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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Lecce 0–6 Fiorentina

Full time · half time 0–3 · season 2024/2025

Home 3.20 fair 2.71
Draw 3.30 fair 3.80
Away ✓ 2.30 fair 2.72
Under 2.5 1.86 fair 1.94
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.04 fair 2.06

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Lecce Fiorentina
5 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 11
1 Corners 3
8 Fouls 14
0 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (75 league matches this season so far).
Result Lecce to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.88
Expected goals 1.31 – 1.31
Home / Draw / Away
LecceDrawFiorentina
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.5% 1–0 9.6% 0–1 9.5%

Statistics 2024/2025, before this match

Lecce before this match, all matches
0.71points / match
0.43scored / match
1.71conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 3:12
Fiorentina before this match, all matches
1.43points / match
1.29scored / match
1.14conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 7 played · 9:8
Lecce all matches all matches Fiorentina

Per match

0.43 Goals scored 1.29
1.71 Goals conceded 1.14
2.14 Total goals 2.43
15.00 Shots 13.29
4.57 Shots on target 4.71
14.14 Shots faced 11.57
4.86 Corners 4.43
6.57 Corners against 4.29
11.57 Fouls 11.71
1.86 Yellow cards 2.00
0.29 1st-half goals scored 0.57
0.86 1st-half goals conceded 1.00

How often Full Time

14% Wins 29%
29% Draws 57%
57% Losses 14%
86% Over 0.5 goals 71%
57% Over 1.5 goals 71%
43% Over 2.5 goals 57%
29% Over 3.5 goals 29%
0% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
14% Both teams scored 71%
29% Clean sheets 29%
71% Failed to score 29%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 14%
29% Draws 29%
43% Losses 57%
71% Over 0.5 goals 71%
29% Over 1.5 goals 29%
14% Over 2.5 goals 29%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lecce all matches
Fiorentina all matches
Lecce before this match, at home
1.33points / match
1.00scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:6
Fiorentina before this match, away
0.67points / match
1.00scored / match
1.33conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 3 played · 3:4
Lecce at home away Fiorentina

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.00
2.00 Goals conceded 1.33
3.00 Total goals 2.33
16.67 Shots 13.33
4.00 Shots on target 4.00
18.33 Shots faced 11.33
4.67 Corners 5.00
8.33 Corners against 3.33
10.67 Fouls 12.00
1.67 Yellow cards 2.00
0.67 1st-half goals scored 0.67
0.67 1st-half goals conceded 1.33

How often Full Time

33% Wins 0%
33% Draws 67%
33% Losses 33%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
67% Over 1.5 goals 67%
67% Over 2.5 goals 33%
67% Over 3.5 goals 33%
0% Over 4.5 goals 33%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
33% Both teams scored 67%
33% Clean sheets 33%
33% Failed to score 33%

How often Half Time

67% Wins 0%
0% Draws 33%
33% Losses 67%
100% Over 0.5 goals 67%
33% Over 1.5 goals 33%
0% Over 2.5 goals 33%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lecce at home
Fiorentina away

Last 10 matches before this match

Lecce all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
05.10.24 Udinese – Lecce 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.30 2.10 1.73
27.09.24 Milan – Lecce 3–0 (3–0) 1.335.758.00 1.50 2.63
21.09.24 Lecce – Parma 2–2 (1–0) 2.203.503.25 1.91 1.99
15.09.24 Torino – Lecce 0–0 (0–0) 1.803.504.75 2.30 1.62
31.08.24 Lecce – Cagliari 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.40 2.30 1.62
24.08.24 Inter – Lecce 2–0 (1–0) 1.207.0013.00 1.57 2.38
19.08.24 Lecce – Atalanta 0–4 (0–2) 4.203.701.85 1.98 1.92
26.05.24 Napoli – Lecce 0–0 (0–0) 1.425.006.25 1.57 2.38
18.05.24 Lecce – Atalanta 0–2 (0–0) 4.503.801.75 1.91 1.99
13.05.24 Lecce – Udinese 0–2 (0–1) 2.633.102.80 2.30 1.62

Fiorentina all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
06.10.24 Fiorentina – Milan 2–1 (1–0) 3.103.602.20 1.73 2.10
29.09.24 Empoli – Fiorentina 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 2.20 1.67
22.09.24 Fiorentina – Lazio 2–1 (0–1) 2.253.403.20 2.06 1.84
15.09.24 Atalanta – Fiorentina 3–2 (3–2) 1.803.604.50 1.73 2.10
01.09.24 Fiorentina – Monza 2–2 (1–2) 1.673.905.00 2.04 1.86
25.08.24 Fiorentina – Venezia 0–0 (0–0) 1.424.757.00 1.88 2.02
17.08.24 Parma – Fiorentina 1–1 (1–0) 3.503.202.20 1.90 2.00
02.06.24 Atalanta – Fiorentina 2–3 (2–3) 1.484.756.00 1.53 2.50
23.05.24 Cagliari – Fiorentina 2–3 (0–1) 4.203.751.80 1.73 2.10
17.05.24 Fiorentina – Napoli 2–2 (2–1) 2.253.403.10 1.73 2.10

Lecce at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
21.09.24 Lecce – Parma 2–2 (1–0) 2.203.503.25 1.91 1.99
31.08.24 Lecce – Cagliari 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.40 2.30 1.62
19.08.24 Lecce – Atalanta 0–4 (0–2) 4.203.701.85 1.98 1.92
18.05.24 Lecce – Atalanta 0–2 (0–0) 4.503.801.75 1.91 1.99
13.05.24 Lecce – Udinese 0–2 (0–1) 2.633.102.80 2.30 1.62
27.04.24 Lecce – Monza 1–1 (0–0) 2.003.254.00 2.20 1.67
13.04.24 Lecce – Empoli 1–0 (0–0) 2.253.103.60 2.30 1.62
01.04.24 Lecce – Roma 0–0 (0–0) 4.503.501.83 2.07 1.83
10.03.24 Lecce – Verona 0–1 (0–1) 2.203.253.40 2.30 1.60
25.02.24 Lecce – Inter 0–4 (0–1) 7.004.501.44 1.73 2.08

Fiorentina away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.09.24 Empoli – Fiorentina 0–0 (0–0) 3.403.302.20 2.20 1.67
15.09.24 Atalanta – Fiorentina 3–2 (3–2) 1.803.604.50 1.73 2.10
17.08.24 Parma – Fiorentina 1–1 (1–0) 3.503.202.20 1.90 2.00
02.06.24 Atalanta – Fiorentina 2–3 (2–3) 1.484.756.00 1.53 2.50
23.05.24 Cagliari – Fiorentina 2–3 (0–1) 4.203.751.80 1.73 2.10
05.05.24 Verona – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–1) 3.103.302.30 2.10 1.73
21.04.24 Salernitana – Fiorentina 0–2 (0–0) 5.004.001.67 1.80 2.00
07.04.24 Juventus – Fiorentina 1–0 (1–0) 1.833.404.75 2.15 1.67
02.03.24 Torino – Fiorentina 0–0 (0–0) 2.633.002.90 2.40 1.53
18.02.24 Empoli – Fiorentina 1–1 (0–1) 3.753.302.05 2.10 1.70

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Lecce winsDrawsFiorentina wins
4matches
3.00goals / match
50%over 2.5
75%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
02.02.24I1 Lecce – Fiorentina 3–2 (1–0) 3.753.202.10 2.15 1.67
27.08.23I1 Fiorentina – Lecce 2–2 (2–0) 1.574.205.75 2.10 1.73
19.03.23I1 Fiorentina – Lecce 1–0 (1–0) 1.603.755.75 2.10 1.73
17.10.22I1 Lecce – Fiorentina 1–1 (1–0) 3.753.402.05 2.10 1.72

Italy Serie A table 2024/2025, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 8 6 1 1 15 5 +10 19
2 Juventus 8 4 4 0 11 1 +10 16
3 Inter 7 4 2 1 16 9 +7 14
4 Milan 8 4 2 2 16 9 +7 14
5 Lazio 8 4 1 3 14 12 +2 13
6 Udinese 8 4 1 3 10 11 -1 13
7 Torino 7 3 2 2 12 11 +1 11
8 Atalanta 7 3 1 3 16 13 +3 10
9 Roma 7 2 4 1 8 5 +3 10
10 Fiorentina 7 2 4 1 9 8 +1 10
11 Empoli 8 2 4 2 6 5 +1 10
12 Verona 7 3 0 4 12 12 0 9
13 Bologna 8 1 6 1 9 11 -2 9
14 Como 8 2 3 3 11 15 -4 9
15 Parma 8 1 4 3 11 13 -2 7
16 Cagliari 7 1 3 3 5 11 -6 6
17 Genoa 8 1 3 4 7 17 -10 6
18 Lecce 7 1 2 4 3 12 -9 5
19 Monza 7 0 4 3 5 9 -4 4
20 Venezia 7 1 1 5 5 12 -7 4
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 4 4 0 0 10 2 +8 12
2 Milan 4 3 1 0 10 2 +8 10
3 Lazio 4 3 1 0 9 5 +4 10
4 Inter 4 3 0 1 10 4 +6 9
5 Juventus 5 2 3 0 5 1 +4 9
6 Udinese 4 3 0 1 6 4 +2 9
7 Fiorentina 4 2 2 0 6 4 +2 8
8 Atalanta 3 2 0 1 10 6 +4 6
9 Roma 3 2 0 1 6 3 +3 6
10 Verona 4 2 0 2 7 7 0 6
11 Como 3 1 2 0 6 5 +1 5
12 Torino 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
13 Bologna 4 0 4 0 3 3 0 4
14 Parma 4 1 1 2 7 8 -1 4
15 Lecce 3 1 1 1 3 6 -3 4
16 Venezia 2 1 0 1 2 1 +1 3
17 Empoli 4 0 3 1 0 1 -1 3
18 Genoa 5 0 3 2 5 10 -5 3
19 Monza 4 0 2 2 3 5 -2 2
20 Cagliari 4 0 2 2 1 7 -6 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Juventus 3 2 1 0 6 0 +6 7
2 Empoli 4 2 1 1 6 4 +2 7
3 Napoli 4 2 1 1 5 3 +2 7
4 Torino 4 2 1 1 8 7 +1 7
5 Inter 3 1 2 0 6 5 +1 5
6 Bologna 4 1 2 1 6 8 -2 5
7 Cagliari 3 1 1 1 4 4 0 4
8 Roma 4 0 4 0 2 2 0 4
9 Atalanta 4 1 1 2 6 7 -1 4
10 Milan 4 1 1 2 6 7 -1 4
11 Udinese 4 1 1 2 4 7 -3 4
12 Como 5 1 1 3 5 10 -5 4
13 Verona 3 1 0 2 5 5 0 3
14 Parma 4 0 3 1 4 5 -1 3
15 Lazio 4 1 0 3 5 7 -2 3
16 Genoa 3 1 0 2 2 7 -5 3
17 Fiorentina 3 0 2 1 3 4 -1 2
18 Monza 3 0 2 1 2 4 -2 2
19 Lecce 4 0 1 3 0 6 -6 1
20 Venezia 5 0 1 4 3 11 -8 1

Lecce   Fiorentina

Under / Over goals 2024/2025, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Milan 8 1 7 2.0 1.1 4 2 2 16 9 14
2 5 Lazio 8 1 7 1.8 1.5 4 1 3 14 12 13
3 8 Atalanta 7 1 6 2.3 1.9 3 1 3 16 13 10
4 12 Verona 7 1 6 1.7 1.7 3 0 4 12 12 9
5 1 Napoli 8 3 5 1.9 0.6 6 1 1 15 5 19
6 3 Inter 7 2 5 2.3 1.3 4 2 1 16 9 14
7 7 Torino 7 2 5 1.7 1.6 3 2 2 12 11 11
8 14 Como 8 3 5 1.4 1.9 2 3 3 11 15 9
9 15 Parma 8 3 5 1.4 1.6 1 4 3 11 13 7
10 6 Udinese 8 4 4 1.2 1.4 4 1 3 10 11 13
11 10 Fiorentina 7 3 4 1.3 1.1 2 4 1 9 8 10
12 13 Bologna 8 4 4 1.1 1.4 1 6 1 9 11 9
13 17 Genoa 8 4 4 0.9 2.1 1 3 4 7 17 6
14 20 Venezia 7 3 4 0.7 1.7 1 1 5 5 12 4
15 2 Juventus 8 5 3 1.4 0.1 4 4 0 11 1 16
16 9 Roma 7 4 3 1.1 0.7 2 4 1 8 5 10
17 18 Lecce 7 4 3 0.4 1.7 1 2 4 3 12 5
18 11 Empoli 8 6 2 0.8 0.6 2 4 2 6 5 10
19 16 Cagliari 7 5 2 0.7 1.6 1 3 3 5 11 6
20 19 Monza 7 5 2 0.7 1.3 0 4 3 5 9 4
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 5 Lazio 4 0 4 2.2 1.2 3 1 0 9 5 10
2 12 Verona 4 0 4 1.8 1.8 2 0 2 7 7 6
3 1 Napoli 4 1 3 2.5 0.5 4 0 0 10 2 12
4 3 Inter 4 1 3 2.5 1.0 3 0 1 10 4 9
5 4 Milan 4 1 3 2.5 0.5 3 1 0 10 2 10
6 8 Atalanta 3 0 3 3.3 2.0 2 0 1 10 6 6
7 9 Roma 3 0 3 2.0 1.0 2 0 1 6 3 6
8 10 Fiorentina 4 1 3 1.5 1.0 2 2 0 6 4 8
9 15 Parma 4 1 3 1.8 2.0 1 1 2 7 8 4
10 17 Genoa 5 2 3 1.0 2.0 0 3 2 5 10 3
11 6 Udinese 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 3 0 1 6 4 9
12 7 Torino 3 1 2 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
13 14 Como 3 1 2 2.0 1.7 1 2 0 6 5 5
14 18 Lecce 3 1 2 1.0 2.0 1 1 1 3 6 4
15 2 Juventus 5 4 1 1.0 0.2 2 3 0 5 1 9
16 16 Cagliari 4 3 1 0.2 1.8 0 2 2 1 7 2
17 19 Monza 4 3 1 0.8 1.2 0 2 2 3 5 2
18 11 Empoli 4 4 0 0.0 0.2 0 3 1 0 1 3
19 13 Bologna 4 4 0 0.8 0.8 0 4 0 3 3 4
20 20 Venezia 2 2 0 1.0 0.5 1 0 1 2 1 3
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Milan 4 0 4 1.5 1.8 1 1 2 6 7 4
2 13 Bologna 4 0 4 1.5 2.0 1 2 1 6 8 5
3 20 Venezia 5 1 4 0.6 2.2 0 1 4 3 11 1
4 5 Lazio 4 1 3 1.2 1.8 1 0 3 5 7 3
5 7 Torino 4 1 3 2.0 1.8 2 1 1 8 7 7
6 8 Atalanta 4 1 3 1.5 1.8 1 1 2 6 7 4
7 14 Como 5 2 3 1.0 2.0 1 1 3 5 10 4
8 1 Napoli 4 2 2 1.2 0.8 2 1 1 5 3 7
9 2 Juventus 3 1 2 2.0 0.0 2 1 0 6 0 7
10 3 Inter 3 1 2 2.0 1.7 1 2 0 6 5 5
11 6 Udinese 4 2 2 1.0 1.8 1 1 2 4 7 4
12 11 Empoli 4 2 2 1.5 1.0 2 1 1 6 4 7
13 12 Verona 3 1 2 1.7 1.7 1 0 2 5 5 3
14 15 Parma 4 2 2 1.0 1.2 0 3 1 4 5 3
15 10 Fiorentina 3 2 1 1.0 1.3 0 2 1 3 4 2
16 16 Cagliari 3 2 1 1.3 1.3 1 1 1 4 4 4
17 17 Genoa 3 2 1 0.7 2.3 1 0 2 2 7 3
18 18 Lecce 4 3 1 0.0 1.5 0 1 3 0 6 1
19 19 Monza 3 2 1 0.7 1.3 0 2 1 2 4 2
20 9 Roma 4 4 0 0.5 0.5 0 4 0 2 2 4

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51