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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: S Barrott

Bolton 0–0 Derby

Full time · half time 0–0 · season 2022/2023

Home 2.40 fair 2.54
Draw ✓ 3.40 fair 3.43
Away 2.90 fair 3.18
Under 2.5 ✓ 1.83 fair 1.60
Over 2.5 2.02 fair 2.68

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Bolton Derby
9 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 2
2 Corners 4
9 Fouls 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✓ BTTS correct Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (264 league matches this season so far).
Result Bolton to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.17 – 1.01
Home / Draw / Away
BoltonDrawDerby
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 13.4% 1–0 13.2% 0–1 11.4%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Bolton before this match, all matches
1.67points / match
1.24scored / match
0.90conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 26:19
Derby before this match, all matches
1.62points / match
1.33scored / match
0.81conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 21 played · 28:17
Bolton all matches all matches Derby

Per match

1.24 Goals scored 1.33
0.90 Goals conceded 0.81
2.14 Total goals 2.14
12.05 Shots 13.81
3.62 Shots on target 4.67
9.62 Shots faced 10.00
6.10 Corners 6.33
4.38 Corners against 4.76
11.05 Fouls 10.00
1.71 Yellow cards 1.95
0.52 1st-half goals scored 0.76
0.52 1st-half goals conceded 0.29

How often Full Time

48% Wins 43%
24% Draws 33%
29% Losses 24%
86% Over 0.5 goals 76%
67% Over 1.5 goals 62%
33% Over 2.5 goals 43%
19% Over 3.5 goals 19%
10% Over 4.5 goals 10%
0% Over 5.5 goals 5%
38% Both teams scored 43%
43% Clean sheets 43%
33% Failed to score 38%

How often Half Time

29% Wins 38%
38% Draws 48%
33% Losses 14%
71% Over 0.5 goals 57%
29% Over 1.5 goals 29%
5% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bolton all matches
Derby all matches
Bolton before this match, at home
2.09points / match
1.45scored / match
0.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 16:8
Derby before this match, away
1.27points / match
0.91scored / match
0.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 10:7
Bolton at home away Derby

Per match

1.45 Goals scored 0.91
0.73 Goals conceded 0.64
2.18 Total goals 1.55
12.91 Shots 14.18
3.91 Shots on target 4.55
8.36 Shots faced 10.45
5.91 Corners 6.36
3.91 Corners against 5.27
10.55 Fouls 9.45
1.82 Yellow cards 1.91
0.73 1st-half goals scored 0.45
0.45 1st-half goals conceded 0.27

How often Full Time

64% Wins 27%
18% Draws 45%
18% Losses 27%
91% Over 0.5 goals 73%
73% Over 1.5 goals 55%
36% Over 2.5 goals 18%
18% Over 3.5 goals 9%
0% Over 4.5 goals 0%
0% Over 5.5 goals 0%
36% Both teams scored 27%
55% Clean sheets 45%
18% Failed to score 55%

How often Half Time

45% Wins 27%
27% Draws 55%
27% Losses 18%
73% Over 0.5 goals 55%
36% Over 1.5 goals 18%
9% Over 2.5 goals 0%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Bolton at home
Derby away

Last 10 matches before this match

Bolton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.12.22 Bolton – Exeter 2–0 (2–0) 2.053.503.60 1.93 1.93
10.12.22 Shrewsbury – Bolton 3–2 (1–1) 3.603.202.15 2.15 1.67
02.12.22 Bolton – Bristol Rvs 1–1 (0–1) 1.723.605.00 1.75 2.05
19.11.22 Fleetwood Town – Bolton 1–2 (1–0) 3.203.402.25 2.02 1.83
12.11.22 Cambridge – Bolton 0–0 (0–0) 3.753.502.00 1.98 1.88
29.10.22 Bolton – Oxford 1–3 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 1.93 1.93
25.10.22 Bolton – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.663.755.25 1.80 2.00
22.10.22 Accrington – Bolton 2–3 (1–0) 3.003.252.40 1.93 1.93
15.10.22 Bolton – Barnsley 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.30 2.05 1.80
08.10.22 Forest Green – Bolton 1–0 (1–0) 4.503.601.80 1.98 1.88

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.12.22 Derby – Forest Green 4–0 (2–0) 1.444.507.50 1.73 2.08
10.12.22 Burton – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.302.25 2.00 1.85
03.12.22 Derby – Sheffield Weds 0–0 (0–0) 3.003.402.30 2.05 1.75
18.11.22 Portsmouth – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.373.402.90 1.95 1.90
12.11.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Derby 1–3 (1–1) 3.803.502.00 1.98 1.88
01.11.22 Morecambe – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 4.503.401.80 1.98 1.88
29.10.22 Derby – Bristol Rvs 4–2 (4–2) 1.723.804.75 1.75 2.05
25.10.22 Derby – Exeter 0–0 (0–0) 1.903.604.00 1.88 1.98
21.10.22 Ipswich – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 2.05 1.75
15.10.22 Accrington – Derby 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.502.25 1.90 1.95

Bolton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.12.22 Bolton – Exeter 2–0 (2–0) 2.053.503.60 1.93 1.93
02.12.22 Bolton – Bristol Rvs 1–1 (0–1) 1.723.605.00 1.75 2.05
29.10.22 Bolton – Oxford 1–3 (0–1) 2.053.503.60 1.93 1.93
25.10.22 Bolton – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.663.755.25 1.80 2.00
15.10.22 Bolton – Barnsley 0–0 (0–0) 2.203.303.30 2.05 1.80
01.10.22 Bolton – Lincoln 2–0 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 1.98 1.88
17.09.22 Bolton – Peterboro 1–0 (0–0) 2.203.253.40 1.85 2.00
03.09.22 Bolton – Charlton 3–1 (2–1) 2.203.403.25 2.02 1.83
20.08.22 Bolton – Sheffield Weds 0–2 (0–2) 2.753.502.50 2.02 1.83
16.08.22 Bolton – Morecambe 1–0 (1–0) 1.554.335.75 1.75 2.05

Derby away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.22 Burton – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.302.25 2.00 1.85
18.11.22 Portsmouth – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 2.373.402.90 1.95 1.90
12.11.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Derby 1–3 (1–1) 3.803.502.00 1.98 1.88
01.11.22 Morecambe – Derby 1–1 (1–0) 4.503.401.80 1.98 1.88
21.10.22 Ipswich – Derby 1–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.50 2.05 1.75
15.10.22 Accrington – Derby 0–3 (0–2) 3.103.502.25 1.90 1.95
01.10.22 Cambridge – Derby 0–2 (0–1) 3.503.402.15 2.02 1.83
13.09.22 Lincoln – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 4.503.501.83 2.15 1.66
20.08.22 Fleetwood Town – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 3.603.302.10 2.07 1.72
16.08.22 Shrewsbury – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 3.303.202.25 2.35 1.57

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

No head-to-head in last 5 seasons before this match

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 23 15 5 3 42 25 +17 50
2 Ipswich 23 14 6 3 44 22 +22 48
3 Sheffield Weds 23 13 7 3 38 18 +20 46
4 Barnsley 21 11 4 6 28 17 +11 37
5 Bolton 21 10 5 6 26 19 +7 35
6 Wycombe 23 10 5 8 30 25 +5 35
7 Derby 21 9 7 5 28 17 +11 34
8 Peterboro 22 10 2 10 37 28 +9 32
9 Port Vale 22 9 5 8 24 29 -5 32
10 Bristol Rvs 23 8 7 8 35 37 -2 31
11 Portsmouth 20 7 9 4 26 22 +4 30
12 Shrewsbury 22 8 5 9 23 25 -2 29
13 Exeter 23 7 7 9 33 33 0 28
14 Lincoln 21 6 9 6 21 26 -5 27
15 Oxford 22 6 8 8 26 25 +1 26
16 Fleetwood Town 22 5 11 6 24 23 +1 26
17 Charlton 22 5 10 7 32 31 +1 25
18 Cheltenham 21 7 4 10 16 23 -7 25
19 Cambridge 22 7 3 12 21 33 -12 24
20 Accrington 21 5 7 9 21 32 -11 22
21 Milton Keynes Dons 22 6 3 13 22 31 -9 21
22 Forest Green 23 5 5 13 19 44 -25 20
23 Burton 23 4 7 12 30 44 -14 19
24 Morecambe 22 2 9 11 17 34 -17 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 11 10 0 1 21 8 +13 30
2 Ipswich 12 7 4 1 22 9 +13 25
3 Bolton 11 7 2 2 16 8 +8 23
4 Peterboro 10 7 1 2 22 6 +16 22
5 Sheffield Weds 11 6 4 1 23 11 +12 22
6 Wycombe 12 6 3 3 19 12 +7 21
7 Derby 10 6 2 2 18 10 +8 20
8 Barnsley 10 6 1 3 15 9 +6 19
9 Exeter 12 5 3 4 18 16 +2 18
10 Port Vale 11 5 3 3 13 11 +2 18
11 Charlton 12 4 5 3 22 16 +6 17
12 Shrewsbury 11 5 2 4 13 13 0 17
13 Cambridge 12 5 2 5 11 14 -3 17
14 Bristol Rvs 11 4 4 3 16 17 -1 16
15 Cheltenham 11 5 1 5 11 13 -2 16
16 Portsmouth 10 3 6 1 14 10 +4 15
17 Lincoln 10 2 8 0 11 8 +3 14
18 Burton 12 3 4 5 14 19 -5 13
19 Oxford 10 3 3 4 13 11 +2 12
20 Forest Green 11 4 0 7 8 18 -10 12
21 Fleetwood Town 11 2 5 4 10 10 0 11
22 Accrington 11 2 5 4 14 18 -4 11
23 Morecambe 10 1 5 4 7 15 -8 8
24 Milton Keynes Dons 12 2 2 8 10 20 -10 8
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Sheffield Weds 12 7 3 2 15 7 +8 24
2 Ipswich 11 7 2 2 22 13 +9 23
3 Plymouth 12 5 5 2 21 17 +4 20
4 Barnsley 11 5 3 3 13 8 +5 18
5 Fleetwood Town 11 3 6 2 14 13 +1 15
6 Portsmouth 10 4 3 3 12 12 0 15
7 Bristol Rvs 12 4 3 5 19 20 -1 15
8 Derby 11 3 5 3 10 7 +3 14
9 Oxford 12 3 5 4 13 14 -1 14
10 Wycombe 11 4 2 5 11 13 -2 14
11 Port Vale 11 4 2 5 11 18 -7 14
12 Milton Keynes Dons 10 4 1 5 12 11 +1 13
13 Lincoln 11 4 1 6 10 18 -8 13
14 Bolton 10 3 3 4 10 11 -1 12
15 Shrewsbury 11 3 3 5 10 12 -2 12
16 Accrington 10 3 2 5 7 14 -7 11
17 Exeter 11 2 4 5 15 17 -2 10
18 Peterboro 12 3 1 8 15 22 -7 10
19 Cheltenham 10 2 3 5 5 10 -5 9
20 Charlton 10 1 5 4 10 15 -5 8
21 Forest Green 12 1 5 6 11 26 -15 8
22 Cambridge 10 2 1 7 10 19 -9 7
23 Morecambe 12 1 4 7 10 19 -9 7
24 Burton 11 1 3 7 16 25 -9 6

Bolton   Derby

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Plymouth 23 9 14 1.8 1.1 15 5 3 42 25 50
2 8 Peterboro 22 8 14 1.7 1.3 10 2 10 37 28 32
3 10 Bristol Rvs 23 9 14 1.5 1.6 8 7 8 35 37 31
4 2 Ipswich 23 10 13 1.9 1.0 14 6 3 44 22 48
5 22 Forest Green 23 11 12 0.8 1.9 5 5 13 19 44 20
6 23 Burton 23 11 12 1.3 1.9 4 7 12 30 44 19
7 6 Wycombe 23 12 11 1.3 1.1 10 5 8 30 25 35
8 9 Port Vale 22 11 11 1.1 1.3 9 5 8 24 29 32
9 13 Exeter 23 12 11 1.4 1.4 7 7 9 33 33 28
10 19 Cambridge 22 11 11 1.0 1.5 7 3 12 21 33 24
11 21 Milton Keynes Dons 22 12 10 1.0 1.4 6 3 13 22 31 21
12 24 Morecambe 22 12 10 0.8 1.5 2 9 11 17 34 15
13 3 Sheffield Weds 23 14 9 1.7 0.8 13 7 3 38 18 46
14 7 Derby 21 12 9 1.3 0.8 9 7 5 28 17 34
15 12 Shrewsbury 22 13 9 1.0 1.1 8 5 9 23 25 29
16 15 Oxford 22 13 9 1.2 1.1 6 8 8 26 25 26
17 16 Fleetwood Town 22 13 9 1.1 1.0 5 11 6 24 23 26
18 17 Charlton 22 13 9 1.5 1.4 5 10 7 32 31 25
19 20 Accrington 21 12 9 1.0 1.5 5 7 9 21 32 22
20 4 Barnsley 21 13 8 1.3 0.8 11 4 6 28 17 37
21 5 Bolton 21 14 7 1.2 0.9 10 5 6 26 19 35
22 11 Portsmouth 20 13 7 1.3 1.1 7 9 4 26 22 30
23 14 Lincoln 21 15 6 1.0 1.2 6 9 6 21 26 27
24 18 Cheltenham 21 15 6 0.8 1.1 7 4 10 16 23 25
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 7 Derby 10 3 7 1.8 1.0 6 2 2 18 10 20
2 1 Plymouth 11 5 6 1.9 0.7 10 0 1 21 8 30
3 2 Ipswich 12 6 6 1.8 0.8 7 4 1 22 9 25
4 3 Sheffield Weds 11 5 6 2.1 1.0 6 4 1 23 11 22
5 6 Wycombe 12 6 6 1.6 1.0 6 3 3 19 12 21
6 8 Peterboro 10 4 6 2.2 0.6 7 1 2 22 6 22
7 10 Bristol Rvs 11 5 6 1.5 1.5 4 4 3 16 17 16
8 13 Exeter 12 6 6 1.5 1.3 5 3 4 18 16 18
9 22 Forest Green 11 5 6 0.7 1.6 4 0 7 8 18 12
10 9 Port Vale 11 6 5 1.2 1.0 5 3 3 13 11 18
11 12 Shrewsbury 11 6 5 1.2 1.2 5 2 4 13 13 17
12 15 Oxford 10 5 5 1.3 1.1 3 3 4 13 11 12
13 17 Charlton 12 7 5 1.8 1.3 4 5 3 22 16 17
14 20 Accrington 11 6 5 1.3 1.6 2 5 4 14 18 11
15 21 Milton Keynes Dons 12 7 5 0.8 1.7 2 2 8 10 20 8
16 23 Burton 12 7 5 1.2 1.6 3 4 5 14 19 13
17 4 Barnsley 10 6 4 1.5 0.9 6 1 3 15 9 19
18 5 Bolton 11 7 4 1.5 0.7 7 2 2 16 8 23
19 11 Portsmouth 10 6 4 1.4 1.0 3 6 1 14 10 15
20 16 Fleetwood Town 11 7 4 0.9 0.9 2 5 4 10 10 11
21 18 Cheltenham 11 7 4 1.0 1.2 5 1 5 11 13 16
22 19 Cambridge 12 8 4 0.9 1.2 5 2 5 11 14 17
23 24 Morecambe 10 6 4 0.7 1.5 1 5 4 7 15 8
24 14 Lincoln 10 8 2 1.1 0.8 2 8 0 11 8 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Plymouth 12 4 8 1.8 1.4 5 5 2 21 17 20
2 8 Peterboro 12 4 8 1.2 1.8 3 1 8 15 22 10
3 10 Bristol Rvs 12 4 8 1.6 1.7 4 3 5 19 20 15
4 2 Ipswich 11 4 7 2.0 1.2 7 2 2 22 13 23
5 19 Cambridge 10 3 7 1.0 1.9 2 1 7 10 19 7
6 23 Burton 11 4 7 1.5 2.3 1 3 7 16 25 6
7 9 Port Vale 11 5 6 1.0 1.6 4 2 5 11 18 14
8 22 Forest Green 12 6 6 0.9 2.2 1 5 6 11 26 8
9 24 Morecambe 12 6 6 0.8 1.6 1 4 7 10 19 7
10 6 Wycombe 11 6 5 1.0 1.2 4 2 5 11 13 14
11 13 Exeter 11 6 5 1.4 1.5 2 4 5 15 17 10
12 16 Fleetwood Town 11 6 5 1.3 1.2 3 6 2 14 13 15
13 21 Milton Keynes Dons 10 5 5 1.2 1.1 4 1 5 12 11 13
14 4 Barnsley 11 7 4 1.2 0.7 5 3 3 13 8 18
15 12 Shrewsbury 11 7 4 0.9 1.1 3 3 5 10 12 12
16 14 Lincoln 11 7 4 0.9 1.6 4 1 6 10 18 13
17 15 Oxford 12 8 4 1.1 1.2 3 5 4 13 14 14
18 17 Charlton 10 6 4 1.0 1.5 1 5 4 10 15 8
19 20 Accrington 10 6 4 0.7 1.4 3 2 5 7 14 11
20 3 Sheffield Weds 12 9 3 1.2 0.6 7 3 2 15 7 24
21 5 Bolton 10 7 3 1.0 1.1 3 3 4 10 11 12
22 11 Portsmouth 10 7 3 1.2 1.2 4 3 3 12 12 15
23 7 Derby 11 9 2 0.9 0.6 3 5 3 10 7 14
24 18 Cheltenham 10 8 2 0.5 1.0 2 3 5 5 10 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51