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BetGPS Football Betting Resources
England Championship · ·Referee: J Brooks

Derby 2–2 Birmingham

Full time · half time 0–1 · season 2021/2022

Home 2.30 fair 2.07
Draw ✓ 3.10 fair 3.73
Away 3.40 fair 4.02
Under 2.5 1.53 fair 1.74
Over 2.5 ✓ 2.50 fair 2.36

Bet365 odds before kick-off. Highlighted = our prediction. ✓ = what happened. "Fair" = odds that would match our model's probability.

Match facts

Derby Birmingham
16 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 4
7 Corners 6
4 Fouls 18
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Our pre-match prediction

✗ Result missed ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (332 league matches this season so far).
Result Derby to win
Goals Under 2.5
Both teams score No fair 1.87
Expected goals 1.43 – 0.94
Home / Draw / Away
DerbyDrawBirmingham
Under / Over 2.5 goals
Under 2.5Over 2.5
Both teams to score
NoYes
Total goals in the match
Most likely scores
1–0 13.3% 1–1 12.6% 2–0 9.5%

Statistics 2021/2022, before this match

Derby before this match, all matches
1.30points / match
0.96scored / match
0.96conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 27 played · 26:26
Birmingham before this match, all matches
1.14points / match
1.07scored / match
1.50conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 28 played · 30:42
Derby all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

0.96 Goals scored 1.07
0.96 Goals conceded 1.50
1.93 Total goals 2.57
9.37 Shots 11.86
3.07 Shots on target 3.46
12.52 Shots faced 11.43
4.04 Corners 4.11
4.56 Corners against 5.29
10.22 Fouls 12.75
2.00 Yellow cards 1.68
0.41 1st-half goals scored 0.39
0.41 1st-half goals conceded 0.68

How often Full Time

30% Wins 29%
41% Draws 29%
30% Losses 43%
81% Over 0.5 goals 86%
59% Over 1.5 goals 75%
37% Over 2.5 goals 50%
11% Over 3.5 goals 25%
4% Over 4.5 goals 11%
0% Over 5.5 goals 4%
52% Both teams scored 39%
37% Clean sheets 36%
30% Failed to score 39%

How often Half Time

22% Wins 25%
56% Draws 36%
22% Losses 39%
56% Over 0.5 goals 68%
22% Over 1.5 goals 29%
4% Over 2.5 goals 4%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby all matches
Birmingham all matches
Derby before this match, at home
1.77points / match
1.23scored / match
0.85conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 13 played · 16:11
Birmingham before this match, away
0.93points / match
0.93scored / match
1.64conceded / match
WonDrawnLost 14 played · 13:23
Derby at home away Birmingham

Per match

1.23 Goals scored 0.93
0.85 Goals conceded 1.64
2.08 Total goals 2.57
9.08 Shots 11.50
3.15 Shots on target 3.07
12.46 Shots faced 13.00
3.69 Corners 3.36
4.31 Corners against 6.43
11.00 Fouls 12.36
2.15 Yellow cards 1.93
0.62 1st-half goals scored 0.36
0.38 1st-half goals conceded 0.93

How often Full Time

46% Wins 21%
38% Draws 29%
15% Losses 50%
85% Over 0.5 goals 86%
62% Over 1.5 goals 71%
38% Over 2.5 goals 36%
15% Over 3.5 goals 29%
8% Over 4.5 goals 14%
0% Over 5.5 goals 7%
54% Both teams scored 29%
46% Clean sheets 36%
15% Failed to score 50%

How often Half Time

38% Wins 14%
46% Draws 36%
15% Losses 50%
62% Over 0.5 goals 71%
31% Over 1.5 goals 36%
8% Over 2.5 goals 7%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Derby at home
Birmingham away

Last 10 matches before this match

Derby all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
22.01.22 Nott'm Forest – Derby 2–1 (0–0) 1.953.204.50 2.37 1.57
15.01.22 Derby – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.30 1.61
03.01.22 Reading – Derby 2–2 (1–0) 2.203.403.25 2.30 1.61
30.12.21 Stoke – Derby 1–2 (0–1) 1.663.755.50 2.20 1.66
27.12.21 Derby – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 5.003.501.80 2.20 1.66
11.12.21 Derby – Blackpool 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.003.30 2.30 1.61
04.12.21 Bristol City – Derby 1–0 (1–0) 2.503.202.90 2.20 1.66
29.11.21 Derby – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.402.40 2.00 1.80
24.11.21 Fulham – Derby 0–0 (0–0) 1.285.5010.00 1.72 2.10
21.11.21 Derby – Bournemouth 3–2 (1–2) 4.503.501.80 2.30 1.61

Birmingham all matches

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
25.01.22 Birmingham – Peterboro 2–2 (0–1) 1.903.404.33 2.10 1.72
22.01.22 Birmingham – Barnsley 2–1 (1–0) 1.803.504.75 2.20 1.66
18.01.22 Fulham – Birmingham 6–2 (4–1) 1.285.5011.00 1.61 2.30
15.01.22 Preston – Birmingham 1–1 (1–0) 1.903.604.00 2.20 1.66
02.01.22 Birmingham – QPR 1–2 (0–1) 2.703.102.75 2.20 1.66
18.12.21 Blackburn – Birmingham 4–0 (1–0) 1.903.604.00 2.20 1.66
11.12.21 Birmingham – Cardiff 2–2 (2–0) 2.373.303.10 2.10 1.72
04.12.21 Millwall – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 2.153.203.60 2.37 1.57
27.11.21 Birmingham – Blackpool 1–0 (0–0) 2.103.253.75 2.20 1.66
23.11.21 Coventry – Birmingham 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.80 2.20 1.66

Derby at home

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
15.01.22 Derby – Sheffield United 2–0 (0–0) 3.503.202.20 2.30 1.61
27.12.21 Derby – West Brom 1–0 (0–0) 5.003.501.80 2.20 1.66
11.12.21 Derby – Blackpool 1–0 (0–0) 2.403.003.30 2.30 1.61
29.11.21 Derby – QPR 1–2 (1–0) 3.003.402.40 2.00 1.80
21.11.21 Derby – Bournemouth 3–2 (1–2) 4.503.501.80 2.30 1.61
30.10.21 Derby – Blackburn 1–2 (0–2) 2.803.252.55 2.30 1.61
19.10.21 Derby – Luton 2–2 (1–0) 3.303.202.30 2.50 1.53
02.10.21 Derby – Swansea 0–0 (0–0) 2.453.103.10 2.37 1.57
29.09.21 Derby – Reading 1–0 (1–0) 2.253.203.40 2.20 1.66
18.09.21 Derby – Stoke 2–1 (2–0) 3.103.102.45 2.37 1.57

Birmingham away

Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
18.01.22 Fulham – Birmingham 6–2 (4–1) 1.285.5011.00 1.61 2.30
15.01.22 Preston – Birmingham 1–1 (1–0) 1.903.604.00 2.20 1.66
18.12.21 Blackburn – Birmingham 4–0 (1–0) 1.903.604.00 2.20 1.66
04.12.21 Millwall – Birmingham 3–1 (2–0) 2.153.203.60 2.37 1.57
23.11.21 Coventry – Birmingham 0–0 (0–0) 2.053.303.80 2.20 1.66
20.11.21 Hull – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 2.603.252.80 2.20 1.66
30.10.21 Middlesbrough – Birmingham 0–2 (0–0) 2.103.303.60 2.30 1.61
20.10.21 Huddersfield – Birmingham 0–0 (0–0) 2.403.203.10 2.30 1.61
15.10.21 West Brom – Birmingham 1–0 (0–0) 1.614.005.50 1.88 1.98
28.09.21 QPR – Birmingham 2–0 (1–0) 1.953.603.80 1.93 1.93

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

Derby winsDrawsBirmingham wins
1matches
2.00goals / match
0%over 2.5
0%both scored
Date Match Score 1 X 2 O U
10.09.21E1 Birmingham – Derby 2–0 (1–0) 1.853.304.75 2.37 1.57

England Championship table 2021/2022, before this match

All matches – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Fulham 28 17 7 4 74 26 +48 58
2 Blackburn 29 15 8 6 45 30 +15 53
3 Bournemouth 28 15 7 6 44 24 +20 52
4 QPR 28 15 6 7 44 31 +13 51
5 West Brom 29 12 9 8 34 24 +10 45
6 Middlesbrough 28 13 6 9 32 26 +6 45
7 Huddersfield 29 12 9 8 38 34 +4 45
8 Nott'm Forest 28 12 7 9 38 29 +9 43
9 Coventry 27 11 7 9 35 31 +4 40
10 Luton 27 10 9 8 38 32 +6 39
11 Sheffield United 26 11 6 9 35 32 +3 39
12 Stoke 28 11 6 11 33 30 +3 39
13 Preston 28 9 10 9 33 35 -2 37
14 Blackpool 28 10 7 11 29 33 -4 37
15 Millwall 27 9 9 9 29 29 0 36
16 Derby 27 8 11 8 26 26 0 35
17 Bristol City 29 9 7 13 38 51 -13 34
18 Swansea 26 8 8 10 28 34 -6 32
19 Hull 28 9 5 14 25 31 -6 32
20 Birmingham 28 8 8 12 30 42 -12 32
21 Reading 28 8 4 16 33 55 -22 28
22 Cardiff 26 6 5 15 28 47 -19 23
23 Peterboro 27 5 5 17 23 55 -32 20
24 Barnsley 27 2 8 17 17 42 -25 14
Home – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Blackburn 15 10 3 2 31 17 +14 33
2 Fulham 15 9 4 2 37 13 +24 31
3 West Brom 14 8 5 1 21 8 +13 29
4 Middlesbrough 15 9 2 4 21 13 +8 29
5 QPR 15 8 4 3 21 11 +10 28
6 Coventry 14 8 2 4 22 13 +9 26
7 Huddersfield 14 7 4 3 20 16 +4 25
8 Bournemouth 13 7 3 3 26 14 +12 24
9 Luton 14 6 5 3 22 16 +6 23
10 Derby 13 6 5 2 16 11 +5 23
11 Blackpool 15 7 2 6 13 15 -2 23
12 Millwall 13 6 4 3 16 12 +4 22
13 Preston 14 5 7 2 20 17 +3 22
14 Stoke 14 6 3 5 19 16 +3 21
15 Nott'm Forest 15 6 3 6 19 18 +1 21
16 Bristol City 15 5 5 5 18 19 -1 20
17 Swansea 12 5 4 3 15 12 +3 19
18 Birmingham 14 5 4 5 17 19 -2 19
19 Hull 14 5 3 6 15 16 -1 18
20 Sheffield United 11 5 2 4 17 11 +6 17
21 Peterboro 13 4 4 5 15 17 -2 16
22 Reading 15 4 4 7 21 31 -10 16
23 Barnsley 13 2 4 7 8 16 -8 10
24 Cardiff 12 2 1 9 9 19 -10 7
Away – league table
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Bournemouth 15 8 4 3 18 10 +8 28
2 Fulham 13 8 3 2 37 13 +24 27
3 QPR 13 7 2 4 23 20 +3 23
4 Nott'm Forest 13 6 4 3 19 11 +8 22
5 Sheffield United 15 6 4 5 18 21 -3 22
6 Blackburn 14 5 5 4 14 13 +1 20
7 Huddersfield 15 5 5 5 18 18 0 20
8 Stoke 14 5 3 6 14 14 0 18
9 Luton 13 4 4 5 16 16 0 16
10 Middlesbrough 13 4 4 5 11 13 -2 16
11 West Brom 15 4 4 7 13 16 -3 16
12 Cardiff 14 4 4 6 19 28 -9 16
13 Preston 14 4 3 7 13 18 -5 15
14 Blackpool 13 3 5 5 16 18 -2 14
15 Millwall 14 3 5 6 13 17 -4 14
16 Coventry 13 3 5 5 13 18 -5 14
17 Hull 14 4 2 8 10 15 -5 14
18 Bristol City 14 4 2 8 20 32 -12 14
19 Swansea 14 3 4 7 13 22 -9 13
20 Birmingham 14 3 4 7 13 23 -10 13
21 Derby 14 2 6 6 10 15 -5 12
22 Reading 13 4 0 9 12 24 -12 12
23 Barnsley 14 0 4 10 9 26 -17 4
24 Peterboro 14 1 1 12 8 38 -30 4

Derby   Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2021/2022, before this match

Goals
All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Bristol City 29 11 18 1.3 1.8 9 7 13 38 51 34
2 23 Peterboro 27 10 17 0.9 2.0 5 5 17 23 55 20
3 1 Fulham 28 12 16 2.6 0.9 17 7 4 74 26 58
4 21 Reading 28 12 16 1.2 2.0 8 4 16 33 55 28
5 4 QPR 28 13 15 1.6 1.1 15 6 7 44 31 51
6 22 Cardiff 26 11 15 1.1 1.8 6 5 15 28 47 23
7 2 Blackburn 29 15 14 1.6 1.0 15 8 6 45 30 53
8 3 Bournemouth 28 14 14 1.6 0.9 15 7 6 44 24 52
9 8 Nott'm Forest 28 14 14 1.4 1.0 12 7 9 38 29 43
10 13 Preston 28 14 14 1.2 1.2 9 10 9 33 35 37
11 20 Birmingham 28 14 14 1.1 1.5 8 8 12 30 42 32
12 9 Coventry 27 14 13 1.3 1.1 11 7 9 35 31 40
13 10 Luton 27 14 13 1.4 1.2 10 9 8 38 32 39
14 18 Swansea 26 13 13 1.1 1.3 8 8 10 28 34 32
15 7 Huddersfield 29 17 12 1.3 1.2 12 9 8 38 34 45
16 11 Sheffield United 26 14 12 1.3 1.2 11 6 9 35 32 39
17 5 West Brom 29 18 11 1.2 0.8 12 9 8 34 24 45
18 12 Stoke 28 17 11 1.2 1.1 11 6 11 33 30 39
19 14 Blackpool 28 17 11 1.0 1.2 10 7 11 29 33 37
20 24 Barnsley 27 16 11 0.6 1.6 2 8 17 17 42 14
21 16 Derby 27 17 10 1.0 1.0 8 11 8 26 26 35
22 15 Millwall 27 18 9 1.1 1.1 9 9 9 29 29 36
23 6 Middlesbrough 28 20 8 1.1 0.9 13 6 9 32 26 45
24 19 Hull 28 21 7 0.9 1.1 9 5 14 25 31 32
Home – Under/Over goals
#
1 3 Bournemouth 13 2 11 2.0 1.1 7 3 3 26 14 24
2 2 Blackburn 15 5 10 2.1 1.1 10 3 2 31 17 33
3 8 Nott'm Forest 15 6 9 1.3 1.2 6 3 6 19 18 21
4 20 Birmingham 14 5 9 1.2 1.4 5 4 5 17 19 19
5 1 Fulham 15 7 8 2.5 0.9 9 4 2 37 13 31
6 9 Coventry 14 6 8 1.6 0.9 8 2 4 22 13 26
7 10 Luton 14 6 8 1.6 1.1 6 5 3 22 16 23
8 21 Reading 15 7 8 1.4 2.1 4 4 7 21 31 16
9 13 Preston 14 7 7 1.4 1.2 5 7 2 20 17 22
10 23 Peterboro 13 6 7 1.2 1.3 4 4 5 15 17 16
11 12 Stoke 14 8 6 1.4 1.1 6 3 5 19 16 21
12 17 Bristol City 15 9 6 1.2 1.3 5 5 5 18 19 20
13 18 Swansea 12 6 6 1.2 1.0 5 4 3 15 12 19
14 5 West Brom 14 9 5 1.5 0.6 8 5 1 21 8 29
15 6 Middlesbrough 15 10 5 1.4 0.9 9 2 4 21 13 29
16 7 Huddersfield 14 9 5 1.4 1.1 7 4 3 20 16 25
17 11 Sheffield United 11 6 5 1.5 1.0 5 2 4 17 11 17
18 14 Blackpool 15 10 5 0.9 1.0 7 2 6 13 15 23
19 16 Derby 13 8 5 1.2 0.8 6 5 2 16 11 23
20 19 Hull 14 9 5 1.1 1.1 5 3 6 15 16 18
21 22 Cardiff 12 7 5 0.8 1.6 2 1 9 9 19 7
22 4 QPR 15 11 4 1.4 0.7 8 4 3 21 11 28
23 15 Millwall 13 9 4 1.2 0.9 6 4 3 16 12 22
24 24 Barnsley 13 10 3 0.6 1.2 2 4 7 8 16 10
Away – Under/Over goals
#
1 17 Bristol City 14 2 12 1.4 2.3 4 2 8 20 32 14
2 4 QPR 13 2 11 1.8 1.5 7 2 4 23 20 23
3 22 Cardiff 14 4 10 1.4 2.0 4 4 6 19 28 16
4 23 Peterboro 14 4 10 0.6 2.7 1 1 12 8 38 4
5 1 Fulham 13 5 8 2.8 1.0 8 3 2 37 13 27
6 21 Reading 13 5 8 0.9 1.8 4 0 9 12 24 12
7 24 Barnsley 14 6 8 0.6 1.9 0 4 10 9 26 4
8 7 Huddersfield 15 8 7 1.2 1.2 5 5 5 18 18 20
9 11 Sheffield United 15 8 7 1.2 1.4 6 4 5 18 21 22
10 13 Preston 14 7 7 0.9 1.3 4 3 7 13 18 15
11 18 Swansea 14 7 7 0.9 1.6 3 4 7 13 22 13
12 5 West Brom 15 9 6 0.9 1.1 4 4 7 13 16 16
13 14 Blackpool 13 7 6 1.2 1.4 3 5 5 16 18 14
14 8 Nott'm Forest 13 8 5 1.5 0.8 6 4 3 19 11 22
15 9 Coventry 13 8 5 1.0 1.4 3 5 5 13 18 14
16 10 Luton 13 8 5 1.2 1.2 4 4 5 16 16 16
17 12 Stoke 14 9 5 1.0 1.0 5 3 6 14 14 18
18 15 Millwall 14 9 5 0.9 1.2 3 5 6 13 17 14
19 16 Derby 14 9 5 0.7 1.1 2 6 6 10 15 12
20 20 Birmingham 14 9 5 0.9 1.6 3 4 7 13 23 13
21 2 Blackburn 14 10 4 1.0 0.9 5 5 4 14 13 20
22 3 Bournemouth 15 12 3 1.2 0.7 8 4 3 18 10 28
23 6 Middlesbrough 13 10 3 0.8 1.0 4 4 5 11 13 16
24 19 Hull 14 12 2 0.7 1.1 4 2 8 10 15 14

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.

Results and odds courtesy of football-data.co.uk · updated 27 Oct 2026, 20:51