Millwall 3–0 Birmingham – England Championship, 25 Feb 2026

Match facts

Millwall Birmingham

11 Shots 5

5 Shots on target 2

7 Corners 5

14 Fouls 8

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 1

Our pre-match prediction

✓ Result correct ✗ Goals missed ✗ BTTS missed Calculated after the match, using only matches played before kick-off (402 league matches this season so far).

Result Millwall to win

Goals Under 2.5

Both teams score Yes fair 1.90

Expected goals 1.42 – 1.18

Home / Draw / Away

43% 26% 31%

MillwallDrawBirmingham

Under / Over 2.5 goals

52% 48%

Under 2.5Over 2.5

Both teams to score

48% 53%

NoYes

Total goals in the match

7% 0

19% 1

25% 2

22% 3

14% 4

12% 5+

Most likely scores

1–1 12.4% 1–0 10.6% 2–1 8.8%

Statistics 2025/2026, before this match

Millwall before this match, all matches

1.70points / match

1.27scored / match

1.21conceded / match

16 8 9

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 42:40

Birmingham before this match, all matches

1.48points / match

1.36scored / match

1.21conceded / match

13 10 10

WonDrawnLost 33 played · 45:40

Millwall all matches all matches Birmingham

Per match

1.27 Goals scored 1.36

1.21 Goals conceded 1.21

2.48 Total goals 2.58

12.82 Shots 14.33

4.15 Shots on target 3.91

12.30 Shots faced 10.61

5.42 Corners 5.73

5.09 Corners against 4.24

13.15 Fouls 11.39

1.94 Yellow cards 1.79

0.48 1st-half goals scored 0.64

0.42 1st-half goals conceded 0.70

How often Full Time

48% Wins 39%

24% Draws 30%

27% Losses 30%

94% Over 0.5 goals 97%

79% Over 1.5 goals 82%

48% Over 2.5 goals 48%

24% Over 3.5 goals 21%

3% Over 4.5 goals 9%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

48% Both teams scored 58%

36% Clean sheets 24%

21% Failed to score 21%

How often Half Time

27% Wins 33%

55% Draws 24%

18% Losses 42%

61% Over 0.5 goals 82%

30% Over 1.5 goals 36%

0% Over 2.5 goals 12%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall all matches

2

1

W

D

2

1

W

2

W

1

2

L

4

W

1

D

2

W

2

1

W

1

3

L

Birmingham all matches

1

D

3

L

3

2

W

1

D

2

W

1

D

2

W

2

1

W

D

2

1

W

Millwall before this match, at home

1.76points / match

1.35scored / match

1.24conceded / match

9 3 5

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 23:21

Birmingham before this match, away

1.06points / match

0.88scored / match

1.47conceded / match

5 3 9

WonDrawnLost 17 played · 15:25

Millwall at home away Birmingham

Per match

1.35 Goals scored 0.88

1.24 Goals conceded 1.47

2.59 Total goals 2.35

14.00 Shots 10.59

4.71 Shots on target 2.53

11.12 Shots faced 12.24

5.82 Corners 5.00

4.88 Corners against 4.41

11.59 Fouls 11.82

1.53 Yellow cards 1.76

0.59 1st-half goals scored 0.29

0.29 1st-half goals conceded 0.94

How often Full Time

53% Wins 29%

18% Draws 18%

29% Losses 53%

94% Over 0.5 goals 100%

76% Over 1.5 goals 82%

53% Over 2.5 goals 47%

29% Over 3.5 goals 6%

6% Over 4.5 goals 0%

0% Over 5.5 goals 0%

41% Both teams scored 47%

41% Clean sheets 18%

24% Failed to score 35%

How often Half Time

41% Wins 18%

47% Draws 12%

12% Losses 71%

65% Over 0.5 goals 88%

24% Over 1.5 goals 29%

0% Over 2.5 goals 6%

Goals in the last 10 matches (scored up, conceded down; oldest left)

Millwall at home

1

D

1

W

3

2

W

1

3

L

D

2

1

W

2

1

W

4

W

1

D

1

3

L

Birmingham away

1

2

L

1

D

1

3

L

1

2

L

3

L

3

L

1

D

2

W

2

W

2

1

W

Last 10 matches before this match

Millwall all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.02.26	Millwall – Portsmouth	1–3 (0–0)	1.81	3.50	4.20	2.10	1.73
14.02.26	Sheffield Weds – Millwall	1–2 (0–0)	9.00	4.33	1.35	1.88	1.98
07.02.26	Wrexham – Millwall	0–2 (0–0)	2.50	3.30	2.70	2.10	1.73
31.01.26	Millwall – Sheffield United	1–1 (1–1)	2.45	3.25	2.75	1.98	1.88
24.01.26	Millwall – Charlton	4–0 (1–0)	1.71	3.50	4.75	2.20	1.67
20.01.26	Coventry – Millwall	2–1 (1–1)	1.76	3.50	4.33	1.88	1.98
17.01.26	Watford – Millwall	0–2 (0–0)	2.01	3.30	3.60	2.10	1.73
04.01.26	Millwall – Swansea	2–1 (1–0)	2.05	3.25	3.60	2.20	1.67
01.01.26	Southampton – Millwall	0–0 (0–0)	1.71	3.60	4.50	1.80	2.00
29.12.25	Millwall – Bristol City	2–1 (1–0)	2.32	3.25	2.95	2.00	1.80

Birmingham all matches

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.02.26	Norwich – Birmingham	1–2 (0–2)	2.50	3.40	2.65	1.91	1.91
10.02.26	Birmingham – West Brom	0–0 (0–0)	1.81	3.40	4.33	2.10	1.73
07.02.26	Birmingham – Leicester	2–1 (1–1)	1.66	3.80	4.50	1.91	1.91
31.01.26	Oxford – Birmingham	0–2 (0–1)	3.40	3.40	2.05	2.10	1.73
24.01.26	Birmingham – Stoke	1–1 (1–0)	1.81	3.60	4.00	2.10	1.73
20.01.26	Sheffield Weds – Birmingham	0–2 (0–0)	6.50	4.20	1.45	1.80	2.00
17.01.26	Swansea – Birmingham	1–1 (1–0)	2.65	3.20	2.57	2.10	1.73
04.01.26	Birmingham – Coventry	3–2 (2–1)	2.50	3.40	2.65	1.83	2.03
01.01.26	Watford – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	2.30	3.25	2.95	2.00	1.80
29.12.25	Birmingham – Southampton	1–1 (0–0)	2.30	3.40	2.85	1.80	2.00

Millwall at home

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.02.26	Millwall – Portsmouth	1–3 (0–0)	1.81	3.50	4.20	2.10	1.73
31.01.26	Millwall – Sheffield United	1–1 (1–1)	2.45	3.25	2.75	1.98	1.88
24.01.26	Millwall – Charlton	4–0 (1–0)	1.71	3.50	4.75	2.20	1.67
04.01.26	Millwall – Swansea	2–1 (1–0)	2.05	3.25	3.60	2.20	1.67
29.12.25	Millwall – Bristol City	2–1 (1–0)	2.32	3.25	2.95	2.00	1.80
26.12.25	Millwall – Ipswich	0–0 (0–0)	3.60	3.40	2.01	2.10	1.73
13.12.25	Millwall – Hull	1–3 (0–2)	1.91	3.50	3.70	1.91	1.91
29.11.25	Millwall – Southampton	3–2 (0–0)	3.05	3.60	2.20	1.98	1.88
26.11.25	Millwall – Sheffield Weds	1–0 (0–0)	1.62	3.70	5.25	2.05	1.80
08.11.25	Millwall – Preston	1–1 (1–1)	2.15	3.25	3.25	2.30	1.62

Birmingham away

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
21.02.26	Norwich – Birmingham	1–2 (0–2)	2.50	3.40	2.65	1.91	1.91
31.01.26	Oxford – Birmingham	0–2 (0–1)	3.40	3.40	2.05	2.10	1.73
20.01.26	Sheffield Weds – Birmingham	0–2 (0–0)	6.50	4.20	1.45	1.80	2.00
17.01.26	Swansea – Birmingham	1–1 (1–0)	2.65	3.20	2.57	2.10	1.73
01.01.26	Watford – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	2.30	3.25	2.95	2.00	1.80
20.12.25	Sheffield United – Birmingham	3–0 (2–0)	2.25	3.50	2.95	1.93	1.93
09.12.25	QPR – Birmingham	2–1 (1–0)	2.85	3.30	2.35	1.98	1.88
06.12.25	Southampton – Birmingham	3–1 (2–0)	2.25	3.50	2.85	1.93	1.93
26.11.25	West Brom – Birmingham	1–1 (1–0)	2.65	3.05	2.65	2.38	1.57
08.11.25	Middlesbrough – Birmingham	2–1 (2–1)	2.55	3.25	2.65	2.30	1.62

Score badge: green win, amber draw, red loss for the team named above. Half-time score in brackets. Bold odds = the outcome that happened. A league code next to the date means the match was played in another league.

Head-to-head since 2021/2022, before this match

2 3 2

Millwall winsDrawsBirmingham wins

7matches

2.29goals / match

43%over 2.5

43%both scored

Date	Match	Score	1	X	2	O	U
04.11.25E1	Birmingham – Millwall	4–0 (2–0)	1.81	3.40	4.20	2.20	1.67
09.03.24E1	Millwall – Birmingham	1–0 (0–0)	2.20	3.20	3.40	2.15	1.67
02.09.23E1	Birmingham – Millwall	1–1 (0–1)	2.30	3.20	3.25	2.38	1.57
18.04.23E1	Millwall – Birmingham	0–1 (0–1)	1.70	3.60	5.25	2.30	1.62
02.11.22E1	Birmingham – Millwall	0–0 (0–0)	2.50	3.20	2.90	2.30	1.61
23.04.22E1	Birmingham – Millwall	2–2 (0–0)	3.30	3.30	2.25	2.20	1.66
04.12.21E1	Millwall – Birmingham	3–1 (2–0)	2.15	3.20	3.60	2.37	1.57

England Championship table 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	33	19	8	6	68	36	+32	65
2	Middlesbrough	34	18	9	7	51	34	+17	63
3	Ipswich	32	16	9	7	56	34	+22	57
4	Hull	33	17	6	10	55	48	+7	57
5	Millwall	33	16	8	9	42	40	+2	56
6	Wrexham	34	14	12	8	53	45	+8	54
7	Southampton	34	13	11	10	54	45	+9	50
8	Bristol City	34	14	8	12	47	42	+5	50
9	Birmingham	33	13	10	10	45	40	+5	49
10	Preston	34	12	13	9	41	38	+3	49
11	Derby	34	13	9	12	49	45	+4	48
12	Watford	34	12	12	10	43	40	+3	48
13	QPR	34	13	8	13	46	52	-6	47
14	Swansea	34	13	7	14	40	40	0	46
15	Sheffield United	33	14	3	16	47	46	+1	45
16	Stoke	33	12	8	13	36	31	+5	44
17	Charlton	34	10	11	13	33	43	-10	41
18	Leicester	34	10	10	14	47	54	-7	40
19	Norwich	33	11	6	16	43	44	-1	39
20	Portsmouth	33	10	9	14	34	43	-9	39
21	Blackburn	34	10	8	16	32	43	-11	38
22	West Brom	34	9	8	17	33	50	-17	35
23	Oxford	33	6	11	16	28	44	-16	29
24	Sheffield Weds	33	1	8	24	20	66	-46	11

Home – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	16	12	3	1	34	12	+22	39
2	Ipswich	16	10	5	1	30	12	+18	35
3	Middlesbrough	17	10	5	2	26	12	+14	35
4	Swansea	18	9	5	4	26	19	+7	32
5	Watford	18	9	5	4	26	19	+7	32
6	Birmingham	16	8	7	1	30	15	+15	31
7	Southampton	17	8	6	3	26	14	+12	30
8	Wrexham	18	8	6	4	33	28	+5	30
9	Millwall	17	9	3	5	23	21	+2	30
10	Hull	18	9	3	6	28	28	0	30
11	Preston	17	7	6	4	22	18	+4	27
12	Sheffield United	16	8	2	6	27	18	+9	26
13	QPR	16	8	2	6	29	24	+5	26
14	Bristol City	17	7	4	6	27	22	+5	25
15	Charlton	16	7	4	5	17	17	0	25
16	West Brom	17	6	6	5	19	22	-3	24
17	Stoke	16	6	4	6	21	16	+5	22
18	Portsmouth	16	6	4	6	18	16	+2	22
19	Leicester	16	6	4	6	23	23	0	22
20	Derby	17	5	6	6	21	23	-2	21
21	Blackburn	18	4	5	9	17	24	-7	17
22	Norwich	16	5	1	10	17	22	-5	16
23	Oxford	16	3	6	7	13	22	-9	15
24	Sheffield Weds	17	0	4	13	8	35	-27	4

Away – league table
#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	17	8	4	5	25	22	+3	28
2	Hull	15	8	3	4	27	20	+7	27
3	Derby	17	8	3	6	28	22	+6	27
4	Coventry	17	7	5	5	34	24	+10	26
5	Millwall	16	7	5	4	19	19	0	26
6	Bristol City	17	7	4	6	20	20	0	25
7	Wrexham	16	6	6	4	20	17	+3	24
8	Norwich	17	6	5	6	26	22	+4	23
9	Ipswich	16	6	4	6	26	22	+4	22
10	Stoke	17	6	4	7	15	15	0	22
11	Preston	17	5	7	5	19	20	-1	22
12	Blackburn	16	6	3	7	15	19	-4	21
13	QPR	18	5	6	7	17	28	-11	21
14	Southampton	17	5	5	7	28	31	-3	20
15	Sheffield United	17	6	1	10	20	28	-8	19
16	Leicester	18	4	6	8	24	31	-7	18
17	Birmingham	17	5	3	9	15	25	-10	18
18	Portsmouth	17	4	5	8	16	27	-11	17
19	Watford	16	3	7	6	17	21	-4	16
20	Charlton	18	3	7	8	16	26	-10	16
21	Oxford	17	3	5	9	15	22	-7	14
22	Swansea	16	4	2	10	14	21	-7	14
23	West Brom	17	3	2	12	14	28	-14	11
24	Sheffield Weds	16	1	4	11	12	31	-19	7

Millwall Birmingham

Under / Over goals 2025/2026, before this match

All matches – Under/Over goals
#
1	4	Hull	33	11	22	1.7	1.5	17	6	10	55	48	57
2	13	QPR	34	12	22	1.4	1.5	13	8	13	46	52	47
3	18	Leicester	34	12	22	1.4	1.6	10	10	14	47	54	40
4	1	Coventry	33	13	20	2.1	1.1	19	8	6	68	36	65
5	7	Southampton	34	14	20	1.6	1.3	13	11	10	54	45	50
6	15	Sheffield United	33	14	19	1.4	1.4	14	3	16	47	46	45
7	24	Sheffield Weds	33	14	19	0.6	2.0	1	8	24	20	66	11
8	2	Middlesbrough	34	16	18	1.5	1.0	18	9	7	51	34	63
9	3	Ipswich	32	15	17	1.8	1.1	16	9	7	56	34	57
10	11	Derby	34	17	17	1.4	1.3	13	9	12	49	45	48
11	19	Norwich	33	16	17	1.3	1.3	11	6	16	43	44	39
12	5	Millwall	33	17	16	1.3	1.2	16	8	9	42	40	56
13	6	Wrexham	34	18	16	1.6	1.3	14	12	8	53	45	54
14	8	Bristol City	34	18	16	1.4	1.2	14	8	12	47	42	50
15	9	Birmingham	33	17	16	1.4	1.2	13	10	10	45	40	49
16	22	West Brom	34	18	16	1.0	1.5	9	8	17	33	50	35
17	23	Oxford	33	17	16	0.8	1.3	6	11	16	28	44	29
18	12	Watford	34	19	15	1.3	1.2	12	12	10	43	40	48
19	14	Swansea	34	19	15	1.2	1.2	13	7	14	40	40	46
20	20	Portsmouth	33	18	15	1.0	1.3	10	9	14	34	43	39
21	10	Preston	34	20	14	1.2	1.1	12	13	9	41	38	49
22	21	Blackburn	34	20	14	0.9	1.3	10	8	16	32	43	38
23	16	Stoke	33	20	13	1.1	0.9	12	8	13	36	31	44
24	17	Charlton	34	21	13	1.0	1.3	10	11	13	33	43	41

Home – Under/Over goals
#
1	13	QPR	16	3	13	1.8	1.5	8	2	6	29	24	26
2	4	Hull	18	7	11	1.6	1.6	9	3	6	28	28	30
3	15	Sheffield United	16	5	11	1.7	1.1	8	2	6	27	18	26
4	6	Wrexham	18	8	10	1.8	1.6	8	6	4	33	28	30
5	1	Coventry	16	7	9	2.1	0.8	12	3	1	34	12	39
6	3	Ipswich	16	7	9	1.9	0.8	10	5	1	30	12	35
7	5	Millwall	17	8	9	1.4	1.2	9	3	5	23	21	30
8	8	Bristol City	17	8	9	1.6	1.3	7	4	6	27	22	25
9	18	Leicester	16	7	9	1.4	1.4	6	4	6	23	23	22
10	24	Sheffield Weds	17	8	9	0.5	2.1	0	4	13	8	35	4
11	2	Middlesbrough	17	9	8	1.5	0.7	10	5	2	26	12	35
12	7	Southampton	17	9	8	1.5	0.8	8	6	3	26	14	30
13	9	Birmingham	16	8	8	1.9	0.9	8	7	1	30	15	31
14	10	Preston	17	9	8	1.3	1.1	7	6	4	22	18	27
15	12	Watford	18	10	8	1.4	1.1	9	5	4	26	19	32
16	14	Swansea	18	10	8	1.4	1.1	9	5	4	26	19	32
17	16	Stoke	16	8	8	1.3	1.0	6	4	6	21	16	22
18	19	Norwich	16	8	8	1.1	1.4	5	1	10	17	22	16
19	23	Oxford	16	8	8	0.8	1.4	3	6	7	13	22	15
20	20	Portsmouth	16	9	7	1.1	1.0	6	4	6	18	16	22
21	21	Blackburn	18	11	7	0.9	1.3	4	5	9	17	24	17
22	22	West Brom	17	10	7	1.1	1.3	6	6	5	19	22	24
23	11	Derby	17	11	6	1.2	1.4	5	6	6	21	23	21
24	17	Charlton	16	10	6	1.1	1.1	7	4	5	17	17	25

Away – Under/Over goals
#
1	18	Leicester	18	5	13	1.3	1.7	4	6	8	24	31	18
2	7	Southampton	17	5	12	1.6	1.8	5	5	7	28	31	20
3	1	Coventry	17	6	11	2.0	1.4	7	5	5	34	24	26
4	4	Hull	15	4	11	1.8	1.3	8	3	4	27	20	27
5	11	Derby	17	6	11	1.6	1.3	8	3	6	28	22	27
6	2	Middlesbrough	17	7	10	1.5	1.3	8	4	5	25	22	28
7	24	Sheffield Weds	16	6	10	0.8	1.9	1	4	11	12	31	7
8	13	QPR	18	9	9	0.9	1.6	5	6	7	17	28	21
9	19	Norwich	17	8	9	1.5	1.3	6	5	6	26	22	23
10	22	West Brom	17	8	9	0.8	1.6	3	2	12	14	28	11
11	3	Ipswich	16	8	8	1.6	1.4	6	4	6	26	22	22
12	9	Birmingham	17	9	8	0.9	1.5	5	3	9	15	25	18
13	15	Sheffield United	17	9	8	1.2	1.6	6	1	10	20	28	19
14	20	Portsmouth	17	9	8	0.9	1.6	4	5	8	16	27	17
15	23	Oxford	17	9	8	0.9	1.3	3	5	9	15	22	14
16	5	Millwall	16	9	7	1.2	1.2	7	5	4	19	19	26
17	8	Bristol City	17	10	7	1.2	1.2	7	4	6	20	20	25
18	12	Watford	16	9	7	1.1	1.3	3	7	6	17	21	16
19	14	Swansea	16	9	7	0.9	1.3	4	2	10	14	21	14
20	17	Charlton	18	11	7	0.9	1.4	3	7	8	16	26	16
21	21	Blackburn	16	9	7	0.9	1.2	6	3	7	15	19	21
22	6	Wrexham	16	10	6	1.2	1.1	6	6	4	20	17	24
23	10	Preston	17	11	6	1.1	1.2	5	7	5	19	20	22
24	16	Stoke	17	12	5	0.9	0.9	6	4	7	15	15	22

U / O = matches with fewer / more goals than the line (both teams' goals). BTTS = both teams to score: Yes when both teams scored, No when at least one didn't. Pos = position in the league table. Click a column heading to sort; click again to reverse.