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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
Italy Serie A ·

Lecce 2–2 Milan

Full time · half time 2–0 · season 2022/2023

Home 5.75 fair 2.87
Draw ✓ 3.80 fair 3.75
Away 1.62 fair 2.60
Under 2.5 1.87 fair 1.88
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.03 fair 2.13

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Lecce Milan
17 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 5
8 Corners 4
11 Fouls 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (172 league matches this season so far).
Result Milan to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.93
Expected goals 1.24 – 1.31
Home / Draw / Away
LecceDrawMilan
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.7% 0–1 10.3% 1–0 9.7%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Lecce before this match, all matches
1.12points / match
0.94scored / match
1.06conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 16:18
Milan before this match, all matches
2.18points / match
1.94scored / match
1.06conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 17 played · 33:18
Lecce all matches all matches Milan

Per match

0.94 Goals scored 1.94
1.06 Goals conceded 1.06
2.00 Total goals 3.00
9.65 Shots 16.35
2.76 Shots on target 5.41
12.18 Shots faced 11.12
4.06 Corners 4.59
6.18 Corners against 4.00
13.47 Fouls 12.53
2.53 Yellow cards 2.53
0.59 1st-half goals scored 0.82
0.71 1st-half goals conceded 0.47

How often Full Time

24% Wins 65%
41% Draws 24%
35% Losses 12%
94% Over 0.5 goals 88%
76% Over 1.5 goals 88%
29% Over 2.5 goals 71%
0% Over 3.5 goals 29%
0% Over 4.5 goals 18%
0% Over 5.5 goals 6%
65% Both teams scored 76%
12% Clean sheets 24%
29% Failed to score 12%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 41%
35% Draws 47%
35% Losses 12%
88% Over 0.5 goals 76%
35% Over 1.5 goals 41%
6% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lecce all matches
Milan all matches
Lecce before this match, at home
1.25points / match
1.13scored / match
1.13conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 9:9
Milan before this match, away
1.88points / match
1.38scored / match
0.88conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 8 played · 11:7
Lecce at home away Milan

Per match

1.13 Goals scored 1.38
1.13 Goals conceded 0.88
2.25 Total goals 2.25
9.38 Shots 15.25
2.75 Shots on target 5.13
10.75 Shots faced 10.63
4.38 Corners 4.38
5.88 Corners against 4.38
14.75 Fouls 10.88
2.88 Yellow cards 2.13
0.63 1st-half goals scored 0.50
0.75 1st-half goals conceded 0.50

How often Full Time

25% Wins 50%
50% Draws 38%
25% Losses 13%
100% Over 0.5 goals 75%
88% Over 1.5 goals 75%
38% Over 2.5 goals 63%
0% Over 3.5 goals 13%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
88% Both teams scored 75%
0% Clean sheets 25%
13% Failed to score 25%

How often Half Time

25% Wins 25%
38% Draws 50%
38% Losses 25%
88% Over 0.5 goals 63%
38% Over 1.5 goals 38%
13% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Lecce at home
Milan away

Last 10 matches before this match

Lecce all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.01.23 Spezia – Lecce 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.102.90 2.20 1.67
04.01.23 Lecce – Lazio 2–1 (0–1) 3.603.302.05 2.30 1.62
12.11.22 Sampdoria – Lecce 0–2 (0–1) 2.623.003.00 2.50 1.53
09.11.22 Lecce – Atalanta 2–1 (2–1) 4.753.501.80 2.06 1.84
04.11.22 Udinese – Lecce 1–1 (0–1) 1.613.905.50 1.99 1.91
29.10.22 Lecce – Juventus 0–1 (0–0) 4.333.301.90 2.20 1.66
23.10.22 Bologna – Lecce 2–0 (2–0) 2.153.203.75 2.20 1.66
17.10.22 Lecce – Fiorentina 1–1 (1–0) 3.753.402.05 2.10 1.72
09.10.22 Roma – Lecce 2–1 (1–1) 1.335.258.50 1.84 2.06
02.10.22 Lecce – Cremonese 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.403.75 2.03 1.87

Milan all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
08.01.23 Milan – Roma 2–2 (1–0) 1.833.604.33 2.09 1.81
04.01.23 Salernitana – Milan 1–2 (0–2) 7.004.331.45 1.73 2.10
13.11.22 Milan – Fiorentina 2–1 (1–1) 1.703.805.00 1.90 2.00
08.11.22 Cremonese – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 6.004.201.55 1.72 2.10
05.11.22 Milan – Spezia 2–1 (1–0) 1.226.0013.00 1.57 2.37
30.10.22 Torino – Milan 2–1 (2–0) 3.753.302.10 2.10 1.72
22.10.22 Milan – Monza 4–1 (2–0) 1.405.007.50 1.66 2.20
16.10.22 Verona – Milan 1–2 (1–1) 6.004.001.57 1.80 2.00
08.10.22 Milan – Juventus 2–0 (1–0) 2.053.403.60 2.10 1.72
01.10.22 Empoli – Milan 1–3 (0–0) 5.504.001.60 1.86 2.04

Lecce at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.23 Lecce – Lazio 2–1 (0–1) 3.603.302.05 2.30 1.62
09.11.22 Lecce – Atalanta 2–1 (2–1) 4.753.501.80 2.06 1.84
29.10.22 Lecce – Juventus 0–1 (0–0) 4.333.301.90 2.20 1.66
17.10.22 Lecce – Fiorentina 1–1 (1–0) 3.753.402.05 2.10 1.72
02.10.22 Lecce – Cremonese 1–1 (1–1) 2.053.403.75 2.03 1.87
11.09.22 Lecce – Monza 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.403.20 2.02 1.88
28.08.22 Lecce – Empoli 1–1 (1–1) 2.303.503.00 1.80 2.00
13.08.22 Lecce – Inter 1–2 (0–1) 10.005.751.28 1.57 2.37
06.05.22I2 Lecce – Pordenone 1–0 (0–0) 1.146.5017.00 1.50 2.50
25.04.22I2 Lecce – Pisa 2–0 (1–0) 1.803.104.20 2.07 1.72

Milan away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
04.01.23 Salernitana – Milan 1–2 (0–2) 7.004.331.45 1.73 2.10
08.11.22 Cremonese – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 6.004.201.55 1.72 2.10
30.10.22 Torino – Milan 2–1 (2–0) 3.753.302.10 2.10 1.72
16.10.22 Verona – Milan 1–2 (1–1) 6.004.001.57 1.80 2.00
01.10.22 Empoli – Milan 1–3 (0–0) 5.504.001.60 1.86 2.04
10.09.22 Sampdoria – Milan 1–2 (0–1) 6.004.501.50 1.72 2.10
30.08.22 Sassuolo – Milan 0–0 (0–0) 5.254.331.57 1.53 2.50
21.08.22 Atalanta – Milan 1–1 (1–0) 2.753.502.50 1.72 2.10
22.05.22 Sassuolo – Milan 0–3 (0–3) 6.504.751.45 1.50 2.62
08.05.22 Verona – Milan 1–3 (1–1) 4.334.201.70 1.72 2.10

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

Italy Serie A table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 18 15 2 1 44 14 +30 47
2 Milan 17 11 4 2 33 18 +15 37
3 Juventus 18 11 4 3 27 12 +15 37
4 Inter 17 11 1 5 37 24 +13 34
5 Lazio 17 9 4 4 29 15 +14 31
6 Atalanta 17 9 4 4 26 18 +8 31
7 Roma 17 9 4 4 21 16 +5 31
8 Udinese 17 6 7 4 25 19 +6 25
9 Fiorentina 17 6 5 6 21 22 -1 23
10 Torino 17 6 5 6 18 19 -1 23
11 Monza 18 6 3 9 22 27 -5 21
12 Lecce 17 4 7 6 16 18 -2 19
13 Bologna 17 5 4 8 21 28 -7 19
14 Empoli 17 4 7 6 15 22 -7 19
15 Salernitana 17 4 6 7 21 27 -6 18
16 Sassuolo 17 4 4 9 17 26 -9 16
17 Spezia 17 3 6 8 16 28 -12 15
18 Verona 17 2 3 12 15 30 -15 9
19 Sampdoria 17 2 3 12 8 30 -22 9
20 Cremonese 18 0 7 11 13 32 -19 7
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 9 8 1 0 26 7 +19 25
2 Juventus 9 7 2 0 21 3 +18 23
3 Milan 9 7 1 1 22 11 +11 22
4 Inter 8 7 0 1 20 4 +16 21
5 Lazio 9 5 2 2 16 9 +7 17
6 Bologna 9 4 3 2 13 8 +5 15
7 Fiorentina 9 4 3 2 14 14 0 15
8 Udinese 8 3 4 1 13 7 +6 13
9 Monza 9 4 1 4 13 10 +3 13
10 Roma 8 4 1 3 8 5 +3 13
11 Salernitana 9 3 3 3 14 11 +3 12
12 Torino 8 3 3 2 7 5 +2 12
13 Spezia 9 2 6 1 13 12 +1 12
14 Sassuolo 8 3 2 3 12 9 +3 11
15 Atalanta 8 3 2 3 11 11 0 11
16 Empoli 8 3 2 3 7 8 -1 11
17 Lecce 8 2 4 2 9 9 0 10
18 Verona 9 2 0 7 10 17 -7 6
19 Cremonese 9 0 3 6 4 15 -11 3
20 Sampdoria 9 0 2 7 2 15 -13 2
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Napoli 9 7 1 1 18 7 +11 22
2 Atalanta 9 6 2 1 15 7 +8 20
3 Roma 9 5 3 1 13 11 +2 18
4 Milan 8 4 3 1 11 7 +4 15
5 Lazio 8 4 2 2 13 6 +7 14
6 Juventus 9 4 2 3 6 9 -3 14
7 Inter 9 4 1 4 17 20 -3 13
8 Udinese 9 3 3 3 12 12 0 12
9 Torino 9 3 2 4 11 14 -3 11
10 Lecce 9 2 3 4 7 9 -2 9
11 Fiorentina 8 2 2 4 7 8 -1 8
12 Empoli 9 1 5 3 8 14 -6 8
13 Monza 9 2 2 5 9 17 -8 8
14 Sampdoria 8 2 1 5 6 15 -9 7
15 Salernitana 8 1 3 4 7 16 -9 6
16 Sassuolo 9 1 2 6 5 17 -12 5
17 Cremonese 9 0 4 5 9 17 -8 4
18 Bologna 8 1 1 6 8 20 -12 4
19 Verona 8 0 3 5 5 13 -8 3
20 Spezia 8 1 0 7 3 16 -13 3

Lecce   Milan

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Inter 17 4 13 2.2 1.4 11 1 5 37 24 34
2 2 Milan 17 5 12 1.9 1.1 11 4 2 33 18 37
3 1 Napoli 18 7 11 2.4 0.8 15 2 1 44 14 47
4 15 Salernitana 17 6 11 1.2 1.6 4 6 7 21 27 18
5 16 Sassuolo 17 6 11 1.0 1.5 4 4 9 17 26 16
6 5 Lazio 17 7 10 1.7 0.9 9 4 4 29 15 31
7 11 Monza 18 8 10 1.2 1.5 6 3 9 22 27 21
8 13 Bologna 17 7 10 1.2 1.6 5 4 8 21 28 19
9 17 Spezia 17 7 10 0.9 1.6 3 6 8 16 28 15
10 8 Udinese 17 8 9 1.5 1.1 6 7 4 25 19 25
11 6 Atalanta 17 9 8 1.5 1.1 9 4 4 26 18 31
12 9 Fiorentina 17 9 8 1.2 1.3 6 5 6 21 22 23
13 18 Verona 17 9 8 0.9 1.8 2 3 12 15 30 9
14 20 Cremonese 18 10 8 0.7 1.8 0 7 11 13 32 7
15 7 Roma 17 10 7 1.2 0.9 9 4 4 21 16 31
16 10 Torino 17 10 7 1.1 1.1 6 5 6 18 19 23
17 19 Sampdoria 17 10 7 0.5 1.8 2 3 12 8 30 9
18 3 Juventus 18 12 6 1.5 0.7 11 4 3 27 12 37
19 12 Lecce 17 12 5 0.9 1.1 4 7 6 16 18 19
20 14 Empoli 17 12 5 0.9 1.3 4 7 6 15 22 19
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 2 Milan 9 2 7 2.4 1.2 7 1 1 22 11 22
2 1 Napoli 9 3 6 2.9 0.8 8 1 0 26 7 25
3 5 Lazio 9 3 6 1.8 1.0 5 2 2 16 9 17
4 15 Salernitana 9 3 6 1.6 1.2 3 3 3 14 11 12
5 17 Spezia 9 3 6 1.4 1.3 2 6 1 13 12 12
6 18 Verona 9 3 6 1.1 1.9 2 0 7 10 17 6
7 3 Juventus 9 4 5 2.3 0.3 7 2 0 21 3 23
8 4 Inter 8 3 5 2.5 0.5 7 0 1 20 4 21
9 9 Fiorentina 9 4 5 1.6 1.6 4 3 2 14 14 15
10 11 Monza 9 4 5 1.4 1.1 4 1 4 13 10 13
11 16 Sassuolo 8 3 5 1.5 1.1 3 2 3 12 9 11
12 6 Atalanta 8 4 4 1.4 1.4 3 2 3 11 11 11
13 8 Udinese 8 4 4 1.6 0.9 3 4 1 13 7 13
14 13 Bologna 9 5 4 1.4 0.9 4 3 2 13 8 15
15 20 Cremonese 9 5 4 0.4 1.7 0 3 6 4 15 3
16 12 Lecce 8 5 3 1.1 1.1 2 4 2 9 9 10
17 7 Roma 8 6 2 1.0 0.6 4 1 3 8 5 13
18 14 Empoli 8 6 2 0.9 1.0 3 2 3 7 8 11
19 19 Sampdoria 9 7 2 0.2 1.7 0 2 7 2 15 2
20 10 Torino 8 7 1 0.9 0.6 3 3 2 7 5 12
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 4 Inter 9 1 8 1.9 2.2 4 1 4 17 20 13
2 10 Torino 9 3 6 1.2 1.6 3 2 4 11 14 11
3 13 Bologna 8 2 6 1.0 2.5 1 1 6 8 20 4
4 16 Sassuolo 9 3 6 0.6 1.9 1 2 6 5 17 5
5 1 Napoli 9 4 5 2.0 0.8 7 1 1 18 7 22
6 2 Milan 8 3 5 1.4 0.9 4 3 1 11 7 15
7 7 Roma 9 4 5 1.4 1.2 5 3 1 13 11 18
8 8 Udinese 9 4 5 1.3 1.3 3 3 3 12 12 12
9 11 Monza 9 4 5 1.0 1.9 2 2 5 9 17 8
10 15 Salernitana 8 3 5 0.9 2.0 1 3 4 7 16 6
11 19 Sampdoria 8 3 5 0.8 1.9 2 1 5 6 15 7
12 5 Lazio 8 4 4 1.6 0.8 4 2 2 13 6 14
13 6 Atalanta 9 5 4 1.7 0.8 6 2 1 15 7 20
14 17 Spezia 8 4 4 0.4 2.0 1 0 7 3 16 3
15 20 Cremonese 9 5 4 1.0 1.9 0 4 5 9 17 4
16 9 Fiorentina 8 5 3 0.9 1.0 2 2 4 7 8 8
17 14 Empoli 9 6 3 0.9 1.6 1 5 3 8 14 8
18 12 Lecce 9 7 2 0.8 1.0 2 3 4 7 9 9
19 18 Verona 8 6 2 0.6 1.6 0 3 5 5 13 3
20 3 Juventus 9 8 1 0.7 1.0 4 2 3 6 9 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 25 Oct 2026, 22:40