0.7	1.7	5	5	11	15	36	20
20	10	Torino	22	15	7	1.0	1.2	6	8	8	23	26	26

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	18	Verona	11	2	9	1.0	2.3	3	1	7	11	25	10
2	3	Atalanta	10	2	8	2.8	1.5	7	1	2	28	15	22
3	4	Lazio	10	2	8	1.9	1.4	6	3	1	19	14	21
4	2	Inter	11	4	7	2.4	1.2	7	3	1	26	13	24
5	7	Fiorentina	10	3	7	1.7	1.2	5	3	2	17	12	18
6	9	Roma	11	4	7	2.1	1.0	7	0	4	23	11	21
7	16	Parma	11	4	7	1.5	1.7	3	3	5	17	19	12
8	13	Como	11	5	6	1.6	1.6	4	3	4	18	18	15
9	20	Monza	11	5	6	0.9	1.5	1	3	7	10	16	6
10	1	Napoli	11	6	5	1.5	0.6	9	0	2	17	7	27
11	5	Juventus	11	6	5	1.5	0.8	4	7	0	17	9	19
12	12	Genoa	11	6	5	0.9	1.5	1	6	4	10	16	9
13	15	Cagliari	11	6	5	1.1	1.7	3	3	5	12	19	12
14	17	Lecce	10	5	5	0.9	1.7	3	4	3	9	17	13
15	6	Bologna	10	6	4	1.5	0.9	4	5	1	15	9	17
16	8	Milan	10	6	4	1.5	0.6	4	5	1	15	6	17
17	11	Udinese	10	6	4	1.1	1.3	4	2	4	11	13	14
18	19	Venezia	10	6	4	1.1	1.3	3	2	5	11	13	11
19	14	Empoli	11	8	3	0.5	1.1	1	5	5	5	12	8
20	10	Torino	11	9	2	0.8	0.9	3	4	4	9	10	13

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Bologna	11	3	8	1.6	1.6	4	5	2	18	18	17
2	4	Lazio	11	4	7	1.6	1.3	6	0	5	18	14	18
3	8	Milan	10	3	7	1.4	1.5	4	2	4	14	15	14
4	11	Udinese	11	4	7	1.2	1.7	3	3	5	13	19	12
5	19	Venezia	11	4	7	0.7	1.9	0	4	7	8	21	4
6	1	Napoli	11	5	6	1.8	0.7	8	2	1	20	8	26
7	2	Inter	9	3	6	2.8	0.6	7	2	0	25	5	23
8	3	Atalanta	12	6	6	1.7	0.8	7	3	2	20	10	24
9	14	Empoli	11	5	6	1.5	1.5	3	4	4	16	17	13
10	16	Parma	10	4	6	0.9	1.7	1	5	4	9	17	8
11	18	Verona	10	4	6	1.3	2.2	3	0	7	13	22	9
12	5	Juventus	11	6	5	1.6	0.9	4	6	1	18	10	18
13	10	Torino	11	6	5	1.3	1.5	3	4	4	14	16	13
14	15	Cagliari	11	6	5	1.0	1.5	2	3	6	11	17	9
15	20	Monza	10	5	5	1.0	1.5	1	4	5	10	15	7
16	7	Fiorentina	10	6	4	1.6	0.9	4	3	3	16	9	15
17	12	Genoa	10	6	4	0.8	1.4	4	2	4	8	14	14
18	13	Como	11	7	4	0.8	1.6	1	4	6	9	18	7
19	17	Lecce	11	7	4	0.5	1.7	2	1	8	6	19	7
20	9	Roma	10	7	3	0.8	1.6	0	6	4	8	16	6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.