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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England League One · ·Referee: B Toner

Burton 3–0 Lincoln

Full time · half time 3–0 · season 2022/2023

Home ✓ 2.20 fair 2.79
Draw 3.40 fair 3.91
Away 3.30 fair 2.59
Under 2.5 1.83 fair 2.07
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.02 fair 1.93

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Burton Lincoln
11 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
8 Corners 1
13 Fouls 8
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✓ Goals correct ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (253 league matches this season so far).
Result Lincoln to win
Goals Over 2.5
Both teams score Yes fair 1.79
Expected goals 1.34 – 1.40
Home / Draw / Away
BurtonDrawLincoln
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–1 12.1% 0–1 9% 1–0 8.6%

Statistics 2022/2023, before this match

Burton before this match, all matches
0.73points / match
1.23scored / match
2.00conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 22 played · 27:44
Lincoln before this match, all matches
1.35points / match
1.05scored / match
1.15conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 20 played · 21:23
Burton all matches all matches Lincoln

Per match

1.23 Goals scored 1.05
2.00 Goals conceded 1.15
3.23 Total goals 2.20
12.59 Shots 8.55
3.91 Shots on target 3.15
13.86 Shots faced 12.80
6.09 Corners 4.45
5.32 Corners against 6.20
11.09 Fouls 10.10
1.32 Yellow cards 1.75
0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.60
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.60

How often Full Time

14% Wins 30%
32% Draws 45%
55% Losses 25%
100% Over 0.5 goals 85%
86% Over 1.5 goals 70%
50% Over 2.5 goals 25%
32% Over 3.5 goals 15%
23% Over 4.5 goals 5%
18% Over 5.5 goals 5%
59% Both teams scored 45%
9% Clean sheets 30%
32% Failed to score 40%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 35%
41% Draws 35%
32% Losses 30%
64% Over 0.5 goals 70%
27% Over 1.5 goals 30%
18% Over 2.5 goals 15%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton all matches
Lincoln all matches
Burton before this match, at home
0.91points / match
1.00scored / match
1.73conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 11 played · 11:19
Lincoln before this match, away
1.30points / match
1.00scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 10 played · 10:15
Burton at home away Lincoln

Per match

1.00 Goals scored 1.00
1.73 Goals conceded 1.50
2.73 Total goals 2.50
13.36 Shots 6.40
4.18 Shots on target 2.50
12.09 Shots faced 15.00
7.18 Corners 3.70
5.27 Corners against 6.90
10.45 Fouls 10.90
1.18 Yellow cards 1.50
0.45 1st-half goals scored 0.70
0.73 1st-half goals conceded 0.80

How often Full Time

18% Wins 40%
36% Draws 10%
45% Losses 50%
100% Over 0.5 goals 90%
73% Over 1.5 goals 60%
36% Over 2.5 goals 30%
36% Over 3.5 goals 20%
18% Over 4.5 goals 10%
9% Over 5.5 goals 10%
45% Both teams scored 20%
9% Clean sheets 30%
45% Failed to score 60%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 40%
45% Draws 20%
27% Losses 40%
64% Over 0.5 goals 80%
18% Over 1.5 goals 40%
18% Over 2.5 goals 20%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Burton at home
Lincoln away

Last 10 matches before this match

Burton all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
17.12.22 Barnsley – Burton 2–0 (1–0) 1.913.603.75 1.95 1.90
10.12.22 Burton – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.302.25 2.00 1.85
03.12.22 Milton Keynes Dons – Burton 1–1 (0–1) 2.253.303.25 2.05 1.80
19.11.22 Burton – Plymouth 2–2 (1–0) 2.803.602.37 1.80 2.00
12.11.22 Burton – Charlton 3–3 (2–2) 2.803.402.50 1.90 1.95
29.10.22 Sheffield Weds – Burton 4–2 (2–0) 1.504.206.50 1.75 2.05
25.10.22 Bolton – Burton 2–1 (0–0) 1.663.755.25 1.80 2.00
22.10.22 Burton – Cheltenham 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.60 1.95 1.90
15.10.22 Burton – Morecambe 1–1 (1–0) 1.703.755.00 1.80 2.00
08.10.22 Peterboro – Burton 1–1 (0–0) 1.504.336.50 1.61 2.25

Lincoln all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.22 Lincoln – Wycombe 0–0 (0–0) 2.883.252.55 2.08 1.73
03.12.22 Shrewsbury – Lincoln 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.15 1.66
19.11.22 Lincoln – Morecambe 2–1 (1–0) 1.853.604.33 2.02 1.83
12.11.22 Lincoln – Plymouth 1–1 (1–1) 3.203.302.30 1.88 1.98
01.11.22 Lincoln – Accrington 1–1 (0–0) 2.503.402.75 1.93 1.93
29.10.22 Port Vale – Lincoln 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 2.20 1.65
25.10.22 Barnsley – Lincoln 0–1 (0–1) 1.803.804.20 1.90 1.95
22.10.22 Lincoln – Sheffield Weds 1–1 (0–1) 4.753.601.75 2.02 1.83
15.10.22 Ipswich – Lincoln 0–1 (0–1) 1.364.759.00 1.90 1.95
08.10.22 Lincoln – Charlton 0–0 (0–0) 2.603.502.60 1.93 1.93

Burton at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.12.22 Burton – Derby 1–1 (0–1) 3.303.302.25 2.00 1.85
19.11.22 Burton – Plymouth 2–2 (1–0) 2.803.602.37 1.80 2.00
12.11.22 Burton – Charlton 3–3 (2–2) 2.803.402.50 1.90 1.95
22.10.22 Burton – Cheltenham 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.403.60 1.95 1.90
15.10.22 Burton – Morecambe 1–1 (1–0) 1.703.755.00 1.80 2.00
04.10.22 Burton – Fleetwood Town 0–1 (0–1) 2.053.753.40 1.93 1.93
01.10.22 Burton – Forest Green 3–2 (1–0) 1.853.604.20 1.95 1.90
13.09.22 Burton – Portsmouth 0–2 (0–0) 4.003.601.90 1.75 2.05
20.08.22 Burton – Port Vale 0–2 (0–0) 2.873.252.50 1.98 1.88
16.08.22 Burton – Ipswich 0–1 (0–0) 5.253.801.66 2.00 1.85

Lincoln away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
03.12.22 Shrewsbury – Lincoln 2–0 (1–0) 2.303.253.20 2.15 1.66
29.10.22 Port Vale – Lincoln 1–0 (0–0) 1.903.504.00 2.20 1.65
25.10.22 Barnsley – Lincoln 0–1 (0–1) 1.803.804.20 1.90 1.95
15.10.22 Ipswich – Lincoln 0–1 (0–1) 1.364.759.00 1.90 1.95
01.10.22 Bolton – Lincoln 2–0 (1–0) 1.603.806.00 1.98 1.88
17.09.22 Bristol Rvs – Lincoln 3–6 (1–3) 2.703.502.55 1.98 1.88
03.09.22 Cambridge – Lincoln 2–0 (2–0) 2.403.502.80 2.02 1.83
20.08.22 Peterboro – Lincoln 4–0 (3–0) 1.804.004.00 1.72 2.07
16.08.22 Oxford – Lincoln 1–2 (0–2) 1.853.604.00 2.00 1.85
06.08.22 Portsmouth – Lincoln 0–0 (0–0) 1.753.754.75 1.85 2.00

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Burton winsDrawsLincoln wins
2matches
3.00goals / match
100%over 2.5
100%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
29.01.22E2 Lincoln – Burton 1–2 (0–0) 2.153.403.40 2.02 1.83
25.09.21E2 Burton – Lincoln 1–2 (0–1) 2.553.502.70 2.05 1.75

England League One table 2022/2023, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 22 14 5 3 41 25 +16 47
2 Ipswich 22 13 6 3 41 22 +19 45
3 Sheffield Weds 22 12 7 3 36 17 +19 43
4 Barnsley 20 11 3 6 27 16 +11 36
5 Bolton 21 10 5 6 26 19 +7 35
6 Derby 21 9 7 5 28 17 +11 34
7 Wycombe 22 9 5 8 28 24 +4 32
8 Peterboro 21 10 1 10 36 27 +9 31
9 Bristol Rvs 22 8 7 7 34 35 -1 31
10 Portsmouth 19 7 8 4 26 22 +4 29
11 Shrewsbury 21 8 5 8 22 23 -1 29
12 Port Vale 21 8 5 8 23 29 -6 29
13 Exeter 22 7 6 9 33 33 0 27
14 Lincoln 20 6 9 5 21 23 -2 27
15 Oxford 21 6 8 7 26 22 +4 26
16 Fleetwood Town 21 5 11 5 23 21 +2 26
17 Cheltenham 20 7 4 9 16 22 -6 25
18 Charlton 21 5 9 7 31 30 +1 24
19 Accrington 20 5 6 9 20 31 -11 21
20 Cambridge 21 6 3 12 19 32 -13 21
21 Forest Green 22 5 5 12 19 43 -24 20
22 Milton Keynes Dons 21 5 3 13 21 31 -10 18
23 Burton 22 3 7 12 27 44 -17 16
24 Morecambe 21 2 9 10 17 33 -16 15
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Plymouth 11 10 0 1 21 8 +13 30
2 Bolton 11 7 2 2 16 8 +8 23
3 Peterboro 10 7 1 2 22 6 +16 22
4 Sheffield Weds 11 6 4 1 23 11 +12 22
5 Ipswich 11 6 4 1 19 9 +10 22
6 Derby 10 6 2 2 18 10 +8 20
7 Barnsley 10 6 1 3 15 9 +6 19
8 Wycombe 11 5 3 3 17 11 +6 18
9 Exeter 11 5 2 4 18 16 +2 17
10 Shrewsbury 11 5 2 4 13 13 0 17
11 Charlton 11 4 4 3 21 15 +6 16
12 Bristol Rvs 11 4 4 3 16 17 -1 16
13 Cheltenham 10 5 1 4 11 12 -1 16
14 Portsmouth 10 3 6 1 14 10 +4 15
15 Port Vale 10 4 3 3 12 11 +1 15
16 Lincoln 10 2 8 0 11 8 +3 14
17 Cambridge 11 4 2 5 9 13 -4 14
18 Oxford 10 3 3 4 13 11 +2 12
19 Forest Green 11 4 0 7 8 18 -10 12
20 Fleetwood Town 10 2 5 3 9 8 +1 11
21 Accrington 10 2 4 4 13 17 -4 10
22 Burton 11 2 4 5 11 19 -8 10
23 Morecambe 10 1 5 4 7 15 -8 8
24 Milton Keynes Dons 11 1 2 8 9 20 -11 5
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Ipswich 11 7 2 2 22 13 +9 23
2 Sheffield Weds 11 6 3 2 13 6 +7 21
3 Barnsley 10 5 2 3 12 7 +5 17
4 Plymouth 11 4 5 2 20 17 +3 17
5 Fleetwood Town 11 3 6 2 14 13 +1 15
6 Bristol Rvs 11 4 3 4 18 18 0 15
7 Derby 11 3 5 3 10 7 +3 14
8 Oxford 11 3 5 3 13 11 +2 14
9 Portsmouth 9 4 2 3 12 12 0 14
10 Wycombe 11 4 2 5 11 13 -2 14
11 Port Vale 11 4 2 5 11 18 -7 14
12 Milton Keynes Dons 10 4 1 5 12 11 +1 13
13 Lincoln 10 4 1 5 10 15 -5 13
14 Bolton 10 3 3 4 10 11 -1 12
15 Shrewsbury 10 3 3 4 9 10 -1 12
16 Accrington 10 3 2 5 7 14 -7 11
17 Exeter 11 2 4 5 15 17 -2 10
18 Cheltenham 10 2 3 5 5 10 -5 9
19 Peterboro 11 3 0 8 14 21 -7 9
20 Charlton 10 1 5 4 10 15 -5 8
21 Forest Green 11 1 5 5 11 25 -14 8
22 Morecambe 11 1 4 6 10 18 -8 7
23 Cambridge 10 2 1 7 10 19 -9 7
24 Burton 11 1 3 7 16 25 -9 6

Burton   Lincoln

Under / Over goals 2022/2023, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Plymouth 22 8 14 1.9 1.1 14 5 3 41 25 47
2 8 Peterboro 21 7 14 1.7 1.3 10 1 10 36 27 31
3 9 Bristol Rvs 22 9 13 1.5 1.6 8 7 7 34 35 31
4 2 Ipswich 22 10 12 1.9 1.0 13 6 3 41 22 45
5 21 Forest Green 22 10 12 0.9 2.0 5 5 12 19 43 20
6 12 Port Vale 21 10 11 1.1 1.4 8 5 8 23 29 29
7 13 Exeter 22 11 11 1.5 1.5 7 6 9 33 33 27
8 23 Burton 22 11 11 1.2 2.0 3 7 12 27 44 16
9 7 Wycombe 22 12 10 1.3 1.1 9 5 8 28 24 32
10 20 Cambridge 21 11 10 0.9 1.5 6 3 12 19 32 21
11 22 Milton Keynes Dons 21 11 10 1.0 1.5 5 3 13 21 31 18
12 24 Morecambe 21 11 10 0.8 1.6 2 9 10 17 33 15
13 6 Derby 21 12 9 1.3 0.8 9 7 5 28 17 34
14 18 Charlton 21 12 9 1.5 1.4 5 9 7 31 30 24
15 19 Accrington 20 11 9 1.0 1.6 5 6 9 20 31 21
16 3 Sheffield Weds 22 14 8 1.6 0.8 12 7 3 36 17 43
17 4 Barnsley 20 12 8 1.4 0.8 11 3 6 27 16 36
18 11 Shrewsbury 21 13 8 1.0 1.1 8 5 8 22 23 29
19 15 Oxford 21 13 8 1.2 1.0 6 8 7 26 22 26
20 16 Fleetwood Town 21 13 8 1.1 1.0 5 11 5 23 21 26
21 5 Bolton 21 14 7 1.2 0.9 10 5 6 26 19 35
22 10 Portsmouth 19 12 7 1.4 1.2 7 8 4 26 22 29
23 17 Cheltenham 20 14 6 0.8 1.1 7 4 9 16 22 25
24 14 Lincoln 20 15 5 1.1 1.1 6 9 5 21 23 27
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 6 Derby 10 3 7 1.8 1.0 6 2 2 18 10 20
2 1 Plymouth 11 5 6 1.9 0.7 10 0 1 21 8 30
3 3 Sheffield Weds 11 5 6 2.1 1.0 6 4 1 23 11 22
4 8 Peterboro 10 4 6 2.2 0.6 7 1 2 22 6 22
5 9 Bristol Rvs 11 5 6 1.5 1.5 4 4 3 16 17 16
6 13 Exeter 11 5 6 1.6 1.5 5 2 4 18 16 17
7 21 Forest Green 11 5 6 0.7 1.6 4 0 7 8 18 12
8 2 Ipswich 11 6 5 1.7 0.8 6 4 1 19 9 22
9 7 Wycombe 11 6 5 1.5 1.0 5 3 3 17 11 18
10 11 Shrewsbury 11 6 5 1.2 1.2 5 2 4 13 13 17
11 12 Port Vale 10 5 5 1.2 1.1 4 3 3 12 11 15
12 15 Oxford 10 5 5 1.3 1.1 3 3 4 13 11 12
13 18 Charlton 11 6 5 1.9 1.4 4 4 3 21 15 16
14 19 Accrington 10 5 5 1.3 1.7 2 4 4 13 17 10
15 22 Milton Keynes Dons 11 6 5 0.8 1.8 1 2 8 9 20 5
16 4 Barnsley 10 6 4 1.5 0.9 6 1 3 15 9 19
17 5 Bolton 11 7 4 1.5 0.7 7 2 2 16 8 23
18 10 Portsmouth 10 6 4 1.4 1.0 3 6 1 14 10 15
19 17 Cheltenham 10 6 4 1.1 1.2 5 1 4 11 12 16
20 23 Burton 11 7 4 1.0 1.7 2 4 5 11 19 10
21 24 Morecambe 10 6 4 0.7 1.5 1 5 4 7 15 8
22 16 Fleetwood Town 10 7 3 0.9 0.8 2 5 3 9 8 11
23 20 Cambridge 11 8 3 0.8 1.2 4 2 5 9 13 14
24 14 Lincoln 10 8 2 1.1 0.8 2 8 0 11 8 14
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 1 Plymouth 11 3 8 1.8 1.5 4 5 2 20 17 17
2 8 Peterboro 11 3 8 1.3 1.9 3 0 8 14 21 9
3 2 Ipswich 11 4 7 2.0 1.2 7 2 2 22 13 23
4 9 Bristol Rvs 11 4 7 1.6 1.6 4 3 4 18 18 15
5 20 Cambridge 10 3 7 1.0 1.9 2 1 7 10 19 7
6 23 Burton 11 4 7 1.5 2.3 1 3 7 16 25 6
7 12 Port Vale 11 5 6 1.0 1.6 4 2 5 11 18 14
8 21 Forest Green 11 5 6 1.0 2.3 1 5 5 11 25 8
9 24 Morecambe 11 5 6 0.9 1.6 1 4 6 10 18 7
10 7 Wycombe 11 6 5 1.0 1.2 4 2 5 11 13 14
11 13 Exeter 11 6 5 1.4 1.5 2 4 5 15 17 10
12 16 Fleetwood Town 11 6 5 1.3 1.2 3 6 2 14 13 15
13 22 Milton Keynes Dons 10 5 5 1.2 1.1 4 1 5 12 11 13
14 4 Barnsley 10 6 4 1.2 0.7 5 2 3 12 7 17
15 18 Charlton 10 6 4 1.0 1.5 1 5 4 10 15 8
16 19 Accrington 10 6 4 0.7 1.4 3 2 5 7 14 11
17 5 Bolton 10 7 3 1.0 1.1 3 3 4 10 11 12
18 10 Portsmouth 9 6 3 1.3 1.3 4 2 3 12 12 14
19 11 Shrewsbury 10 7 3 0.9 1.0 3 3 4 9 10 12
20 14 Lincoln 10 7 3 1.0 1.5 4 1 5 10 15 13
21 15 Oxford 11 8 3 1.2 1.0 3 5 3 13 11 14
22 3 Sheffield Weds 11 9 2 1.2 0.5 6 3 2 13 6 21
23 6 Derby 11 9 2 0.9 0.6 3 5 3 10 7 14
24 17 Cheltenham 10 8 2 0.5 1.0 2 3 5 5 10 9

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51