Derby 1–0 Birmingham – England Championship, 21 Mar 2026

Match facts

Derby Birmingham

17 Shots 3

6 Shots on target 0

6 Corners 2

12 Fouls 16

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (456 league matches this season so far).

Result Derby to win

Goals Over 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.86

Expected goals 1.53 – 1.16

Home / Draw / Away

46% 25% 29%

DerbyDrawBirmingham

Under / Over 2.5 goals

50% 50%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

46% 54%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

18% 1

25% 2

22% 3

15% 4

14% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12% 1–0 10.4% 2–1 9.2%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches

1.50points / match

1.45scored / match

1.26conceded / match

16 9 13

WonDrawnLost 38 played · 55:48

Birmingham before this match, all matches

1.39points / match

1.26scored / match

1.26conceded / match

14 11 13

WonDrawnLost 38 played · 48:48

Derby all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

1.45 Goals scored 1.26

1.26 Goals conceded 1.26

2.71 Total goals 2.53

10.42 Shots 14.08

3.42 Shots on target 4.00

12.76 Shots faced 10.47

4.53 Corners 5.79

5.55 Corners against 4.03

12.03 Fouls 11.34

2.32 Yellow cards 1.79

0.68 1st-half goals scored 0.61

0.58 1st-half goals conceded 0.74

How often Full Time

42% Wins 37%

24% Draws 29%

34% Losses 34%

100% Over 0.5 goals 97%

76% Over 1.5 goals 79%

50% Over 2.5 goals 47%

24% Over 3.5 goals 21%

11% Over 4.5 goals 8%

5% Over 5.5 goals 0%

66% Both teams scored 55%

24% Clean sheets 24%

11% Failed to score 24%

How often Half Time

37% Wins 32%

34% Draws 26%

29% Losses 42%

79% Over 0.5 goals 82%

26% Over 1.5 goals 39%

16% Over 2.5 goals 11%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches

1

D

5

W

1

2

L

2

W

2

L

2

4

L

3

1

W

2

1

W

1

L

1

W

Birmingham all matches

1

D

2

W

2

1

W

D

2

1

W

3

L

1

3

L

1

L

1

W

1

D

Derby before this match, at home

1.42points / match

1.37scored / match

1.32conceded / match

7 6 6

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 26:25

Birmingham before this match, away

0.95points / match

0.79scored / match

1.53conceded / match

5 3 11

WonDrawnLost 19 played · 15:29

Derby at home away Birmingham

Per match

1.37 Goals scored 0.79

1.32 Goals conceded 1.53

2.68 Total goals 2.32

10.79 Shots 10.11

3.63 Shots on target 2.42

11.53 Shots faced 12.16

5.42 Corners 4.89

4.68 Corners against 4.47

11.37 Fouls 11.74

2.00 Yellow cards 1.63

0.58 1st-half goals scored 0.26

0.74 1st-half goals conceded 0.95

How often Full Time

37% Wins 26%

32% Draws 16%

32% Losses 58%

100% Over 0.5 goals 100%

79% Over 1.5 goals 79%

42% Over 2.5 goals 47%

21% Over 3.5 goals 5%

11% Over 4.5 goals 0%

5% Over 5.5 goals 0%

74% Both teams scored 42%

21% Clean sheets 16%

5% Failed to score 42%

How often Half Time

26% Wins 16%

42% Draws 16%

32% Losses 68%

79% Over 0.5 goals 84%

32% Over 1.5 goals 32%

16% Over 2.5 goals 5%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home

1

3

L

1

D

1

D

1

W

1

2

L

1

D

1

2

L

2

W

3

1

W

2

1

W

Birmingham away

1

3

L

1

2

L

3

L

3

L

1

D

2

W

2

W

2

1

W

3

L

1

L

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
16.03.26	Portsmouth – Derby	0–1 (0–1)	2.15	3.20	3.40	2.20	1.67
10.03.26	Millwall – Derby	1–0 (1–0)	2.05	3.40	3.50	2.05	1.80
07.03.26	Derby – Sheffield Weds	2–1 (2–1)	1.24	5.25	12.00	1.73	2.10
28.02.26	Derby – Blackburn	3–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.30	3.30	2.20	1.67
24.02.26	Hull – Derby	4–2 (2–2)	2.55	3.20	2.70	2.10	1.73
21.02.26	Watford – Derby	2–0 (1–0)	2.10	3.30	3.40	2.20	1.67
14.02.26	Derby – Swansea	2–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.20	3.30	2.20	1.67
07.02.26	Derby – Ipswich	1–2 (0–1)	3.60	3.40	2.01	2.10	1.73
30.01.26	Bristol City – Derby	0–5 (0–3)	2.15	3.30	3.30	2.10	1.73
23.01.26	Derby – West Brom	1–1 (1–0)	2.55	3.10	2.75	2.38	1.57

Birmingham all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
14.03.26	Birmingham – Sheffield United	1–1 (1–1)	2.01	3.50	3.50	1.91	1.91
11.03.26	Birmingham – QPR	1–0 (1–0)	1.68	3.75	4.50	2.00	1.85
07.03.26	Charlton – Birmingham	1–0 (0–0)	3.50	3.30	2.05	2.10	1.73
02.03.26	Birmingham – Middlesbrough	1–3 (0–2)	2.40	3.60	2.57	1.85	2.00
25.02.26	Millwall – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	2.40	3.30	2.82	2.10	1.73
21.02.26	Norwich – Birmingham	1–2 (0–2)	2.50	3.40	2.65	1.91	1.91
10.02.26	Birmingham – West Brom	0–0 (0–0)	1.81	3.40	4.33	2.10	1.73
07.02.26	Birmingham – Leicester	2–1 (1–1)	1.66	3.80	4.50	1.91	1.91
31.01.26	Oxford – Birmingham	0–2 (0–1)	3.40	3.40	2.05	2.10	1.73
24.01.26	Birmingham – Stoke	1–1 (1–0)	1.81	3.60	4.00	2.10	1.73

Derby at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.03.26	Derby – Sheffield Weds	2–1 (2–1)	1.24	5.25	12.00	1.73	2.10
28.02.26	Derby – Blackburn	3–1 (0–1)	2.10	3.30	3.30	2.20	1.67
14.02.26	Derby – Swansea	2–0 (0–0)	2.10	3.20	3.30	2.20	1.67
07.02.26	Derby – Ipswich	1–2 (0–1)	3.60	3.40	2.01	2.10	1.73
23.01.26	Derby – West Brom	1–1 (1–0)	2.55	3.10	2.75	2.38	1.57
04.01.26	Derby – Wrexham	1–2 (1–1)	2.25	3.25	3.05	2.20	1.67
01.01.26	Derby – Middlesbrough	1–0 (0–0)	3.05	3.25	2.25	2.10	1.73
20.12.25	Derby – Portsmouth	1–1 (1–1)	1.96	3.20	4.00	2.20	1.67
10.12.25	Derby – Millwall	1–1 (0–0)	2.50	2.95	2.95	2.50	1.53
06.12.25	Derby – Leicester	1–3 (0–3)	2.70	3.20	2.57	2.30	1.62

Birmingham away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
07.03.26	Charlton – Birmingham	1–0 (0–0)	3.50	3.30	2.05	2.10	1.73
25.02.26	Millwall – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	2.40	3.30	2.82	2.10	1.73
21.02.26	Norwich – Birmingham	1–2 (0–2)	2.50	3.40	2.65	1.91	1.91
31.01.26	Oxford – Birmingham	0–2 (0–1)	3.40	3.40	2.05	2.10	1.73
20.01.26	Sheffield Weds – Birmingham	0–2 (0–0)	6.50	4.20	1.45	1.80	2.00
17.01.26	Swansea – Birmingham	1–1 (1–0)	2.65	3.20	2.57	2.10	1.73
01.01.26	Watford – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	2.30	3.25	2.95	2.00	1.80
20.12.25	Sheffield United – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	2.25	3.50	2.95	1.93	1.93
09.12.25	QPR – Birmingham	2–1 (1–0)	2.85	3.30	2.35	1.98	1.88
06.12.25	Southampton – Birmingham	3–1 (2–0)	2.25	3.50	2.85	1.93	1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 1

Derby winsDrawsBirmingham wins

3matches

2.67goals / match

33%over 2.5

67%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
26.12.25E1	Birmingham – Derby	1–1 (0–1)	1.86	3.40	4.20	2.10	1.73
30.01.22E1	Derby – Birmingham	2–2 (0–1)	2.30	3.10	3.40	2.50	1.53
10.09.21E1	Birmingham – Derby	2–0 (1–0)	1.85	3.30	4.75	2.37	1.57

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	38	23	8	7	78	40	+38	77
2	Middlesbrough	38	20	10	8	59	37	+22	70
3	Ipswich	37	19	11	7	66	38	+28	68
4	Millwall	38	20	8	10	52	43	+9	68
5	Hull	38	19	6	13	59	56	+3	63
6	Southampton	38	16	12	10	61	48	+13	60
7	Wrexham	38	16	12	10	58	50	+8	60
8	Derby	38	16	9	13	55	48	+7	57
9	Watford	38	14	13	11	50	46	+4	55
10	Birmingham	38	14	11	13	48	48	0	53
11	Swansea	38	15	7	16	44	46	-2	52
12	Preston	39	13	13	13	45	49	-4	52
13	Norwich	38	15	6	17	51	46	+5	51
14	Stoke	39	14	9	16	46	43	+3	51
15	Bristol City	38	14	9	15	49	49	0	51
16	Sheffield United	38	15	5	18	53	52	+1	50
17	QPR	38	14	8	16	49	60	-11	50
18	Charlton	38	12	12	14	36	45	-9	48
19	Leicester	38	11	11	16	51	60	-9	44
20	Blackburn	38	11	9	18	36	49	-13	42
21	Portsmouth	37	10	10	17	36	48	-12	40
22	West Brom	38	10	10	18	39	54	-15	40
23	Oxford	38	9	12	17	36	49	-13	39
24	Sheffield Weds	38	1	9	28	23	76	-53	12

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	19	14	3	2	40	15	+25	45
2	Ipswich	19	12	6	1	35	13	+22	42
3	Middlesbrough	19	10	6	3	27	14	+13	36
4	Millwall	20	11	3	6	28	23	+5	36
5	Birmingham	19	9	8	2	33	19	+14	35
6	Watford	19	10	5	4	29	20	+9	35
7	Swansea	19	10	5	4	28	19	+9	35
8	Southampton	18	9	6	3	27	14	+13	33
9	Wrexham	20	9	6	5	36	30	+6	33
10	Preston	20	8	6	6	26	24	+2	30
11	Hull	19	9	3	7	29	31	-2	30
12	Stoke	19	8	5	6	29	21	+8	29
13	West Brom	19	7	7	5	23	23	0	28
14	Charlton	18	8	4	6	18	18	0	28
15	Sheffield United	18	8	3	7	29	21	+8	27
16	Derby	19	7	6	6	26	25	+1	27
17	QPR	18	8	2	8	29	30	-1	26
18	Bristol City	19	7	4	8	28	26	+2	25
19	Norwich	19	8	1	10	23	23	0	25
20	Leicester	19	7	4	8	26	28	-2	25
21	Portsmouth	19	6	4	9	19	20	-1	22
22	Oxford	19	5	7	7	17	24	-7	22
23	Blackburn	19	4	6	9	18	25	-7	18
24	Sheffield Weds	20	0	5	15	10	41	-31	5

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	19	10	4	5	32	23	+9	34
2	Hull	19	10	3	6	30	25	+5	33
3	Coventry	19	9	5	5	38	25	+13	32
4	Millwall	18	9	5	4	24	20	+4	32
5	Derby	19	9	3	7	29	23	+6	30
6	Wrexham	18	7	6	5	22	20	+2	27
7	Southampton	20	7	6	7	34	34	0	27
8	Ipswich	18	7	5	6	31	25	+6	26
9	Norwich	19	7	5	7	28	23	+5	26
10	Bristol City	19	7	5	7	21	23	-2	26
11	Blackburn	19	7	3	9	18	24	-6	24
12	QPR	20	6	6	8	20	30	-10	24
13	Sheffield United	20	7	2	11	24	31	-7	23
14	Stoke	20	6	4	10	17	22	-5	22
15	Preston	19	5	7	7	19	25	-6	22
16	Watford	19	4	8	7	21	26	-5	20
17	Charlton	20	4	8	8	18	27	-9	20
18	Leicester	19	4	7	8	25	32	-7	19
19	Portsmouth	18	4	6	8	17	28	-11	18
20	Birmingham	19	5	3	11	15	29	-14	18
21	Oxford	19	4	5	10	19	25	-6	17
22	Swansea	19	5	2	12	16	27	-11	17
23	West Brom	19	3	3	13	16	31	-15	12
24	Sheffield Weds	18	1	4	13	13	35	-22	7

Derby Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	5	Hull	38	13	25	1.6	1.5	19	6	13	59	56	63
2	1	Coventry	38	14	24	2.1	1.1	23	8	7	78	40	77
3	17	QPR	38	14	24	1.3	1.6	14	8	16	49	60	50
4	19	Leicester	38	15	23	1.3	1.6	11	11	16	51	60	44
5	6	Southampton	38	16	22	1.6	1.3	16	12	10	61	48	60
6	16	Sheffield United	38	17	21	1.4	1.4	15	5	18	53	52	50
7	24	Sheffield Weds	38	17	21	0.6	2.0	1	9	28	23	76	12
8	2	Middlesbrough	38	18	20	1.6	1.0	20	10	8	59	37	70
9	3	Ipswich	37	18	19	1.8	1.0	19	11	7	66	38	68
10	4	Millwall	38	19	19	1.4	1.1	20	8	10	52	43	68
11	8	Derby	38	19	19	1.4	1.3	16	9	13	55	48	57
12	23	Oxford	38	19	19	0.9	1.3	9	12	17	36	49	39
13	7	Wrexham	38	20	18	1.5	1.3	16	12	10	58	50	60
14	9	Watford	38	20	18	1.3	1.2	14	13	11	50	46	55
15	10	Birmingham	38	20	18	1.3	1.3	14	11	13	48	48	53
16	13	Norwich	38	20	18	1.3	1.2	15	6	17	51	46	51
17	14	Stoke	39	21	18	1.2	1.1	14	9	16	46	43	51
18	22	West Brom	38	20	18	1.0	1.4	10	10	18	39	54	40
19	11	Swansea	38	21	17	1.2	1.2	15	7	16	44	46	52
20	12	Preston	39	22	17	1.2	1.3	13	13	13	45	49	52
21	15	Bristol City	38	21	17	1.3	1.3	14	9	15	49	49	51
22	20	Blackburn	38	22	16	0.9	1.3	11	9	18	36	49	42
23	21	Portsmouth	37	21	16	1.0	1.3	10	10	17	36	48	40
24	18	Charlton	38	25	13	0.9	1.2	12	12	14	36	45	48

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	17	QPR	18	4	14	1.6	1.7	8	2	8	29	30	26
2	1	Coventry	19	7	12	2.1	0.8	14	3	2	40	15	45
3	5	Hull	19	7	12	1.5	1.6	9	3	7	29	31	30
4	16	Sheffield United	18	6	12	1.6	1.2	8	3	7	29	21	27
5	4	Millwall	20	9	11	1.4	1.1	11	3	6	28	23	36
6	7	Wrexham	20	9	11	1.8	1.5	9	6	5	36	30	33
7	14	Stoke	19	8	11	1.5	1.1	8	5	6	29	21	29
8	3	Ipswich	19	9	10	1.8	0.7	12	6	1	35	13	42
9	12	Preston	20	10	10	1.3	1.2	8	6	6	26	24	30
10	15	Bristol City	19	9	10	1.5	1.4	7	4	8	28	26	25
11	19	Leicester	19	9	10	1.4	1.5	7	4	8	26	28	25
12	24	Sheffield Weds	20	10	10	0.5	2.0	0	5	15	10	41	5
13	9	Watford	19	10	9	1.5	1.1	10	5	4	29	20	35
14	10	Birmingham	19	10	9	1.7	1.0	9	8	2	33	19	35
15	13	Norwich	19	10	9	1.2	1.2	8	1	10	23	23	25
16	23	Oxford	19	10	9	0.9	1.3	5	7	7	17	24	22
17	2	Middlesbrough	19	11	8	1.4	0.7	10	6	3	27	14	36
18	6	Southampton	18	10	8	1.5	0.8	9	6	3	27	14	33
19	8	Derby	19	11	8	1.4	1.3	7	6	6	26	25	27
20	11	Swansea	19	11	8	1.5	1.0	10	5	4	28	19	35
21	21	Portsmouth	19	11	8	1.0	1.1	6	4	9	19	20	22
22	22	West Brom	19	11	8	1.2	1.2	7	7	5	23	23	28
23	20	Blackburn	19	12	7	0.9	1.3	4	6	9	18	25	18
24	18	Charlton	18	12	6	1.0	1.0	8	4	6	18	18	28

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	6	Southampton	20	6	14	1.7	1.7	7	6	7	34	34	27
2	5	Hull	19	6	13	1.6	1.3	10	3	6	30	25	33
3	19	Leicester	19	6	13	1.3	1.7	4	7	8	25	32	19
4	1	Coventry	19	7	12	2.0	1.3	9	5	5	38	25	32
5	2	Middlesbrough	19	7	12	1.7	1.2	10	4	5	32	23	34
6	8	Derby	19	8	11	1.5	1.2	9	3	7	29	23	30
7	24	Sheffield Weds	18	7	11	0.7	1.9	1	4	13	13	35	7
8	17	QPR	20	10	10	1.0	1.5	6	6	8	20	30	24
9	22	West Brom	19	9	10	0.8	1.6	3	3	13	16	31	12
10	23	Oxford	19	9	10	1.0	1.3	4	5	10	19	25	17
11	3	Ipswich	18	9	9	1.7	1.4	7	5	6	31	25	26
12	9	Watford	19	10	9	1.1	1.4	4	8	7	21	26	20
13	10	Birmingham	19	10	9	0.8	1.5	5	3	11	15	29	18
14	11	Swansea	19	10	9	0.8	1.4	5	2	12	16	27	17
15	13	Norwich	19	10	9	1.5	1.2	7	5	7	28	23	26
16	16	Sheffield United	20	11	9	1.2	1.6	7	2	11	24	31	23
17	20	Blackburn	19	10	9	0.9	1.3	7	3	9	18	24	24
18	4	Millwall	18	10	8	1.3	1.1	9	5	4	24	20	32
19	21	Portsmouth	18	10	8	0.9	1.6	4	6	8	17	28	18
20	7	Wrexham	18	11	7	1.2	1.1	7	6	5	22	20	27
21	12	Preston	19	12	7	1.0	1.3	5	7	7	19	25	22
22	14	Stoke	20	13	7	0.8	1.1	6	4	10	17	22	22
23	15	Bristol City	19	12	7	1.1	1.2	7	5	7	21	23	26
24	18	Charlton	20	13	7	0.9	1.4	4	8	8	18	27	20

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.