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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Milan 2–0 Lecce

Full time · half time 1–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 1.50 fair 1.95
Draw 4.20 fair 3.98
Away 7.00 fair 4.25
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.73 fair 1.91
Over 2.5 2.10 fair 2.10

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Milan Lecce
8 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 4
4 Corners 2
6 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (307 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 2.00
Expected goals 1.59 – 0.99
Home / Draw / Away
MilanDrawLecce
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 12.1% 1–1 11.9% 2–0 9.6%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Milan before this match, all matches
1.77points / match
1.63scored / match
1.23conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 49:37
Lecce before this match, all matches
0.93points / match
0.87scored / match
1.20conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 30 played · 26:36
Milan all matches all matches Lecce

Per match

1.63 Goals scored 0.87
1.23 Goals conceded 1.20
2.87 Total goals 2.07
14.93 Shots 10.67
5.10 Shots on target 2.83
11.00 Shots faced 11.93
4.47 Corners 4.57
4.77 Corners against 5.50
12.67 Fouls 14.17
2.67 Yellow cards 2.27
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.53
0.63 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

50% Wins 20%
27% Draws 33%
23% Losses 47%
90% Over 0.5 goals 97%
80% Over 1.5 goals 77%
60% Over 2.5 goals 30%
33% Over 3.5 goals 3%
13% Over 4.5 goals 0%
7% Over 5.5 goals 0%
63% Both teams scored 57%
30% Clean sheets 10%
17% Failed to score 37%

How often Half Time

37% Wins 27%
40% Draws 33%
23% Losses 40%
77% Over 0.5 goals 83%
43% Over 1.5 goals 33%
10% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan all matches
Lecce all matches
Milan before this match, at home
2.14points / match
2.00scored / match
1.21conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 28:17
Lecce before this match, away
1.00points / match
0.73scored / match
1.07conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 15 played · 11:16
Milan at home away Lecce

Per match

2.00 Goals scored 0.73
1.21 Goals conceded 1.07
3.21 Total goals 1.80
16.79 Shots 9.00
5.07 Shots on target 2.47
9.71 Shots faced 14.00
4.79 Corners 3.87
3.64 Corners against 5.53
13.29 Fouls 13.13
2.93 Yellow cards 2.00
0.93 1st-half goals scored 0.40
0.50 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

64% Wins 27%
21% Draws 20%
14% Losses 53%
93% Over 0.5 goals 93%
86% Over 1.5 goals 67%
57% Over 2.5 goals 20%
36% Over 3.5 goals 0%
29% Over 4.5 goals 0%
14% Over 5.5 goals 0%
64% Both teams scored 33%
36% Clean sheets 20%
7% Failed to score 53%

How often Half Time

50% Wins 27%
43% Draws 33%
7% Losses 40%
79% Over 0.5 goals 80%
36% Over 1.5 goals 20%
14% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Milan at home
Lecce away

Last 10 matches before this match

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.04.23 Bologna – Milan 1–1 (1–1) 3.103.102.45 2.30 1.62
07.04.23 Milan – Empoli 0–0 (0–0) 1.364.759.00 1.80 2.00
02.04.23 Napoli – Milan 0–4 (0–2) 1.733.605.00 2.06 1.84
18.03.23 Udinese – Milan 3–1 (2–1) 3.503.402.15 2.01 1.89
13.03.23 Milan – Salernitana 1–1 (1–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.67 2.20
04.03.23 Fiorentina – Milan 2–1 (0–0) 2.803.302.55 2.10 1.73
26.02.23 Milan – Atalanta 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.403.40 1.94 1.96
18.02.23 Monza – Milan 0–1 (0–1) 3.753.302.10 2.10 1.73
10.02.23 Milan – Torino 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 2.20 1.67
05.02.23 Inter – Milan 1–0 (1–0) 1.953.504.00 1.85 2.05

Lecce all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
16.04.23 Lecce – Sampdoria 1–1 (1–0) 1.953.204.33 2.38 1.57
07.04.23 Lecce – Napoli 1–2 (0–1) 5.753.601.65 2.20 1.67
03.04.23 Empoli – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.103.10 2.38 1.57
19.03.23 Fiorentina – Lecce 1–0 (1–0) 1.603.755.75 2.10 1.73
12.03.23 Lecce – Torino 0–2 (0–2) 3.003.002.63 2.75 1.44
05.03.23 Inter – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.364.759.50 1.94 1.96
25.02.23 Lecce – Sassuolo 0–1 (0–0) 2.453.252.90 2.10 1.73
19.02.23 Atalanta – Lecce 1–2 (0–1) 1.504.007.00 1.88 2.02
11.02.23 Lecce – Roma 1–1 (1–1) 4.333.251.95 2.50 1.53
04.02.23 Cremonese – Lecce 0–2 (0–0) 2.633.102.80 2.38 1.57

Milan at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
07.04.23 Milan – Empoli 0–0 (0–0) 1.364.759.00 1.80 2.00
13.03.23 Milan – Salernitana 1–1 (1–0) 1.256.0011.00 1.67 2.20
26.02.23 Milan – Atalanta 2–0 (1–0) 2.153.403.40 1.94 1.96
10.02.23 Milan – Torino 1–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 2.20 1.67
29.01.23 Milan – Sassuolo 2–5 (1–3) 1.504.506.50 1.53 2.50
08.01.23 Milan – Roma 2–2 (1–0) 1.833.604.33 2.09 1.81
13.11.22 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.90 2.00
05.11.22 Milan – Spezia 2–1 (1–0) 1.226.0013.00 1.57 2.37
22.10.22 Milan – Monza 4–1 (2–0) 1.405.007.50 1.66 2.20
08.10.22 Milan – Juventus 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.60 2.10 1.72

Lecce away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.04.23 Empoli – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 2.453.103.10 2.38 1.57
19.03.23 Fiorentina – Lecce 1–0 (1–0) 1.603.755.75 2.10 1.73
05.03.23 Inter – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.364.759.50 1.94 1.96
19.02.23 Atalanta – Lecce 1–2 (0–1) 1.504.007.00 1.88 2.02
04.02.23 Cremonese – Lecce 0–2 (0–0) 2.633.102.80 2.38 1.57
21.01.23 Verona – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 2.383.103.20 2.38 1.57
08.01.23 Spezia – Lecce 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.102.90 2.20 1.67
12.11.22 Sampdoria – Lecce 0–2 (0–1) 2.623.003.00 2.50 1.53
04.11.22 Udinese – Lecce 1–1 (0–1) 1.613.905.50 1.99 1.91
23.10.22 Bologna – Lecce 2–0 (2–0) 2.153.203.75 2.20 1.66

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Milan winsDrawsLecce wins
1matches
4.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
14.01.23I1 Lecce – Milan 2–2 (2–0) 5.753.801.62 2.03 1.87

Italy Serie A table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 30 24 3 3 66 21 +45 75
2 Lazio 31 18 7 6 49 21 +28 61
3 Juventus 30 18 5 7 47 25 +22 59
4 Roma 30 17 5 8 42 26 +16 56
5 Inter 31 17 3 11 51 34 +17 54
6 Milan 30 15 8 7 49 37 +12 53
7 Atalanta 30 14 7 9 48 35 +13 49
8 Bologna 31 12 8 11 40 39 +1 44
9 Udinese 31 10 12 9 42 39 +3 42
10 Fiorentina 31 11 9 11 37 36 +1 42
11 Torino 31 11 9 11 32 36 -4 42
12 Monza 31 11 8 12 38 43 -5 41
13 Sassuolo 31 11 7 13 38 46 -8 40
14 Salernitana 31 7 12 12 37 50 -13 33
15 Empoli 31 7 11 13 25 40 -15 32
16 Lecce 30 6 10 14 26 36 -10 28
17 Spezia 31 5 12 14 26 49 -23 27
18 Verona 31 6 8 17 26 44 -18 26
19 Cremonese 31 3 10 18 27 57 -30 19
20 Sampdoria 31 3 8 20 20 52 -32 17
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Juventus 15 11 3 1 34 12 +22 36
2 Napoli 15 11 2 2 33 13 +20 35
3 Inter 16 11 0 5 27 9 +18 33
4 Roma 15 10 1 4 23 9 +14 31
5 Milan 14 9 3 2 28 17 +11 30
6 Lazio 16 9 3 4 25 14 +11 30
7 Bologna 16 7 6 3 21 11 +10 27
8 Sassuolo 15 7 3 5 19 16 +3 24
9 Fiorentina 16 6 6 4 21 21 0 24
10 Udinese 15 5 8 2 27 17 +10 23
11 Monza 16 6 4 6 22 20 +2 22
12 Atalanta 14 6 3 5 24 18 +6 21
13 Salernitana 16 5 5 6 23 21 +2 20
14 Torino 15 5 5 5 12 14 -2 20
15 Verona 16 6 2 8 19 24 -5 20
16 Empoli 15 5 4 6 13 18 -5 19
17 Spezia 16 3 8 5 16 24 -8 17
18 Lecce 15 2 7 6 15 20 -5 13
19 Cremonese 15 2 3 10 9 25 -16 9
20 Sampdoria 16 1 5 10 9 23 -14 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 15 13 1 1 33 8 +25 40
2 Lazio 15 9 4 2 24 7 +17 31
3 Atalanta 16 8 4 4 24 17 +7 28
4 Roma 15 7 4 4 19 17 +2 25
5 Milan 16 6 5 5 21 20 +1 23
6 Juventus 15 7 2 6 13 13 0 23
7 Torino 16 6 4 6 20 22 -2 22
8 Inter 15 6 3 6 24 25 -1 21
9 Monza 15 5 4 6 16 23 -7 19
10 Udinese 16 5 4 7 15 22 -7 19
11 Fiorentina 15 5 3 7 16 15 +1 18
12 Bologna 15 5 2 8 19 28 -9 17
13 Sassuolo 16 4 4 8 19 30 -11 16
14 Lecce 15 4 3 8 11 16 -5 15
15 Empoli 16 2 7 7 12 22 -10 13
16 Salernitana 15 2 7 6 14 29 -15 13
17 Cremonese 16 1 7 8 18 32 -14 10
18 Spezia 15 2 4 9 10 25 -15 10
19 Sampdoria 15 2 3 10 11 29 -18 9
20 Verona 15 0 6 9 7 20 -13 6

Milan   Lecce

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Milan 30 12 18 1.6 1.2 15 8 7 49 37 53
2 9 Udinese 31 13 18 1.4 1.3 10 12 9 42 39 42
3 1 Napoli 30 13 17 2.2 0.7 24 3 3 66 21 75
4 5 Inter 31 14 17 1.6 1.1 17 3 11 51 34 54
5 13 Sassuolo 31 14 17 1.2 1.5 11 7 13 38 46 40
6 14 Salernitana 31 14 17 1.2 1.6 7 12 12 37 50 33
7 8 Bologna 31 15 16 1.3 1.3 12 8 11 40 39 44
8 19 Cremonese 31 15 16 0.9 1.8 3 10 18 27 57 19
9 12 Monza 31 16 15 1.2 1.4 11 8 12 38 43 41
10 17 Spezia 31 16 15 0.8 1.6 5 12 14 26 49 27
11 2 Lazio 31 18 13 1.6 0.7 18 7 6 49 21 61
12 7 Atalanta 30 17 13 1.6 1.2 14 7 9 48 35 49
13 20 Sampdoria 31 18 13 0.6 1.7 3 8 20 20 52 17
14 4 Roma 30 18 12 1.4 0.9 17 5 8 42 26 56
15 10 Fiorentina 31 19 12 1.2 1.2 11 9 11 37 36 42
16 18 Verona 31 19 12 0.8 1.4 6 8 17 26 44 26
17 3 Juventus 30 19 11 1.6 0.8 18 5 7 47 25 59
18 11 Torino 31 20 11 1.0 1.2 11 9 11 32 36 42
19 15 Empoli 31 21 10 0.8 1.3 7 11 13 25 40 32
20 16 Lecce 30 21 9 0.9 1.2 6 10 14 26 36 28
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 9 Udinese 15 5 10 1.8 1.1 5 8 2 27 17 23
2 14 Salernitana 16 6 10 1.4 1.3 5 5 6 23 21 20
3 1 Napoli 15 6 9 2.2 0.9 11 2 2 33 13 35
4 17 Spezia 16 7 9 1.0 1.5 3 8 5 16 24 17
5 18 Verona 16 7 9 1.2 1.5 6 2 8 19 24 20
6 2 Lazio 16 8 8 1.6 0.9 9 3 4 25 14 30
7 3 Juventus 15 7 8 2.3 0.8 11 3 1 34 12 36
8 6 Milan 14 6 8 2.0 1.2 9 3 2 28 17 30
9 12 Monza 16 8 8 1.4 1.2 6 4 6 22 20 22
10 7 Atalanta 14 7 7 1.7 1.3 6 3 5 24 18 21
11 10 Fiorentina 16 9 7 1.3 1.3 6 6 4 21 21 24
12 19 Cremonese 15 8 7 0.6 1.7 2 3 10 9 25 9
13 5 Inter 16 10 6 1.7 0.6 11 0 5 27 9 33
14 13 Sassuolo 15 9 6 1.3 1.1 7 3 5 19 16 24
15 16 Lecce 15 9 6 1.0 1.3 2 7 6 15 20 13
16 4 Roma 15 10 5 1.5 0.6 10 1 4 23 9 31
17 8 Bologna 16 11 5 1.3 0.7 7 6 3 21 11 27
18 15 Empoli 15 10 5 0.9 1.2 5 4 6 13 18 19
19 20 Sampdoria 16 11 5 0.6 1.4 1 5 10 9 23 8
20 11 Torino 15 12 3 0.8 0.9 5 5 5 12 14 20
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Inter 15 4 11 1.6 1.7 6 3 6 24 25 21
2 8 Bologna 15 4 11 1.3 1.9 5 2 8 19 28 17
3 13 Sassuolo 16 5 11 1.2 1.9 4 4 8 19 30 16
4 6 Milan 16 6 10 1.3 1.2 6 5 5 21 20 23
5 19 Cremonese 16 7 9 1.1 2.0 1 7 8 18 32 10
6 1 Napoli 15 7 8 2.2 0.5 13 1 1 33 8 40
7 9 Udinese 16 8 8 0.9 1.4 5 4 7 15 22 19
8 11 Torino 16 8 8 1.2 1.4 6 4 6 20 22 22
9 20 Sampdoria 15 7 8 0.7 1.9 2 3 10 11 29 9
10 4 Roma 15 8 7 1.3 1.1 7 4 4 19 17 25
11 12 Monza 15 8 7 1.1 1.5 5 4 6 16 23 19
12 14 Salernitana 15 8 7 0.9 1.9 2 7 6 14 29 13
13 7 Atalanta 16 10 6 1.5 1.1 8 4 4 24 17 28
14 17 Spezia 15 9 6 0.7 1.7 2 4 9 10 25 10
15 2 Lazio 15 10 5 1.6 0.5 9 4 2 24 7 31
16 10 Fiorentina 15 10 5 1.1 1.0 5 3 7 16 15 18
17 15 Empoli 16 11 5 0.8 1.4 2 7 7 12 22 13
18 3 Juventus 15 12 3 0.9 0.9 7 2 6 13 13 23
19 16 Lecce 15 12 3 0.7 1.1 4 3 8 11 16 15
20 18 Verona 15 12 3 0.5 1.3 0 6 9 7 20 6

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 05:38